Key Level Zone: 0.035300 - 0.036000 HMT v6 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
The WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 7300. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7300 level could target the downside support at 7100 followed by 6955 and 6870 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7290 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7360 resistance followed by 7455 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The EURUSD is going on a 3 months consolidation and looking at the technical side only we saw a DB @ 1.02258 and now we may see a DT @ 1.05280. Probably next week we see a better move but my guts are telling me another re-test at 1.02258.
OANDA:EURGBP is approaching a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 0.83350 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
CHFJPY is short due to many reasons but the main theme here is Japan is combating inflation (or hypothetically trying to increase their inflation) which strengthens the bond and the YEN. Meanwhile the SNB is cutting rates with their easing policies hence weakening the FRANC strength. CHFJPY is an extremely bearish FX pair and probably most likely pair to fall in %percentage for the year of 2025. I expect a 1.5-2.5% drop in the next few days or weeks. My entry was a little late hence why I have a tight SL which could get triggered but I will take any short opportunity on this pair.
USD Heading higher after a decent consolidation upto 109
With Cyclicty of Phase 1(Trend) and Phase 2(Pullback/Retest) as cycles. D1 - High TF( HTF) H4 - Intermediate TF H1 - Lower TF (LTF) Entry : ======================================= Taken trade at Start of Phase 1 in Intermediate TF and in LTF cross of 8 below 20 EMA and Bearish Engulfing at the Key Resistance. SL : Recent high TP : Risk:Reward = 1:2
The global soybean market is navigating a period of shifting supply and demand dynamics, driven by increased U.S. stock levels and production adjustments in key South American countries. Let’s take a look at notable revisions in production estimates, trade flows, and pricing trends that will shape the market in the coming months. U.S. Soybean Stocks and Production Adjustments The USDA has increased its forecast for U.S. soybean ending stocks to 315 million bushels, up 10 million bushels from the previous estimate. This revision is largely due to lower domestic crush projections, reflecting reduced demand from the U.S. processing sector. Total production remains at 4.16 billion bushels, with no changes to yield estimates at 50.6 bushels per acre. South American Crop Revisions and Global Supply Impact In South America, weather conditions have led to downward adjustments in soybean production forecasts. Argentina's soybean output is now projected at 50 million metric tons (MMT), reflecting a 1.5 MMT reduction from last month due to persistent dryness affecting key growing regions. In contrast, Brazil's soybean production remains at 157 MMT, as strong early-season yields have offset localized drought concerns. These supply adjustments influence global export flows, with Brazil expected to maintain its dominant position in the market despite Argentina's production decline. Trade and Demand Dynamics Global soybean trade projections remain largely stable, with U.S. exports holding at 1.76 billion bushels. Brazil is set to continue leading global soybean exports, supported by a favorable exchange rate and competitive pricing. Meanwhile, Chinese soybean imports are forecasted at 102 MMT, consistent with previous estimates, as demand for animal feed and soybean meal remains strong. Price Outlook and Market Implications Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) are trading near $11.90 per bushel, reflecting market concerns over South American weather conditions and export competition. The average farm price for U.S. soybeans is projected at $12.55 per bushel, unchanged from previous estimates. Investment Considerations With rising U.S. stock levels and weather-driven supply concerns in South America, the soybean market presents opportunities for traders and investors. Key areas to watch include: • Futures and Options Strategies: Volatility in global production may create trading opportunities in soybean futures CBOT:ZS1! . • Agricultural Input Stocks: Companies involved in fertilizers and crop protection may benefit from shifting planting conditions. • Export Competitiveness: U.S. soybean exports face continued pressure from Brazil’s pricing advantages, making trade policy and currency movements critical factors.
Fundamentally, gold is mostly bullish as a safe-haven asset. We have many factors pushing the gold price up. The main reason why it is going up is because there is fear in the market. We have lost count on how many factors that pours into the "fear" factor. But as long as fear is present in the market and economy then Gold's 3000$ psychological price target is very feasible and positive no matter what the price action says. Edge finder scored a "very bullish" score on gold. Any dips, will buy.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/U5gPikqD/ GBPJPY looks bearish after a test of a recently broken horizontal resistance. A double top pattern on that on an hourly time frame leaves strong bearish clues. The pair may retrace at least to 189.9 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️