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Background || With recent global events wreaking havoc on investors in the crypto sphere; It is not surprising to see similar sentiment from price action in Bluechip pairs. XRP is no exception. After speculation drove a nice run once USA confirmed a digital asset strategic reserve, key projects such as BTC, XRP, HBAR and XLM benefited with 20-60% gains across the board. This however was short lived; with large sell off(s) bouncing off key order blocks and resistance areas in the technical space. In the case of Ripples' XRP, a nice ~40% run was quickly dissolved over the next few days as hype fizzled out and clarifications around what the reserve conditions looked like, came to light. Bulls attempted to tackle the landslide; only to gain minor ground before the next selloff saw us break down again to a developing key area of $3.20. What does this all mean || In the world of technical; traders and investors rely heavily on fundamental drivers (such as new events) to either support, or react to, key technical price areas. Trade probabilities, price targets and setups price(s) are projected based on price action, patterns and areas of interest which are heavily influenced by these global events. this feeds into the bias and sentiment of investors who are driving the price action. Outlook for XRP || At this stage, based on my chart, you can see a well balanced argument for and against buy or sell with XRP. Assuming you are a long term investor, you have a 5-10 year investment horizon; The current price represents a very good discount from ATH (~40% discount) and anyone would be silly not to buy if you believe in the project and have money waiting. regardless of further drop, there is a strong case technically and fundamentally this pair will indeed, continue to grow in value as Ripple becomes institutionally adopted, but more importantly, utilised. Conversely, if you are a trader, are trying to build your stack through accumulation of already held stock; the landscape is very different. Risk exposure both long ans short are very real. Bullish argument || Repeated attempts to breach the current level have failed since December last year. Each rejection build the case for bulls to hold the line and investors (both retail and institutional) to pile on one a bullish BoS occurs. Assuming a ChoCH, Bos and 4H PA indicating we have swept the low here, my bias would be to go long and buy again as per the Blue price path Bearish argument || As per the highlighted Daily H&S which has printed, we have a convincing break down and close into the key reaction area. the current candle has swept lows and is looking to push but could roll over at any time. In this case, im looking for a convincing break below this key area, then a retest of the same area before selling down into the last Daily FVG from our bull run - the November 2024 FVG which sits around the $1.60 mark. Conclusion || If you're in this for the long run, anywhere from here to $1.60 is a good buy and hold. If you're a trader or accumulator, the next few days will be telling as to the trend and which bias has a higher probability of successful outcome. My long term outlook is still bullish; as I see value in the utility of the project. Bull - Look for break above $3.60 and bullish price action to enter. Initial Target $7.00 Bear, look for convincing break below $3.00 and retest to sell bags or enter short to $1.60.
? GBP/USD - 1H Chart Analysis ? Current Price: 1.28887 ? Market Structure: Bullish retracement with key demand zones ? Key Demand Zones (Potential Buy Zones): 1.28543 - 1.28600 → First demand zone (potential reversal area) 1.28143 - 1.28300 → Second demand zone (stronger liquidity area) ? Key Resistance Zone (Target Area for Buys): 1.30000 - 1.30500 → Major supply zone & psychological level ? Bullish Scenario: ✅ If price holds above 1.28543, expect a bounce towards 1.29500 - 1.30000. ✅ A break above 1.30000 could target 1.30500+. ? Bearish Scenario: ? If price breaks below 1.28143, further downside towards 1.27800 is possible. ? Trading Plan: ? Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmations at 1.28543 - 1.28143. ? Sell Setup: Watch for rejections around 1.30000 - 1.30500. ? Risk Management: Use tight SL below demand zones or above resistance. #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis ?
Hello guys welcome. Here I share a idea about trend. please before any investment research own your risk. This is ltc chart and buyer and seller very strong fight for market move. Here multi support but still waiting for buyer coming. So keep on eyes.
Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button. We are proud to be an OFFICIAL Trading View partner so please support the channel by using the link below and unleash the power of trading view today! https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=109100
NIFTY 22300 CE 13TH MAR EXP NIFTY OPTIONS BUYING TRADE Hi Traders, Nifty looks good to buy on dips and currently trading near support levels. We anticipate an upside movement from here and one can consider buying the 22300 CE (Call Option) with a 13th Mar 2025 expiry in the price range of 120 - 115. Target levels: 150, 175 Stop Loss (SL): ₹95 Regards, OptionsDaddy Research Team
The Setup I've identified a compelling technical setup that suggests BTC could be heading toward the $9,000-$9,850 range. This isn't just another bearish call - it's based on a rare convergence of multiple technical factors that I've rarely seen align so perfectly in my 18 years of trading markets. Technical Confluence Zone What makes this setup particularly compelling is the convergence of multiple independent technical factors around the same price zone: 1. Unfilled CME Gap : The Bitcoin futures chart shows a persistent unfilled gap from 2020 between $9,655 and $9,850. This gap has survived multiple market cycles without being filled, making it increasingly significant. 2. Key Fibonacci Level : The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level sits at $9,024.11, remarkably close to the lower bound of the CME gap when accounting for the typical futures premium over spot. 3. Elliott Wave Structure : The current price action suggests we're in Wave 4 of a larger Elliott Wave pattern. Wave 4 corrections often retrace to previous Wave 1 territory, which aligns with this target zone. 4. Fibonacci Time Cycles : The time component is equally important - Fibonacci time extensions suggest we're approaching a potential inflection point in the current cycle. Market Context Supports the Technical Picture The technical setup doesn't exist in a vacuum. Several market conditions increase the probability of this scenario playing out: 1. Market Saturation : The crypto ecosystem has expanded dramatically, with thousands of tokens diluting liquidity that was once concentrated in major cryptocurrencies. 2. Retail Exhaustion : Retail investors who entered during previous hype cycles feel unrewarded despite price recoveries, leading to diminished enthusiasm and buying pressure. 3. Institutional Distribution: Wall Street and institutions have made their presence known, which historically signals they've distributed their high-priced holdings to retail while preparing short positions. 4. Concentrated Leverage Risk : MicroStrategy's position of 499,500 BTC at a $66,000 average purchase price, funded almost entirely by massive debt issuance, creates a significant systemic vulnerability. A move toward our target zone would put extreme pressure on their balance sheet. Broader Market Context This analysis also coincides with what looks to be a tired stock market following the 2024 US presidential election. With Donald Trump winning his second term, we have seen significant policy shifts that are actively impacting both traditional and crypto markets. Historically, markets often experience increased volatility during transitions of power, and the confluence of this political shift with our technical setup creates an even more compelling case for caution. Additionally, price precedes news. The news is created on price. If you're hearing about an event, the trade has already been made. There is too much talk of unprecedented institutional participation. This is another sign that retail is being distributed to for the next meltdown. Bags were already offloaded. It's time to drop the anchor. Historical Perspective Having traded through multiple market cycles since 2007 I've seen this pattern before. Large players often target overleveraged positions to acquire assets at distressed prices. Michael Saylor experienced a leveraged meltdown once before during the dot-com crash - history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes. Saylor is a designated whipping boy. A patsy. He will be rewarded well for his participation in fleecing you, so don't worry about what kind of skin he has in the game. With that said, I believe an undetermined Black Swan event will be necessary to complete the rug pull. What that is, I cannot know. Trading Implications This analysis suggests several potential trading strategies: 1. Risk Management : Reduce exposure to Bitcoin and high-beta altcoins until this technical target is reached or invalidated. 2. Opportunity Preparation : Build dry powder positions to capitalize on what could be an exceptional buying opportunity if BTC reaches the $9,000-$9,850 zone. 3. Watch for Triggers : Monitor for breakdowns below key support levels that could accelerate the move toward our target zone. 4. Time-Based Entries : Use the Fibonacci time cycle extensions to refine entry timing if the price approaches our target zone. Conclusion While Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain strong, the confluence of technical factors pointing to the $9,000-$9,850 range suggests a significant correction may occur before the next sustained bull run. The catalysts to reach what should be a $250k range this cycle simply do not exist, and with waning macroeconomic strength, the odds of this cycle being anything other than a massive bulltrap are low. This setup represents one of the strongest technical cases I've seen. I also don't care to share my ideas often, but with everyone expecting a typical crypto market cycle, I feel compelled to offer my take on a public forum--for whatever it may be worth. I am not shorting this market. I have removed my capital and taken an observant position. While I feel strongly about my idea--Clown World has fully taken hold and I don't dare test its resolve to break me. Remember that no analysis is guaranteed - always manage risk accordingly and be prepared to adapt as the market evolves. *Disclaimer: This analysis represents my personal view of the markets based on technical analysis and market observations. It should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.*
Learning a new strategy, lets see how it does. Been in sell mode for a while now, hoping for a push up. Marked out daily areas and zones.
Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.