SCENARIO 1 (sells) Gold is in a bullish momentum, so the current bearish move in conjunction with the trump tariffs should have us see a good retest zone back to the upside with continious bad news occuring in the US Recent high impact events have been in the red (when you see a red number that means that the release of certain data was lower than what was expected) In the upcoming weeks, we have the Standard & poors global manufacturing PMI and the S&P Global services PMI with the consensus for each to be 51.9 and 51.2 which is accounting for a drop in the S&P Manufacturing PMI but a 0.2 % increase in the S&P global services PMI for beginners, understand that these are economic indicators to show people how a courntries economy is doing with Manufacturing PMI leading towards the production of goods in the US. Now I believe that both actual results when released will be negative due to the fact that the current tariff hits have been hurting the US. This will lead to a bearish market open on the Nasdaq and US30 indices and a buy on gold. Why this is so is a lower number than the consensus (the consensus refers to a healthy number for the economy to "be at" for that month) meaning a lower result than what they have put will lead to a brief economic panic with investors taking sells on their postitions on the top 30 and 100 businesses (nasdaq and US30) and the further sells on the US market from retail investors will cause a greater bearish move on Monday. Now the reason why Gold goes up is because it is a security, safe haven for investors. When Investors take their cash out of their stocks and when their is more economic stress then there will be more reason to invest into a safe commodity like gold. More news to note is the tesla stock crash which is a driving factor of the current losses in the Nasdaq and the S&P and the Dow jones. The upcoming tariffs will see a downturn in the market. Now that is my bet, we need to add these fundamentals in with perfect technical anlysis entry points
This is a very short-term trade setup, but keep in mind that TradingView isn’t favorable toward analyses below the 1-hour timeframe. It appears that the 1-5 impulse wave has completed, and a pullback is likely to begin soon. Traders should be cautious and look for confirmation before entering. ??
hello guys. In this 4-hour chart, we can see a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. The price has broken below the neckline of the pattern, suggesting a potential downside move. Additionally, the price is currently trading inside a descending channel, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Bearish Scenario A potential pullback to the upper boundary of the descending channel (around $3,030-$3,035) could serve as a selling opportunity. The first target for the decline is around $3,000, a psychological level and previous support. If momentum continues downward, the price could drop further to $2,962-$2,965, which aligns with strong historical support. in higher timeframe: https://www.tradingview.com/x/qHRnA4lv/ The volume has noticeably declined towards the end of this uptrend, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum. As prices reach new highs, the decreasing volume suggests that buyers are becoming exhausted, which often precedes a correction or reversal. This divergence between price action and volume indicates that the recent upward movement may not be sustainable, increasing the likelihood of a pullback in the near term. Why This Trade is Super Risky? Main Trend is Bullish – The overall market structure remains in an uptrend, so this short setup is against the major trend. Liquidity & Buyer Pressure – The price could find strong buying pressure around $3,000, leading to a false breakdown. Risk Management is Crucial – If entering a short position, risk should be minimal, with a tight stop-loss above $3,035-$3,040 to prevent excessive losses in case of invalidation. ? Conclusion: This setup offers a potential short trade, but high caution is needed due to the bullish macro trend. Entering with low risk and tight stops is essential to manage exposure. If the price breaks above the descending channel, the bearish idea is invalidated.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/TjMeWgaE/ Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURUSD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
https://www.tradingview.com/x/bZDmcaZj/ The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the EURCHF pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move up. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
After a good announcement , we can take an advantage of Buy Back Plan, with almost $6M fund that approved to be use for BUY BACK, with new MM. i think they already prepare for make CAPITALCOM:GPS price rising. According the new update, KYB already approved. the next plan in this week is to get start for BUY BACK rally. Still be a smart trader.
