Head & Shoulder Formming Neck-Line At 23300 Global Scenarios- Iran War, Briac, Oil, Hmpv, Inflation Rates, Us Election Over Will Come To Retest 200ema After JUN 2024 4400pts(20%) Rally Healthy 10-15% Retracement
#BTC (4h) The total market capitalization of digital assets increased by 1.75% over the past 24 hours, and the dominance of the leading cryptocurrency grew by 0.6%. #Bitcoin moved toward the first liquidity zone around $101,000, but the upward momentum was halted by seller pressure at $102,650. Then, Bitcoin lost the lower boundary of the formation, and the price continued to consolidate above the POC level ($97,400) before the next upward impulse. Currently, the primary target for a decline is the $95,924 level. From there, there is a high probability of testing the gap midpoint at $99,433, after which the price will either move upward toward $102,724 or continue its decline to $90,500. I am consolidating my previous thoughts from analyses that until the Bitcoin price at least clears the liquidity pools at $90,500, $88,722 and $85,000 levels, all upward price momentum above the $100,000 level will be considered a manipulation of the highs.
Beautiful cup&handle pattern forming . Targets remains around 18$ . Before a decent correction . Sell a little if necessary, but for me this is a long term hold ( mostly ) . To the 40-50$ region at least .
The U.S. Dollar Index is on a steady bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.447, MACD = 0.640, ADX = 33.835) as with the exception of November's last week, it has been rising nonstop since September 30th 2024. The price is near the HH Zone of the Ascending Triangle, the 1W RSI has double topped and we are, or getting close to, the new long term top. Technically the 1W RSI is already similar to the October 9th 2023 top. The risk now is lower in going short. Aim for the 1W MA200 (TP = 103.000), which was the level that offered the late September support. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
EUR/USD Analysis: I anticipate the EUR/USD market will move downward in the near term. My target price for this movement is [insert your target level,
2240 is showing breakout on monthly chart for the first time in a while Take Entry now or wait for retest Conservative entry will be after 44 Plan your trade with proper risk management
“Masterclass in Cloning Sharks: Outsmarting Market Makers to Dominate XAU/USD” Introduction: The Shark’s Perspective In the financial markets, market makers—often referred to as “sharks”—thrive by hunting retail traders. They exploit predictable behaviors, weak stop-loss placements, and emotional decision-making. These predators aren’t here to play fair; their sole aim is to capitalize on retail inefficiencies and manipulate price to accumulate positions at premium levels. To succeed as a trader, you need to think like a shark. Understand their mindset, anticipate their moves, and position yourself to ride their wave, not get swallowed by it. The Psychology of the Sharks Sharks are calculated, patient, and ruthless. Their attitude and behavior are governed by a deep understanding of the market and a complete disregard for retail traders’ emotions. Here’s how they operate: 1. Predatory Patience: Sharks don’t rush into trades; they wait for retail traders to overcommit at predictable levels. They know that retail traders often react emotionally, and they exploit this to the fullest. 2. Manipulative Attitude: Sharks think several moves ahead, intentionally creating patterns that retail traders are taught to trust. This could mean crafting a convincing breakout only to reverse it or engineering false retests that suck traders in. 3. Zero-Sum Mentality: For sharks, every stop-loss hit is a gain. They understand that retail losses create the liquidity they need to execute their larger institutional trades. They approach the market as a battlefield, where only the strongest survive. 4. Calm Amid Chaos: Unlike retail traders who panic during sudden moves, sharks thrive in volatility. They deliberately create chaos by pushing price aggressively into liquidity zones, knowing that confusion breeds mistakes. The Psychology of Retail Traders Retail traders, by contrast, are ruled by emotions—fear, greed, and hope. This makes them easy prey for sharks. Let’s break down their typical behaviors: 1. Overconfidence in Patterns: Retail traders rely heavily on textbook patterns and indicators. They see support and resistance levels as invincible and fail to consider that sharks intentionally manipulate these levels. 2. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): Retail traders often chase price movements, especially during breakouts. Sharks exploit this by pushing price just beyond key levels to trigger FOMO-driven entries, only to reverse and trap them. 3. Stop-Loss Reliance: Retail traders place stops at obvious levels, such as Fibonacci retracements, swing highs/lows, or psychological round numbers. Sharks hunt these stops relentlessly. 