Meine 2. Idee für die Woche. AUD/CAD sehr viel Potential für Kauf. Wochenchart/Tageschart in einem Aufwärtstrend mit schöner Korrektur an der Zone. Wir brauchen im 4H den ChoCh, anschließend suchen wir in kleineren Zeiteinheiten den Einstieg NUR in der London & New York Sitzung maximal 2-3 Stunden vor Beginn oder währenddessen :) Was meine ich mit Einstiegen? Naja, zum Beispiel eine Kerzen Kombination etc. Folgt für mehr ;) um auf den Laufenden zu bleiben. Ich lasse unter jede Idee ein Kommentar ggf. auch ein Bild, -> Stand der Dinge! Ferhat_FX
Copper is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. An upward correction of copper will provide us with a good risk-reward selling position. If the downtrend continues, we can buy copper in the next demand zone. The Monthly Metals Index (MMI) for copper remained largely range-bound, experiencing a slight decline of 0.65% from December to January. Meanwhile, copper prices continue to react to the new U.S. administration and potential shifts in trade policies. Ahead of President Trump’s inauguration, copper prices on the Comex exchange began breaking out of their previous range. By mid-January, copper prices had reached their highest levels since early November. This movement was likely driven by traders anticipating the impact of potential tariffs, some of which could affect the copper market. In contrast, prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) saw only modest gains, creating a temporary price divergence between the two exchanges. Typically, Comex and LME copper prices move in tandem, making any significant deviations between them noteworthy. Since 2019, the two markets have shown a correlation of 99.76%, with Comex prices averaging a $19 per ton premium over LME prices. However, by January 14, this premium had widened to $402 per ton. It remains uncertain whether this premium will persist in the coming years or revert to historical levels, as seen in previous instances. Historically, such price divergences have been temporary. One notable example was a short squeeze on Comex in late May, which marked the end of the Q2 2024 rally in base metals. During this period, the price gap between LME and Comex surged to $688 per ton, with Comex copper prices reaching a record high of $11,257 per ton. However, this spread quickly narrowed due to shifts in trade flows toward the U.S. market. Although Comex copper contracts attract similar market participation as LME, lower inventory levels make them less liquid. Consequently, when stockpiles decrease, Comex prices become particularly susceptible to sudden surges. Another factor contributing to price divergence was the October port strike, which led to a significant increase in Comex prices. Before the three-day strike began, Comex copper prices had already risen sharply, pushing the spread to $292 per ton until mediators brokered a resolution. Market volatility remains a key risk for copper prices as traders await more details on which products and countries will be affected by new trade barriers. This uncertainty could either drive further price increases or trigger sharp declines if reality fails to align with market expectations. Some of the tariffs proposed by President Trump are likely to serve as negotiation tactics, meaning they may not be fully implemented or could be abandoned if alternative trade agreements are reached. Meanwhile, reports suggest that the Trump administration is considering a phased approach to tariff implementation, which may help mitigate market reactions. A closer look at Trump’s latest stance on China indicates a willingness to de-escalate tensions and increase engagement. However, his previous trade policies were highly aggressive, often involving heavy tariffs on Chinese imports.
Hi guys we are going to take a look at a great set up in the eyes of CAD/JPY. So far we had a strong drop which targeted the lower support area which found some resistance which givesd us an indication that we would rebound from this point onwards. We can see the strong support area at 106.800 Also we can see the strong demand zone which is going to be our target area at 108.500 And we can see a weak bottom at 106 area Simple Technical analysis here. Entry: 107.250 Target 1: 107.830 Target 2: 108.500 SL: 106.500 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Currently on 1H Chart, this coin is overbought with RSI +70. I have taken position on $4.15 which was little early. Nevertheless It's short term support lies at $3.97. Buy Limit 1: $4.15 Take Profit: $3.97 Stop Loss: $4.32 Buy Limit 2: $4.23 Take Profit: $4.02 Stop Loss: $4.45 These are just paper trades to learn, always invest after doing your own research.
I have been tracking this harmonic into the new year and will start looking to build into position soon. I am currently looking for a downtrend reversal candle and waiting to see buyers step in.
US Dollar Strength: If the USD strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Fed policy (like interest rate hikes), XAU/USD could face downward pressure. Inflation and Interest Rates: Gold tends to do well during periods of higher inflation or when real interest rates are low. If the Fed keeps rates higher or signals tightening, gold might struggle. Geopolitical Tensions or Economic Uncertainty: Gold is often considered a safe-haven asset, so in times of economic or geopolitical instability, it can move upward. Technical Indicators: Looking at the chart, if gold has recently been consolidating, a break above or below key levels (like $1900 or $1950) could indicate a directional move.
Gold is forming an ascending triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, signaling bullish accumulation. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, watch the pattern's neckline closely. A breakout and close above 2772 would validate bullish dominance, with a potential target of 2788.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD **BTC/USD Analysis (4H Chart)** - **Current Price:** ~$105,331 - **Major Resistance Zone:** Around **107,500 - 110,000** - **Major Support Zone:** Around **97,500 - 98,000** - **Key Pattern:** A possible **cup & handle formation** is forming, suggesting bullish momentum. **Bullish Scenario:** - BTC is approaching a key resistance zone. If price **breaks above 107,500 with strong volume**, it could push toward **112,300**. - A successful retest of the resistance as support would confirm the breakout. **Bearish Scenario:** - If BTC fails to break resistance, it may retrace back to the **ascending trendline (~102,000-103,000)** or even the **major support zone (97,500-98,000)** for a potential bounce. **Conclusion:** - BTC is at a **critical breakout zone**. - **Break & retest above 107,500 → bullish continuation toward 112,300+.** - **Rejection → Possible pullback to trendline or support zone.**
History has always repeated itself.Please be careful with your transactions
OANDA:AUDJPY has reached a significant demand zone marked by prior price reactions. This level aligns with a key support level that has historically shown buyer interest, suggesting a potential for reversal. The recent bearish move appears to be testing this demand zone, and if the price shows a clear rejection through bullish price action signals—such as a strong engulfing candle or wicks rejecting lower prices—there is a likelihood of a rebound. I anticipate that if the demand zone holds, the market may see a rally toward the 97.300 level. Let me know your thoughts on this analysis or if you see any alternative scenarios. Feel free to share in the comments!