Trump's trade policies in Q1 have significantly influenced global markets, with critics arguing that his import tariffs are destabilizing the economic and monetary order. These measures have sparked concerns about U.S. dollar confidence, potentially leading to financial instability and broader economic consequences. ? DXY Technical Analysis The US Dollar Index (DXY) is at a critical juncture, currently hovering around 103.376—a key level that will determine the next major move. ? Bullish Scenario: If DXY holds above 103.376, it may push towards the 106.160 and 107.595 resistance levels. ? Bearish Scenario: A break below 103.376 could send DXY further down, targeting 101.805 and 100.235 as potential support zones. ? Key Levels: Resistance: 106.160, 107.595 Support: 103.376, 101.805, 100.235 ⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a trading signal. Always confirm with your own strategy before making any trading decisions.
Gold opened higher today, and the price once approached 3100. It will fall back in a short time. It is recommended to sell in the range of 3096-3102, tp3083-3078, sl3107
we r in wave 5 of 3 of 5 in gold and it still goes up...so we will buy it in deeps yet until it reached 3200-3300 usd price...where we expect a big drop as an correction of course for gold...so buy for now!!!!
The USDCAD pair is currently exhibiting bearish pressure, with the price hold key resistance levels, signaling a potential move lower
Trade idea based on supply and demand, intermarket analysis, COT positioning and cross market valuation. Following a structured approach with clear entry, risk management, and confluence factors.
Bias: ? Bullish Current Price: ~$3,096 Context: Clean breakout from H1 range → intraday expansion phase in play. ? 1. Structure & Market Phases Price consolidated in a tight range (highlighted in blue) for ~1 week, between ~3,000 and ~3,049. Recent breakout above range → confirming bullish continuation. Minor HLs forming → micro structure remains clean. ? 2. Smart Money Concepts ? Old OB / Demand Zone: Gray zone = area of prior breakout (ideal re-entry on pullbacks). ? Range high (~3,049.57) = now acting as support (flip zone). ? FVG might exist in the 3,060–3,080 range on lower TFs → potential internal mitigation. ? 3. Key H1 Levels ? Upside: ? 3,120.14 – Major upside target (aligned with HTF) ? Next target levels depend on PA around psychological levels (e.g., 3,100, 3,150) ? Support Zones: ✅ 3,049.57 – Previous range high ✅ 3,000.66 – Base of accumulation block ✅ 2,983–2,975 – Internal mitigation zones ✅ 2,899.69 – Major invalidation point (HTF OB) ? 4. Trade Scenarios (H1 Execution Focus) ✅ Scenario A: Breakout Continuation Price stays above 3,049–3,060 → bullish continuation likely. ? Target: 3,100 / 3,120 intraday Look for bullish BOS or FVG entries on pullbacks (M15/M5 timing ideal) ? Scenario B: Pullback into Demand Retracement back to 3,049 / 3,030 / 3,000 zone ? Entry on bullish reaction from prior range top Great RR setups for continuation longs ? Scenario C: Deeper Reversal (Less Likely) Break below 2,975 could lead to: ? Deeper move into OB around 2,960 / 2,899 Would shift intraday bias from bullish to neutral ? Summary 1H is in a breakout phase – ideal moment to hunt continuation trades. Pullbacks into previous range top or base are high-probability re-entry zones. Bias remains strongly bullish unless structure below 2,975 is broken.
In this video, we will analyze EURUSD and EUR Futures for the week of March 31 - April 4th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups. The bias is bullish for now, but the April 2nd tariffs can flip the markets upside down. Be careful. Let the market tell you which direction it's going, and trade accordingly. Allow the markets to settle on a bias before you jump in. NFP on Friday, btw. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
? Market Structure + Price Action (1H) * Trend: Downtrend confirmed. Recent Break of Structure (BOS) followed a Change of Character (CHoCH) from bulls to bears. * Bearish momentum intensified after SPY broke support near 570.90, then plummeted through 564.85 and 558.11 key demand levels. * Current price: 554.15 — bouncing slightly within a local demand/reaction box, but still under selling pressure. * Price is now consolidating below structure, but inside a potential reaction zone (possible dead cat bounce or minor retracement). ? Smart Money Concepts (SMC) * CHoCH & BOS align with institutional exit behavior. The BOS confirms bearish intent. * SPY has entered a minor demand zone, but hasn’t reclaimed any bullish market structure yet. * If it breaks below 549.68, the next support zone opens toward the 540s. ? Indicators MACD: * MACD is starting to curve up, with histogram showing decreasing red momentum – a potential bounce brewing. Stoch RSI: * Oversold condition with both lines crossing upward — supports a short-term relief rally or retracement. ? GEX & Options Sentiment