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** A forecast for the months ahead ** On the above 2 week chart price action has enjoyed a historic 60% rally in only 12 months. There’s talk now of a massive rally for higher highs. Is the talk correct? “David Morgan: Silver to US$40 in 2025, Then Blow-off Top in 2026?” And 60% isn’t a blow off top? https://investingnews.com/david-morgan-gold-forecast/ Technical analysis now supports a number of reasons to consider a bearish outlook in the months ahead. They include: 1) RSI support breakout. 2) Strong bearish divergence. Look left! 3) Bollinger Band curling inwards, a forewarning of buyer exhaustion and imminent trend reversal. 4) Currently a 3 month Gravestone DOJI candle prints. A confirmation at year end would be the green light to trigger strong selling pressure. 5) It is not the expectation of this analyst to see price action selling off until a re-test of the $35 area. This would be an excellent area for profit taking. Is it possible price action continues to print higher highs as is popularly believed? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww 3 month gravestone DOJI https://www.tradingview.com/x/bNYC8a5e/ Inverse head and shoulders https://www.tradingview.com/x/LmXdJd6f/
Hello, As highlighted in the previous analysis, FX:USDCHF has experienced a decline. Currently, we are observing a movement towards the 1-Year Pivot Point (PP). If this level acts as resistance, we could see further downside. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
VIC can break the main resistance level and get to the next resistance levels shown on chart.
We got our pullback, but a lot less shallow than the npoc we marked, instead bounced from the orderblock/local highs we left before the final lows were put in. We can see this as buyers being more aggressive than anticipated, so it makes sense to look for continuation longs as well. Since we are now testing and trading just below a bearish orderblow, longing here is too risky for me. Instead I'd wait for price to clear that orderblock and start grinding higher after that. We had many cases where price kept making HL and HH on ltf; although it's hard for a range trader like me to take those trades, I've been practicing and getting better at it, so will take a shot again if I say the grinding twap structure form again near the highs. Of course there are also still a lot of sell orders waiting around the 100k level, which is something to keep in mind: expect volatility and some sell pressure to come in on a first tap of that round number level.
The dollar is about to go down heavily. Stuff priced in dollars - for example, equities and crypto - will go up correspondingly. Let's look at this weekly chart of the DXY, which is the dollar versus a basket of other currencies, overlaid with the Fed Funds Rate, which is, simplistically, the main interest rate. We see that when rates go up, the dollar goes up. The inverse is also true. This relation is because when interest rates are low, it has an effect similar to printing money, where the *value* of the dollar is diluted by all the new dollars coming into circulation. The markets are forward-looking. The DXY started its parabolic run upwards in H2 2021 in advance of the actual raise in the interest rate. It broke the parabola also in advance of the rate being tapered - that is, rates still increased for a little, but by less and less. Then rates went sideways and so did the dollar, in a multi-year range with clearly defined support and resistance. Now, rates are coming down again - and the dollar will fall. It tapped the top of the range, made a little exuberant Swing Failure Pattern to the next weekly resistance, and formed a technical high (the Low of the highest candle was just taken on close by this week's candle. Most likely path is now to the bottom of the range at ~100, then bounce and continue down to previous support at ~89. Coming on top of the existing market euphoria around US elections, and the all-time highs in SPY and Bitcoin, this is likely to trigger a parabolic run up in *all* risk assets. Oddly, safe-haven assets like Gold and Silver will I think *also* rise, because they are inflation hedges - the original meaning of inflation, of course, being inflation of the currency.
All 3 major timeframes (MN, W, D) are bearish, and the market is in a short expansion phase. The idea is valid while the daily is waving south.
Hello, FX:GBPUSD has reached a fresh 1-week high from the 6-month low of 1.24872. While the pair remains overall bearish, it has established itself above several resistance levels and pivot points. We anticipate further upside towards the 1-month pivot point initially. From there, the next move will depend on how the price reacts. Key resistance levels at 1.28499 and 1.29493 should not be overlooked as potential turning points. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
WOW I just can't stop thinking about the BTC/USD market! I'm seriously convinced that it's going to MOON to $300k! Can you imagine the possibilities? Let's get ready to ride this wave together. Black Rock is involve the Microsoft Strategy is also involved