Hello traders First of all, best of luck for yet another challenging week ahead. I usually keep my charts simple in appearance but in this case I toyed around with the canvas to illustrate the direction of these three USD instruments. It also gave me the opportunity to simmer down before I start writing my next Idea on EUR/USD. The charts tell the story. The FOMC's 50 bps rate cut on September 18th 2024 caused considerable consternation in the markets. It was a turning point for all three USD instruments because it was an implicit acknowledgement that the FOMC saw some economic hardship ahead. The DXY was the outlier because it zoomed higher because of the FOMC projections for future rate cuts but more importantly because it was still the highest rate in the G7 other than the UK. The USD 10Y T-bill and USD 10Y yield tell a different story. The decrease and breakdown in the yield shows less confidence in the economy moving forward. * Investopedia.com has good information about the inverse relationship between the the cost of a bond and the yield, for anyone who wants to brush up on that topic. In my opinion, DJT+1 and his/their tariff threats and chaotic administration decisions(think firing Federal employees safeguarding our nuclear arsenal, a threat to abolish the Dept. of Education etc. etc. etc.) are reflected in these charts. He is getting his wish by slightly devaluing the USD but ultimately his economic policies are going to lead to more economic pain for American consumers by increasing inflation. Canada and Mexico, our biggest trade partners have made it clear, they will retaliate with equal sized tariffs. Load up on the guacamole while you can. :)) I do not foresee the FOMC raising rates but they will also not be cutting either if and when inflation raises it's ugly head again. We all know DJT's casual relationship with facts and his penchant to brag about his exceptional "Common Sense" that also explained the tragic death of 67 individuals in the recent Washington D.C. plane crash. Please form your own opinions on him also blaming it on DEI initiatives. I am staying out of that minefield and also do not have enough time or space to deal with any broken individual's misogyny and racial hatred. Bottom line, the USA does not have a leader who can instill confidence in our future or the International order and marketplace. He is aided by his +1, Musk, who somehow believe that the Silicon Valley mantra of "move fast and break things" will work in Government and in the international arena. I do no think so. These two bulls in the china shop will turn around sooner than later and deny that they are responsible for the International and Domestic wreckage, chaos and damage that they have caused. Only time will tell, though. I put my money on the mid terms. And once again, I am a registered Independent voter in this beautiful land of the USA, which despite all the problems and issues, is still one of the best places in the world to live. Thanks for reading and feel free to share your opinion either way.
I am bearish on CRYPTOCAP:BTC for the following reasons: 1️⃣ The $Bybit hack resulted in a loss of $1.4B worth of $ETH. To continue trading, Bybit is currently bridging liquidity with Binance. However, this is only a temporary solution. Eventually, they will need to buy back $1.4B in ETH, and the only reserve asset large enough to cover this is Bitcoin. I expect at least SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B of BTC to be sold on the market to acquire the necessary ETH. 2️⃣ The hackers are liquidating their $1.4B in stolen ETH. Since smart contract-based assets can be traced and frozen, their best option is to swap to CRYPTOCAP:BTC , which is harder to track and cannot be frozen. In total, Bitcoin faces a potential selling pressure of over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , which is enough to significantly impact its price. ? Given that Bitcoin is already in a consolidation phase, this pressure could push the price down to $93K or even $91K. ? Expect dead cat bounces, where traders can profit, but be cautious—this selling pressure is real. Bybit needs to resolve its liquidity issues quickly, and the hackers are racing to cash out ASAP. ⚠️ DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 57/61.80% Chart time frame: D A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Taking a look into the week ahead and what we can expect with news events. How will they effect the markets and what general direction or trade setups we can hope for this week. Breaking down DXY, US30, Nas100, Gold, Oil, Forex pairs.
Still in a downtrend since the price is below the 200-day moving average (1.1810 USDT). Consolidating around 0.78 USDT, meaning no further drop for now, but no strong uptrend either. RSI (39.84) is still below 50, so buyers aren’t strong yet, but it has exited the oversold zone, which is a good sign. Low trading volume, meaning big players haven’t stepped in yet. Don’t rush to buy! Better to wait for a breakout above 0.85 - 0.90 USDT or strong buying momentum. If you already bought, watch how it reacts to resistance before deciding. Stop-loss below 0.70 USDT makes sense—stick to it if you enter. No strong buy signal yet, but it’s stabilizing a bit. If you want to take the risk, use a stop-loss and keep an eye on resistance levels. Good luck everyone & Be profitable?? ? It's not financial advice ?
