Two large gaps on IBIT or CME. Possible completion of a double top and RSI reset. After that trend reversal in mid March.
? Market Analysis from the Chart: Gold has displayed critical signals in the past week, especially around the 2881 resistance level. This level formed a Double Top pattern accompanied by a strong Bearish Marubozu candle, signaling that sellers have taken control at this key resistance zone, driving the price below short-term support levels. ? Technical Highlights from the Chart: Double Top at 2881: Price tested this significant resistance but failed to break through, triggering strong selling pressure. Bearish Marubozu on H4: The strong bearish candle confirms that sellers dominated at the peak. CP Zone Retest: The Continuation Pattern (CP) Zone was retested before the price dropped sharply, solidifying the correction trend. ? Liquidity Plan for Next Week: First FVG Zone (2850 - 2842): Already tested but remains an important area to monitor. Major FVG Zone (2835 - 2828): A critical liquidity zone likely to attract strong buying interest. Final Support Zone (2810 - 2800): If this zone is breached, it could trigger a new bearish trend with deeper corrections. ? Forecast for Gold’s Trend: Bullish Scenario: If price holds above 2835 - 2828, Gold may rebound and resume its primary uptrend. Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below 2810 - 2800, it may initiate a deeper bearish correction. ⚙️ Trading Strategy: SELL: Around 2860 - 2862, targeting lower liquidity zones. BUY: At the support zone 2835 - 2828, expecting a potential bullish reversal. ? Follow KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade for weekly market insights and actionable trading strategies! ? ? What’s your outlook for Gold this week? Will it rebound or continue to drop? Share your thoughts in the comments! ?
BINANCE:ETHUSD Good bullish setup in the 15 minutes. Target is 2700+ for 3+ Risk reward
The big question on everyone’s mind is whether FOREXCOM:XAUUSD will reach $3,000 in 2025. In my opinion, it probably will. Looking at the weekly chart, gold has been trading in a well-defined ascending channel for exactly a year. Each time the price dips near the trendline support, buyers step in, keeping the uptrend intact. The last time this happened was at the start of the year, and since then, gold has climbed more than 2800 pips from its low to its Friday's ATH. With this in mind, we can reasonably expect Gold to maintain its bullish trajectory— an assumption supported not only by technical analysis but also by fundamental factors. ________________________________________ ? Shorter Time Frame: Signs of Exhaustion? https://www.tradingview.com/x/Lb4BmhjE/ Although the long-term trend remains bullish, trends are not linear—they consist of ups and downs. If we refine our analysis to a shorter time frame, the situation looks a bit different. • The 4-hour chart still reflects a strong uptrend that began earlier this year. • However, last week, signs of exhaustion emerged: - Tuesday’s all-time high of $2,880 was followed by a normal pullback to the $2,840 zone (which I highlighted in last week’s analysis). - On Friday, a new ATH near $2,890 was reached, but the market saw a sharp reversal after the initial NFP-driven rally, with further weakness into the closing hours. ________________________________________ ? Key Levels to Watch: • Support Levels: - $2,840–$2,835 (previous support zone) - $2,800 (psychological level) - $2,775–$2,760 (deeper retracement area) • Resistance Levels: - $2,890 (recent ATH) - $2,900 (psychological barrier) - $2,980–$3,000 (major upside target) ________________________________________ ? Potential Trade Setups: ✅ Bullish Scenario: • If Gold holds above $2,840 and rebounds, a breakout above $2,880–$2,890 could drive prices towards $2,900+, with the final target at $3,000. ? Bearish Scenario: • If gold fails to hold $2,840, a deeper pullback to $2,800–$2,775 is likely. • A weekly close below $2,800 could trigger an extended correction toward $2,760. ________________________________________ ? My Strategy for Next Week: While the long-term uptrend remains intact, I anticipate a short-term correction. • I will be looking to sell rallies, targeting a pullback toward $2,800 or slightly below. • If Gold tests key support and shows strength, I’ll switch to a buy-the-dip approach for the next leg higher. ⚠️ Note: This is a high-risk strategy, as we are still in a strong bull market. Proper risk management is essential. Regards! Mihai Iacob
