Bitcoin (BTC/USD) April 2025 Market Outlook : on the daily (1D) timeframe, focusing on the potential price action for April 2025. The chart illustrates a pivotal moment for Bitcoin, and I aim to provide a detailed breakdown of the current setup, key levels, and my outlook for the month ahead. Below, I’ll walk through the technical observations, patterns, and scenarios I’m anticipating. Technical Analysis Price Action and Trend Observations The chart highlights a significant bullish run for Bitcoin that began around October 2024, with the price surging from approximately $56,000 to a peak of $96,000 by late December 2024 or early January 2025. This rally reflects a strong uptrend, likely driven by favorable market sentiment or macroeconomic factors. However, following this high (labeled “H” on the chart), Bitcoin entered a corrective phase, forming a descending channel, as indicated by the shaded area. This channel is characterized by a series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), signaling a bearish correction within the broader bullish context. As of the latest update, Bitcoin is trading at $81,726.82, positioned at the upper resistance of the descending channel. This level represents a critical juncture, where the price may either break out to resume its uptrend or face rejection, potentially leading to a deeper pullback. This setup forms the basis of my April 2025 outlook. Descending Channel and Its Implications The descending channel on the chart has been a reliable framework for understanding Bitcoin’s corrective phase. The price has consistently respected the upper boundary of the channel as resistance (noted with “H” and “LH”) and the lower boundary as support (marked with “LL”). With Bitcoin currently testing the upper resistance, this moment could define the next directional move. A breakout above this resistance may signal the end of the correction and a return to bullish momentum, while a rejection could push the price toward the lower support of the channel. Additionally, in the chart we can see liquidity zones on the right side. Above the current price, a liquidity zone at $94,500.32 (in red) could serve as a target for a breakout, potentially where stop-losses for short positions might be hunted. Below, a liquidity zone at $77,000.32 (in yellow) may act as a target for a breakdown, where buy-side liquidity could be swept. Key Support and Resistance Levels Several critical levels are highlighted on the chart: Support : A significant horizontal support at $77,000 (indicated by the yellow line) previously acted as a consolidation zone before Bitcoin’s breakout in late 2024. This level is likely to provide a strong floor if the price declines further. Resistance : The upper boundary of the descending channel, currently around $81,726, serves as the immediate resistance. A decisive break above this level could target the previous all-time high near $96,000, which is the next major resistance. Liquidity Targets: The $94,500.32 level above and the $77,000.32 level below are key areas where significant market reactions are anticipated, depending on the price direction. Market Outlook for April 2025 Bullish Scenario : Breakout Above the Channel Should Bitcoin break above the upper resistance of the descending channel—around $82,000—with strong volume, it would likely mark the end of this corrective phase and signal a resumption of the bullish trend. In this scenario, the initial target would be the previous high near $96,000, with the potential to test the liquidity zone at $94,500.32. A breakout could be driven by positive developments, such as increased institutional adoption, favorable regulatory news, or macroeconomic factors like, QT ends, m2 supply, etc. This scenario carries a moderate probability, given the current test of resistance, but it will require significant buying pressure to overcome the selling interest at this level. Bearish Scenario : Rejection and Pullback Conversely, if Bitcoin is rejected at the channel’s resistance of $81,726, a decline toward the lower boundary of the channel, around $78,000 to $77,000, is likely. A break below $77,000 could target the next support levels at $72,500 or even $68,000, where buy-side liquidity may be swept. This bearish scenario might be triggered by negative news, such as regulatory crackdowns, profit-taking by large holders, or a broader market downturn. This scenario has a moderate-to-high probability, as the descending channel indicates that sellers remain active at this resistance. Neutral Scenario: Continued Consolidation There’s also the possibility that Bitcoin remains range-bound within the descending channel throughout the early part of April, oscillating between $77,000 (support) and $82,000 (resistance). This would suggest a lack of strong directional momentum, with the market awaiting a catalyst to drive a breakout or breakdown. This scenario is considered a moderate-probability outcome, given the current indecision in the price action. Key Levels to Watch in April 2025 Upside Targets: $82,000 (channel resistance), $94,500 (liquidity zone), $96,000 (previous high). Downside Targets: $77,000 (key support), $72,500, $68,000 (further supports). Current Price: $81,726.82 (as of the latest update). Trade Idea for April 2025 Bullish Setup: A buy position is recommended on a confirmed breakout above $82,000, Targets in this scenario would be $94,500 and potentially $96,000. Bearish Setup : If the price is rejected at $81,726, a sell position could be considered, with a stop-loss above $82,500. Targets would be $77,000 and $72,500 Risk Management: Given Bitcoin’s volatility, proper position sizing and strict risk management are essential. Monitoring volume and momentum indicators will also be key to confirming any breakout or breakdown. Final Thoughts As we approach April 2025, I’ll be closely monitoring both the technical developments on the chart and external factors that could influence Bitcoin’s price. Macroeconomic events, such as changes in interest rates or inflation data, as well as crypto-specific news like regulatory updates or adoption trends, could serve as catalysts for a significant move. The chart provides a valuable framework for navigating this market, and I’m eager to see how Bitcoin behaves at this critical level. I hope this analysis offers valuable insights for traders and investors. I welcome your thoughts and perspectives on Bitcoin’s next move. Kindly follow my Twitter/X (will update first / faster) Thanks.
