Nasdaq (NDX) opened on early Monday futures trade below both its August 05 2024 and April 19 2024 Lows. All technical Supports have been broken and the market made new 12-month Lows. The market sentiment is extremely bearish, technically oversold, even the 1W RSI is below the 30.00 oversold barrier and the prevailing fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth Tariffs between nations don't leave much room for encouragement. The index is more than -25% off the February 17 2025 All Time High (ATH), technically Bear Market territory, and the last time it dropped more this fast is during the lockdowns of the COVID crash (February 20 - March 23 2020). The market dropped by -32%, below also all known technical Supports (including its August low) before finding support and forming a bottom just above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line). The two time events are virtually identical with the only notable difference is that Nasdaq is about to form the 1D Death Cross now while in 2020 it did about 1 month after the low. The only technical development that leaves room for encouragement is that the 1W RSI during COVID got oversold just a day before the eventual market bottom. Does today's 1W RSI drop into oversold territory mean that we are about to form a bottom? Unknown. But what we do know is that on March 03 and 16 2020 on two urgent, out-of-schedule meetings, the Fed stepped in to save the market from the free-fall (and save they did) by cutting the Interest Rates to near zero (first to 1.25% and then to 0.25% subsequently from 1.75% previously). Perhaps that is the only thing that can restore investor confidence (certainly the only action that the Fed can do) and avoid a Black Monday below the 1W MA200, which would be catastrophic. On the other hand, if the U.S. government reach indeed trade deals with the rest of nations and the Fed do what they can from their end, we may even hit new ATH by August! So what do you think it's going to be? Black Monday or Massive Rally? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE ?, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE ? and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ?????? ? ? ? ? ? ?
my entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise Entry; $210.0 Take Profit; $374.9 Stop Loss; $157.8
NZD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate Nears 2025 Low Less than a month ago, we analysed the NZD/USD chart and: → highlighted the key resistance level at 0.5800; → outlined a potential scenario involving a decline from that zone. Now, the NZD/USD pair is trading close to its lowest level of 2025, recorded on 3 February near 0.5525. The latest surge in volatility appears to be driven by President Trump’s widely discussed decision to impose substantial tariffs on trade with multiple countries. For context, the Australian dollar has fallen to a five-year low amid concerns that retaliatory trade measures could trigger a global recession. The New Zealand dollar, however, has remained somewhat more stable — possibly because traders are anticipating Wednesday’s Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meeting, where the central bank may signal efforts to stabilise the currency. According to Forex Factory, a rate cut from 3.75% to 3.50% is expected. https://www.tradingview.com/x/jBgIxqYD/ Technical analysis of NZD/USD chart Price movements in 2025 have formed an ascending channel (marked in blue), but bears broke through the lower boundary late last week near the 0.5666 level. This suggests that even if NZD/USD sees a short-term rebound, it may face resistance around that same level — a classic “break-and-retest” pattern often watched by traders. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
KSE 100 is also bleeding as the global markets sell off. But the key indicator right now is to look at EMA 21 at weekly time frame on all big stocks and index. if we see a good bounce from ema 21 we might see volumes coming in big stocks. enjoy the show being played globally!
looking at the strong trend to the down site we keep an eye on key entry points to ride with the trend
The yen fluctuated on Monday, rising to 145 per dollar before easing to 147, as global trade tensions and reciprocal tariffs triggered market volatility. Fears of a global recession drove demand for safe havens like the yen, Swiss franc, and bonds. Japan’s February wage growth offered some optimism, and the Bank of Japan is still expected to raise rates this year despite ongoing uncertainty. Key resistance is at 147.00, with further levels at 152.70 and 157.70. Support stands at 145.60, followed by 143.00 and 141.80.
FX:EURUSD market broke and closed above the consolidation zone. The price broke above the previous month's high and nearly tested the high of 2024. The price overall is making higher highs and higher lows, and at this point, the price may form a triangle pattern around the key level at 1.1000 before continuing to push higher. If the market rejects the support level, we can expect the price to move to higher levels, at least retesting the recent resistance zone. My goal is resistance zone around 1.11075 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ??
Nasdaq 100 drops to its lowest level since January 2024 According to the chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the index opened this week around the 16,500 mark – a price level last seen in early 2024. This suggests that the sharp sell-off in equities seen last Thursday and Friday may well continue today. Stock indices respond to Trump’s tariffs Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on NBC News’ Meet the Press that there is “no reason” to expect a recession. However, equity charts reflect market sentiment described by CNN Business’s Fear & Greed Index as “extreme fear”. This wave of negativity followed President Trump’s announcement on 2 April of harsher-than-expected international trade tariffs. In response, China and other nations announced retaliatory measures. As a result, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) now trades roughly 25% below its 2025 peak – officially entering bear market territory. https://www.tradingview.com/x/hut0FtVy/ Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) Back on 28 February, we drew an ascending trendline (line A). Bulls attempted a rebound from this support (as shown by the arrow), but their efforts were overwhelmed by the White House’s latest policy decisions. Given the updated price action, we can now treat line A as the median of an ascending channel. From this perspective, the index is currently near the lower boundary of the channel. Technically, this could indicate potential support. However, as long as the price remains below the bearish gap – which includes the key psychological level of 17,000 – talk of a meaningful recovery may be premature. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/CHF is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.8575 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.8640 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.8449 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Global markets opened the week under pressure, with major equity indices tumbling once again as volatility swept through the Asian session. The latest wave of selling follows China’s announcement of retaliatory tariffs on the U.S., intensifying the fallout from last week’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariff shock. Investors had hoped that the worst of the uncertainty would fade following the initial U.S. tariff announcements. Instead, the reality has proven more severe. With tariffs exceeding expectations and no sign of negotiations, markets are now increasingly pricing in the risk of a global recession—beginning with the U.S. This risk-off mood has triggered broad-based liquidation across asset classes. Even traditional safe havens have not been spared. Gold Suffers in Unusual Selloff Gold, typically a beneficiary of risk aversion, has not been immune. XAU/USD has dropped more than 6% since Thursday, a move that seems to defy its status as a hedge during times of market stress. The likely explanation: forced liquidation. As losses pile up elsewhere, investors appear to be selling profitable or liquid assets like gold to meet margin calls or reduce exposure. As a result, this selloff looks more technical and sentiment-driven than fundamental. The key factors that have supported gold remain intact: - Rising geopolitical tensions - Ongoing global growth concerns - Expectations for lower interest rates - Continued central bank demand for gold Looking beyond the short-term panic, the medium- to long-term outlook for gold remains bullish. The current environment—marked by volatility, economic uncertainty, and central bank caution—typically favours gold. Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the Fed’s “wait-and-see” approach in response to the unfolding instability. This week’s March CPI release will be crucial. If inflation data shows further softening, it could strengthen the case for future rate cuts, potentially reigniting demand for gold. On the other hand, a surprise uptick in inflation could limit the Fed’s ability to ease, injecting more uncertainty into the macro picture. Technical View: Consolidation May Invite Fresh Buyers On Monday morning, XAU/USD briefly dipped below the 3,000 level, but quickly found support and began stabilizing. While gold has pulled back from recent highs, the daily chart suggests there’s no strong appetite for aggressive selling at current levels. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has reset from overbought territory, creating a more favourable technical backdrop for new buying interest—particularly from bargain hunters seeking entry at lower prices.