// This work is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International // https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ // © BigBeluga //@version=6 indicator('Volatility Drift ', 'Volatility Drift ', overlay = true, max_lines_count = 500, max_labels_count = 500) // ＩＮＰＵＴＳ ――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――{ // Input parameters for length, momentum, and source data int vd_length = input.int(10, 'VD Length') // Length of the VD calculation int vd_momentum = input.int(20, 'VD Momentum') // Momentum length for VD float band_distance = input.float(2, 'Distance factor for upper/lower bands', step = 0.1) // Distance factor for upper/lower bands // Define pivot parameters int pivot_left_bars = 3 // Left side pivot bars int pivot_right_bars = pivot_left_bars // Right side pivot bars float source = input.source(close, 'Source') // Source for vd calculation // Define colors for up and down trends color up_trend_color = input(#17dfad, '+', group = 'Color', inline = 'c') // Color for uptrend color down_trend_color = input(#dd326b, '-', group = 'Color', inline = 'c') // Color for downtrend bool shadow = input.bool(true, 'Shadow', group = 'Color', inline = 'c') // Initialize variables for line, volume, and trend state var line pivot_line = na // Variable for storing line references var float volume_value = na // Variable for storing volume data float smoothed_value = na // Smoothing variable for vd trend levels var bool is_trend_up = false // Boolean variable for tracking trend direction // Initialize arrays for storing line and volume information var array liquidity_lines_low = array.new(500) // Array for storing lines for lows var array liquidity_lines_high = array.new(500) // Array for storing lines for highs var float up_trend_volume = na // Volume accumulated during uptrend var float down_trend_volume = na // Volume accumulated during downtrend // } // ＦＵＮＣＴＩＯＮＳ―――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――{ // Define vd (Variable Index Dynamic Average) function vd_calc(src, vd_length, vd_momentum) => float momentum = ta.change(src) float sum_pos_momentum = math.sum(momentum >= 0 ? momentum : 0.0, vd_momentum) float sum_neg_momentum = math.sum(momentum >= 0 ? 0.0 : -momentum, vd_momentum) float abs_cmo = math.abs(100 * (sum_pos_momentum - sum_neg_momentum) / (sum_pos_momentum + sum_neg_momentum)) float alpha = 2 / (vd_length + 1) var float vd_value = 0.0 vd_value := alpha * abs_cmo / 100 * src + (1 - alpha * abs_cmo / 100) * nz(vd_value ) ta.sma(vd_value, 15) // Method to extend lines and add labels for liquidity levels method extend_liquidity_lines(array line_array, float price_level, bool is_cross, volume_val) => if line_array.size() > 0 and last_bar_index - bar_index < 5000 for i = 0 to line_array.size() - 1 by 1 if i < line_array.size() line liquidity_line = line_array.get(i) float current_line_level = line.get_y2(liquidity_line) bool price_cross = is_cross ? price_level < current_line_level and price_level >= current_line_level : price_level > current_line_level and price_level smoothed_value and pivot_low pivot_line := line.new(bar_index , low , bar_index + 5, low , color = color.new(up_trend_color, 50)) liquidity_lines_low.push(pivot_line) volume_value := math.sum(volume, pivot_right_bars + pivot_left_bars) / (pivot_right_bars + pivot_left_bars) volume_value // Create and store lines for pivot highs (resistance zones) if high < smoothed_value and pivot_high pivot_line := line.new(bar_index , high , bar_index + 5, high , color = color.new(down_trend_color, 50)) liquidity_lines_high.push(pivot_line) volume_value := math.sum(-volume, pivot_right_bars + pivot_left_bars) / (pivot_right_bars + pivot_left_bars) volume_value // Extend lines to track price movements liquidity_lines_high.extend_liquidity_lines(smoothed_value, true, volume_value) liquidity_lines_low.extend_liquidity_lines(smoothed_value, false, volume_value) // Detect changes in the trend direction bool trend_cross_up = not is_trend_up