Analysis https://www.tradingview.com/x/kbLq1Hqe/ * IVR: 37.8 (Moderate); IVx Avg: 22.6 * Put Positioning: Very high at 71% — bears are loaded up. * GEX Sentiment: * GEX is red ??? — strong gamma exposure to puts, favoring downward pressure. * Highest negative NETGEX / PUT Support at 555.83, which is just above current price — this acts as a magnet and pivot. * If SPY stays below this level, dealer hedging accelerates selling. * Major Put Walls at: * 545: GEX8 at -22% * 544-540: Very deep bearish gamma — potential acceleration if we break lower. * Call Resistance (Gamma Wall): * 573 → 577 → 580 zone = Gamma ceiling. * Dealers short calls here and hedge by selling, which adds resistance on rallies. ⚖️ Trade Scenarios ? Bullish Reversal Setup: * Trigger: Break & close above 555.83 with volume. * Target: 558.11 → 564.85 * Invalidation: Below 549.68 * Risk/Reward: Favorable if volume confirms. ? Bearish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Break below 549.68 with follow-through. * Target: 545 → 540 zone (GEX & PUT walls) * Stop-Loss: Above 555.83 or structure retest * Confluence: GEX alignment + broken structure + dealer flow pressure. ? Directional Bias: Bearish bias still intact — but signs of short-term bounce forming. Likely we see a dead cat bounce unless 555.83 is reclaimed with conviction. ? Actionable Strategy: * Intraday scalp: Long toward 558 if price reclaims 555.83. * Swing short: Below 549.68 toward 540 using SPY or PUT options. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Nach der Abwärtsbewegung haben wir nun einen Dreiweller nach oben gesehen und wieder einen Abverkauf. Nächste Woche wird sich vermutlich entscheiden ob es direkt weiter bergab geht oder es nochmal die Chance für einen bounce gibt. Wenn wir uns tatsächlich im ersten Abwärtsimpuls der großen Korrektur befinden, müsste es einen scharfen, tiefen Einbruch geben. Ich zweifle selber manchmal an der Tiefe aber die eingezeichneten Bewegungen wären dann so die Erwartung, die natürlich auch weniger dramatisch sein können. Möchte nur nochmal daran erinnern, dass die erste Bewegung im 1929-1932 crash 50% in 2 Monaten betragen hat. Nach der Wellenzählung wären wir jedoch in einer Korrektur die einen Wellengrad höher ist als 1929. Wochen/Monatschart https://www.tradingview.com/x/ByYof2eb/ Welle a wäre meiner Meinung hauptsächlich getrieben durch die Mag7-Aktien, die danach seitwärts laufen und in welle c proportional die anderen Aktien stärker fallen als die Mag7. https://www.tradingview.com/x/IlgLyecz/ Zur Veranschaulichung nochmal die Erwartung für die Mag7 https://www.tradingview.com/x/O6ruQJ4I/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/orb2wY9C/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/hM5X9H7K/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/585dDHxb/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/c7GPDXvN/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/1eVOUJOh/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/MpFu2iQo/
Bias: ? Bullish (Strong Momentum) Structure: Higher Highs / Higher Lows (Weekly) Current Price: ~$3,084 Market Phase: Price Discovery / Momentum Phase ? 1. Weekly Market Structure Clear bullish structure with strong continuation. Recent Higher Low (HL): ~1985–2000 zone. Current Weekly Candle: Strong bullish with little to no upper wick → sign of aggressive buying. ? 2. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) ✅ Liquidity Grab: Buy-side liquidity above 2080–2150 has been swept → cleared space for new highs. ? Fair Value Gap (FVG): Estimated FVG between 3000 – 3080, possible retest area. ? Valid Bullish OBs: Below, around 1985–2000 (HL origin). ⛔ No resistance above – price is now in price discovery mode. ? 3. EMA Alignment (Estimated) EMA 5/21/50/200 are all bullishly stacked. Price is significantly extended above EMA 21 → potential for short-term pullback. Trend remains intact and strong. ? 4. Key Zones (Weekly) Support Zones: 3000 – 2960 → recent impulse base. 2900 – 2880 → minor structure zone. 2080 – 2100 → breakout + consolidation area. No historical resistance above current levels. Watch for round number reactions (e.g. 3100, 3150, 3200). ? 5. Fibonacci Levels (Swing Low: ~1985 → High: ~3084) 0.382: ~2660 0.5: ~2535 0.618: ~2410 → These levels are relevant only if price enters deeper retracement later. ? 6. Weekly Scenarios ✅ Bullish Continuation (Main Bias) Hold above 3000 → target extensions toward: ? 3120 / 3180 / 3250+ Strong momentum candle suggests interest remains to the upside. ⚠️ Pullback Scenario Rejection from 3085 area → potential drop toward: 3000 (minor FVG fill) 2960–2900 (stronger structure + potential re-entry area) Bullish bias remains intact unless we break below 2900 weekly close. ? Summary XAUUSD is in price discovery after sweeping key liquidity. Momentum is strong, but price is overextended → short-term pullbacks are healthy. All signs point toward higher targets unless major structure breaks.