USDJPY bounced on the 4hr trend line the third time ,it seems respected the trend to continue up trend to the major resistance level .it formed a bullish wedge on the trend .lets watch and see
https://www.tradingview.com/x/LqE2O6Yl/ Gold is bearish and both areas are valid with confirmation.
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst DeepSeek the privately held company owned by co-founder Liang Wenfeng's quant investment fund High-Flyer has emerged as one of the most influential companies in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), revolutionizing financial and technology markets. Today we take a look at how its innovation has impacted key sectors and the promising future it envisions. Transforming Markets DeepSeek has consolidated its position in the technology industry thanks to advances in natural language processing, computer vision and machine learning. These technologies have found applications in sectors such as finance, healthcare, retail and automotive. In finance, its AI tools have optimized decision making, trend prediction and risk management. Banking institutions and investment funds have managed to reduce costs and improve their operational efficiency, which has strengthened investor confidence. It is interesting to see how a project in which only $10 million has been invested has surpassed projects such as OpenAI (ChatGPT) in which large companies such as Microsoft are involved and have invested more than $10 billion in them, not to mention large market makers such as NVIDIA that dedicate a lot of resources to this purpose. This may be highlighting a potential financial speculation bubble brewing among the Magnificent 7. According to my DeepSeek estimates it could be valued as high as $345 per share, a higher price than OpenAI, currently mostly sponsored by Microsoft, and one of the companies most affected by yesterday's drop, could be worth in the market. The Magnificent 7 fell sharply. NVIDIA down -16%, Microsoft , Alphaben and Tesla down -2% respectively,and Broadcom down -17%. During yesterday's session, DeepSeek shares drove a drop in Nasdaq and S&P500 that only seems to reflect that the only reasons the market seems to be bullish on the AI bubble. The market closed with corrections of -612.47 points for the former and -88.96 points for the latter. 2 Billion dollars have been lost in a single day in the market, the largest loss of market capitalization in the history of the stock market led by NVDIA in absolute terms. All this has generated that hackers have tried to burst the DeepSeek service and for hours the registration of thousands of accounts that requested to have an account through Googleplay has been blocked. This impact has caused the index to partially recover its price. What does it have to do with the fact that a small company has affected all the suppliers of all these outputs, even affecting companies from different sectors? Well, a company that has cost less to generate the same outputs with fewer inputs, i.e., with fewer hens, has obtained more eggs. Therefore, this has backfired on the U.S. government with the sanctions. If DeepSeek has just demonstrated that it is possible to reach the same result, consuming less capital, then the suppliers of these services will see their future sales negatively impacted (see GPU suppliers, energy, etc.), in order to continue developing and operating AI. This is a sledgehammer for very inefficient US AI companies, which can be replicated at fraction of the cost of what was currently considered. Impact on Technology Companies DeepSeek has redefined the dynamics in the technology sector by collaborating with giants such as software developers and hardware manufacturers. These partnerships have driven the integration of AI into products and services, from algorithmic trading platforms to smart devices. For example, big data and cybersecurity companies have adopted its advanced algorithms to improve data protection and optimize resource management. This has generated a domino effect, where smaller technology firms have also leveraged DeepSeek's innovation to develop customized solutions. The semiconductor sector has been another beneficiary, with increased demand for advanced chips designed to support DeepSeek's deep learning capabilities. This has increased sales and technology development in this segment. Futuristic Advances DeepSeek's future is promising. The company is focused on: 1. general AI development (AGI): they seek to create systems capable of performing human intellectual tasks, with potential impact in education, medicine and more. 2. Sustainability: Their algorithms help optimize energy use in smart cities and predict weather patterns. 