XAU/USD 4H - As we know the Gold spot is something that is always appreciating in price, and its something that will continue to. However price is in the mids of a correction and this is to pick up more Demand. By price coming down and trading into the area I have marked out lower, it allows us traders to get involved in this market at a better price and it also means that we can ride the next wave to the upside. Now because we have been delivered with a break to the downside, that suggests that this correction is here to stay and that area of Demand lower down is a good area of interest to take profit. So we could look to take part in short positions with this market, riding the wave lower, taking advantage of the correction before the next big impulse, as we know though doing this does hold risk so be cautious.
A couple of bearish confluences are drawn on the chart, and with the help of those, we can predict that this pair will make a new LL. As it can be noted that bearish trend lien has been intact and whenever the price has touched the trendline bearsih divergence which has been drawn on three occasians. It seems that price has completed its retracement, which is about 1.45%. In short it can be a good opportunity to earn decent profits in short setup
I am looking for trade continuation on 4H. We have approached previous OB of double top and declining resistance. It is likely to fall from here. Entry 190.75 SL 191.4 TP 197
NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop? AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in! (1/9) Good morning, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop? AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in! ? (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE ? • Fiscal 2024: Net sales soared 110.4% to $14,989.2 million ? • Server Systems: Up 115.9%, GPU servers leading the charge ? • Sector Trend: AI demand’s skyrocketing ? It’s a wild ride, fueled by AI’s hunger! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION ? • Market Cap: $2.4B, based on shares outstanding ? • Holdings: Servers, storage, and AI solutions ⏰ • Trend: International sales steady at 32%, showing global appetite ? Firm, carving a niche in AI infrastructure! ? (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS ? • 10-K Filing: Dropped Feb 25, 20 25, dodged NASDAQ delisting ? • Revenue Driver: GPU servers for AI workloads ? • Market Reaction: Shares jumped 19.8% after-hours ? Adapting, with investors cheering the comeback! ? (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Internal Controls: Audit flagged issues, per Feb 25 filing ? • Competition: Big players in AI server space ? • Volatility: High-growth sectors swing hard ❄️ Tough, but risks loom! ? (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS ? • Revenue Boom: 110% growth, $14,989.2 million in sales ? • AI Focus: GPU servers crushing it ? • Global Reach: 32% international sales ? Got rocket fuel in the tank! ? (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Internal control concerns, per audit ? • Opportunities: AI infrastructure demand keeps soaring ? Can it fix the cracks and ride the wave? ? (8/9) – ? SMCI’s revenue up 110%, with AI demand exploding, your take? ?️ • Bullish: Shares to $50+ soon, AI’s unstoppable ? • Neutral: Steady, risks balance growth ⚖️ • Bearish: $35 looms, controls spook ? Chime in below! ? (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY ? SMCI’s revenue surge to $14,989.2 million screams AI potential ?, but control issues add a pinch of caution ?. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold ?. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
Weekly Bias looking for shorts. Maybe see some support from this Daily BISI to push further into that Volume imbalance with the daily mitigation block. Then a sell off into Monthly BISI
EURUSD March 3 London Macro 2 Price was in a Discount in Asia. Price consolidated to take liquidity. On the 5 min the signature 2022 ICT model formed. Criteria -take session liquidity -form a four candle formation energetically -creates a FVG -Price comes up to test the FVG and drops -inside the macro at 23:10 All above is a 2022 model set up I was not at my computer would have signalled a set up and entry during that macro. Why because I saw DXY take 2 sets of equal lows, with the FVG to the high side and knowing price will at least come to the range box 50 level. I did enter at 2:10 lower than I wanted based on my analysis of DXY reaching for the 50 and potentially coming into the range created in the dealing range. It was a scalp trade. I note my error that the previous session range for EUR in Asia price did not want to expand through the 50. Dropped the fake out. Where is now showing its wanting to go it the previous session 50 and FVG. With both DXY and EUR on the 50 on HTF leaving me read the tape todays analysis at 2 was correct. What did I learn TAKE PARTIALS when your level is hit. I suspected it would come to the CE-50 of the range level. In hind sight once price hit the CE of the range, the .79 and coming into the Macro and leaning bias of bull liquidity above I could have entered a long on the .70 OTE What am i learning, blending of the ranges, while seeing what stops are taken. I also learned the fake move is still a valid move and that the next move can produce the move of the day. Im happy that my analysis was correct for the 2 I just need to span out and consider the session range with the previous session range and the institutional range. Lots to analyze. Keep going!
