BUY 1880.00 | STOP 1740.00 | TAKE 2050.00 | Upward movement.
This EURUSD 4-hour chart highlights critical Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could serve as key decision points for price action. The chart illustrates a confluence of factors: 1. Upper FVG Zone: Located near the 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, this area represents a potential supply zone. Price reaching this level could either result in a bearish rejection or continuation upwards, depending on momentum and market sentiment. 2. Lower FVG Zone: A well-defined demand zone in the 1.07000-1.07500 range, serving as a key support area where buyers may step in if the price retraces. 3. Projected Scenarios: - Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price holds above the lower FVG and gains momentum, a push toward the upper FVG with potential breakout above could ensue, aiming for levels around 1.09000 and higher. - Bearish Scenario (Red Path): A rejection from the upper FVG could lead to a retest of the lower zone, and if broken, may lead to further downside below 1.07000. This analysis underscores the importance of monitoring these zones and the price action dynamics around them. Traders should be prepared for both scenarios while aligning their strategies with broader market context and risk management principles.
On the daily, weekly, and monthly charts, there is no reason to open short positions. I continue to hold long position. If you don't have a potion, take advantage of intraday weakness to build a position. A move and consolidation below 3057 will invalidate the idea. As for targets, it's difficult to predict precisely. Globally, I believe we could see 3300, but the best approach here is to hold the position using a trailing stop-loss. Let the market decide how high it wants to go.
NVDA's monthly candle suggests it's time for a pullback. A retracement could go as low as $50–$40. Let's see how it plays out in the coming months.
Hello, traders! Let’s analyze the current wave structure of the NASDAQ index. At the moment, there is a high probability that the index is forming wave C of a correction. Most likely, this is a horizontal expanded correction. ✅ Sub-wave 1 of wave C has already formed. ✅ Sub-wave 2 is also likely completed. On Friday, the index showed a strong decline and closed at the day’s lows, indicating a high probability of further downside movement next week. What’s next? We expect the formation of the third sub-wave within wave C. Most likely: ? The index will continue to decline toward 17,700, where the 38% Fibonacci level is located. ? The key support zone is 17,300. ? After a short correction, the decline may extend to 16,300. ? In a deeper scenario – down to 15,700-15,000. Technical factors ⚡ The price failed to break above the 200-day moving average, bounced off it, and started declining. ⚡ The next major support is the 200-week moving average, around 16,200. ⚡ Throughout April – May, the market is likely to remain in a correction phase. Once key levels are reached, we expect a potential reversal and new highs in the second half of 2025. Stay tuned and share your thoughts in the comments!
Educational Analysis says that GBPJPY may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis. Broker - FXCM So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range. So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap 1) Break of structure on weekly range is down trend for the long run period of 10 years, may be it switch to new character or change its direction to bullish. 2) External pushback structure is the trading range where it trades on the smaller time frame, On this structure range market on inside trading or smaller time frame is bullish towards fib of 1.618 and make turn to fill the fair value gaps of it. Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this turned out. DISCLAIMER:- This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
The bullish trend is gaining momentum, and further acceleration of growth is possible. I consider it rational to continue holding long positions in the metal or, if there is no position, to take advantage of intraday weakness to enter. A sustained drop below 33.50 will signal the cancellation of the idea. The next target is 34.80, and beyond that, there is nothing preventing its rise to 37.35. Overall, the targets are higher, and the metal is in an uptrend on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. The upside is very attractive with minimal risk.
I invest in Bitcoin, and don’t usually trade. However, I can see a pretty bearish setup unfolding. Trade set up: Entry price: 85341.66 (black line in 4H) Stop loss: 87,962 (red line in 4H chart, just above the previous week high) Target 1 - 80.971 (green line, previous week low and Fib 0.5 level in Daily chart) Target 2 - 78, 253 (green line in 4H chart, previous month low, approx 50% encroachment zone of fair value gap in daily chart . Reasons: Weekly: MACD is still in the bull territory but MACD lines are clearly moving to the downside. The price has retraced to 50% of the massively bearish red candle of(March 3rd weekly candle) and now resuming to move to the downside. Daily: RSI and MACD are both in the bear territory and it looks like they are rolling back to the downside in the bear territory, which is pretty bearish. The price has dropped and closed below the ascending trend line. 4H: The price has been travelling inside the ascending parallel channel, but it is dropped and closed below the bottom line. Both MACD and RSI are deep in the bear territory.
