Short term investment opportunity in Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL). We can invest from current level 50% qty and remaining 50% qty from 3312. Both zones are looking like a strong institutional buying zone. Invest at your own risk. I am not SEBI registere.
Markets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout Begins? | SPX Market Analysis 3 Feb 2025 Ahoy there Trader! ⚓️ It’s Phil… Markets are waking up in full meltdown mode, all thanks to weekend tariff mayhem and rising tensions throwing a wrench into global trade. SPX futures are deep in the red, but that’s not necessarily bad news if you’re positioned right! With bear swings already paying out big and bull swings needing some management, the real question is—do we get follow-through selling, or is this just another knee-jerk overreaction? Let's dig in! SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: ? Trade War Whiplash Hits Markets Hard The overnight futures carnage was triggered by new tariff disruptions, retaliatory measures, and escalating trade war tensions—all set to take effect on Tuesday. The global market reaction was swift and brutal. SPX Futures: Hit a low of -120 points before bouncing to -80 points (-1.3%). Similar Pattern to Last Monday: Another huge gap down breaking out of last week’s range. Bearish Follow-Through or Bullish Bounce? Watching for a continuation lower or a bounce. ? Trade Plan: Profits on Bear Swings, Managing the Bullish Side Friday’s range reversal gave us an edge before the market even opened: ✅ Bear swings from Friday = Near-maximum gains at the open. ✅ Rolling the bull swing may be required—assessing once we see price action. ✅ Large gap downs = Risky entries—patience required before placing fresh trades. ⏳ Key Levels to Watch ? Gap Fill Potential: Do we snap back into the prior range or confirm a deeper decline? ? Early Flush or Fakeout Rally? Let the first 30-60 minutes set the tone before making big moves. ? Fast Forward Group Call Strategy: Real-time assessment of market direction at the open. For now, the plan is patience and precision—we wait for confirmation before making the next move. Fun Fact: ? The Worst Market Drop from Tariff Wars? In 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act triggered a global trade collapse, slashing world exports by 66% and worsening the Great Depression. Lesson Learned? Tariffs are rarely good news for markets. Every major tariff war in history has caused volatility, market corrections, or outright crashes. Whether today’s chaos is temporary or the start of something bigger remains to be seen! Happy trading, Phil Less Brain More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
Good morning traders and Happy New Year. This is my first 2025 trade: USDJPY Sell. Analysis or commentary will come later. Cheers and Happy trading.
I expect GBP/USD to start the week with a bullish move, as price has gapped down significantly, altering my initial perspective from Sunday. This gap has also led to a break of structure to the downside. Looking at the current price action, I’ve identified a clean 3-hour demand zone nearby. Price has already shown an initial bullish reaction from this level, but if it fails to hold, there is a deeper 4-hour demand zone where we could also expect a reaction. Confluences for GU Buys: - The price gap has left a significant imbalance that needs to be filled. - Price is currently in a 3-hour demand zone that previously caused a Break of Structure (BOS), making it a valid POI. - There is a large pool of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken. - The setup aligns well with the DXY correlation. Note: If price reacts as expected, I will look for potential shorting opportunities around the 1.2400 region, where a 2-hour supply zone is located. Have a great trading week ahead, everyone!
Binance Coin formed another liquidity grab zone where previously it had been followed by a bigger recovery (usually to the same zone where the dump happened). We are expecting another recovery to happen towards the upper zones of CME after which we are going to look for another downward movement and this time a steadier one. Swallow Team
The Japanese yen continues to strengthen against the British pound, benefiting from its safe-haven appeal as trade tensions escalate. Increasing speculation over potential US trade tariffs on the UK and the European Union has heightened uncertainty, prompting investors to seek refuge in low-yielding, risk-averse assets such as the yen. Technical Analysis On the 1-hour chart, GBP/JPY remains firmly within a short-term downtrend, with sellers maintaining control as the pair approaches critical support at 190.601, the last recorded swing low. A clear break below this level would reinforce the bearish outlook, opening the door for further downside targets at 190.337, 190.002, and 189.632. Technical indicators confirm the increasing selling pressure: Bollinger Bands are trending downward, signaling strong bearish momentum. RSI is in the oversold region, reflecting persistent selling pressure. MACD remains firmly in negative territory, suggesting that downside momentum is accelerating. The 100-period moving average is diverging lower, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend. However, if buyers regain control, they must reclaim the 191.570 resistance level to challenge the upper boundary of the bearish structure. A break above this level would invalidate the current bearish scenario, potentially signaling a shift in momentum.