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Chart Analysis Current Price: 2,871.620 T O J O I N MENTORSHIO OR S I G N A L G R O U P WT APP + 9 2 3 1 0 5 3 9 6 7 3 1 Technical Outlook: ? Market Structure Shift (MSS): Price has broken below key support, indicating a bearish shift in market structure. ? Resistance Zone: A strong resistance area is marked between 2,880 – 2,900. If the H4 candle closes bearish in this zone, it presents a short-selling opportunity. ? Sell-Side Liquidity Target: First Target: 2,831.886 – A key liquidity zone where price may seek orders. Final Target: 2,773.373 – The next major sell-side liquidity range where further downside is possible. Trade Setup: ? Short Entry: Around 2,880 – 2,900, if price shows bearish confirmation. ? Take Profit Levels: TP1: 2,831.886 TP2: 2,773.373 ? Stop Loss: Above 2,905, to protect against fakeouts. Conclusion: The market is bearish, and a short position can be considered if the H4 candle closes bearish within the resistance zone. The targets are well-defined within the sell-side liquidity range, making this a high-probability trade setup. ? Watch for price action confirmation before entering!
The FTSE 100 (UK100) index continues to trade within a prevailing long-term uptrend, indicating a bullish bias. However, near-term price action suggests potential volatility around key levels, requiring confirmation of directional momentum. Bullish Scenario: The key level to watch is 8708, which represents the bull flag breakout level. A successful retest and rebound from 8708 could reinforce the bullish outlook, targeting 8910 as the first upside resistance. Sustained momentum above 8910 could extend gains toward 8950, with 8990 acting as a longer-term resistance level. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed breakdown below 8708 on a daily close could signal weakness, leading to a deeper retracement. In this scenario, the next support levels to watch are 8680, followed by 8630, where buyers may attempt to regain control. Further downside pressure below 8630 could weaken the broader uptrend structure, increasing the risk of extended corrective moves. Conclusion: The FTSE 100 remains within a bullish trend, but short-term movements depend on price action around 8708. A successful retest and rebound would reaffirm the uptrend, while a confirmed breakdown could introduce further corrective downside risks. Traders should monitor price reactions at these key levels to assess momentum shifts. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – Technical Analysis & Market Outlook (3 March) Market Overview: US30 is currently trading near a critical pivot zone around 43,867, where price action suggests a potential breakout or rejection. Recent price structure indicates consolidation within a tight range, awaiting a decisive move. ? Bullish Scenario: A confirmed break and 4H candle close above 43,900 would signal bullish continuation. Key upside targets: 44,080 → 44,220 → 44,404. A breakout above 44,404 could open the door for a push toward 44,750+. ? Bearish Scenario: Failure to break 43,900 or a strong rejection from this level could lead to a retracement. A 4H close below 43,760 may confirm a bearish move toward 43,590 → 43,212. Deeper bearish continuation may extend toward the 42,769 support zone if selling pressure intensifies. ? Key Levels to Watch: ? Pivot Zone: 43,867 ? ? Resistance: 44,080 | 44,220 | 44,404 ? ? Support: 43,760 | 43,590 | 43,212 ⚡ Outlook & Trade Plan: As long as US30 holds above 43,760, the bullish bias remains valid. A clean breakout above 43,900 could trigger a strong upside move. A drop below 43,760 would shift momentum bearish, targeting lower supports. ⏳ Patience is key – wait for confirmation before entering positions! ? Do you agree with this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments! ??
As discussed throughout my Friday's session commentary: "My position: My Selling order has been closed automatically (#2,892.80 - #2,872.80) with Take Profit hit and left me without any orders. As Gold delivered decline in continuation throughout Asian session, I have missed #2,872.80 - #2,852.80 benchmark extension (currently #3-Week Low's test) however I don't mind since my returns for current weeks are excellent. I have stated potential of #2,892.80 - #2,900.80 Support now turned to Resistance zone, as long as it preserves Selling bias and reverses each Bullish reversal, Price-action within or below is Bearish. Keep in mind that as long as we Trade below the mentioned zone, #2,852.80 benchmark break-out has more chances to be delivered rather than #2,900.80 benchmark. Keep Selling every High's on Gold with #2,900.80 Top's however if #2,852.80 benchmark gives away, #2,827.80 is next contact point to monitor." I have closed my Selling order (#2,852.80 - #2,835.80) throughout Friday's session delivering fine #17-point Profit, extending my results range to #142 Profits and #24 Stop-hits regarding December #2023 - March #2025. Quick update: Gold is Trading within Neutral waters and it is question now which side will prevail. I am in excellent position currently, Highly satisfied with my Profits without urge to Risk more on ranging market. Either #2,892.80 - #2,900.80 gets tested, or #2,852.80 benchmark. If Resistance zone rejects the Price-action, I will Sell Gold there on spot Targeting #2,852.80 benchmark once again. If however #2,900.80 gets invalidated, Short-term Bullish bias is restored.