Hey Realistic Traders, Will NYSE:TSM Create a New All-Time High? Let’s Dive In.... TSMC is the world’s largest contract chipmaker. Recent Earning Call reported whooping third quarter revenue of $759.69 billion, marking a YoY increase of 36.5%. The performance is beating the market forecast. Double Digit Revenue Growth is driven by demand for AI Chips especially with major client like NVIDIA & Apple and 3-nanometer &5 nanometer technology in Smartphones. TSMC Chief Financial Officer Huang Renzhao shared optimistic project for the company. TSMC expect Q4 quarterly revenue growth of approximately 13%, sligtly above the market the market expectation. Strong AI-Related demand predicted to persist for year, inlined with the company’s perfomance and expectation. The positive sentiment support our bullish call on NVIDIA. Technical Analysis On the daily timeframe, TSM has remained above the EMA200 line for over a year, maintaining its bullish trend. On August 5, 2024, TSM rebounded impulsively from the EMA200 line after completing an ABC correction pattern, signaling the start of a new bullish wave. The second and fourth corrective waves have retraced to the Fibonacci 0.382 and 0.618 golden ratios, respectively, aligning with Elliott Wave rules that typically indicate further upward movement. In addition to the Elliott Wave analysis, a breakout from a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has been identified. Such breakouts often signal the continuation of the prevailing market trend. Therefore based on these technical analysis, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $217.85 or second target at 234.46 This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 177.95 Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Taiwan Semiconductor."
BTC has entered the support zone. Currently waiting for the 1-hour entry signal (built a new indicator). RSI 1-hour divergence, would be cool to see it also on 4h. It gets bullish with a good entry soon. RM 1N6 pretty ok swing. Indicator. I’ve built a custom trend-based indicator that provides buy/sell signals with 80% efficiency. With a solid risk management (RM) strategy that includes simple stop-loss (SL) and stop-loss exit (SLX) rules, it can achieve near 100% effectiveness. It works across all timeframes—you just need to analyze each timeframe before entering a trade. The indicator highlights potential reversal zones based on the current trend and within 1 candle, making it ideal for scalping but also effective for longer positions, such as swing trading. I’m still refining it, but unfortunately, TradingView (TW) isn’t the best platform for this type of code, so I’ll be exploring other options to complete the development of this trend-based signal indicator. I'll post an example with open position to show it works within the next setup up if you are interested. Let me know.
This indicator is designed for traders seeking refined entry and exit signals based on precise EMA crossovers. By leveraging dynamically calculated average high and low thresholds over a customizable lookback period, this tool enhances decision-making by filtering out noise and providing clear, actionable signals. Key Features: Dynamic Thresholds: Calculates average high and low values over a specified number of candles, ensuring adaptability to market conditions. Refined Signal Logic: Generates buy signals when the EMA crosses above the average low, and sell signals when the EMA crosses above the average high or drops below the average low. This ensures logical progression and avoids redundant signals. Customizable Settings: Lookback period for high-low averages. EMA period for precise crossover calculation. Signal appearance: Choose between arrows or labels for better chart visibility. Adjustable signal colors to match your preferences. Alerts: Set alerts for buy and sell signals, enabling you to stay updated in real-time. How It Works: The indicator calculates average high and low prices over a user-defined number of candles. An EMA is plotted based on the closing price and your selected period. Buy and sell signals are triggered based on how the EMA interacts with the dynamic high and low levels: Buy: EMA crosses above the average low and no active buy signal exists. Sell: EMA crosses above the average high or below the average low after a buy signal. Visual Guidance: Plots the average high (red), average low (green), and the EMA line (blue) for clear visualization of key levels and price interactions. Signal markers are plotted directly on the chart for quick identification of potential trades. Use this indicator to enhance your trading strategy, reduce noise, and focus on high-probability setups.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Analysis: On the 2-hour chart, GOLD is showing a bullish setup. Price is currently consolidating near key support zones, with a potential bounce forming. The highlighted demand zone around 2620 is acting as a strong base, suggesting possible upward momentum if buyers hold the level. Projection: A breakout above intermediate resistance levels could see GOLD testing higher targets in the 2635-2645 region. Look for confirmations on lower timeframes to align with the upward bias.