3. Ethics and Transparency: Promote the responsible use of AI, gaining trust among regulators and consumers. NASDAQ Technical Analysis (Ticker AT: USATEC) Looking at the WACD in its three forms, on the overbought signal on the 24th and 27th there were already SELL signals indicating that the market was overbought. This was confirmed by the subsequent volume deltas shown in red candles and high trading volume in that direction. Later in the day yesterday, there were some glimpses of recovery and BUY signals were given again and the price partially recovered the decline to around 21,235 points. If we look at the 3 smoothed averages of the WACD we see that there has been a bearish confirmation and the direction has evolved strongly downwards and the direction seems to be softening slightly upwards. If conditions are right it could be that the Checkpoint (POC) at 21850 could be regained if the market decides that Deepseek is not as dangerous to its NASDAQ rivals. Technical indicators, yesterday put the RSI at 7% oversold, on the index, which has supported the index's recovery. Conclusion Three clarifications are in order, although we have been told that DeepSeek has received only 6 to 10 million, it is very likely that the Chinese state has funded the previous research cost, and this is not being imputed to the value of DeepSeek's R1, we also do not know if China has managed to circumvent the US chip and semiconductor sanctions, and they have underestimated the value on purpose, unofficially it could have employed more semiconductors than it has declared to avoid problems with the US government, and thus falsely demonstrate that the model in its training has employed less resources than they actually did. One can also take note that R1 has employed the chatgpt model O1, with shortcuts in its reasoning structure. If this were true, DeepSeek's R1 model has been developed thanks to ChatGPT and this could have been given thanks to OpenAI and would reduce the value of obtaining such success. The cost of using AI is one of the main arguments as to whether the demand for power and data targets is what will really determine the value of these companies. This has to be taken into account because if AI becomes a low-consumption standard, we will have AI in our soup and the aggregate demand for these elements will expand, and since we will be using it continuously, the high consumption of AI will increase. This is what is known as the Jevons Paradox (the Jevons paradox implies that the introduction of more energy efficient technologies may ultimately increase total energy consumption and simultaneously lead to an increase in emissions) . Also to be taken into account is the AI recursive improvement paradox, of improving the mechanism of the AI reasoning process and efficiency. The positive implication is that small models would be able to distill the large AI models even if their model was closed and opaque, and this tool would not be monopolized by large companies but from the hand on a cell phone could apply improvements in these small models. The downside would be the opportunities and risks of AI, this recursive self-improvement brings us steps closer to artificial superintelligence, this has its risks. The wisdom of Warren Buffet, often warns that no matter how clear we are that a certain industry is the future, it is very complicated to determine which will be the winning horses in that sector. A week ago NVIDIA AND CHATGPT were going to eat the world and overnight DeepSeek could end up sweeping the world in that specific sector. And any other startup could replace all of them. This already happened back in the day in the internet browsers era making what is Google Chrome today the main player or safari, when in other times there were other browsers like internet explorer, etc. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:SFP has been forming a large symmetrical triangle since its listing. The market makers have deliberately used two stages over more than 1,000 days to consolidate. ▍Stage 1: Consolidation lasted from 05/2022 to 10/2023, spanning 521 days (marked with a blue box). ▍Stage 2: Consolidation started in 10/2023 (marked with a green box). If we estimate 521 days for this stage as well, the time point will fall on 03/16/2025, which coincides with the end of the large symmetrical triangle. Trading volume has been in a long-term downtrend. When volume shrinks to its limit, a clear breakout direction will emerge. Coupled with the upcoming peak bull market phase, it's likely to break upwards. There’s an old saying in investing: the longer the consolidation, the higher the breakout. The key players have spent 2.5 years patiently consolidating, concentrating the tokens in strong hands. When coins like this break out, they tend to "take the elevator" straight up, leaving no chance to buy in later. Based on the expected breakout range of the triangle, the maximum potential upside is approximately 43x from the breakout point, targeting a price of $34. I believe this is the perfect time to enter. What do you think?
?Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still stuck in range since december, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k. ?4 hour sell side liquidity defined by OB at 108k, currently trading at 102k, limited upside going forward expecting pullback to re-test range lows and trigger fresh buying / fresh OB liquidity near 90k. ?Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near liquidity OBs 90k usd, TP bulls is fresh overhead liquidity at/near 108/110K. expecting decent bounce in this market after pullback. ?Please hit the like button and ?Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Solana without any doubt is one of future leader of crypto Market as like ether and ripple We need to change our View to crypto Market, We Will face altsession but in different way, which leader of Market will gain moneys from out of Market and marketcap will increase slowly But repeatedly, So we will face a slow upward trend which will happen for valuable and most usable coins. If cryptocurrency Market wants to be a part of financial Market needs to face regulation and its main goals which is best option for old financial system to use for their TransActions At last the winner will be ecosystems
If you haven`t bought IBM before the previous earnings: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/idea/mDo7PSM4/ Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of IBM International Business Machines prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-1-31, for a premium of approximately $5.40. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DXY 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend Analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is in a short-term downtrend. The price has been creating new lower highs and lower lows until it broke through the major key support at 107.400, a significant level due to at least five tops formed below it. After the breakout, sellers gained momentum, accumulating a large volume of sell orders. However, sellers started losing strength as the price reversed, hunting stop-loss levels above the major key support. The price then rebounded above 107.400, forming a liquidity trap and signaling potential manipulation to accumulate more orders. Price Action Expectation Our objective is to wait for liquidity to form within the current liquidity zone. Once this occurs, we will look for the price to break below the major key level at 107.400 again. A confirmed close below this level on the 4-hour timeframe will indicate that sellers have regained control, signaling a continuation of the downtrend. The next target is 105.500, where the next minor key support lies. This level is critical as it represents the next significant area where the price could find buying interest. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Sell Stop Entry: 107.090 (after price breaks below 107.400, signaling trend continuation) Stop Loss: 107.830 (above the liquidity zone, protecting against false breakouts) Take Profit: 105.500 (targeting the next minor key support level) This setup capitalizes on the expected continuation of the downtrend, leveraging the liquidity zone to confirm selling pressure. A proper risk-to-reward ratio enhances the trade's potential profitability. Fundamental Outlook: The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) can indirectly affect the performance of companies like NVIDIA. A stronger U.S. dollar (when DXY is rising) can hurt U.S. exporters, including tech companies like NVIDIA, because their products become more expensive for foreign buyers. This can lead to a decline in revenue from international markets, especially since NVIDIA has a significant portion of its revenue coming from abroad. In January 2025, NVIDIA's stock (NVDA) experienced significant volatility, culminating in a substantial decline on January 27. The stock closed at $118.42, marking a 16.9% drop from the previous close. This decline was primarily driven by the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup that introduced a cost-effective AI model, raising concerns about reduced demand for NVIDIA's products. The combination of a stronger U.S. dollar (higher DXY) and competition from AI startups like DeepSeek could have compounded the downward pressure on NVIDIA's stock price. Both DXY movements and external competition are crucial factors to monitor for investors in stocks like NVIDIA, as they can significantly impact performance and valuation. Risk Management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain at least 1:2 to optimize returns. Position Sizing: Adjust lot size according to account equity and risk tolerance. False Breakout Caution: Be mindful of potential false breakouts. Reassess stop-loss placement if the price fails to hold below 107.400. Conclusion: The DXY setup targets a continuation of the downtrend after liquidity is formed within the current zone. The breakout and retest of 107.400 confirm significant selling pressure. By waiting for further liquidity formation and a confirmed close below this level, the trade maximizes the likelihood of a profitable outcome. The liquidity zone suggests a high probability for sellers to regain control and drive the price toward the next minor key support at 105.500. Disclaimer: Trading involves substantial risks. Always consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/4mJWmaec/ The price hit the 4-hour support zone. Now, after the formation of a valid bullish MSS, we wait for a 5-minute confirmation in the 15-minute order block zone.
Hi all.. Price on HTF is currently Bullish to make sure to use risk management here. This is a pullback trade hunter into HTF Demand zones. This LTF Trade Consists of a internal protected High for price to return back into a the discount zone. We can see nice slow price action heading slightly bullish hoping before we see a nice drop. Entry is set at two positions: First being a simple Demand zone Second being a Mitigation Block just under a FVG telling me price wants to hunt that Imbalance Good Luck if you decide to Follow