4. Emotional Reactions: • Fear: Retail traders panic when price breaks below their support level, leading to emotional exits at the worst possible moments. • Greed: They overleverage positions, trying to “win big,” making them even more vulnerable to traps. • Hope: Retailers hold onto losing positions, hoping for a reversal, even as sharks continue to target their liquidity. The Market Maker Blueprint Market makers follow a simple but ruthless strategy: 1. Identify Liquidity Pools: Retail stop-loss clusters become the primary target. These are zones where retail traders place stops based on key support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracements, or psychological price points. 2. Create False Moves: Sharks engineer fake breakouts or breakdowns to force retail traders into bad positions, triggering their stops and fueling liquidity. 3. Exploit Imbalances: Once liquidity is swept, market makers reverse the price toward institutional targets, leaving retail traders trapped on the wrong side. In XAU/USD, the current setup provides a textbook opportunity to understand and capitalize on these manipulations. Let’s break it down. Comprehensive Technical Analysis: The Shark’s Hunting Grounds 1. Liquidity Zones Market makers target liquidity above and below the current price: • Above the Price: • 2,664.26 (100% Fibonacci): Retail breakout traders place buy stops here, expecting continuation. Sharks will trigger these orders to trap overleveraged buyers. • 2,670.36 (127.2% Extension): A classic level where late buyers FOMO into the market, providing the perfect trap. • Below the Price: • 2,647.12 (23.6% Fibonacci): Retail longs cluster stops here, viewing it as strong support. • 2,641.83 (0% Fibonacci): A fair value gap (FVG) containing untapped liquidity. Sharks drive price here to absorb retail stops and establish institutional positions. 2. Volume Profile • Point of Control (POC) at 2,653.04: Retail traders treat this as a pivot level. Sharks exploit this expectation, faking retests to entice traders into bad entries before sweeping liquidity. • Volume Void Below 2,647.00: This low-volume zone represents inefficiency—a magnet for market makers to drive price downward, triggering stops en route to deeper liquidity. 3. Moving Averages as Traps • EMA 21 (~2,650.40): Retail traders often use short-term EMAs as dynamic support. Sharks leverage this by creating quick dips below to trigger stops, only to reclaim the level later. • SMA 50 (~2,655.69): Acting as medium-term equilibrium, this zone aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, providing a magnet for bullish continuation post-reversal. 4. Candlestick Psychology The recent price action reveals: • Long Wicks at Key Levels: These reflect retail hesitation and institutional order absorption. Sharks are laying the groundwork for the next liquidity sweep. 5. Harmonic Patterns and Wave Structure • Wave 4 Correction: Sharks are preparing a liquidity grab during the Wave 4 dip, targeting the FVG zone (2,641.83–2,645.00). Wave 5 targets lie at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension (2,670.36), where breakout buyers will likely get trapped. The Market Maker’s Phases of Attack Phase 1: The Bearish Liquidity Grab (Retail Trap Breakdown) The shark’s first move is to create panic among retail buyers by driving the price below key support levels. This triggers stop-loss orders and tempts breakout sellers into shorts. Execution Steps: 1. Target Stop Zones: • Below 2,647.12 (23.6% Fibonacci): Prime stop-loss zone for retail longs. • Below 2,645.00: A deeper cluster of stops aligning with prior session lows. 2. Sweep Liquidity into the FVG Zone: • Zone: 2,641.83–2,645.00: Sharks absorb liquidity here, preparing to reverse the trend. Phase 2: The Bullish Reversal (Trap Sellers and Squeeze) After absorbing liquidity, sharks reverse the price upward, trapping retail shorts. Phase 3: Trap Breakout Buyers (Swing High Reversal) The final move is to exploit retail FOMO as breakout buyers pile in above 2,664.26. Sharks reverse price aggressively, driving it back into equilibrium. Final Thoughts: Outsmarting the Sharks and Becoming One Trading success isn’t just about surviving the sharks; it’s about learning to think and act like them. Sharks dominate because they combine patience, strategy, and ruthless execution. They see beyond what retail traders see, act without emotion, and leverage market psychology to their advantage. To win big, you must stop being the prey and start evolving into a predator. Here’s how you can clone the shark’s mindset and tactics to transform your trading: 1. Adopt a Predator’s Patience Sharks don’t trade for the sake of trading—they wait. They analyze the market and act only when the conditions are perfect. As a trader: • Stop chasing every move. Focus on high-probability setups and let the liquidity sweeps play out fully before entering a trade. • Plan your attack zones. Identify key liquidity pools, such as stop-loss clusters and untested fair value gaps (FVGs). These zones are where the real opportunities lie. Remember, patience is a weapon. Retail traders panic or rush to enter trades, but sharks understand that timing is everything. 2. Think in Liquidity, Not Levels Retail traders fixate on static support and resistance levels. Sharks, on the other hand, think in terms of liquidity. Liquidity pools are the fuel for market moves, and identifying them gives you the edge. • Look for zones, not lines. Liquidity often lies just beyond obvious levels like Fibonacci retracements or swing highs/lows. • Expect false breakouts and breakdowns. Sharks deliberately push price beyond these levels to grab stops and fake out retail traders. Use this knowledge to position yourself for the reversal. By focusing on where liquidity is concentrated, you align yourself with institutional flow and avoid the traps set for retail traders. 