Regional Banks seem to be heading on a slippery path identical to the most previous crash pattern back when they needed all the loan Bailouts. Now that all the loans have stopped, I'm sure some banks may be heading towards loan restructuring perhaps, maybe defaults, I'm not sure honestly. I just know that the chart never lies and I've been watching and waiting for a long while. I predicted the first crash back then and I currently have no doubts with the current chart ahead of me. As always, I will do my best to provide the best insight possible into these speculations. Currently we have the Daily breaking trend and the bar count getting close to the previous 141 bars. The only difference is that we bounce off the 100% retracement. If we continue to lose the 1.27, we'll be headed for the 1.61..... updates soon.
Elliott Wave Pattern Analysis Currently, the price structure is moving in a clear 5-wave Elliott pattern. Wave 4 has completed and the price is approaching the old peak area again – indicating a high probability of entering wave 5. Observing the momentum on the H1 timeframe shows that there is still room for growth, further reinforcing the expectation of a breakout to confirm wave 5. Notably, wave 1 and wave 3 are of almost equal length. Therefore, there is a high probability that wave 5 will be extended. We can use the Fibonacci tool to estimate the target for wave 5 with important levels: Fibo 0.382 wave 1–3: 3092 – possible early end of wave 5 Fibo 0.618 wave 1–3: 3104 – more likely target Fibo 1.0 wave 1–3: 3138 – ambitious target, also coincides with wave 5 on the larger timeframe In addition, a price channel is also drawn to support price action tracking. The ideal target for wave 5 would be the upper boundary of this price channel. ? Target price zones to note: Fibo zone 0.382: 3092 Fibo zone 0.618: 3104 Fibo zone 1.0: 3138 ? Recommended trading plan Strategy: Wait for the breakout of the old peak and confirm the pullback to enter the order. Buy zone: 3087 – 3089 Stop Loss: 3073 Take Profit 1: 3104 Take Profit 2 (ambitious): 3138
It’s more of a sixth sense(like when you just know the milk is bad before you smell it). I think it’s headed down, like an elevator with a broken cable . If I’m right, I’ll make some money. If I’m wrong, well… guess I’ll take the stairs next time. Just my opinion, not financial advice.
These two areas are 30m imbalances in the price of bitcoin. Let's monitor price action as the price approaches
Fundamental Insight: As predicted by the teacher yesterday, the record-breaking surge in Gold prices showed no signs of slowing down as buyers pushed past the $3,100 threshold during the recorded period. With a strong recovery to around $3,108, demonstrating a $20 recovery. Regarding gold fluctuations, this week's most notable economic news will be the US implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday, along with the March non-farm payroll report release on Friday morning. Both events are expected to potentially increase gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Brian’s Personal Comment: The buyer continues to overwhelm, ATH can achieve this week if the support levels inside the trend channel maintain. Gold Trading Setups: ? BUY XAUUSD: Entry: 3096 - 3098 SL: 3095 TP: 3099, 3101, 3106 ? BUY XAUUSD: Entry: 3057-3054 SL: 3049 TP: 3060, 3062, open... Technical Analysis: Based on the 34 & 89 EMAs and clear support-resistance zones, these buy setups align with the current bullish momentum. Pullbacks to EMA zones offer good re-entry opportunities, especially when price respects structure and bullish candle formations are confirmed. ORDER RULES: 1) Watch the price: Don't rush to place an order,... 2) Place an order: Probe first, and divide the volume reasonably... 3) SL: Must set SL, don't hold on to losses... 4) TP: Close half, move the remaining half to Entry and set TP from 7 - 15 prices... 5) Order entry time: Note the time frames Ad has given... 6) Order holding time: 1 - 3 hours... 7) Trading has a high RR so you have to accept the risk. All suggestions are for reference only, so consider carefully. You should stay out and watch if you are afraid of risk
My thought process included drawing two trend lines that I had originated from an originally inverted scale >69k no doom but... by the time this enclosing triangle gets smaller, we will have more clarity re. trump tariffs or as his former trade rep said: something something "bulk of tariff actions still lie ahead" ___ + "Everyone needs to buckle up, because the President is just getting started and what lies ahead will likely be even more unpredictable than during his first term."
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold's record-breaking rally continues unchecked as buyers push prices past the $3,100 milestone for the first time ever. Mounting concerns over a potential global trade war and rising stagflation risks in the United States (US) have further fueled demand for the safe-haven metal, reinforcing its status as a store of value. A recent report from The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) suggests that US President Donald Trump may introduce even higher and broader reciprocal tariffs on April 2, known as “Liberation Day.” This prospect has sent fresh waves of risk aversion rippling through global markets, amplifying investor uncertainty. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Tariff pressure, fears of trade war outbreak in April. Gold price is growing continuously, expected to reach 3127 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: ?SELL GOLD zone: $3126 - $3128 SL $3133 TP1: $3120 TP2: $3110 TP3: $3100 ?BUY GOLD zone: $3092 - $3094 SL $3087 TP1: $3098 TP2: $3103 TP3: $3110 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Continuous tariff new’s scaring the market. Many continue to say Bearish then some say Bullish. Looking like it can retest the demand zone I see at the 1M at 584.83 but today 3/30 on AH looks like things may be gapping down already. What are your thoughts?
Analyzing SUPERUSDT P's historical cycles with gains ranging from 236% to 361% over consistent time intervals. Key support and resistance zones identified for potential entries and exits: Entry Strategy: Accumulate near strong support zones ($0.50 - $0.53) after correction phases. Exit Strategy: Target resistance levels between $1.20 - $1.75 for potential profits based on previous price action. Tracking volume surges and cyclical trends for optimal timing.