DE & EN Der Chart zeigt, dass das Fibonacci-Level 1 in früheren Zyklen eine wichtige Rolle bei der Bestimmung von Hochpunkten gespielt hat. In den letzten beiden Bitcoin-Bullenmärkten (2017 und 2021) markierte das Erreichen von Fibonacci 1 den Höhepunkt des jeweiligen Zyklus. Beide Male folgte darauf eine signifikante Korrekturphase. Aktuelle Situation: Im aktuellen Marktzyklus bewegt sich Bitcoin erneut nahe dem Fibonacci-Level 1 (ca. $105.5K). Historisch gesehen deutet dies darauf hin, dass wir uns potenziell an einem wichtigen Wendepunkt befinden könnten. Unterstützt wird dies durch den RSI, der sich im überkauften Bereich befindet und ein mögliches Zeichen für eine bevorstehende Marktsättigung darstellt. Mögliche Szenarien: 1. Bearishes Szenario: Bitcoin erreicht das Fibonacci-Level 1 und wird abgelehnt, was zu einer Korrektur führt, ähnlich wie in früheren Zyklen. Dies würde ein starkes Top-Signal darstellen. 2. Bullishes Szenario: Ein klarer Durchbruch über das Fibonacci-Level 1 könnte darauf hindeuten, dass Bitcoin in einen neuen Superzyklus eintritt und die bisherigen Zyklenmuster durchbricht. Schlussfrage: Wird das Fibonacci-Level 1 auch diesmal ein verlässliches Top-Signal, oder befinden wir uns in einem völlig neuen Marktzyklus? Was denkt ihr darüber? Teilt eure Meinungen! ____________________ EN: The chart shows that the Fibonacci Level 1 has played a significant role in identifying cycle tops in previous Bitcoin market cycles. In the last two bull markets (2017 and 2021), reaching the Fibonacci Level 1 marked the peak of each cycle, followed by a significant correction phase. Current Situation: In the current market cycle, Bitcoin is once again approaching the Fibonacci Level 1 (around $105.5K). Historically, this suggests that we might be nearing a critical turning point. This is further supported by the RSI, which is in the overbought zone, indicating potential market saturation. Possible Scenarios: 1. Bearish Scenario: Bitcoin reaches the Fibonacci Level 1 and gets rejected, leading to a correction similar to previous cycles. This would signal a strong market top. 2. Bullish Scenario: A clear breakout above the Fibonacci Level 1 could indicate that Bitcoin is entering a new supercycle, breaking away from the established cycle patterns. Final Question: Will the Fibonacci Level 1 once again act as a reliable top signal, or are we in an entirely new market cycle? What’s your opinion? Share your thoughts!
The Financial Market Geometric Method and the resulting 'The Tube Oscillator', which I discovered through my research work in collaboration with the University of Heidelberg as a scientific research project, was published on July 12, 2024 as a scientific innovation. Link to the published paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.08036 The BUY signals in the chart indicate the appropriate moment when the JPM stock is favorable for purchasing. The SELL signals in the chart indicate when the stock should be sold in order to efficiently remain on the profitable side. Regarding drawdown, I would like to note the following: 'Drawdowns are business costs in stock market trading.'
The Financial Market Geometric Method and the resulting 'The Tube Oscillator', which I discovered through my research work in collaboration with the University of Heidelberg as a scientific research project, was published on July 12, 2024 as a scientific innovation. Link to the published paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.08036 The BUY signals in the chart indicate the appropriate moment when the TSLA stock is favorable for purchasing. The SELL signals in the chart indicate when the stock should be sold in order to efficiently remain on the profitable side. Regarding drawdown, I would like to note the following: 'Drawdowns are business costs in stock market trading.'
The Financial Market Geometric Method and the resulting 'The Tube Oscillator', which I discovered through my research work in collaboration with the University of Heidelberg as a scientific research project, was published on July 12, 2024 as a scientific innovation. Link to the published paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.08036 The BUY signals in the chart indicate the appropriate moment when the AAPL stock is favorable for purchasing. The SELL signals in the chart indicate when the stock should be sold in order to efficiently remain on the profitable side. Regarding drawdown, I would like to note the following: 'Drawdowns are business costs in stock market trading.'