3. Master the Art of Manipulation To truly think like a shark, you must understand how they manipulate retail traders. Sharks create illusions—fake breakouts, false trends, and deceptive wicks—to lure retail traders into predictable mistakes. Here’s how you can leverage this knowledge: • Watch for exhaustion. Sharks often leave clues, such as long wicks at key levels, signaling that they are absorbing liquidity and preparing for a reversal. • Anticipate traps. If a breakout looks “too clean” or happens on low volume, it’s probably a fake. Position yourself to take advantage of the reversal instead of chasing the move. By understanding how sharks manipulate, you can use their tricks to your advantage. 4. Develop Emotional Immunity Retail traders are emotional creatures. Fear of loss, greed for gains, and hope for reversals are their undoing. Sharks thrive on this weakness, creating chaotic conditions to force emotional decisions. To clone the shark’s psychology: • Detach from outcomes. A single trade doesn’t define your success. Focus on executing your strategy flawlessly. • Use logic, not emotion. Before entering a trade, ask yourself: “Am I acting on fear or greed, or is this move supported by data and analysis?” • Embrace losses. Sharks don’t fear losing because they know the bigger picture. A calculated loss is part of the process of winning big. When you control your emotions, you stop reacting like prey and start thinking like a predator. 5. Build a Ruthless Execution Plan Sharks don’t hesitate. They act decisively once the conditions align. To trade like a shark, you need a clear execution plan: 1. Identify Liquidity Zones: Know where retail stops are clustered above and below the price. 2. Wait for the Sweep: Let the market move into the liquidity zone. Don’t jump in prematurely. 3. Confirm Reversal Signals: • Look for sharp rejections (e.g., long wicks, bullish engulfing candles at liquidity zones). • Monitor volume spikes during sweeps, indicating institutional absorption. 4. Enter Decisively: • Place your trades at points of maximum opportunity, such as fair value gaps or after key liquidity sweeps. 5. Scale Out Profits: • Sharks don’t aim for perfection; they secure partial profits at key levels to reduce risk while letting the trade run. Having a systematic plan ensures you stay ahead of the sharks rather than swimming with the retail herd. 6. Learn to Manipulate, Not React The ultimate step in cloning the shark’s mindset is to stop reacting to market moves and start anticipating and manipulating. When you think like a shark, you can exploit retail psychology yourself: • Set your traps. For example, create buy stops above a swing high, expecting the sharks to target them. Use this liquidity sweep to enter short positions at a better price. • Fade the retail herd. When retail sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, look for signs of exhaustion. Sharks thrive by going against the crowd, and so should you. • Use volume and wicks to confirm. Sharks leave footprints in the form of long wicks and volume spikes at key levels. Follow these signs to align yourself with their moves. By shifting from a reactive mindset to a manipulative one, you’ll begin to profit from the same strategies that have made market makers the dominant players. 7. Think Long-Term Like a Shark Sharks don’t care about short-term noise. They think in terms of long-term accumulation and distribution. To truly win big, adopt the same mindset: • Focus on probabilities, not guarantees. Every trade should align with your broader strategy, not just immediate gains. • Study market cycles. Sharks understand the ebb and flow of the market, including how liquidity is built and swept during different phases. • Refine your edge. Sharks have a defined edge, whether it’s liquidity sweeps, volume profiles, or institutional order flow. Focus on mastering one strategy rather than chasing multiple techniques. By thinking long-term, you position yourself to ride the waves sharks create rather than getting swept away by them. 8. Be a Predator, Not Prey The ultimate goal is to stop thinking like a retail trader and start acting like a predator. Sharks don’t just survive—they dominate. To win big: • Detach from retail thinking. Stop relying on static levels, basic indicators, or emotional decision-making. These are the tools of the prey. • Align with institutional flow. Study where the sharks are hunting and follow their lead. • Stay disciplined. Sharks win because they act strategically, not impulsively. When you master these principles, you’ll no longer fear the sharks. You’ll swim with them—and profit alongside the most powerful players in the market. By adopting the psychology, tactics, and execution of the sharks, you not only protect yourself from retail traps but also learn to exploit the same inefficiencies they target. The markets are a battlefield, and only those who think like predators will win.
