Logarithm. Time frame 1 month (no need for less). Chart until 2031 ?At the moment we are running a big triangle that broke through upwards . ? There is a rollback now , to retest the breakout zone. All according to technical analysis, due to the super success of the company and the liquidity of its shares. As for me, the retest should be successful, and then the trend will continue. ?But, they can do, like in the last cycle (I specifically highlighted this and showed %), a reset (for some grandiose news) and only then a reversal. If this happens, remember, this is a "temporary phenomenon". Do not play locally in shorts, the main trend is bullish, and it will clearly dominate in the long term. https://www.tradingview.com/x/1fJXxdgY/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/uxvYwYxR/ Fundamental analysis. Competition with BYD. That's why I'll write a lot of text about how this will greatly affect the price of TSLA shares in the future (real supply/demand) due to trade wars for sales markets. 1️⃣ The only competitor in the world is only the Chinese BYD . Which will become an order of magnitude stronger for TSLA in monetary terms and the popularity of more technologically advanced and affordable cars. Its main advantage, why it can give a cheaper price for a higher quality product, is complete control over the production of the most expensive unit of an electric car - batteries. From the extraction of raw materials for production to the assembly of the battery, without intermediaries. But, it is worth noting that the future super giant BYD will be denied access (as is currently partially the case) to countries where politics is subject to US influence. This is the so-called "gray zone" where a "trade war" will develop for the sale of products. The one who pays more will win, or their government (USA or China) will use greater leverage. For example, as now, in Brazil. The construction of the BYD plant is closed due to "inhumane working conditions" (and this is in a company with 500 billion in capital) in an important region (Latin America), where "the enemy does not sleep" and plans to begin construction of TSLA-Brazil in 2026. You probably understand what the matter is... The main “trade battle” will naturally take place for the European market . The European electric car industry will not be competitive with TSLA and BYD (two main flagship companies in the transition of internal combustion engines to electric transport on earth). It is worth noting that TSLA is now very popular in China. There is a large plant (Shanghai). 40,000 pre-orders for the new Model Y. The Chinese government does not interfere with this. But if unfair play continues in other markets, it is unlikely that TSLA will not be thrown out of China. Competition must be fair. Duties on cars are similar. So far, this is conditionally observed, but there are negative signs from the United States. 2️⃣ The reality of the launch of a new hydrogen engine from Toyota. There are rumors that it is being developed jointly with BMW. This is a completely new level of hydrogen engines. Instead of refueling with hydrogen, distilled water will be poured into the tank. The engine converts it into hydrogen. Serial production will allegedly begin in 2028, when the first hydrogen BMW models will roll off the assembly line. In some sources, also together with Mercedes-Benz, and even Porsche. Perhaps this is just a news teaser for a potential future buyer, to save the catastrophic decline in sales last year and this year, due to the virtual loss (due to the inability to compete) of the world's largest sales market — China. It is probably logical to assume that the release of this hydrogen engine to the masses will negatively affect TSLA shares. Provided that TSLA does not follow this fuel trend. My opinion is that they are unlikely to give mass production to something like this. It is like the mass production of electric cars in the 1990s and 2000s, in the era of the reign and monopoly of the hegemonies of oil capital, and as a consequence of internal combustion engines. 3️⃣ Massive power outages around the world. The next point is probably more of a “conspiracy theory”, but I can't help but mention the extremely unlikely scenario of impact on stock prices (a sharp drop). It is worth noting that the shares of any company that is associated with electricity are extremely “afraid” of a massive power outage and its rise in price, especially accompanied by extremely negative news. If, at least for a week, with a significant transition to electric vehicles (for example, 20-30%) in a large city there are power outages, then this can have an extremely negative impact on the shares of companies associated with the production of electric vehicles and components for them, which is logical. To scare and save and, as a result, "get your way". 4️⃣ Also, a gradual but rapid rise in the price of electricity , as a result of some events or policies, will discourage people from using electric vehicles (they will buy and drive less). This could also have a negative impact on the earnings of these companies like TSLA and BYD, and as a result on their speculative assets. PS . Of all the points, probably the most important is 1 (real competition and trade war). Then 2, after 2028. Before that, I think TSLA and other companies related to electric cars will pump up a lot.
I will be trying out a new holding style for my trades going forward based on my journal and statistics. Instead of having a fixed target, I will instead hold my trades all the way until 04:00pm market close. Pros: Letting trades run. I don't know how far a trade will go. By not having a strict target, I can lock in those big running days. Not stressing over if it will hit target. By not having a strict target, I can just let price do what it is going to do and close my day trades at 04:00pm. I don't have to worry about if it is only 10 ticks away from my target. Allows me more freedom to use my time elsewhere. By not having a strict target, I know all my day trades will be closed by 04:00pm. I will set an alarm 5 minutes before 4 to close any open positions. I can then use my time more productively instead of being at the screen. Cons: Giving back profits. I know by not having a strict target that I can be up a certain percent and by the end of day close, any/all profits can be gone and or stopped out. Can have a lot of small wins/losses and Breakevens mixed with the occasional stop out and giant win. Since I have no target, I have no control over how much profit I may make in a given day. Someone with a fixed target knows they are getting out at 2:1 for example. Below is an exact trade I have taken using strict target of 200 ticks. https://www.tradingview.com/x/YIn1H95u/ Using End of Day Hold the trade would look like this https://www.tradingview.com/x/F6PFRjIM/ 200 ticks vs 553 ticks This is just one example, and my journal shows countless more just like this. If anybody has any thoughts or experience with this holding style, I would love to hear feedback.
