? Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Trend & Structure: * IWM remains in a strong downtrend, marked by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals. * A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a possible reversal, but confirmation is needed. * Key Resistance: ~215-218 (supply zone) * Support Zone: ~205-208 (current demand area) 2. Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: * MACD: Starting to flatten, showing potential for a bullish divergence. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, indicating a potential bounce. * Volume Spike: Increased volume at support suggests possible accumulation. ? GEX & Options Flow: https://www.tradingview.com/x/8oB7aBUR/ 1. Call Walls (Resistance) ? * 218-222: Strong resistance where gamma resistance intensifies. * 230: Major call wall, unlikely to be tested unless a strong bounce occurs. 2. Put Walls (Support) ? * 205: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a breakdown could accelerate downside pressure. * 200-195: Next major support levels if 205 fails. 3. IV Rank & Skew: * IVR 45.2, indicating mid-range implied volatility. * Puts account for 34.4%, showing strong downside interest. * Implied move ±0.32%, suggesting potential large swings. ? Trading Plan & Suggestions: * Bullish Reversal Scenario: * If IWM holds 205-208, we could see a bounce toward 215-218. * Ideal trade: April 210C or 215C, targeting a reversal move. * Bearish Breakdown Scenario: * If IWM loses 205, downside targets extend to 195-200. * Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 205P or 200P, targeting 190-195. ⚠️ Key Warning: If IWM fails to reclaim 210 quickly, bearish momentum could extend further. ? Conclusion: IWM at a Decision Zone – Bounce or Breakdown? Russell 2000 is testing a key support area, with early reversal signals forming but heavy put positioning remains. The next few sessions will decide if we get a bounce or another leg lower. Watch price action near 205-208 closely before making a move. ?? ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
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? Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Trend & Structure: * NVDA remains in a strong downtrend, with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals confirming bearish control. * A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a possible reversal, but confirmation is needed. * Key Resistance: ~120-126 (supply zone) * Support Zone: ~110-113 (current demand area) 2. Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: * MACD: Starting to show signs of slowing momentum, potential for a bullish crossover. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, indicating a possible mean reversion bounce. * Volume Spike: Increasing volume at support suggests institutional accumulation. ? GEX & Options Flow: https://www.tradingview.com/x/LWL2gnAq/ 1. Call Walls (Resistance) ? * 126-130: Strong resistance where gamma resistance intensifies. * 140: Major call wall, unlikely to be tested without a strong reversal. 2. Put Walls (Support) ? * 110: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a breakdown could accelerate selling pressure. * 100-95: Next major support levels if 110 fails. 3. IV Rank & Skew: * IVR 54.5, indicating mid-to-high implied volatility. * Puts are dominating, at 81.35% of second-wall exposure. * Calls only 11.2%, suggesting bearish sentiment remains strong. ? Trading Plan & Suggestions: * Bullish Reversal Scenario: * If NVDA holds 110-113, expect a short squeeze rally toward 120-125. * Ideal trade: April 115C or 120C, targeting a reversal move. * Bearish Breakdown Scenario: * If NVDA loses 110, downside targets extend to 100-105. * Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 110P or 105P targeting 95-100. ⚠️ Key Warning: A strong bounce is possible, but failure to reclaim 115 quickly will favor more downside. ? Conclusion: NVDA at a Pivotal Level – Rebound or Freefall? NVIDIA is testing a key support area with early reversal signals, but bears still dominate options flow. The next few sessions will determine if bulls can defend this zone or if we see another leg down. Stay cautious and watch price action near 110-113 before making a move. ?? ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
After looking and waiting to see what kind of pattern this plays out. It’s look like a bullish pendant. I say we may hit 27-33 range. But with current market situation it may fail. But we will see
? Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Trend & Structure: * GOOGL remains in a strong downtrend, confirmed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals. * A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a possible reversal, but confirmation is needed. * Key Resistance: ~177-180 (supply zone) * Support Zone: ~165-167 (high liquidity demand area) 2. Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: * MACD: Momentum is starting to slow down, and a potential bullish crossover may be forming. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold conditions suggest a possible short-term bounce. * Volume Spike: Strong buying volume appearing near support levels indicates institutional interest. ? GEX & Options Flow: https://www.tradingview.com/x/fbzplWZ9/ 1. Call Walls (Resistance) ? * 177-190: Major resistance levels, likely to reject price on any bounce. * 200: 3rd Call Wall, where gamma resistance is strong. 2. Put Walls (Support) ? * 160: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a break below could accelerate a sharp drop. * 155-150: Next downside targets if 160 fails. 