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: ?SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651 TP1: $2635 TP2: $2620 TP3: $2610 ?BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599 TP1: $2615 TP2: $2628 TP3: $2640 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Everything is clear in the chart.Low volatility long vacations but mindful to play.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Friday, forming a strong breakthrough to test the high point of 2631, and closed above the 2620 mark. The daily line ended the weak and volatile downward structure in the first half of last week. At present, the MA10 daily moving average is suppressed at the 2646 line, and the 5-day moving average is at the 2614 line. The price is running in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band. The short-term four-hour moving average opened upward and re-stood on the middle track of the Bollinger band. After the intraday rhythm correction, go long at low prices and be bullish! Gold was not strong after the opening of the Asian session. It is too early to say that gold has reversed now. Gold has begun to fluctuate. Gold has not had a unilateral market for the time being. Gold sells high and buys low at the beginning of the week. Pay attention to the resistance of last Friday's high point 2632 on the top of gold. If it cannot break through, then gold will continue to be short under pressure at 2632 in the short term. If it breaks through 2632, gold will pay attention to the resistance near 2650. Pay attention to the support of the 2600 line on the bottom first. If gold does not break 2600, then gold can go long in the short term to see a rebound. First support: 2612, second support: 2600, third support: 2587 First resistance: 2632, second resistance: 2646, third resistance: 2658 Trading strategy: BUY: 2605-2608 SELL: 2632-2635
**?Entry**: **$134.97** – Price is breaking out above key resistance, confirming bullish momentum. ? **Stop Loss**: **$130.95** – Protect against downside risk below support. ✋ ? **Targets**: - **T1**: $140.34 – First resistance level and profit-taking zone. ? - **T2**: $144.64 – Extended upside target for greater profits. ? **Key Details**: ? Breakout above the descending trendline confirms bullish pressure. ? Entry near $134.97 offers a favorable risk-reward ratio for long trades. **? Strategy**: - ? Enter long at $134.97. - ? SL below $130.95. - ✅ Take profits at $140.34 (T1) & $144.64 (T2). **Why This Chart is Important**: ⚠️ NVDA is showing clear bullish signals, offering an ideal setup for breakout traders. **Conclusion**: Breakout at $134.97 with targets at $140.34 and $144.64 confirms bullish momentum, making this a strategic long trade opportunity. ?? #Trading #NVDA #StockMarket #BullishSetup #RiskReward #StockAnalysis #ProfittoPath
US economic data shows inflation is slowing. Supported by the weakening of the TVC:DXY and US Treasury bond interest rates, OANDA:XAUUSD continued to increase on Friday (December 18). However, the Fed's hawkish interest rate outlook caused gold prices to fall 0.9% last week. The Federal Reserve's headline inflation index (PCE) showed price pressures eased last month. According to data released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index, excluding food and energy prices, increased by 0.1% over the previous month. in November, slower than the 0.3% increase in October. The increase was slightly lower than economists' expectations of 0.2%. On a yearly basis, core PCE rose 2.8%, matching the increase in October and below Wall Street expectations of 2.9%. Overall PCE increased 2.4% year-over-year, up from 2.3% in October. Earlier this month, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which excludes food and gas prices, showed prices rose 3.3% year-on-year in November, marking the fourth straight month of increases. Meanwhile, the core Producer Price Index (PPI), which tracks price changes across companies, showed prices rose 3.4% year-on-year in November. The increase was higher October's 3.1% increase also exceeded economists' expectations of 3.2%. At a press conference following Wednesday's interest rate decision, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the final phase of the Fed's response to inflation will be more difficult than initially expected. “We were forecasting inflation at the end of the year, but as we got closer to the end of the year, the forecast was off a little bit,” Powell said. “I would say that's probably the biggest factor, inflation is once again missing expectations.” So far this year, inflation has slowed but remains above the Fed's 2% target, pressured by recent unexpectedly hot monthly "core" price growth data. According to the Fed's latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), the Fed expects core inflation to peak at 2.5% next year, up from a forecast of 2.2% in September and falling to 2.0%. 2% in 2026 and 2027 to 2.0%. Higher inflation expectations, coupled with a slower pace of interest rate cuts next year, have weighed on markets. On the other hand, the election of Donald Trump as the next president has added to this uncertainty, with some economists suggesting that the United States could face another surge in inflation if Trump makes his move. True to his campaign promises. Policies proposed by Trump such as imposing high tariffs on imported goods, cutting taxes on businesses and restricting immigration could have an inflationary effect. These policies further complicate the Fed's future interest rate path. Data and events this week The market will also welcome the Christmas holiday this week, traders will focus on important events such as "where to get money to buy gifts for bears, where to go so as not to eat dog food, or open the door." Is it a pan or a greeting, honey,... I don't know but I wish you all a happy Christmas and good health hehe." However, some important economic data will be released. Economic data to watch out for this week Monday: US consumer confidence Tuesday: US sustainable goods, US new home sales Wednesday: Christmas break Thursday: US weekly unemployment claims https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/hph4jnw4-GOLD-MARKET-ANALYSIS-AND-COMMENTARY-Dec-22-Dec-27/ Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD Gold recovered from the 0.786% Fibonacci level during the weekend trading session, but the recovery is also limited after testing the target resistance level noted by readers in the previous issue at the confluence of the upper edge. price channel and Fibonacci level 0.618%. Currently, the closing position still supports the possibility of a technical bearish price for gold, with the price channel as the main trend price channel, resistance from Fibonacci 0.618% and pressure at Ema21. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is still operating below the 50 level, quite far from the oversold area, which shows that there is still quite a lot of room for price decline ahead. As long as gold remains below EMA21, within price channel, it still has a bearish technical outlook and the notable points are listed below. Support: 2,591 – 2,552 – 2,538USD Resistance: 2,634 – 2,656USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2646 - 2644⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2650 →Take Profit 1 2639 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2634 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2604 - 2606⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2600 →Take Profit 1 2611 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2616
. Don't forget about stop-loss. Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see. Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU. P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy. Always make your analysis before a trade