The euro dropped to $1.02, marking its lowest level in three weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened following President Donald Trump's decision to implement tariffs of 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports and 10% on Chinese goods starting Tuesday. Trump has also warned of potential tariffs on the European Union, prompting the region to vow a strong response. These factors added to the pressure on the euro, which was already weakened by the European Central Bank's dovish stance. Last week, the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and signaled the possibility of further reductions later this year. Currently, market traders are factoring in the likelihood of three additional ECB rate cuts by the end of 2025. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0300, with further resistanc
Based on our technical analysis, NASDAQ:SOPA is trading in a range between $1.8 and $1.9. This range formed during a notable period following the regular market close. We believe it could soon surpass $2 or even reach 20% of the price at the time of publishing this analysis. The stock is in good shape for intraday or swing trading if looking to enter near the $1.75 to $1.8 levels. We’re giving you this courtesy signal, so you know where you saw it first. https://www.tradingview.com/x/1HD57hxS/
The Japanese yen weakened beyond 155.5 per dollar, marking its second straight decline as the dollar strengthened. The US imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, triggering retaliatory actions from the affected nations. Although Japan was not directly targeted, its export-driven economy remains exposed to global trade disruptions. A summary of discussions from the Bank of Japan’s January meeting indicated that policymakers considered the possibility of further interest rate hikes to counter inflationary pressures and a weakening yen. In January, the BOJ raised its policy rate and signaled its willingness to increase rates again if economic conditions and inflation trends warrant further action. The key resistance level appears to be 155.90, with a break above it potentially targeting 158.70 and 160.00. On the downside, 153.80 is the first major support, followed by 151.90 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst The cryptocurrency market experienced a turbulent weekend with a significant drop in the price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) initiated on Thursday, January 30. The world's leading cryptocurrency retreated sharply, losing -14.29% in four trading days, with a particularly aggressive plunge on Sunday, when it lost -10.05% in a single day. This move generated uncertainty among long-term investors and left open the question of whether this is a simple correction or the beginning of a trend change. Factors behind the drop Several factors may have contributed to this correction in the BTC price: 1. profit-taking: a fter a strong bull rally in recent weeks, many institutional and retail investors decided to lock in profits, leading to selling pressure. 2. Market liquidity: Weekend moves are often amplified by lower liquidity on exchanges, which can exacerbate declines when there is an increase in BTC supply. 3. Macroeconomic data and Fed expectations: uncertainty about future interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve has affected risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. 4. Movements in portfolios of large holders (“whales”): On-chain data shows that some large portfolios transferred significant volumes of BTC to exchanges, a signal that often precedes massive sales. Technical Outlook: What to expect? From a technical point of view, the fall led BTC/USD to test key support levels. Currently the price is trading at $93490, if the price manages to recover above $97000 during this week, we could see a technical rebound in the short term. However, if the selling pressure persists and support gives way, the next bearish target is at $90,800. Technical indicators reinforce the uncertainty: - RSI (Relative Strength Index): Over the weekend, BTC entered an oversold zone, although it has shown a slight recovery to 43.40%, suggesting a possible rebound in the coming sessions. - 50/100-day moving average: On Saturday, the price pierced the 50-day moving average to the downside, adding the 100-day moving average as a reinforcement of that trend, which casts doubt on the continuation of the uptrend of the past few weeks. Without a quick recovery, we could be looking at a deeper correction. - Control Point (POC): The current control point in the long term is located around $103,000, this is the bullish possibility we are talking about as a continuation of this trend. Conclusion Despite the fall, Bitcoin remains within a long-term bullish structure. However, the coming sessions will be decisive in defining whether the recent correction is just a breather within the rally or the beginning of a more prolonged trend reversal. The market reaction in the coming days and the evolution of macroeconomic factors will set the direction of BTC/USD in the short and medium term. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the indicated trend line, we can look for the next short-term buying positions in Nasdaq. The Nasdaq being in the demand range will provide us with the conditions to buy it with a reasonable reward to risk. While the world remained focused on the first week of the Trump administration, a relatively unknown Chinese startup shocked the tech industry last week by releasing an open-source AI tool. This tool, developed with significantly fewer resources and at a much lower cost than its American counterparts like ChatGPT, has managed to match and, in some cases, surpass its U.S. rivals. The startup, DeepSeek, has gone even further by making its tool freely available for download. Only those who wish to use the company’s API, which allows seamless integration with existing applications, are required to pay a fee—amounting to just 3% of the cost of competing tools. Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Saturday imposing sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. He pressured these nations to curb the flow of fentanyl and illegal immigrants from Mexico and Canada into the U.S.—a move that could reignite inflation and hinder global economic growth. In response, Mexico and Canada, two of the U.S.‘s largest trading partners, immediately vowed to impose retaliatory tariffs. China, on the other hand, announced that it would challenge Trump’s decision at the World Trade Organization (WTO) and take additional “countermeasures.” Under three executive orders, starting Tuesday, imports from Mexico and Canada will be subject to a 25% tariff, while Chinese goods will face a 10% levy. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau responded by stating that Canada will impose a 25% tariff on $30 billion worth of U.S. goods starting Tuesday, followed by an additional $125 billion in tariffs three weeks later. Trudeau warned that these tariffs would increase grocery and fuel costs for American consumers, potentially shut down auto assembly plants, and restrict the supply of nickel, potash, uranium, steel, and aluminum. He also urged Canadians to avoid traveling to the U.S. and boycott American products. As investors looked for clarity from this week’s Federal Reserve meeting, Wall Street was left uncertain, now anticipating that the Fed will likely keep rates unchanged until late in the year.
