COINBASE:SOLUSD - Like BTC - Zoom out to the 4 HR and you see a CLEAR half W formation from November - election time- to now. With FEB being historically THE MOST BULLISH month but being total crap til now - and 14 days left as of tomorrow - I am thinking the rest of this W plays out. I think we see a sharp market wide reversal with SOL leading the way to revisit previous ATH of 265 and hopefully possibly 295 and beyond. We will see how it plays out. Good luck and trade smart folks. Total speculation here no advice.
The period when pessimism peaks is a sign that the rise time is approaching for #Bitcoin
Resistance: Look for recent highs or key resistance levels where price might struggle to break higher. Support: Identify strong support levels where the price might find a floor or reverse. A break below a key support level could trigger further bearish movement, especially if there is a pattern like a break of a trendline, a double top, or a head-and-shoulders formation. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages: If the price is below key moving averages (like the 50-period or 200-period MA), it might signal a bearish trend. RSI: A reading below 30 could indicate oversold conditions, but if RSI is trending lower, it might indicate continued bearish momentum. MACD: A bearish crossover (where the MACD line crosses below the signal line) could confirm the bearish forecast. Fundamental Factors: Interest Rates: The Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Canada (BoC) monetary policies can significantly affect GBP/CAD. If there is a divergence in their interest rate outlooks, it can influence the pair’s direction. Economic Reports: Keep an eye on economic data such as GDP, inflation, and employment reports from the UK and Canada, as these can affect market sentiment.
Hello traders, On the daily timeframe GBPCHF has been consolidating in a range. Now it is at the resistance level of the range and so we should be looking for shorting opportunities. On the lower timeframes, the 4H and 2H, it has formed a head and shoulders pattern which is a great reversal pattern. Add to this the RSI divergence which in many occasions foreshadows the change in trend. I will be entering when we get a close below the neckline on the 2H timeframe.
Based on my trading algorithms GBPCHF will drop for 170 pips
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: No bigger opinion on this trading range. 70 holds, we chop until a bigger news event pushes us above 74. Below 70 we could flush to 69 and then 67. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 70 - 75 bull case: Bulls preventing meaningful lower lows but we have a clear bear trend line. Bulls are still favored going into next week to buy around 70 and test back up to at least 72. They want to break above the Tuesday high 73.67 and make the market more neutral again. If they get it, we could test 75 next. Invalidation is below 69.7. bear case: Bears have closed the week near the lows and they want to poke at 70 until it fails. I have no idea how likely that is next week but for now it’s support and if we see decent buying pressure tomorrow, bulls are favored. Volume is also trash again. Below 70 we test 69 and then 67. Invalidation is above 75. short term: Neutral for now. Still no interest in this tbh. 70 should hold but the last thing I want to do is buying this. Nothing has changed since last Sunday. Play the range or trade something else. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
Seems like 2 months of sideways downtrending (since mid December) is over for Nasdaq. Unless any surprise political shock news come out (we all know that can be a challenge with Trump) we could see Nasdaq reach $23,000 per share area in drawn upcoming green period. This would also reflect directly on upward momentum for several bluechip stocks: Apple Inc. NASDAQ:AAPL Microsoft Corporation NASDAQ:MSFT Amazon.com Inc. NASDAQ:AMZN Alphabet Inc. NASDAQ:GOOGL Meta Platforms Inc. NASDAQ:META NVIDIA Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA Tesla Inc. NASDAQ:TSLA Intel Corporation NASDAQ:INTC
Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Yeah I won’t make stuff up this week either. Range is the same and we saw some expansion last week but barely. Targets for both sides remain the same and if you don’t like trading ranges, stop reading here. I have no idea where the next breakout will happen but a slightly bearish bias due to this market going sideways 12k points below ath while nasdaq is pumping. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 90k - 110k bull case: Bulls printed another lower high and have nothing to show for after this week. They need daily closes above the 20ema and 100k to gain control again. Same stuff as last week. Invalidation is below 88k. bear case: Market is totally neutral. If bears start closing bars below 90k we can talk bear targets again. For now it’s nested triangles. Invalidation is above 110k. short term: Neutral. Play the range until broken. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. We are in a big trading range until it’s clearly broken. Bearish targets will only happen once we get a strong move below 90k. current swing trade: Nope chart update: Added the smaller triangle as well.
GOLDMAN SACHS’ NEAR- SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B CRYPTO ETF BET (1/8) Goldman Sachs just revealed a massive crypto ETF position—nearly SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in Bitcoin and Ethereum funds, per an SEC filing. Let’s break down the details and see what it means for traditional finance! ?? (2/8) – HOLDINGS SNAPSHOT • Bitcoin ETFs: $1.63B total 24,077,861 shares in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) (~$1.33B) 3,530,486 shares of Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin (FBTC) (~$300M) 49,183 shares of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) (~$3.7M) • Ethereum ETFs: $196.3M total 7,024,747 shares in Fidelity’s Ethereum Fund (FETH) (~$191.1M) 200,000 shares of Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (~$5.1M) (3/8) – ETFS: BRIDGING TRADFI & CRYPTO • First approved in 2024, BTC & ETH ETFs let institutions gain crypto exposure without holding coins directly • Perfect for “regulated” banks like Goldman, bridging Wall Street with digital assets ? (4/8) – GOLDMAN’S STANCE ON DIRECT CRYPTO • CEO David Solomon: “We’re a regulated bank, can’t own crypto as principal.” ⚖️ • They advise clients & dabble in ETFs, but can’t yet park BTC on their balance sheet due to regs • Hints at how major banks remain cautious, even with big bets (5/8) – WHY IT MATTERS* • SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs = a serious vote of confidence in crypto’s future • Encourages other institutional players to follow suit—if Goldman is in, who’s next? ? • Demonstrates that “indirect” ownership is how TradFi is tiptoeing into crypto markets (6/8) – REGULATORY OVERHANG* • The bank can’t directly hold crypto due to existing rules, but invests heavily via approved ETFs • Raises questions: will we see a day when Goldman (and others) hold actual BTC or ETH on their balance sheets? ? (7/8) – Is SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B in BTC & ETH ETFs the start of a bigger Goldman crypto push? 1️⃣ Yes—They’ll expand once regs loosen ? 2️⃣ No—They’re staying in the safe zone ? 3️⃣ Unsure—Too many regulatory question marks ⚖️ Vote below! ?️?
The negative scenario could be that the dominance tries to create a double top or take 50% of the upper wick. If it does this, it will try quickly, in this scenario we can have a heart attack. These levels are: 61.3 - 62.7 - 63.5 and 64.5. In the positive scenario, the dominance will rise to 61.3% at most and fall down quickly. A drop to 56% and 58% below could create nice recoveries for altcoins in the coming weeks. In the short term, these are the possibilities I expect in the coming days/weeks and the price levels I follow. This is not investment advice.