SGX TSI Iron Ore CFR China (62% Fe Fines) Index Futures (“SGX IO Futures”) rose last week, closing USD 3.35/ton higher by 14/March (Fri). https://www.tradingview.com/x/ERMgsDkT/ SGX IO Futures opened at USD 100.05/ton on 10/March (Mon) and closed at USD 103.40/ton on 14/March (Fri). Prices briefly touched a weekly high of USD 104.15/ton on 14/March (Fri) and a low of USD 98.85/ton on 11/March (Tue). It traded in a range of USD 5.30/ton during the week, which was wider than the prior week. Prices crossed the pivot point of USD 100.75/ton and R1 point of USD 102.55/ton during the week, closing between the R1 point and the R2 point at USD 104.65/ton. Volume peaked on 14/March (Fri) owing to a surge in investor sentiment as steelmakers ramped up production during peak construction season in March. IO Fundamentals in Summary Steel consumption recovery fuelled optimism, pushing prices to a two-week peak, while stimulus hopes to reignite following the conclusion of China’s Two Sessions. The average daily hot metal output climbed for the third consecutive week to 2.31 million tons. Additionally, with pig iron production on the rise & downstream demand strengthening, the industry’s overall consumption is gaining momentum, offering solid support for IO prices. Moreover, China’s central bank announced on Thursday last week, its plan to lower interest rates & the reserve requirement ratio when appropriate while ensuring ample liquidity, boosting market confidence. China's port IO stockpiles dropped by 1.80 million tons (-1.26%) WoW to 141.17 million tons for the week ending 14/March as per MMI data . Based on seasonality, SGX IO Futures April contract trades 18.32% below its last 5-year average (USD 125.43/ton). https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZSnCfczW/ Short-Term MA Signal Imminent Uptrend Following Demand Recovery The 9-day and 21-day DMAs are starting to reverse its divergence following a sharp rally in IO prices, suggesting potential further gains in the short-term strengthened by robust steel demand and rising mill profitability. https://www.tradingview.com/x/f66swV2w/ IO Prices Rallied Past its 100-day & 200-day DMA IO prices rallied past its 100-day & 200-day DMAs last week and closed marginally above the 200-day DMA and below its 100-day DMA. Buoyancy in IO prices driven by stimulus hopes & seasonality augurs for strengthening bullishness in the near term. https://www.tradingview.com/x/BIctVeiG/ MACD Signals Weakening Bearish Momentum, RSI Points Towards Neutrality The MACD suggests bullish momentum is heating up, with the 12-day & 26-day moving averages converging, hinting at further upside potential. Meanwhile, the RSI at 46.96 paints a neutral market sentiment, leaving room for the next big move. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ejQ9FzHr/ Volatility Falls Sharply & IO Prices Closed Below 50% Fibonacci Level Amid Uptrend Volatility declined sharply this week. Prices traded between the 78.6% Fibonacci level (USD 98.95/ton) and the 38.2% level (USD 104.45/ton), closing below the 50% Fibonacci level. Going forward, 38.2% Fibonacci level (USD 104.45/ton) may act as resistance, with 61.8% Fibonacci level (USD 101.20/ton) as support. https://www.tradingview.com/x/y8Sb5V5T/ Buying Pressure Strengthened & IO Prices Trade Below Basis Bollinger Band Levels Buying pressure strengthened during second half of last week based on A/D indicator. IO prices have been well supported at the lower band of the Bollinger. IO prices have steadily climbed from the lower to the basis band during the week and closed marginally below at USD 102.25/ton. https://www.tradingview.com/x/WhcyhPxc/ China’s Two Sessions: A Key Catalyst for Iron Ore Market Swings? China's Two Sessions (Lianghui) is an annual political gathering in China where key economic and industrial policies are set. This can significantly impact China linked assets including IO. Over the past four years (2021-2024), prices have shown a pattern of pre-meeting speculation-driven gains, followed by declines due to limited policy interventions or cautious economic targets. While 2021 and 2022 saw initial optimism fueling price spikes before corrections, 2023 and 2024 featured steady declines amid weak demand and rising inventories. This trend underscores China's policy direction as a key driver of iron ore market fluctuations. https://www.tradingview.com/x/dNNr9wqA/ Source: TradingView Data and Mint Finance Analysis IO Futures Only Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 91.6k lots and 38.9k across all futures expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 90.5k and 39.9k lots respectively across all futures expires. Managed Money decreased net long positions. Physicals decreased net short positions while FIs increased net long positions last week. Overall futures open interest was 1,141,304 lots as of 7/March (-8.6%) while it was 1,249,118 lots as of 28/Feb. https://www.tradingview.com/x/BLwqAJGN/ Source: SGX IO Futures & Options Aggregate Exposure Financial Institutions (FIs) and Managed Money participants are net long with 90.6k lots and 37.2k across all futures and options expiries. Physicals participants and Others are net short with 80.1k and 47.7k lots respectively across all futures and options expires. Managed Money decreased net long positions. Physicals decreased net short positions while FIs increased net long positions last week. Overall futures and options open interest was 1,399,761 lots as of 7/March (-6.71%) while it was 1,500,490 lots as of 28/Feb. https://www.tradingview.com/x/EkqEz4gQ/ Source: SGX Historical Futures Aggregate Exposure by Market Participants Physical participants continued to maintain a net short position. Managed Money participants have switched from net short to being net long over the last five weeks but have been sharply reducing their long positions. Financial Institutions continue to hold net long positions since the second quarter of last year. https://www.tradingview.com/x/jJwP2ws7/ Hypothetical Trade Setup