? ? ? Market-Moving News ?: ??? U.S. Tariffs Implementation ?: President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and lumber products, set to take effect on April 2, 2025. This move aims to protect domestic industries but has raised concerns about potential impacts on global trade relations. ???? Diplomatic Efforts ????: This week marks the third anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Key events include French President Emmanuel Macron visiting President Trump in Washington and a virtual G7 meeting to discuss potential resolutions to the ongoing conflict. ? Key Data Releases ?: ? Tuesday, Feb 25: ? S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) ?: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities. ? Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) ?: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.6 from January's 104.1. ? Wednesday, Feb 26: ? New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) ?: Reports the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month. Economists predict a modest decline to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 homes from December's 698,000. ? Thursday, Feb 27: ? Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) ?: Weekly report on the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits. ? Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) ?: Revised estimate of the nation's economic growth for Q4 2024. The initial reading showed a 2.3% annual growth rate, slightly below expectations. ?️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) ?️: Indicates new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods. ? Friday, Feb 28: ? Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index (8:30 AM ET) ?: The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation. ? Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) ?: Reports changes in personal income and spending. ? Pending Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) ?: Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes. ? #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
I believe the market is over pricing ADA Short entry caught using my own fib in combination with EuroMotif's Golden Gensisis Fib (Binance Edition) There aren't any fakeouts left
? ? Asset: Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. (ISSC) ? Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart ? Setup Type: Descending Triangle Breakdown & Bearish Continuation Trade ? Trade Plan (Short Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Below $7.92 (Breakdown Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above $8.44 (Break of Resistance & Trendline) ? Take Profit Targets ? TP1: $7.36 (First Support Level) ? TP2: $6.67 (Final Target – Extended Bearish Move) ? Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation ? Risk (SL Distance): $8.44 - $7.92 = $0.52 risk per share ? Reward to TP1: $7.92 - $7.36 = $0.56 (1.08 R/R) ? Reward to TP2: $7.92 - $6.67 = $1.25 (2.40 R/R) ? Technical Analysis & Strategy ? Descending Triangle Breakdown Setup: ISSC has been forming lower highs, indicating strong selling pressure. ? Support & Resistance Flip: The price is breaking below the $7.92 support level, confirming bearish momentum. ? Breakdown Confirmation: A strong bearish candle closing below $7.92 with high volume would validate the short trade. ? Momentum Shift Expected: If price stays below $7.92, it could drop toward $7.36 (TP1) and $6.67 (TP2). ? Key Support & Resistance Levels ? $8.44 – Strong Resistance / Stop-Loss Level ? $7.92 – Entry / Breakdown Level ? $7.36 – First Support / TP1 ? $6.67 – Final Target / TP2 ? Trade Execution & Risk Management ? Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong selling volume below $7.92 before entering. ? Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($7.92) after TP1 ($7.36) is hit. ? Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $7.36, let the rest run to $6.67. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($7.92) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakdown Risk ❌ If price closes back above $7.92, it could indicate a fake breakdown—exit early. ❌ Wait for a strong candle close below $7.92 for confirmation before entering aggressively. ? Final Thoughts ✔ Bearish Setup – Breaking below $7.92 could lead to lower targets. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.08 to TP1, 1:2.40 to TP2. ? Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ?? ? #StockTrading #ISSC #InnovativeSolutions #BearishBreakdown #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #ProfittoPath #DayTrading #MomentumTrading #SwingTrading #TradingView #ShortTrade #TradeSmart #RiskManagement #StockShorting #Investing #StockAlerts #ChartAnalysis ??
It feels we are improving on the chance to see a bit higher levels again. However, we should be careful when below 18.3000 as this opens the door to 18.1250 area. Strategy BUY @ 18.3150-18.3500 and take profit near 18.5350 for now.
? WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! ?? ? Ultra-Aggressive, High-Win Probability Trading Plan for XAU/USD (Gold) – February 19, 2025 ? ? Current Market Overview – 5-Minute Chart (DeepSeek AI Institutional-Grade Insights) • ? Current Price: $2,936.26 • ? High of the Day: $2,936.75 • ? Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.01 (? STRONG Institutional Selling Area!) • ? Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support, R2): $2,940.01 • ? Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,925.10 ? • ? Psychological Support (S1): $2,920.28 ? Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis – Smart Money Insights ? Key Institutional Order Flow Observations: ✅ Liquidity Clusters: • BUY WALLS detected between $2,920-$2,925, indicating a potential stop-hunt before a bullish reversal. • STRONG SELL ORDERS stacking at $2,940-$2,950, signaling potential rejections or fake breakouts. ✅ Smart Money Manipulation: • Market Makers engineering liquidity sweeps near $2,940-$2,950 before a short-term pullback. • COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Hedge funds reducing long positions while increasing shorts – institutions positioning for a sell-off. ✅ Liquidity Map Breakdown: • Large Buy Walls near $2,920, indicating strong institutional demand. • Sell orders stacking at $2,950, suggesting distribution and possible bull trap. ? Best Indicator Combination for Maximum Profit ✔ Fibonacci Retracement Levels: • 38.2% – $2,940 ✅ (Key rejection zone) • 50.0% – $2,945 • 61.8% – $2,950 ? (HIGH-RISK SHORT ZONE) ✔ 50 EMA & 200 EMA Analysis: • 50 EMA (Short-term trend) is flattening, signaling consolidation before a breakout. • 200 EMA (Long-term trend) is acting as dynamic resistance near $2,940. ✔ RSI (7) Momentum Confirmation: • RSI is hovering around 50, indicating neutral momentum, but overbought on lower timeframes. ✔ VWAP Analysis: • Price is slightly above VWAP, confirming institutional accumulation near support levels. ✔ MACD Analysis: • Bullish cross detected, but momentum is slowing ? CAUTION NEEDED! ? Key Market Manipulation Tactics & Smart Money Strategy ? Market Makers’ Playbook in XAU/USD: • Liquidity Sweeps – Expect a push above $2,940 to trigger FOMO, then a reversal lower to liquidate longs. • Stop-Hunts – A quick dip below $2,920 could be a trap before price surges back up. • Fake Breakouts – A move above $2,950 could be a bull trap before a breakdown. ? How to Trade Like Institutions? ✅ Patience is key! WAIT FOR: • A liquidity grab below $2,920 before longing. • A rejection near $2,940-$2,950 for shorts. • Order flow confirmation before entering any trade. ? Momentum & Trend Analysis ✔ RSI: • Neutral, but slightly overbought on lower timeframes. ✔ Stochastic Oscillator: • ? Bearish divergence detected – confirming a likely pullback. ✔ Moving Averages: • 50 EMA acting as a short-term pivot zone. ? Trading Decision – BUY or SELL? ? High-Probability Short Trade Setup – Institutions Are Dumping Gold! ? Sell Setup (Best Short Entry) • ? Entry: $2,940 - $2,945 • ? Stop-Loss: $2,952 • ✅ Take-Profit 1: $2,925 • ✅ Take-Profit 2: $2,920 • ⚡ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ✅ HIGH PROBABILITY TRADE! ? Why Short? • Institutions are likely distributing gold near $2,950. • RSI & Stochastic show bearish divergence – signs of momentum exhaustion. • Sell liquidity zones are building up above $2,940 – high chance of rejection. ⚡ Execution Plan for Maximum Profit ✔ Step 1: Wait for price to test $2,940-$2,945. ✔ Step 2: Confirm rejection with a bearish engulfing candle. ✔ Step 3: Watch order flow for sell walls appearing. ✔ Step 4: Enter short with tight stop-loss at $2,952. ✔ Step 5: Ride down to $2,920 for full TP. ? FINAL DECISION – MILK THE MARKET STRATEGY! ??? ? Trade Type: ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE HIGH CONFIDENCE SHORT ? Verdict: SELL XAU/USD from $2,940-$2,945 ? ? Exact Entry Price: $2,940-$2,945 ? Stop-Loss: $2,952 ? Take-Profit 1: $2,925 ? Take-Profit 2: $2,920 ? Market Maker Strategy: Short trap before pullback – let’s milk this move! ? Institutions are likely taking profits here and preparing for a short-term pullback. ? AGGRESSIVE SCALP – Let’s Milk This Market! ?? ? WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! ? TRADE SMART. TRADE WITH INSTITUTIONS. TRADE TO WIN! ???