Gold ended its 9-day winning streak on the weekly chart. The weekly chart fell sharply for the first time since December. The retracement tested the MA5/7-day moving average, and the RSI indicator Zhonghui's central axis value was 50. The daily chart adjusted downward for four consecutive trading days. The MA10/7-day moving average formed a high of 2916 and opened downward and gradually moved down to 2903/12. At the same time, the 5-day moving average moved down to 2885, and the RSI indicator central axis was adjusted. The price was running in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band. The price of the short-term four-hour chart was in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band channel, and the moving average opened downward. However, after the hourly and four-hour charts RSI indicators tested the 20 value and formed an overbought closing on Friday, they turned upward. Coupled with the stimulus of the weekend market news, gold opened at 2858 in the Asian session and rose sharply to 2876. A strong counterattack and pull-up was formed. It is not suitable to buy in the sharp rise of the Asian session at the beginning of the week. The 2893/2920 trend line of the descending channel has not formed a break, so the transaction is still based on the trend line waiting for high selling. From the current market, even if the gold price may fall in the short term, we should also be alert to the weak NFP employment data or slowing wage growth this week, which may rekindle the market's expectations of the Fed's accelerated rate cuts and promote the rebound of gold prices. If it breaks through $2,900, it is expected to restart the bull trend. If the negative NFP data will strengthen the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, gold may be further under pressure to explore the $2,800 support. After the technical break, the short-selling momentum may be accelerated, increasing the risk of short-term downside. Then for today's operation, the market will definitely stir up more waves. In the case of a sharp rise at the opening, if 2880 is not broken, we can still expect a fall back to the 2860-2850 area. In other words, the long position still needs to wait for 2860-2850 to stabilize before seeking entry. On the upside, if it breaks through and stabilizes above 2880, you can buy directly, and look for selling opportunities when it is blocked at 2890-2900. Of course, the possibility of malicious reshuffles today cannot be ruled out. It would be better to compress the shock range to the range of 2900-2850, and then wait for the trend to become clear before following the market. Key points: First support: 2860, second support: 2853, third support: 2843 First resistance: 2880, second resistance: 2888, third resistance: 2896 Operation ideas: Buy: 2850-2853, stop: 2842, target: 2870-2880; Sell: 2878-2880, stop: 2889, target: 2860-2850;
Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 2871, which is an overlap resistance close to the 50% Fibo resistance. Our take profit will be at 28050.48, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 2891/37, above the 61.8% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Silver’s bearish wedge breakout may have run its course, with Friday’s rebound from key support at $31.00—where the 50DMA and former resistance converge—suggesting a potential shift in direction. While MACD hasn’t confirmed it yet, RSI (14) has broken its week-long downtrend, hinting at a turn in momentum. With price action firming and Friday’s hammer candle flashing a bullish signal, the near-term bias has tilted higher. That case would strengthen further if silver adds to gains on Monday, completing a morning star pattern in the process. A quick glance at the chart shows silver’s tendency to gravitate toward big and half-big figures, putting $31.50, $32, $32.50, and $33 on the radar for those considering longs. Aside from the first, they screen as potential targets depending on risk tolerance. A stop beneath $31 offers protection against a reversal. Good luck! DS
https://www.tradingview.com/x/U3bqD9x2/ in simple points: * wedge pattern breakout might support the bullish view scenario * breakout of 542 level, super bullish (possible new ATH) * back under 110 level weaken the bullish scenario. TA and not FA.
a comprehensive trading strategy. ## **1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)** ### **M30 (30-Minute Chart)** - **Equilibrium Zone (~$2,870 - $2,875)** is being tested. - **Previous Day Low (PDL) ~$2,825 is intact**. - **Minor bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) observed**, suggesting a possible retracement. ### **H1 (1-Hour Chart)** - **Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continued downside bias**. - **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,950) remains a strong resistance**. - **Retracement to equilibrium ($2,875 - $2,885) is likely before further downside**. ### **H4 (4-Hour Chart)** - **Price rejected from the previous weak low (~$2,825)**. - **Liquidity grab occurred, but market remains bearish**. - **Potential retest of previous support at $2,885 - $2,900 before continuing down**. ### **D1 (Daily Chart)** - **Strong BOS confirmed bearish sentiment**. - **Premium rejection zone ~$2,950 remains strong**. - **If price stays below $2,900, further downside to $2,800 - $2,780 is possible**. --- ## **2. Expected Scenarios & Probability** ### **Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)** - If price **rejects $2,880 - $2,885**, the downtrend is expected to continue. - **Target: $2,840 - $2,825**. - **Confirmation:** A bearish candlestick formation in the **$2,875 - $2,885 zone**. ### **Scenario 2: Short-Term Bullish Retracement (30% Probability)** - If price holds above **$2,860**, a short-term retracement to **$2,900 - $2,920** may occur. - **Target: $2,900 - $2,920** before another decline. - **Confirmation:** A **bullish breakout above $2,875**. --- ## **3. Trading Plan** ### **Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 70% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,875 - $2,885. - **SL:** $2,905 (Above resistance). - **TP1:** $2,850 (First liquidity level). - **TP2:** $2,840 (Weak low). - **TP3:** $2,825 (Major demand zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:4. ### **Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 30% Probability)** - **Entry:** $2,860 - $2,865. - **SL:** $2,850 (Below weak low). - **TP1:** $2,880 (Short-term equilibrium). - **TP2:** $2,900 (Key supply zone). - **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:3. --- ## **4. Final Trade Execution Summary:** | Trade Type | Entry | Stop-Loss | Take-Profit 1 | Take-Profit 2 | Take-Profit 3 | R:R | |------------|------|-----------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----| | **Sell Setup** | $2,875 - $2,885 | $2,905 | $2,850 | $2,840 | $2,825 | 1:4 | | **Buy Setup** | $2,860 - $2,865 | $2,850 | $2,880 | $2,900 | - | 1:3 | --- ## **? Additional Execution Tips:** - **Use M5/M15 for precise entries.** - **Wait for confirmation candles before entering.** - **Avoid entering trades during high-impact news releases.** - **Risk per trade:** 1-2% of capital for optimal drawdown control.
We can see a pull back almost immediately after hitting 3.00 USD, we have pulled back almost 100% , the breakout from the bearish trendline gives us an opportunity to buy at the retest of the trendline.
I just now opened a short position on Tron. The market seems high and its at a resistance. Due for a correction and possibly a full blown reversal....today has been quite bullish but just going with the PA. I think its more probable to fall lower
Current Price Action: Bitcoin is trading around $92,766.71, a notable position just below the recent highs. Resistance Area: A clear resistance level is represented by the horizontal line near $100,000. This level has proven difficult to break, and price action will soon determine if it can reclaim this area. Cup and Handle Pattern: The chart shows a potential cup and handle formation, which could indicate bullish sentiment if the price breaks above resistance. This pattern has a rounded bottom formed in early 2022 and late 2023. Volume Analysis: It is important to analyze volume alongside price moves. A breakout above resistance will ideally be supported by high volume to confirm strength. Potential Support Level: If the price pulls back, the green highlighted area provides support, which traders could view as a buying opportunity. If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
I think that ?Gold has the potential to continue falling. The market has been consolidating in a wide horizontal range for some time on an intraday chart. Breaking below the support level is a strong signal of bearish momentum. The pair is currently testing the previously broken support level. I anticipate that the price could potentially fall to the 2840 support level.
Look for sells on the daily. Areas of interest TP 3 - 2,785 TP 2 - 2,834 TP 1 - 2,871 SL - 2,895