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? Market Overview Current Price: $2,935.000 High of the Session: $2,935.000 Major Resistance (R3): $2,940.010 Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support - R2): $2,938.000 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,932.000 Psychological Support (S1): $2,925.104 ? Gold is currently trading near its session high, testing resistance levels. ? Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Insights ? Key Observations: Gold has rejected multiple times near $2,940, indicating strong supply zones. Institutions are likely selling at this level, preparing for a possible retracement. Liquidity is building near $2,930, which could be a downside target. ? If price fails to break $2,938, a short opportunity emerges for a move back to $2,930 - $2,925. ? Indicator Breakdown RSI (7): Approaching overbought territory (above 60), signaling possible exhaustion. MACD: Showing a loss of bullish momentum, potential for a bearish crossover. VWAP: Price is approaching institutional sell levels. 50 EMA & 200 EMA: Bearish bias forming below resistance. ? If price rejects $2,938 - $2,940, momentum favors a short trade. ? High-Confidence SELL Setup ? Sell Entry Zone: $2,937 - $2,939 ? Stop-Loss (SL): $2,941 (Above liquidity zone) ? Take-Profit (TP): TP1: $2,932 (Quick scalp) TP2: $2,928 (Institutional Support) Maximum TP: $2,925 (Extended Target) ? Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.5:1 – Strong Setup ⚡ Execution Plan ✅ SELL IF price rejects $2,938 - $2,940 and fails to break higher. ✅ If price starts breaking below $2,935, downside momentum increases. ✅ Monitor order flow: If sell orders stack up at $2,938, institutions are unloading. ✅ RSI must stay below 60 and MACD should confirm bearish momentum. ? FINAL VERDICT – WAIT FOR A REJECTION AT $2,938 - $2,940, THEN SELL FOR A DROP TOWARD $2,925!
Analysis Overview : The share price of System1, Inc. (SST) has been in a general downward trend over the past several weeks, if not months. Recent activity, however, suggests a short-term bounce from lower support levels. While the higher timeframe (daily/weekly) structure remains bearish, the 4-hour chart indicates a possible window for a bullish countertrend trade. Below is a detailed look at the current setup. Market Structure Trend Bias : On the bigger picture, SST’s price has printed a series of lower highs and lower lows—textbook bearish. On the 4-hour timeframe, though, we see a minor shift: the stock has bounced from the ~0.60 zone and is now testing short-term moving averages. Support and Resistance : Key Support: Around 0.60–0.62, which has held price twice in recent weeks. A break below 0.60 would invalidate any bullish thesis. Immediate Resistance: Near 0.70–0.72, where price briefly rallied but stalled before. Beyond that, 0.80–0.90 sits under the Ichimoku Cloud, an area likely to offer heavier resistance. Ichimoku Cloud Perspective : The price is still trading below the cloud on the 4-hour chart, indicating that downward momentum is still dominant overall. However, the short-term bounce above certain moving averages suggests the possibility of testing higher levels. Indicators and Price Action Moving Averages (MAs) : Short-term MAs (e.g., 9-period, 26-period) are attempting a bullish crossover, which generally hints at a short-lived upward push. Volume : Recent volume upticks around the 0.60–0.65 region hint that buyers may be stepping in, though it hasn’t been an explosive move. A decisive push higher would ideally need stronger volume to confirm genuine buying interest. Potential Trade Setup Entry Zone : A common approach would be looking at a 0.66–0.68 price window for initiating a position, awaiting confirmation from a 4-hour close above this band. Some traders might opt to scale in, starting small at ~0.67 and adding more if the price breaks and holds above ~0.70. Stop Loss (SL) : A logical stop clusters around 0.62, just beneath the prior swing low (~0.60–0.62). If price falls back into that zone or below, the bullish scenario is likely invalidated. Take Profits (TPs) : 1. TP1: ~0.72 (this region offers a 1:1 risk-reward if risk is ~$0.05 per share from ~0.67 entry). 2. TP2: ~0.78 (2:1 R/R). 3. TP3: ~0.84 (3:1 R/R, also near the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud). 4. Final Target: ~0.90, for traders aiming to let a partial “runner” position ride if momentum continues. Trade Management : Once price tags the first target (~0.72) and holds above it, some may choose to move the stop loss to breakeven, thus locking in safety on the remainder of the position. Further profit-taking can be done incrementally at TP2 and TP3, ensuring gains are secured while leaving a runner for any larger move. Key Consideration s 1. Countertrend Nature: Since the higher timeframe trend is still down, going long here is a countertrend trade. Such setups inherently carry more risk. 2. Ichimoku Cloud : Remaining below the cloud signals overhead resistance is strong, so a rally could run into selling pressure quickly around 0.80–0.90. 