This current fractal appears to be a limp and distributive Inverted Creek (Wyckoff), with a whipsawing Golden Window failure (0.618-0.786). The upper pivot printed in an area of higher liquidity within the retracement Golden Window and beyond the Supply Trendline. So there is double the liquidity in that area ; lots of traders with their stop losses / liquidations. This makes it an attractive point of reversal for market makers, and so there is higher probability that this area might capture a high time frame pivot. The high volatility of the whipsaw is the price action that signals that a significant momentum shift may have passed. The drawn projection is just an illustration, but it could go something like this. In a nutshell; this is a bearish look. TOTAL is the chart with dominant ratios and historically it bottoms in the retracement Golden Window following a selling climax. So if that happens again, it will be the ideal dip buy territory. Not advice.
? Asset: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) ? Timeframe: 30-Min Chart ? Setup Type: Ascending Wedge Breakout ? Trade Plan (Long Position): ✅ Entry Zone: $47.96 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $45.35 (Below Support) ? Take Profit Targets (Long Trade): ? TP1: $51.05 (First Resistance) ? TP2: $54.64 (Extended Bullish Target) ? Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation: ? Risk (Stop-Loss Distance): $47.96 - $45.35 = $2.61 ? Reward to TP1: $51.05 - $47.96 = $3.09 ? Risk-Reward Ratio to TP1: 1:1.18 ? Reward to TP2: $54.64 - $47.96 = $6.68 ? Risk-Reward Ratio to TP2: 1:2.56 ? Technical Analysis & Strategy: ? Breakout Confirmation: Strong buying momentum above $47.96 signals continuation. ? Pattern Formation: Ascending wedge breakout, indicating bullish movement. ? Key Support & Resistance Levels: ? $45.35 (Strong Support / SL Level) ? $47.96 (Breakout Zone / Entry) ? $51.05 (First Profit Target / Resistance) ? $54.64 (Final Target for Momentum Extension) ? Momentum Shift Expected: If price sustains above $47.96, it could push towards $51.05 and $54.64. A high-volume breakout would confirm the strength in trend continuation. ? Trade Execution & Risk Management: ? Volume Confirmation: Ensure buying volume remains strong after breakout. ? Trailing Stop Strategy: If price reaches TP1 ($51.05), move SL to entry ($47.96) to lock in profits. ? Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $51.05, let the rest run to $54.64. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($47.96) after TP1 is hit. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk: If price drops below $47.96, be cautious and watch for a retest before re-entering. ? Final Thoughts: ✔ Bullish Setup – If price holds above $47.96, higher targets are expected. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.18 to TP1, 1:2.56 to TP2. ? Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ?? ? #StockTrading #SMCI #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends #ProfittoPat
I always love RIVN, I see them everywhere in So cal, I want a truck, it is a USA company, we are in a USA first political cycle. I would like to take the RISK and be part of another TSLA type move over time. I own and love TSLA too, I was too late too that original party and now primarily just trade it. Owning less than I have in prior years. Disclosure for me is it is personal acct., holding 1500 shares @ $10.50, I traded some and fumbled with emotions, taking some great profit and ruined my avg price, which is now 12.50... I will most likely add 500 more if it drops to retest the $11.50 support.... $20 and above hold will confirm Range 2 in play.. GTLA, for entertainment only
INJ ~ 1W Analysis #INJ Form a bullish flag pattern. Buy gradually from here with a minimum target of 20%+.
Schematic #1 basic wyckoff accumation of Jolibee Schematic and Characteristics
We can invest from 3800 - 3870 for short term. Target 1 - 4600 and Target 2 - 5200 Tenure: 4-5 months I am not SEBI registered so invest at your own risk.
Is the 2025 Bull Run still on? Will there be an alt season? I don't know that survival of a week of bad CPI and PPI data is enough to confirm that. But there is some evidence that the massive wick to the downside on 2/2 for alts (this chart shows the 'OTHERS' index, the true alts, those out of the top ten in market cap) constitutes a bottom. The latter was, I think, part of the largest liquidation event in the history of cryptocurrency. $2.2 billion, quite a shakeout. What the 2D on 'OTHERS' shows me: >Support of price action on the 100d & 200d SMA's (and the tightness of of the two). >The acute bullish SMT Divergence vs BTC. (The drop in BTC, in itself, wasn't remarkable.) >Long signals on multiple momentum indicators. (I show, here, Cipher B and Lux Algo's Oscillator.) What I still need to see in order to invest in an Alt Season: >A return of price action into the Value Area formed by 2024 price action. (A couple daily closes above the VAL? Or, better still, a weekly close above it?) >A consistent increase in volume, the flow of money into the space. (Without out such, the 'rally' we've seen in spite of bad economic news, is likely to peter out.) >Signs that BTC's excruciating slumber is over and that it is ready to take another shot at price discovery. I do pay especial notice to those alts that have out performed 'OTHERS'. They are worth watching in March. What the consensus on crypto?
Same valuation method as used on Horizon Minerals (previous post today). Shows Pantoro to be undervalued, with 80% up-side remaining at current prices and reserves. Who, knows. We will see. My entry shown in blue dashed line and exit point in red.
There are two structures in clear display for everyone to see: - Primary Structure - Secondary Structure This is basically as many would say a trend in trends that offer bullish signals. Primary Structure: is for a swing trader while,the Secondary is for a day trader that want to get his quick and small slice of the pie as others that the longer approach. I see a push downward to the support zone (0.19088) before the bullish movements kicks in and breaks through the diagonal resistance trend-line to 0.28000. Now, we wait for the setup to ripen and then eat.
Hello and thanks for viewing. I tend to write a lot. My valuation is based on a few assumptions; - There are no new material ore discoveries as extraction progresses, - The gold price doesn't rise over time, - The miner will have the 'average' profitability of gold miners of 11% (I use 10%), - The miner will be fairly but not excessively valued vs its earnings. I used a PE ratio of 20, which is pretty normal. Reserves are over 1.8 million ounces x AUD4539/oz = AUD8.17B / 25 year mine life = AUD326m a year. At 10% EBIT this is AUD 32.6m in earnings per year. If valued at a PE ratio of 20, this would give the mine a value of 653.6m. The current Market Cap is AUD103m (up 53% in the past month) so a 6.3x of the current price is $0.456. I have already bought in and am up 46% in a week :) so WHEN we hit $0.45 that is a 9.5x gain for me. I might sell 50% then, not sure, depends on how much positive news accumulates up until that point. Just sharing my method. I feel it is easy to apply, is sufficiently conservative, not too naive. Oh, I don't trade short-term. I have found that short-term trading only makes money for brokers and dramatically increases risk. I find a share that I am comfortable offers a large margin of safety, if the price goes down after I buy in, I am happy, especially if I can add to my position.