The Financial Market Geometric Method and the resulting 'The Tube Oscillator', which I discovered through my research work in collaboration with the University of Heidelberg as a scientific research project, was published on July 12, 2024 as a scientific innovation. Link to the published paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.08036 The BUY signals in the chart indicate the appropriate moment when the META stock is favorable for purchasing. The SELL signals in the chart indicate when the stock should be sold in order to efficiently remain on the profitable side. Regarding drawdown, I would like to note the following: 'Drawdowns are business costs in stock market trading.'
Servus Trader ich hoffe das alle gesund und munder ins neue Jahr 2025 gerutscht sind und wünsche hiermit allen ein gesundes neues Jahr 2025 . Um auch wieder im neuen Jahr erfolgreich zu werden oder zu sein brauchen wir wieder einen Plan für die grobe Richtung und eine Strategie für das Feintuning. Das Wichtigste "Alles kann, nichts muss" Meine Erwartungen 2025 für den Bitcoin Die letzte Analyse zu Bitcoin muss ich leider korrigieren, da die Annahme das wir uns in einem Impuls befinden nicht mehr tragbar ist und wir uns stattdessen möglicherweise in einer erweiterten Korrektur befinden könnten mit einem WXYXZ als Triple Zigzag für die mögliche Welle B, was einem Impuls ähnlich sieht, aber vom Aufbau nur 3er beinhaltet. Ich denke das müsste jedem im Chart ersichtlich sein in der ganzen Formationsgebung Analyse vom 29. Dez. 2024 https://de.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/vybHDo54/ Wenn wir uns also die jetzige Formation betrachten, dann könnte dies eine mögliche überschießende Welle B, in einem möglichen Expanded Flat/Irregular Flat oder einem Running Flat sein. Die jetzige Korrektur wäre dann keine gedachte Welle 4 sondern eine mögliche Welle b in der Welle Z als drittes ZigZag mit dem Ziel von 157000 Dollar bei 161.8 % = max Welle B. Ich gehe nicht davon aus, dass wir nur die 138.2 % machen werden. Gesehen auf den DAX, der Möglicherweise seine Welle 3 fertig baut und auf 21500 Punkte steigen könnte und dem DXY der seine letzte Welle 5 in der Welle c der Welle B baut, um damit den EURUSD weiter zu Fall bringen wird der Ebenfalls in der letzten Welle 5 der Welle c in der Welle B steckt. Beste Grüße, euer SwingMann
The current BTC price is consolidating around $94K, with a potential move in either direction. Key resistance lies near $108K, while significant support aligns with the FWB:73K –76K CME gap zone. A break above $100K could confirm bullish momentum, but a rejection might lead to a retest of the lower support. What’s your take on the next move—gap fill or breakout? Share your thoughts below!
The Financial Market Geometric Method and the resulting 'The Tube Oscillator', which I discovered through my research work in collaboration with the University of Heidelberg as a scientific research project, was published on July 12, 2024 as a scientific innovation. Link to the published paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.08036 The BUY signals in the chart indicate the appropriate moment when the MSFT stock is favorable for purchasing. The SELL signals in the chart indicate when the stock should be sold in order to efficiently remain on the profitable side. Regarding drawdown, I would like to note the following: 'Drawdowns are business costs in stock market trading.'
The Financial Market Geometric Method and the resulting 'The Tube Oscillator', which I discovered through my research work in collaboration with the University of Heidelberg as a scientific research project, was published on July 12, 2024 as a scientific innovation. Link to the published paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.08036 The BUY signals in the chart indicate the appropriate moment when the GOOGL stock is favorable for purchasing. The SELL signals in the chart indicate when the stock should be sold in order to efficiently remain on the profitable side. Regarding drawdown, I would like to note the following: 'Drawdowns are business costs in stock market trading.'
I’d like to know your thoughts on the likelihood of the CME gap closing and how you estimate the probability of this happening. Currently, we’re at 94,120 (as of January 1), with the CME markets still closed. The on-chain price is also hovering around 94,000. What are your thoughts on the possibility of closing the CME gap in the 73K–76K range?