BUY 1.02400 | STOP 1.01700 | TAKE 1.03300 | Gap must be closed.
From the recent price action on the GBP/JPY 1H chart, the pair has shown signs of exhaustion after a corrective pullback into key Fibonacci retracement levels. The latest upswing appears to have found resistance around the 0.786 Fibonacci level (near 191.60–192.00), which suggests limited upside momentum. - Bearish Momentum: The RSI is rolling over from overbought conditions on lower time frames, hinting that sellers are stepping back in. - Fibonacci Confluence: The identified Expect Level 1 (~190.29) and Expect Level 2 (~189.73) coincide with Fibonacci extension targets—an indication that these levels could see a reaction or bounce. - Price Structure: The broader trend on the 1H chart remains to the downside, with lower highs forming since the pair topped earlier in the week. A retest of the 0.786 fib area has fueled sellers to push price lower again. Expectation - A potential breakdown toward 190.29 (Expect Level 1) is likely if the current corrective bounce fails below 192.00. - Further bearish follow-through could drive price down to 189.73 (Expect Level 2), aligning with Fibonacci extensions and support levels.
The cryptocurrency market has been rattled as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) nosedived 16% to $91,000, triggering concerns among investors. This steep drop comes amid broader market sell-offs, with Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) and leading meme coins shedding nearly 20% of their value. The primary catalyst? Speculations of a trade war fueled by U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariffs. Technical Analysis Bitcoin's price plummeted to an intraday low of $91,242, marking one of its most significant drops in recent months. Despite rebounding slightly to $94K, BTC’s movement reflects extreme volatility. Key technical indicators suggest: - Support Levels: The next critical support zone lies near $90K, a psychological level that, if broken, could lead to further declines. - Resistance Levels: BTC faces immediate resistance at $100K, with further upside contingent on market recovery. - Liquidations: Over $397 million worth of CRYPTOCAP:BTC long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours, amplifying selling pressure. - Bitcoin Dominance: BTC dominance surged 2.76% to 61.38%, indicating that altcoins are suffering heavier losses compared to Bitcoin. Additionally, the 9.5% drop in the total crypto market cap to $3.04 trillion, alongside a 182% increase in trading volume to $286.91 billion**, signals panic-driven trading behavior. Trade War Fears & Market Uncertainty The backdrop for this crypto crash is rooted in macroeconomic developments, particularly **Donald Trump’s new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China**. The prospect of escalating trade tensions has spooked global investors, leading to a risk-off sentiment across financial markets. Key fundamental factors contributing to Bitcoin’s decline: 1. Global Trade War Speculations – Trump's tariff policy has sparked fears of retaliatory measures, which could weaken global economic stability and reduce institutional appetite for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. 2. Market Liquidations – Over $2 billion worth of crypto liquidations occurred in the past 24 hours, intensifying downward momentum. 3. Investor Sentiment Shift – Uncertainty prevails as market participants remain divided, with some anticipating a rebound while others brace for further declines. 4. Macroeconomic Headwinds – Broader economic factors, including inflation concerns and regulatory uncertainties, add pressure to BTC's price action. What’s Next for Bitcoin? While the current downturn is causing fear, Bitcoin has historically demonstrated resilience in the face of macroeconomic turmoil. The coming days will be critical, with key factors to watch including: - $90K Support Test – If Bitcoin holds this level, a relief rally could follow, potentially targeting $100K resistance. - Macroeconomic Developments – Any updates on the global trade situation or Federal Reserve monetary policy could influence BTC’s trajectory. - Institutional Interest – Large players may use this dip as a buying opportunity, injecting fresh liquidity into the market. Conclusion Bitcoin's 16% crash to $91K reflects a combination of technical breakdowns and macroeconomic pressures. While uncertainty looms, BTC remains a key asset in the crypto ecosystem, with historical recoveries following major dips. As the market navigates trade war fears, investors should remain cautious, keeping an eye on support levels and potential rebounds.
Wie bereits am Freitag angenommen, hat BTC es an der gelben Widerstandslinie nicht leicht und wurde abverkauf, während der Support bei 102K hätte halten müssenund leider auch gebrochen wurde. Nun wurde die Wick zur 50er Daily EMA gefüllt, und nun konnte auch diese keine ausreichende Unterstützung mehr bieten, wird mit großer Wahrscheinlichkeit die nächste Wick ebenfalls gefüllt – wie im Chart ersichtlich. In den letzten Wochen hat Bitcoin immer wieder seine Wicks auf dem Daily-Chart vollständig ausgefüllt, was dieses Szenario weiter untermauert. Wenn die Blaue Supportlinie bei 88K auch noch angelaufen wird, und kann der Support dem Verkaufsdruck nicht standhalten dann würde sich das grosse M Pattern ausspielen denn an der blauen Support Linie wäre die Neckline und damit sich die dann nicht komplett ausspielt hat BTC nur noch die 200er Daily die den Kurs auffangen kann sonst holt der BTC alle Vector Kerzen nach unten ab. Im Moment hält Bitcoin noch den Support über die 90K und wird in der Zone noch mal stark aufgekauft, jetzt stellt sich die Frage wenn Bitcoin die 50er Daily EMA noch mal anläuft wird der da abgelehnt und wird das eine Short Konfirmation, jedenfalls müssen wir den traditionellen Markt um 15H30 abwarten wie der noch reagieren wird. Der Trademania Indikator zeigt zwei hintereinander lila Vector Kerze, diese Kerze sagen aus dass das Verkaufsvolumen langsam abnimmt und zuletzt hatte wir das bei Bitcoin am 9 Januar und in der selben Preiszone, und ab da wurden wir auch sehr stark aufgekauft, bleib spannend heute.
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