Head & Shoulder Formming Neck-Line At 42200 Global Scenarios- Iran War, Briac, Oil, Hmpv, Inflation Rates, Us Election Over Will Come To Retest 200ema After Aug 2024 6500pts(17%) Rally Healthy 10-15% Retracement
next levels to hold for others3: 965 would be good to hold here (given how violent the leg down has been, seems unlikely to hold) if not, more alts bloodbath and we go down to 905 (seems like most likely scenario) 905 must hold or else there is no altseason and bullmarket is over (extremely unlikely)
Hallo, frohes neues Jahr! ich dachte ich poste ein Big Picture Update zum neuen Jahr. Für manche ist das vielleicht sehr übertrieben, oder "Bärenpornografie". Aber nach Elliot Wave Theorie nicht undenkbar. Ich möchte diese Idee nur mal ins Bewusstsein rufen. Das Bild zeigt was kommen könnte, wenn der Wave Count stimmt. Grand Supercycle Wave 3 wäre am Ende angelangt, begonnen im Jahr 1762 nach dem Platzen der South Sea Bubble. Der Bärenmarkt damals vom top im Jahr 1720 bis wie gesagt 1762 am Boden in einer abc- Korrektur 42 Jahre lang. Sollte Grand Supercycle Welle 4 ein contracting triangle werden wie eingezeichnet, könnte der kommende Bärenmarkt über 100 Jahre dauern (mit vielen Jahrzehntelangen rallies und Abverkäufen), aber sie kann natürlich auch eine andere Form annehmen. Da Welle 1-2 eine abc war würde hier auf jedenfall eine Seitwärskorrektur, also ein Flat oder ein triangle eine gute Wahrscheinlichkeit haben. Der Abverkauf sollte von den großen übergewichteten Techwerten angeführt werden. Die hohe Konzentration in diese US-Aktien in weltweiten Portfolios und ETFs wird vermutlich noch während der ersten Welle a zu einer weltweiten Rezession führen. Die Schuldenthematik und alles was sonst noch so passiert kommt on top. Auch viele andere Aktien abgesehen von dem Magnificent 7 sehen vom Wave Count und den Divergenzen her im ganz großen Bild toppy aus. Hier sind nochmal meine aktuellen Elliot Wave Charts zu SP500, den Mag7 und diversen anderen Aktien mit möglichen Verläufen. Ich zoome hier mal weit raus und nehme Monats, bzw. Quartalskerzen. SP500 Monthly https://www.tradingview.com/x/UBwWGgpT/ SP500 Weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/WSDwxu1X/ Apple Monthly https://www.tradingview.com/x/cRSqUb6g/ Apple Weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/EAuO9ZcU/ Nvidia Monthly https://www.tradingview.com/x/DzfGSPBq/ Nvidia Weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/oOhzoYXo/ Microsoft Quarterly https://www.tradingview.com/x/xG7bdCq0/ Microsoft Weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/JJS6tsaJ/ Amazon Quarterly https://www.tradingview.com/x/AIh8511D/ Amazon Weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/eyiOC0qA/ Alphabet Quarterly https://www.tradingview.com/x/XobhBXwm/ Alphabet Weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/MRoxbeYf/ Meta Quarterly https://www.tradingview.com/x/Bok1AQ9i/ Meta Weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/sq0va9Lm/ Tesla Quarterly https://www.tradingview.com/x/Pk4nxFt9/ Tesla Weekly https://www.tradingview.com/x/i4EUC6Ii/ Hier noch ein paar Beispiele aus verscheiden Sektoren außerhalb der Big Techs. JP Morgan Quarterly https://www.tradingview.com/x/cSlPg8ES/ Proctor & Gamble Quarterly https://www.tradingview.com/x/Ow6Yr5Z5/ Visa Monthly https://www.tradingview.com/x/31B0FkW3/ Home Depot Monthly https://www.tradingview.com/x/BYZ576oZ/ McDonalds Quarterly https://www.tradingview.com/x/kPjoQJ3o/