3. IV Rank & Skew: * IVR 50.5, indicating mid-range volatility. * IV skew suggests a neutral to slightly bearish bias. * Calls only 3.2%, confirming put dominance. ? Trading Plan & Suggestions: * Bullish Reversal Scenario: * If GOOGL holds 165-167, we could see a bounce toward 175-180. * Ideal trade: March-April 170C or 175C, targeting a reversal. * Bearish Breakdown Scenario: * If GOOGL breaks 165, expect a drop toward 160, triggering put-heavy action. * Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 165P or 160P targeting 150-160. ⚠️ Key Warning: The next few candles will be critical—watch for bullish confirmation before going long. ? Conclusion: GOOGL Near a Reversal Zone – Watch for Confirmation! Google is testing a key support area, with indicators showing early signs of a bounce. However, if 165 fails, we could see a sharp drop toward 160-155. The next sessions will determine the trend—stay alert for reversals or breakdowns! ?? ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
How do you translate the R-rated Netflix series to the family-friendly MCU? By not changing anything. With Daredevil: Born Again debuting this week, stars Charlie Cox and Vincent D’Onofrio have been making the press rounds talking about the process of taking the very R-rated, violent Netflix series and extending that story for what D’Onofrio says is essentially a fourth season on Disney+. …
In Part 8 of our essential issues of Marvel Comics series, we also look at Secret Wars, the Surtur Saga, and more from 1983-1986. With many of their all-time best runs in full swing, the middle of the 1980s was a lucrative time for Marvel, not just creatively, but also as a business. With the rough financial patches of the late ‘70s behind them (thanks, Star Wars), the House of Ideas was …
Key Observations Across Timeframes: 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis: Short-term (M15, M30): Price is consolidating near 189.200, testing the previous daily low (PDL) for liquidity. A Break of Structure (BOS) occurred, signaling short-term bearish control. The price is hovering at a key demand zone (PWL - 188.500/187.800). If price breaks below 188.800, further downside is likely. Mid-term (H1, H4): The price rejected equilibrium (~189.800 - 190.000), showing weakness. A Change of Character (ChOCH) to the downside suggests a bearish trend continuation. Liquidity below PWL (187.800) could be a target before a potential bounce. Long-term (D1): The price is in a larger downtrend, failing to break above premium zones (~190.500 - 192.000). Liquidity below PWL (~188.000 - 187.500) is uncollected, making it a likely target. The next major support lies in the discount zone (~185.500 - 186.500). 2. Key Liquidity Zones & Supply/Demand Areas: Premium Zone (~190.500 - 192.000): Major resistance; rejection happened here. Equilibrium (~189.800 - 190.000): Price failed to hold above, signaling weakness. Discount Zone (~187.500 - 186.500): Next strong demand area if price continues lower. Previous Daily Low (PDL - 188.800): Price is testing this level for liquidity; a break here could lead to further downside. Previous Weekly Low (PWL - 187.500): Untapped liquidity below, making it a strong target for price movement. Probability-Based Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation to 187.800 - 186.500 (Break Below PDL & PWL) Probability: 65% Reasons: Failure to hold above equilibrium (189.800). Bearish BOS & ChOCH confirmations on H1/H4 suggest a move down. Liquidity below 188.000 (PWL) remains uncollected. Strong daily downtrend supports further downside. Bearish Confirmation: If price breaks and holds below 188.800, expect a move toward 187.500 - 186.500. 2. Bullish Reversal from Discount Zone (Bounce from 188.500 - 187.500) Probability: 35% Reasons: Potential liquidity grab at PWL (188.000 - 187.500) before reversing. Demand zone at 187.500 - 186.500 could cause a bullish reaction. If price holds above 188.800, we may see a bounce to 189.800 - 190.000. Bullish Confirmation: If price fails to break below 188.500, a push back toward equilibrium (189.800) is possible. Final Thoughts & Trade Plan: Bearish bias (65% probability) for continuation toward 187.800 - 186.500. Key Confirmation Levels: Below 188.800: Bearish toward 187.500 - 186.500. Above 189.200: Potential bullish recovery toward 189.800 - 190.000. Trade Setup Overview: Bias: Bearish (65% probability) Entry Type: Breakout & Retest ? Sell (Short) Trade Setup: ? Entry: Below 188.800 (Confirmed BOS) ? Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: 188.200 (PWL - Previous Weekly Low) TP2: 187.800 (Liquidity sweep level) TP3: 186.500 (Major discount zone) ? Stop Loss (SL): 189.400 (Above minor liquidity) ? Risk-to-Reward (R:R): TP1: ~1:2 TP2: ~1:3 TP3: ~1:5 ? Confirmation Needed: Strong candle close below 188.800 (Break & retest scenario) No immediate bullish rejection at 188.500 ? Buy (Long) Trade Setup (Lower Probability - 35%) ? Entry: Above 189.200 (Bullish rejection & BOS) ? Take Profit (TP) Targets: TP1: 189.800 (Equilibrium zone) TP2: 190.500 (Supply zone) TP3: 191.500 (Major resistance) ? Stop Loss (SL): 188.700 (Below structure low) ? Risk-to-Reward (R:R): TP1: ~1:2 TP2: ~1:3 TP3: ~1:5 ? Confirmation Needed: Price needs to hold above 189.200 with strong bullish momentum. No immediate rejection from equilibrium (189.800). ?️ Execution Tips: ? Wait for a clear breakout & retest before entering. ⚖️ Adjust lot size based on risk tolerance (~1-2% per trade). ?️ Monitor price action on the lower timeframes (M15/M30) for entry precision.
? ? ? Asset: CNX500 (Nifty 500 Index) ? Timeframe: 30-Min Chart ? Setup Type: Bullish Reversal Trade ? Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above ₹19,919 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below ₹19,585.45 (Invalidation Level) ? Take Profit Targets: ? TP1: ₹20,333.35 (First Resistance Level) ? TP2: ₹20,887.00 (Extended Bullish Move) ? Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation ? Risk (SL Distance): ₹19,919 - ₹19,585.45 = ₹333.55 risk per unit ? Reward to TP1: ₹20,333.35 - ₹19,919 = ₹414.35 (1:1.2 R/R) ? Reward to TP2: ₹20,887.00 - ₹19,919 = ₹968.00 (1:2.9 R/R) ? Technical Analysis & Strategy ? Descending Trendline Breakout: Price has broken out of a downtrend, signaling a potential reversal. ? Support Rejection: The price tested ₹19,919 support and showed buying pressure. ? Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above ₹19,919 to confirm bullish momentum. ? Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains above ₹19,919, it could push toward ₹20,333.35, and further to ₹20,887.00. ? Key Support & Resistance Levels ? ₹19,585.45 – Stop-Loss / Support Level ? ₹19,919 – Breakout Level / Long Entry ? ₹20,333.35 – First Resistance / TP1 ? ₹20,887.00 – Final Target / TP2 ? Trade Execution & Risk Management ? Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above ₹19,919 before entering. ? Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry (₹19,919) after TP1 (₹20,333.35) is hit. ? Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at ₹20,333.35, let the rest run toward ₹20,887.00. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even (₹19,919) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold above ₹19,919 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above ₹19,919 before entering aggressively. ? Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Bouncing from support at ₹19,919 suggests a potential reversal. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.2 to TP1, 1:2.9 to TP2. ? Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ?? ? #Nifty500 ? #StockMarketIndia ? #TechnicalAnalysis ? #NSETrading ? #SwingTrading ? #BullishSetup ? #TradingView ? #MarketTrends ? #ProfittoPath ? #RiskManagement ⚠️ #TradingCommunity ?
Hello traders. This is my first trade since last week. Trump is ripping through the markets like a tornado. First, the made for TV moment of dressing down Zelensky in the White House. We all know, the meeting just prior to that behind closed doors must have been a screaming match because he did not get his way. I'm surprised he did not yell at Zelensky, "You're Fired"! :)) The UK, France and other European leaders picked up the baton in this frightening battle of egos to prevent World War 3. The Euro responded as expected but retreated from the familiar 1.05 level. Today, new tariffs are announced-again. The stock market responded with all three major indices shedding significant value. Tomorrow night, Trump's address to Congress. What is going to transpire in that speech is well known ahead of time: inflation, immigration, America First, tariffs, that ungrateful Zelensky blah blah blah However, it is the unknown that he may come up with that gave me pause to reassess risk appetite. I am not opposed to the USA demanding fair trade but why bother with the pretense of trade agreements? Folks, it is not looking great. He took crypto on a wild ride with his "reserve" announcement. Bitcoin ripped higher from $78K to 94 and back to 82 in no time. Gold is turning up. The VIX was up to 24 today from a sedate average of 14 since the FOMC December 2024 rate announcement when it spiked up to 29. I was still considering trading my favorite instrument EUR/USD(be careful) until I searched for an answer as to how legal the tariffs are under the USMCA (Old NAFTA) trade agreement and found this article. https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/chaos-theory-assessing-legal-validity-trumps-tariffs I encourage you to read the whole article. The take away for me is that the use of the 1977 USA International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) as a pretext(think fentanyl) to raise tariffs on Mexico and Canada, is not only diabolically devious(good job Peter Navarro), there is not much point for any organization or individual in the US to challenge it in court. China has already filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization during February although the foregone conclusion is that even if they prevail, the US will appeal and a whole lot of nothing will happen. There is the ongoing opinion that Trump is using all these tariffs as bargaining tools but when one considers his outburst with Zelensky, supporting Putin in public, risking WWIII and then apply that reckless mindset to trade, I am truly terrified of the global economic pain that may follow. I have shorted the CHF/JPY since these are the safest global currencies. The fundamentals are simple. The SNB cut rates by 50 bps in December 2024, will meet on March 19th but will probably stay put. The BOJ is on a different path. They are raising rates. So while both currencies are at 0.50%, the JPY seems to be the clear winner, also because of the size of it's economy and no clear threats of more tariffs-yet. The pair is below the 100 W MA and has a long way to trend down. This could be a great set and forget trade. This is risk off environment and I wish everyone the best.