CRYPTOCAP:SUI Weekly Analysis #SUI is showing a potential trend reversal after a deep retracement from its previous highs. Currently, the price is holding above a major support zone, which previously acted as resistance — now flipping into support ? We can spot a falling wedge breakout pattern forming, which is typically bullish ? If momentum continues to build, here are the target levels to watch: ? Target 1: $3.5 ? Target 2: $4.5 ? Target 2: $6 @Whalesdesk
BINANCE:DEGOUSDT DEGO / USDT 1D time frame ( wait for the price to come to buying zone) analysis tools ____________ SMC FVG Trend lines Fibonacci Support & resistance MACD Cross EMA Cross ______________________________________________________________ Golden Advices. ******************** * Please calculate your losses before any entry. * Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you. * No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey. Useful Tags. **************** My total posts https://www.tradingview.com/ideas/crypto_alphabit//
The Cycle of Crisis: How Fed Interventions and Post-Crisis Policies Set the Stage for Future Turbulence Research suggests that solutions to financial crises—ranging from the Federal Reserve’s early market interventions in 1922 to post-2008 policies—often create conditions that later lead to new crises. Historical evidence indicates that measures such as deposit insurance, deregulation, and quantitative easing can inadvertently encourage risk-taking, creating a cyclical pattern of stabilization followed by vulnerability. ================================ Historical Context and Analysis ================================ The Fed's Role Since 1922 In 1922, the Federal Reserve pioneered the use of open market operations to manage the money supply. By purchasing government securities, the Fed aimed to stabilize credit conditions and influence interest rates. This early intervention set the stage for modern monetary policy and demonstrated how central bank actions can have far-reaching effects on market behavior. Post-Great Depression Reforms and Moral Hazard Following the Great Depression, a series of reforms restored public confidence: Glass-Steagall Act (1933): Separated commercial and investment banking to limit excessive risk-taking. Creation of the FDIC: Insured bank deposits, boosting consumer trust. Fed as Lender of Last Resort: Provided emergency liquidity to prevent bank failures. These measures, while stabilizing, also introduced moral hazard. Banks, knowing they were protected, gradually assumed more risk—a trend that contributed to later financial instability. Deregulation and the 2008 Crisis In the 1990s and early 2000s, financial deregulation intensified: Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (1999): Repealed parts of Glass-Steagall, allowing banks to merge commercial and investment functions. Commodity Futures Modernization Act (2000): Deregulated derivatives markets, increasing the complexity of financial instruments. Intended to modernize the financial sector, these changes inadvertently enabled risk buildup. The mixing of high-risk investment activities with traditional banking practices contributed to vulnerabilities that eventually led to the 2008 financial meltdown. Post-2008 Policies and Unintended Consequences In response to the 2008 crisis, policymakers adopted aggressive measures: Quantitative Easing (QE): The Fed injected liquidity by purchasing large quantities of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities. Low Interest Rates: Keeping rates near zero spurred borrowing and spending. While these policies stabilized markets and averted deeper recession, they also contributed to unintended outcomes such as asset price bubbles and rising inflation, which may sow the seeds for future economic challenges. ================================ Cyclical Nature of Crisis Responses ================================ A review of historical episodes reveals a recurring pattern where each crisis response, while effective in the short term, can alter market incentives and build vulnerabilities that later trigger new crises. Comparative Analysis 1922–1929: Open market operations stabilized credit but contributed to speculative booms. Post-1930s: Safety nets restored confidence but led to increased risk-taking (moral hazard). 1990s–2000s: Deregulation modernized finance yet enabled risk buildup that precipitated the 2008 crisis. Post-2008: QE and low rates stabilized recovery but fueled asset bubbles and inflation. Lessons for Policymakers Tailored Responses: Each crisis is unique; policies must account for long-term impacts. Guard Against Moral Hazard: Safety nets should be paired with measures to discourage reckless behavior. Balanced Regulation: Financial innovation requires robust oversight to prevent systemic risks. Conclusion From the Fed’s pioneering steps in 1922 to today’s complex economic environment, history shows that every crisis solution has its price. Emergency measures—though vital for short-term stability—can reshape market incentives and create vulnerabilities that may lead to future crises.
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