IO prices surged to a two-week high, driven by brighter China steel demand outlook and hopes of stimulus to drive domestic Chinese consumption. China’s Two Sessions unveiled a fresh stimulus plan, while the central bank reaffirmed its commitment to lower interest rates and reserve requirement ratio, igniting market optimism. This mirrors past trends where economic support hopes drove pre-session gains in 2021 & 2022. Prices climbed 3%, fuelled by bullish momentum. The MACD hints at fading bearish pressure as short- and medium-term moving averages converge. Prices bounced off the 78.6% Fibonacci level, closing marginally below the 50% mark, indicating bullishness. Against this backdrop, this paper posits a long position in SGX Iron Ore Futures expiring on 30th April 2025 with an entry at USD 102.20/ton combined with a take profit level at USD 105.70/ton and a stop-loss at USD 98.70/ton resulting in a reward-to-risk ratio of 1x. https://www.tradingview.com/x/1dTSl4Yt/ DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
Gold Market Analysis (15M Timeframe) Market Outlook: A Bullish Order Block (BOS) has been confirmed, followed by a swing high. The subsequent pullback has touched key Order Blocks, and prices are now rebounding. Retracement Zone: The market is currently retracing to a critical Imbalance Fair Value Gap (iFVG). This zone is expected to provide support for a potential upside breakout. Trading Implications: A successful retest of the iFVG could spark a significant pump towards the upside. Traders should monitor this level closely for a potential buying opportunity.
AUD is getting the strength back while CHF is little weaker in a heat map. We can witness that AUDCHF in LONG run were in the down trend, but after liquidly sweep we can see local range break of structure happening signaling the strength of AUD against CHF. Thus Right now we can have trade setup of continuation , if bullish momentum persistent till NY Open.
HKEX:2800 Breakthrough downtrend channel on last Sept2024 and W-Chart formed MACD Goldencross for bullish mode. If enter now at 24.50 Target Profit 1 Level at : 30.70 (~25.3%) Target Profit 2 @33.50; another ~9% (cumulative + ~36%) Target Profit 3 : ATH Continue to DCA and accumulate; you may wait for slight retracement to add position. 24.26 Time frame : 9-24months https://www.tradingview.com/x/sWpqEcl5/ It created higher hi recently for W chart. ? DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. Follow your trade plan then zen with ? and ? while waiting for profits to be reazlied. ** Please Boost ?/LIKE ?, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE ? and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Share your trading journey to encourage the trading buddies.
JUBLFOOD is currently at strong support and reversing from here. The first hourly candle closed quite strongly and ever since then, the price has been forming HLs. Long reversal position can be built up for a Target to 647 price level.
The concept of market structure refers to the arrangement of price movements and trends that form identifiable patterns, providing traders with insights into whether the market is trending, consolidating, or reversing. It is commonly assessed through the recognition of highs and lows, particularly the "higher highs" and "higher lows" in an uptrend or "lower highs" and "lower lows" in a downtrend.
What we can see on the chart is Bitcoin cycles. We can statistically predict Bitcoin moves with this simple chart, because it's always right and never wrong. What can we say with certainty? Statistically: Bitcoin's bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days Bitcoin's bear markets last for 364 to 413 days Correction is every time weaker, but still huge The recent uptrend on Bitcoin started in December 2022 and ended in January 2025 (791 days). We know that statistically bull markets last for 742 to 1065 days, so this indicator tells us that the bull market ended! This indicator was never wrong, so do your own research. It's always like this. Moon boys calling for 300k, 500k, or 1M in 2025 do not follow my TradingView profile because otherwise they would know this strong fundamental fact. The market cap of Bitcoin is already too big, so forget about 500K or 1M in the short term because the market cap would be higher than gold. Gold is the number 1 asset in the world. Statistically, Bitcoin crashes every 4 years by 86% to 77%. The market cap is getting bigger as institutions step in, so this time I expect a weaker crash (around 65%). Still, it's a huge crash, and many investors will sell at a loss as usual. Knowledge of the Bitcoin cycles will save you a lot of money. Bitcoin halving is coded to occur once every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years, and will continue in this fashion until the final supply of 21 million BTC is reached. It is assumed that the last BTC will be mined in 2140. After that, transaction fees are supposed to be the only source of block rewards for miners. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
In the aftermath of the recent Bybit hack, North Korean hackers have once again demonstrated their prowess in the world of cybercrime. This time, they successfully converted stolen Ethereum (ETH) into Bitcoin (BTC), propelling North Korea to hold the third-largest Bitcoin reserves globally. This development not only raises concerns over cybersecurity but also highlights the […]
Pavel Durov, the enigmatic founder and CEO of Telegram, has been granted temporary permission to leave France amidst an ongoing investigation into alleged criminal activities facilitated through his messaging platform. This development marks a significant turn in a case that has drawn international attention, intertwining issues of digital freedom, legal accountability, and geopolitical tensions. Background […]
Netflix enttäuscht auch 2025 wieder Serienfans mit einer Menge Absetzungen. Alle 4 Serien, die dieses Jahr von Netflix bereits abgesetzt wurden, findet ihr hier in der Übersicht.