bitcoin in downtrend lower lows continuation use proper risk managment
The daily chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) presents a well-structured triangle pattern breakout, a strong uptrend, and a critical resistance zone near all-time highs (ATH). The price action suggests that gold is in a bullish phase but approaching a key decision point where it could either break higher or face a temporary pullback. This analysis provides a detailed breakdown of the pattern, key levels, potential scenarios, and trading strategies for the coming week. 1. Technical Chart Breakdown A. Triangle Pattern Breakout (Bullish Continuation) The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, which typically signals a consolidation phase before a major price movement. After a period of accumulation within the triangle, gold broke out upwards, confirming a bullish continuation pattern. This breakout was supported by strong volume and buying pressure, reinforcing the trend strength. B. Trendline & Support Levels (Key Areas for Buyers) A rising trendline has been acting as dynamic support, confirming that the market remains in a bullish structure. Major Support Levels: $3,000 – A psychological support level that may act as a bounce zone in case of rejection at resistance. $2,885 – A well-defined horizontal support level, previously tested multiple times. If the price falls below $2,885, it could signal a trend reversal or a deeper correction. 2. Key Price Levels & Market Sentiment A. Resistance & Target Levels (Where Sellers Might Step In) Primary Resistance Zone: $3,137 - $3,150 This level represents a combination of all-time high (ATH), historical resistance, and a key breakout target. If the price breaks and holds above this zone, it could trigger further upside towards $3,200 - $3,250. However, if sellers dominate at this level, a pullback or correction could occur. B. Stop-Loss & Risk Management Considerations Traders should be cautious around the resistance zone and place stop-loss levels strategically to manage risk. Stop-Loss Suggestions: For Long Trades: Below $3,000 (to protect against fake breakouts). For Short Trades: Above $3,150 (if price rejects resistance and starts a reversal). 3. Trading Strategy for Next Week Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout & Continuation If gold breaks and sustains above $3,137, it will confirm a bullish continuation. Entry Strategy: Look for a retest of the breakout level ($3,100 - $3,137) before entering long positions. Profit Targets: First Target: $3,200 Second Target: $3,250+ Stop-Loss: Below $3,000, to protect against sudden reversals. Scenario 2: Rejection at Resistance & Pullback If gold fails to break $3,137 and forms a bearish rejection candle, it may indicate a short-term pullback. Short Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmation of rejection with bearish price action signals (e.g., bearish engulfing, long upper wick). Downside Targets: First Target: $3,000 Second Target: $2,885 (major support) Stop-Loss: Above $3,150, to avoid being trapped in a false breakdown. Scenario 3: Bearish Reversal (Break Below $2,885) If gold falls below $2,885, it could signal a potential trend reversal. Short Trade Setup: Enter below $2,885, targeting $2,800 - $2,750 in the medium term. Stop-Loss: Above $2,900, in case of a false breakdown. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Signals A. Volume & Candlestick Patterns Watch for high volume during breakouts to confirm strength. Candlestick patterns such as bullish engulfing, hammer (for support bounces), or shooting star (for resistance rejection) can provide strong confirmation signals. B. RSI (Relative Strength Index) & Overbought Conditions If RSI is above 70, it could indicate that gold is overbought, increasing the likelihood of a pullback. If RSI stays above 50 but below 70, it confirms bullish strength. C. Moving Averages for Trend Confirmation 50-day and 200-day moving averages can act as additional support and resistance zones. If the price is above both moving averages, it confirms the bullish trend. 5. Conclusion – What to Watch for Next Week? ✅ If price breaks and holds above $3,137 → Expect continuation towards $3,200 - $3,250. ✅ If price rejects at $3,137 → Watch for a pullback towards $3,000 or $2,885 for re-entry. ✅ If price drops below $2,885 → Expect deeper correction with a shift in trend structure. ? Key Takeaway: Gold remains bullish, but traders should watch the resistance level at $3,137 closely for confirmation of a breakout or a possible reversal. Risk management is crucial in case of unexpected market shifts. Would you like me to add more insights using Fibonacci levels or historical trends? ??