and is_trend_up bool trend_cross_down = not is_trend_up and is_trend_up // Reset volume counters when trend changes if ta.change(trend_cross_up) or ta.change(trend_cross_down) up_trend_volume := 0 down_trend_volume := 0 down_trend_volume // Accumulate volume during trends if not(ta.change(trend_cross_up) or ta.change(trend_cross_down)) up_trend_volume := up_trend_volume + (close > open ? volume : 0) down_trend_volume := down_trend_volume + (close < open ? volume : 0) down_trend_volume // Calculate average volume float avg_volume_Drift = (up_trend_volume + down_trend_volume) / 2 // Determine the color of the trend color trend_color = is_trend_up ? up_trend_color : not is_trend_up ? down_trend_color : chart.fg_color // Calculate Drift volume percentage string Drift_volume = str.tostring((up_trend_volume - down_trend_volume) / avg_volume_Drift * 100, format.percent) == 'NaN%' ? '0%' : str.tostring((up_trend_volume - down_trend_volume) / avg_volume_Drift * 100, format.percent) // } // ＰＬＯＴ ――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――――{ // Display labels for volume and trend statistics on the last bar if barstate.islast label.delete(label.new(bar_index, smoothed_value, 'Buy: ' + str.tostring(up_trend_volume, format.volume) + '\n Sell: ' + str.tostring(down_trend_volume, format.volume) + '\nDrift Volume: ' + Drift_volume, color = color.new(trend_color, 90), style = is_trend_up ? label.style_label_upper_left : label.style_label_lower_left, textcolor = chart.fg_color) ) label.delete(label.new(bar_index, smoothed_value, text = '✪', color = #00000003, textcolor = trend_color, style = label.style_label_center, size = size.large) ) // Plot the vd trend line p1 = plot(smoothed_value, color = trend_color, linewidth = 2, style = plot.style_linebr) p2 = plot(hl2, display = display.none) // Fill between the plot and the vd line fill(p1, p2, smoothed_value, hl2, color.new(trend_color, shadow ? 80 : 100), na) // Plot trend change markers (up and down arrows) plotshape(series = trend_cross_up ? smoothed_value : na, title = 'Trend Up', style = shape.labelup, location = location.absolute, color = color.new(up_trend_color, 50), text = '▲', textcolor = chart.fg_color) plotshape(series = trend_cross_down ? smoothed_value : na, title = 'Trend Down', style = shape.labeldown, location = location.absolute, color = color.new(down_trend_color, 50), text = '▼', textcolor = chart.fg_color) // }
The price has been making higher highs and higher lows since late January. Momentum remains bullish, but signs of consolidation are visible. Price is currently stabilizing after a volatile move, suggesting indecision. Bullish Entry: If price breaks above the recent highs (~2,870-2,875), we may see a continuation toward 2,900 , 2905 , 2911 Bearish Case: If price fails to break higher and drops below 2,850, it could trigger a correction toward 2,812-2,807 Previous liquidity zone, potential demand area further 2,734: Major bottom liquidity.
The pattern is clear. There was a deceptive breakout to $295, but it failed to hold support. So the price reached the top of the pattern. It's simple: now we have to wait for the price to reach the support line, which could be $80. Then, Solana will have to break $146. If it does, there might still be a chance for a bullish breakout from the pattern. But if it fails, it could lead to a bearish breakout, meaning a crash to $40-30 support range since there are no other supports if $80 is lost. So basically, the chart is looking grim. As the last hope for a bullish move, Solana must reclaim and break the $205-210 level.
BTC remains firmly bullish, and the market structure continues to align with the Elliott Wave framework, despite short-term volatility. The rounding bottom formation is still in play, and its full potential has yet to unfold. Price has completed sub-wave 4, and we are now awaiting the final leg to complete this mini-cycle before the emergence of the larger macro waves. The broader expectation remains a rally towards $180,000, a level that will likely be reached when market sentiment is at its weakest, as institutions and whales continue accumulating retail sell-offs. Patience is key—stay ahead of the market and play smart.
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