Gold remains resilient above 2730 support, currently hovering around 2800 as tariff tensions and trade war risks escalate. If no trade deals are reached with the US, safe-haven demand could continue driving prices higher. ? Bullish Outlook: A decisive hold above 2820 could fuel an uptrend toward 2890 and 2920, aligning with the trendline connecting higher lows from October 2023-2024. A sustained move could push gold to the 3,000 checkpoint. ? Bearish Risks: A break below 2730 may trigger a deeper pullback, revisiting the Nov 2024 - Jan 2025 range, with key downside targets at 2630 and 2570 (aligning with the lower end of gold’s 2023-2024 uptrend channel). Longer-term support sits at 2520, 2420, and in extreme cases, 2300, coinciding with Fibonacci retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.5) of the October 2023 - October 2024 trend. - Razan Hilal, CMT
The chocolate giant NYSE:HSY might be approaching a price bottom ahead of Thursday's earnings The stock of The Hershey Company ( NYSE:HSY ) has now triggered my favorite technical indicator, a Bollinger Bands and RSI oversold signal on a weekly chart (see Chart 1) This suggests that we might see a price reversal soon if the company effectively addresses its current challenges Earnings Expectations and Volatility: The options market anticipates a price movement of approximately +/-3.8% following Thursday's earnings Recent Price Pressures: - Surging Cocoa Prices: Cocoa prices have skyrocketed (see Chart 2), but I believe this might be a bubble ready to burst as such short-term sharp rises are usually not sustainable https://www.tradingview.com/x/Qwv6K4Q1/ - Declining Demand: There's been a noticeable decrease in sweets consumption, influenced by the rising trend of weight loss medications. I can't imagine that humanity will be deprived of sweets forever ? Fundamental Insights: Chart 3 highlights key financial metrics for NYSE:HSY : https://www.tradingview.com/x/vjn3VgHF/ - Market Capitalization: ~$30 billion - Cash Reserves: Approximately $600 million - Debt: $5.6 billion, indicating a manageable financial structure for a company of Hershey's stature to weather further market turbulence - P/E Ratio: Now at 17, which starts to look appealing - Dividend Yield: At 3.7%, it's particularly attractive for European investors seeking income Investment Considerations: Given that this potential reversal signal appears on a weekly chart, expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement Also the bottoming process can take several months and a capitulation event after earnings could be possible However, with these signals, an attempt at a price recovery around earnings seems quite probable
Life is so much more than just a digital currency going ups and downs
Such a night... The whole crypto cap drowing by half Trillion in less than 12H. With liquidation oreders of Billions and billions. was it predicatble ? Yes. The good news about the last analysis is that BCT has respected and taken all the zone identified. The bad part, btc has the wrost timing ever. The first hypothesis : reaching 102K-109K by satisfying the last buyer target before starting the bullrun wasn't accurate. The volume led to a drawdown of -10% in the weekend. good points : 100K --> taken in the very short time 99K --> reached in a bounce after the prev. target. This was an high liquid point according to the liquidation heatmap. 4H upward trendline broken. Following the rational behind the prev analysis (linked below), the price should have positivly responded to this new 100K level, and pump the price back to 102-109K. Strong signals of a reversal were there !!! The subsequent breakout of lowers and highs patterns, growing cup-shape (which btc is ver6y fan of, lately) and the strong bearish candlestick patterns coud suggest a wider selling trend. 97K --> inefficency zone, the hammer created on Jan 27 at 8h00 (1H tf), highlights this zone which was suddently bronken by a threre solders patetrn. This kind of patter has reveled to be an indicator for the trend perstition. 96K --> the second bearish target. Taken, high reaction (which is good strategy indicator) and strong breakout. From now on the downtrend was the trend. 92K --> third bearish target. Taken. From @96K, down by 7% in 4 hours Strong support. This big cup patten is typical of BTC in the last cycles. what's now ? Volume will push back the price to the 102-109K or continuing the bearish phase till 86K? Pattern-wise, the decline could end here, reaching maximum 89K. Price-wise, the fast growth in november, could indicate the frist pump before teh bullish rally, and so the left-behind zone such as, 78K could remain unsatisfied. Anywasys, a pull-back to the area, 84-74K would keep an uptrand on a weelky and monthly basis. We must look at the fundamentals and whales' transactions, keep an eye on the book order and liquidation heatmap could help but a volume analysis is fundamental in this period to forecast future bully or bearish rally. Things to learn from this down: 1) BTC creates cup patterns, and when it does, the moemntum is strong in both ways. 2) As we increase in price, we decrease in volatility. This is thank also to a bigger adoption than in previous cycles. 3) The real bull run of halving cycle is not started yet.