3. Volume Confirmation : Watch how the trading volume behaves on any breakout. A move above 0.70 with no volume spike might be prone to failure. 4. Capital Risk Management : Always size your position so that a ~$0.05 stop (if entering around 0.67) represents an acceptable percentage loss of your overall capital (e.g., 1–2%). Risk and Probability Setup Strength: Moderately low to moderate, given it fights against a larger downtrend. Success Probability: Likely in the 50–60% range; it’s not the strongest bullish sign, but short-term momentum can occasionally produce quick gains. Risk Level: Medium. Stick to stop-loss discipline if the setup invalidates (below 0.60). Closing Thoughts System1, Inc. (SST) is showing some short-term resilience despite its broader negative trend. The price’s recovery from 0.60 may lead to a tradable rally if it can overcome immediate resistance around 0.70–0.72. Conservative traders might wait for further validation—like a 4-hour close above 0.70 with increased volume—before risking capital. As always, keep in mind that the market’s trend can reassert itself quickly. If the stock fails to hold above key supports or if volume doesn’t confirm the bullish move, be ready to honor your stop loss and reassess. No setup is a guarantee, and disciplined risk management can mean the difference between a manageable trade and a big hit to your portfolio. > Disclaimer : This report is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or an investment recommendation. Always do your own due diligence and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
After waiting a while another opportunity presents it's self Weak price in buyers at top with the same range, looking at a ~130pip drop. First I waited for buyers to break above resistance, and then to see what else they could do afterwards As price went on we saw buyers try to step back in but only for sellers to keep pushing down creating Lower Highs and Lower Lows This tells me buyers aren't too interested and could see sellers step in with more strength as time goes on. Price is also consolidating around SMA-150 exactly after the rejection which tells me price is building up for a reversal. Same rules apply: - Shorts Only - Setup will take 20 days start to finish - The actual trade will take 6 days +
? ? Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) ? Timeframe: 30-Min Chart ? Setup Type: Ascending Triangle Breakout & Trendline Support Long Trade ? Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above $98,980 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $98,117 (Break of Support & Trendline) ? Take Profit Targets ? TP1: $99,717 (First Resistance Level) ? TP2: $100,613 (Final Target – Extended Bullish Move) ? Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation ? Risk (SL Distance): $98,980 - $98,117 = $863 risk per BTC ? Reward to TP1: $99,717 - $98,980 = $737 (0.85 R/R) ? Reward to TP2: $100,613 - $98,980 = $1,633 (1.89 R/R) ? Technical Analysis & Strategy ? Ascending Triangle Breakout Setup: Price is testing the upper resistance of an ascending triangle, which is a bullish continuation pattern. ? Trendline & Support Bounce: BTC has bounced off the ascending trendline (~$98,117), confirming buyer strength. ? Breakout Confirmation: A strong bullish candle above $98,980 with increasing volume would validate the breakout. ? Momentum Shift Expected: If price holds above $98,980, a rally toward $99,717 (TP1) and $100,613 (TP2) is anticipated. ? Key Support & Resistance Levels ? $98,117 – Strong Support / Stop-Loss Level ? $98,980 – Entry / Breakout Level ? $99,717 – First Resistance / TP1 ? $100,613 – Final Target / TP2 ? Trade Execution & Risk Management ? Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong buying volume above $98,980 before entering. ? Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($98,980) after TP1 ($99,717) is hit. ? Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $99,717, let the rest run to $100,613. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($98,980) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If price breaks below $98,117, it could indicate a bearish continuation—exit early. ❌ Wait for a strong candle close above $98,980 for confirmation before entering aggressively. ? Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Holding above $98,980 could lead to higher targets. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:0.85 to TP1, 1:1.89 to TP2. ? Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ?? ? #CryptoTrading #BTC #Bitcoin #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #ProfittoPath #DayTrading #MomentumStocks #SwingTrading #TradingView #LongTrade #TradeSmart #RiskManagement #CryptoBreakout #Investing #CryptoAlerts #ChartAnalysis ??