Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken below the $90k barrier, reaching so far today 89000. The market is undeniably bleeding and this is roughly a -19% price decrease from January's All Time High (ATH). Talks about the end of this Bull Cycle have resurfaced again, but is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or simply a usual technical pull-back during a Bull Cycle? Well we can find the answer by examining the 3 most recent Bull Cycles. As you can see, such declines are common during Bull Cycles, and they've been very well present on the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle as well. Going back to the 2015 - 2017 Bull Cycle, we can see four -40% corrections, with an average Cycle decline of -35.28%. The average in the following Bull Cycle (2019 - 2021) declined to -26.12% with many -30% corrections this time. On the current Cycle, the average is so far -23.60% with the vast majority of corrections being around -20%, which is exactly what we are up against at the moment. As you realize, the corrections have been greater in the past, which is natural as so were the total Cycle gains, so the higher the rallies, the stronger the corrections have been. As Bitcoin started to normalize, become mainstream and adopted, the Cycles returns started to diminish, offering subsequently smaller/ more manageable pull-back phases. As a result, it is very likely for BTC to be experiencing at the moment a typical Bull Cycle pull-back and equally probable not to diverge much from the -20% mark of the current Cycle standard. But what do you think? Is this the start of a new Bear Cycle or just a Bull Cycle pull-back? And if it's the latter, will it stop around the current -20% levels? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE ?, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE ? and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ?????? ? ? ? ? ? ?
H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955 Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/nfoBFlDq/ M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025, however, you will note how price has targeted strong internal high without closing above. Price printed as per analysis and bias dated 20 February 2025. Price is now trading within an established internal range. You will note my comments in yesterday's analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS. This scenario seems underway, price has targeted strong internal low, however, price has, thus far, not been able to close below. Intraday Expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 2,954.955, however, my alternative scenario remains live. Alternative scenario: As we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart: https://www.tradingview.com/x/Pnp0T4wa/
https://www.tradingview.com/x/CQgO81jM/ Hello, Friends! GOLD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 2,849.355 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
? Today’s Mission: Execute the Most Profitable Trade Setup with Ultra-High Confidence and Aggression! ??? ? XAU/USD (GOLD) MASTER PLAN FOR TOTAL DOMINATION! ?? ? CURRENT MARKET OVERVIEW – TIME TO ATTACK! ?? ? Current Price: $2,941.50 - $2,942 ?? ? High of the Day: $2,950 (Massive Resistance!) ? ? Major Resistance (R3): $2,950 - $2,952 – NO ENTRY ABOVE! ? ? Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,940 – If it breaks, SELL HARD! ? ? Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,935 – Target This for TP1! ? ? Psychological Support (S1): $2,925 – Final Destination for Bears! ?? ?? SELL TRADE EXECUTION PLAN – ULTRA HIGH CONFIDENCE SHORT! ?? ? THIS MARKET IS ABOUT TO DROP! GET READY TO ATTACK! ?? ✅ AGGRESSIVE SELL ENTRY: $2,941.50 - $2,942 (Wait for candle confirmation!) ?? ? STOP-LOSS (Tight & Deadly): $2,946 (Above rejection zone – NO MERCY! ?) ? TAKE-PROFIT TARGETS: • ? TP1: $2,935 (Smash Profits Early & Reassess! ?) • ? TP2: $2,930 (Deeper Profits – Bulls Cry! ?) • ? TP3: $2,925 (MAX PROFIT ZONE! FULL SEND! ???) ?? INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW ANALYSIS – SMART MONEY IS DUMPING! ?? ✅ Strong Sell Orders Stacking Up Near $2,942 – Institutions Are Preparing a Liquidity Trap! ?? ✅ Market Makers Rejected Price from $2,950 – FAILING TO BREAK HIGHER! ?? ✅ MACD & RSI Losing Bullish Momentum – TIME TO STRIKE! ??? ✅ VWAP Shows Heavy Resistance – Expect a HARD DROP! ?? ? FINAL VERDICT – TOTAL MARKET DOMINATION STRATEGY! ??? ? WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! ???? ? THIS TRADE HAS A HIGH WIN RATE – NO FEAR, FULL AGGRESSION! ??? ? ENTER SELL BELOW $2,942 – STOP-LOSS AT $2,946 – TARGETS: $2,935, $2,930, $2,925! ?? ? TIME TO ATTACK! INSTITUTIONS ARE ABOUT TO DROP GOLD HARD! ???? ?? MAXIMUM PROFITS, ULTRA AGGRESSION, NO MERCY! LET’S MILK THIS MARKET TOGETHER! ????
Finally, we got our breakdown where, after touching 200EMA on the 4-hour timeframe, we had a 10% drop ever since. This breakdown is not just a liquidity grab, as we can see but a full-scale movement where now our next target is $85K (which is the 200EMA on the 1D timeframe). Swallow Team
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/28CxLtaE/ Hello, Friends! NZD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.555 area. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Hello Traders ! On the daily time frame, The BTC price reached a strong support level (89000 - 92000). So, Let's expect the Bearish Scenario? if the market breaks the support level and closes below that, We will see a huge bearish move? __________ TARGET: 74500?
Bitcoin prices fell below $92,000, hitting their lowest level since last November. The collapse in risk assets began last week amid growing concerns about the outlook for the US economy, amplified by President Donald Trump's escalating tariff threats and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy bought another 20,365 bitcoins worth nearly $2 billion, bringing the total number of bitcoins to 499,096 or roughly $33.1 billion. Technically bitcoin is still bullish and trading sideways for now. we can hope for it to breakout up and continue is bullish trend to $150 000. otherwise if it breaks going down the next buy will come from support. I am bullish
OANDA:XAUUSD market continues to struggle to break through the previous week's high, moving sideways despite the price closing above the key level of 2950 on the daily timeframe, which is a bullish sign. The price is consistently bouncing off the support zone around the 2920 level, it ssems the market find support around this zone. Since there are no high-impact news today, the price is likely to continue its sideways movement until Thursday. However, if the market pulls back toward the support level and the previous day's low, we can look for buying signals in anticipation of the new highs. My goal is resistance zone around 2970. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ??