Alright, folks: here’s my take on today’s 15‑minute CAPITALCOM:US100 action—Buckle up.? **When the Market Faked Us Out** I was watching price flirt with a fresh high up around 18,500–18,550, but it couldn’t stick. You know that moment: the rally teases you into thinking bulls have taken over, then promptly rolls over. I marked the false higher‑high with a tiny red “X” on my chart—classic stop‑hunt before the reversal. In plain English: institutions swept buy stops, then handed off into those get‑rich‑quick hopes. **Key Zones:** - **Premium (18,800+):** Smart money sells here—price always stalls or dumps. - **Discount (18,000–18,100):** Institutions buy the dip—bounces here carry weight. **FVGs & Stop‑Hunt:** I’ve got Fair Value Gaps around 17,600–17,750 that act like magnets on a pullback. The drop to 17,562.6 was a classic sell‑side stop hunt before the big reversal. - Distribution hit the Premium zone. - Accumulation’s brewing in the Discount zone + FVGs. - That sweep of 17,562.6 was classic smart‑money stop‑hunt + scoop. - ?My long at ~17,880 sits at a neat support confluence—so, for now, I’m leaning bullish to the next structural level. *This is my educational breakdown of ICT concepts—not trading advice. Do your own homework and manage risk.*
EU sell, catching the RTO of HTF BEARISH POI BMS. Holding price till 50% of 4 hr range. Entry is a bit before 50% of the oB just to make sure we get in the trade
A Bullish Divergence has been identified between Price and Momentum indicators on the Hourly chart, signaling a potential Bullish Reversal. This divergence suggests weakening downside momentum and increasing probability of an upward move. Entry levels and Target Prices (TPs) are clearly marked on the chart. Traders are advised to consider the Stop Loss (SL) at the level indicated on the chart to manage risk effectively. This setup favors bullish positioning with calculated risk-reward parameters. Monitor price action around the entry zone for confirmation before execution.
Breakthrough with good volume and Bullish divergence in RSI
Short update about where the liquidity is being hedged off by Market Makers. As of yesterday we have seen much more correlation in the CME futures as CFDs in Europe are being traded less. Irregular and Time-Layered Liquidity Indicators
EFERT : A Bullish Divergence has been identified between Price and Momentum indicators on the Hourly chart, signaling a potential Bullish Reversal. This divergence suggests weakening downside momentum and increasing probability of an upward move. Entry levels and Target Prices (TPs) are clearly marked on the chart. Traders are advised to consider the Stop Loss (SL) at the level indicated on the chart to manage risk effectively. This setup favors bullish positioning with calculated risk-reward parameters. Monitor price action around the entry zone for confirmation before execution.
The symbol MAGIC has started a strong momentum towards the Supply zone. Since there haven't been significant pullbacks during this powerful move, and the supply zone is fresh and untouched, a price rejection is expected. If the price reaches the supply zone, we anticipate a rejection and will be looking for sell/short positions within the supply zone. Targets are marked on the chart. A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will negate this outlook. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
We have a potential market recovery underway and Bitcoin is leading the market and starting to look far more bullish now for a few reasons. 10ema has crossed over the 20ema AND price is above both on daily timeframe = BULLISH Major BTC support is at $78,470, price broke below for a bear trap and closed back above = BULLISH Loads of buyers stepped in with volume at the lows to bring price back above that support = BULLISH How I'm Approaching This Trade: I'm entering a Long Position on any price close above $89,200 on a daily timeframe. I'm only entering with 10% of my portfolio. (I.E. $100,000 Portfolio - $10,000 position) Will need to see follow through on the next day - Increasing volume on both days. DO NOT want to see price break above $89,200 and then close below that range the next day. Keeping a tight stop at $84,400 down to $83,800 which is will likely be a 7-8% loss on my pilot position. This is equal to less than 1% of my total portfolio. If my stop loss is hit I'm likely going short for new lows on BTC down to $71,500 - $62,500 If this is truly an the beginning of a new trend to the upside, our bull market zone on bitcoin will be above $95,000. If my first trade goes in my direction and Bitcoin trades higher, I will scale in with more of my portfolio, like 10-15% more. NOTE: All altcoins will likely follow bitcoin and trade higher because many are severely oversold. however they are currently lagging (or not moving up as much as bitcoin) right now. This is my signal to take far smaller positions on most altcoins and only place bets behind stronger performers. HOWEVER, the path of least resistance right now is DOWN as we are still technically in an intermediate-term downtrend since January 20, 2025. So practice caution and good risk management. Stay away from leverage if you haven't mastered the basics of a chart yet. I still think we're going lower but with these signals I must remain agnostic and do what the charts are telling me to do. Happy trading!
Global wheat markets are currently experiencing significant attention as traders and analysts weigh various factors influencing their future price trajectory. Recent activity, particularly in key futures markets, suggests a growing consensus towards potential upward price movements. While numerous elements contribute to the complex dynamics of the grain trade, current indicators highlight specific supply-side concerns as the primary catalyst for this outlook. A major force behind the anticipation of higher wheat prices stems from challenging agricultural conditions in significant production areas. The United States, a crucial global supplier, faces concerns regarding its winter wheat crop. Persistent dryness across key growing regions is directly impacting crop development and posing a material threat to achieving expected yields. This environmental pressure is viewed by market participants as a fundamental constraint on forthcoming supply. Further reinforcing these concerns, official assessments of crop health have underscored the severity of the situation. Recent data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture revealed a winter wheat condition rating below both the previous year's level and average analyst expectations. This shortfall in anticipated crop health indicates a less robust supply picture than previously factored into market pricing, thereby increasing the likelihood of price appreciation as supply tightens relative to demand, even as other global factors like shifts in export prices from other regions introduce different market crosscurrents.
? EUR/USD – 15D Chart Breakdown Let me be clear—this isn't a guess. This is structure. After tapping into the 1.017 level (Fibonacci base), price made a clean reversal, printed a solid bullish candle, and has now closed above the 1.127 zone. ? I'm now watching: • Fibonacci Extension 1.618 (1.1850) • Then the previous high at 1.2349 • With the 2.618 at 1.2882 if the momentum keeps pushing ? I don’t react to noise. I focus on zone behavior, candle reaction, and overall trend maturity. This isn’t about being right—it’s about staying aligned with the market narrative. ? Patience > Prediction ? 15D candles don’t lie—retail panic does.