The Market is bought out. But since a few weeks we are in a consolidation phase at the big US indices. The markets are getting drowned with buy orders, but its stil ranging. Something which tells as that retailers are taking overhand. Institutions are using those phases to sell off their big postions too the "dumb money". We just need to wait until the retail money is empty and there are no further buy orders. At this moment big moves are gonna happen.
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- https://www.tradingview.com/x/z4QvUtg5/ (ONDOUSDT.P 1D chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/Qn3GS88t/ This volatility period is expected to continue from February 7th to 9th. It has touched the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.236 (0.8416) ~ 0.382 (1.0298) and is rising. Currently, the key is whether it can be supported near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator, near 1.3814. If it is supported, it is expected to rise above the BW (100) indicator point of 1.4869. - If it is supported near 1.1255-1.2715, it is a time to buy. If it falls below this range, you should check for support near 0.9274. - (1M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/abOd2oVO/ The chart has not been created for long, so the indicator has not been formed yet. However, if it is supported and rises around 0.5(1.1818) ~ 0.618(1.339) in terms of Fibonacci ratio, 1st: 1(1.8263) 2nd: 1.618(2.6228) 3rd: 1.902(2.9889) ~ 2(3.1152) You should respond depending on whether there is support around the 1st-3rd above. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBuhqVrT/ Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend. Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/YtZx6YSG/ As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - https://www.tradingview.com/x/zTnWN2r7/ The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. How to view and respond to this is up to you. When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance. This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci. Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies. 1st : 44234.54 2nd : 61383.23 3rd : 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting) 4th : 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting) 5th : 178910.15 -----------------
Here on Gbpusd price has form a demand zone around level of 1.23852 and is likely to continue moving up so trader should go for long with expect profit target of 1.24291 and 1.24611 . Use money management
Just now I opened a short on SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:XCN Time sensitive. I anticipate it will fall right about now. So target should get hit soon according to my analysis> Only aiming for a 2RR on this for now
$HMSTR printing like crazy, but this is also the worst bullmarket in history. The master plan was initially to long solid projects non-stop. It didn't go as planned. Instead I'm making all the profits from shorting some ridiculous crap, this rodent, $MELANIA, $TRUMP 's scam coin. And my spot portfolio, untouched for a year, melting. All, apparently, proper fundamentallsound projects bought in the bearmarket. DOH! What the hell is this, even. As far a the chart itself, very oversold, but don't jump into longs, shitcoins like this could spiral into oblivion and keep falling for longer than you can keep adding margin to your losing position. ?? PS. I publish my stuff regularly on Binance SQUARE, more images are allowed there, and no cap on a number of posts/updates, unlike here. BINANCE SQUARE post LINK: https://tinyurl.com/2bys5jm7
Here on Eurusd price has form a demand around level of 1.03236 and is likely to continue moving down so trader should go for long with expect profit target of 1.03567 and 1.03874 . Use money management
So, my idea from 3 weeks back in time played out early this week. My limit order was hit and this turned out to be a beautiful trade. Partials already closed with nice profits, and SL has been moved to entry. Currently, the trade has gained 390 pips, and is testing a quite respected support level that seems to be weakening. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCAD/6d9CkRhW-USDCAD-Swing-setup-possibly-forming/
BTCUSDT is currently consolidating within a narrow range, but the setup suggests a potential bullish breakout if key resistance levels are cleared. Here’s the breakdown: 1. Order Book & Key Levels The order book reveals: • Support Zone: $95,750–$95,890 • Resistance Zone: $95,900–$96,040 For a bullish scenario, the price must break above $95,900 with strong volume. 2. Technical Indicators • RSI Levels: • RSI (6): 39.18 • RSI (12): 35.44 • RSI (24): 38.66 These values below 50 indicate bearish momentum, but a breakout could quickly push them higher, supporting a bullish run. • Long/Short Ratio: 1.8840 – showing more long positions, which aligns with potential upward momentum. 3. Targets to Watch If BTCUSDT breaks above $95,900 with high volume, here are the potential targets: • Target 1: $96,200 – This is the first minor resistance level. • Target 2: $96,500 – A psychological level and previous area of interest. • Target 3: $97,000 – Strong resistance from historical price action. If the price fails to break $95,900, it may retrace to test the support at $95,750 or even lower levels. Conclusion BTCUSDT shows promise for a bullish breakout if it can overcome $95,900. However, watch the volume and RSI levels for confirmation. Potential targets range from $96,200 to $97,000, but always manage risk and use stop-loss orders. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice (NFA). Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. What are your thoughts? Do you think BTCUSDT will break out or consolidate further? Let’s discuss!