? Price is back into a key supply zone, signaling a potential reversal. Before executing, I’m watching for: ✅ Further confirmation on H1 or H4 ✅ A clear Change of Character (CHoCH) ✅ Liquidity sweep to trap early buyers ⚠️ Patience is key! Let the market show its hand before entering. A strong rejection and lower timeframe breakdown could confirm the setup. ? What’s your take? Are you seeing the same setup? Drop your thoughts below! ? #GBPCAD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #CHoCH #PriceAction #ForexSetup
Very interesting. The bull-market trend has been confirmed. Zebec Network (ZBCNUSDT) broke a long-term consolidation pattern. This pattern has been active for a full eight months and is breaking only now. The break is happening on high and rising volume. Yesterday's volume is the highest ever. This chart is interesting because it is a high probability chart. The bullish signals are really strong and already confirmed. So aiming higher is an easy bet and sure to win. ZBCNUSDT is moving up now and this moving up can develop in a period of 6-8 months. So imagine how nice it would be to hold such a pair while prices are still low. Now, there is still some resistance and retraces can happen because a market never moves straight down nor straight up. It tends to fluctuate, swings and shakeouts are always present within a bullish wave. With that said, such type of action would be irrelevant on the long-term. That is, short-term noise. We are going up. Zebec Network is going up. Thank you for reading. The Altcoins market continues to heat up. Namaste.
Since 2021, every mini alt season cycle has reached the red zone, forming a top. It appears that the red zone marks the top for mini-alt seasons, while the green zone serves as the floor. In the main alt season, I anticipate the red zone breaking to the upside.
## **3. Macro Position Trader Setups (Weeks/Months/Years)** ### **Key Context** - **Macro & Institutional Positioning:** - **Overall Macro Environment:** Bullish for gold due to stable liquidity, a weaker U.S. dollar, and central-bank gold purchases. However, the **slight ETF outflow** from GLD indicates some near-term profit-taking. - **Speculative Net Longs:** Still elevated (~284.5k), though trimmed from recent highs. - **Institutional Liquidity:** Credit conditions remain favorable (tight credit spreads, no funding stress) and real yields are low (slightly negative on TIPS). This typically supports gold in a long-term portfolio context. - **Technical (Weekly/Monthly Outlook):** - **Higher-Timeframe Trend:** Strong bullish structure from mid-2022 onward, with weekly ADX around 40 indicating a mature, robust uptrend. - **Major Demand Zones:** 2,600–2,620 identified as a weekly order block, plus 1,850–1,875 as a historically significant accumulation area (though far below current levels). - **Upside Potential:** Potential long-term extension beyond 3,000, per the 1.618+ Fibonacci references in your Weekly O1 Price Action Report. --- ### **A. Macro Bullish (Long) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - **Global Central Bank Demand**: Ongoing central-bank buying, plus a weaker USD environment, typically favors gold over multi-month horizons. - **Weekly Trend**: All major moving averages (weekly/daily) are below price, reinforcing a long-term bullish structure. - **Liquidity Supports**: No signs of forced deleveraging; high margin debt is a latent risk, but not currently triggering liquidation flows in gold. 2. **Potential Entry Zones** - **Option 1: Scaling In on Pullbacks** - Zone 1: **2,760–2,770** (the next strong weekly/daily support). - Zone 2: **2,600–2,620** (larger weekly demand zone if a deeper macro correction occurs). - **Option 2: Break Above ~2,950–2,960** - A monthly/weekly close above that swing high could open the path toward the 3,000+ region. 3. **Stop Loss (SL) & Risk Management** - Macro traders often use **wider stops** or partial hedges rather than tight stops. - For instance, place an SL under **2,600** to account for multi-week volatility if scaling in. - Alternatively, use trailing stops that follow the weekly uptrend structure. 4. **Targets (TP)** - **Initial Upside**: 3,000–3,050 (psychological round number + potential extension from the technical reports). - **Extended Target**: 3,200–3,250, in line with some of the far-OTM call interest identified (though that’s highly dependent on macro catalysts). 5. **Validation & Conflict** - A **sustained break below ~2,600** on a weekly closing basis would question the longer-term bullish thesis. - **Conflict**: Overbought weekly/daily RSI (~70–75) could generate short-term pullbacks, but the **multi-month** uptrend remains intact. --- ### **B. Macro Bearish (Short) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - This is a **deeply contrarian approach**: shorting gold in a bullish macro environment. It might be pursued if one anticipates a major shift in rates or a significant dollar rebound. - A scenario could be **rapid Fed tightening** or a sudden meltdown in risk assets prompting forced liquidation (though the current reports show no sign of credit stress). 2. **Potential Entry Zones** - **Option 1: Structural Break** below ~2,600 on a weekly or monthly close, indicating the multi-year uptrend might be ending. - **Option 2: Extreme Overbought** above 3,000, if a blow-off top forms with a reversal candle on the monthly chart. 3. **Stop Loss (SL)** - If shorting near all-time or new highs (above 3,000), use an SL above the blow-off top (e.g., 3,050+). - If shorting on a break below 2,600, place SL above the re-entry into that broken zone. 4. **Targets (TP)** - **Initial**: 2,400–2,450 (major prior inflection points from older data, not in the near-range of the recent reports, but historically significant). - **Extended**: Possibly 1,850–1,875 (the long-standing weekly demand zone) if a deeper macro downcycle emerges. 5. **Validation & Conflict** - The entire macro picture from the reports is **bullish** or neutral. Shorting for a multi-month horizon contradicts the dominant trend and fundamental flows. This is **high risk**. --- ### **C. Macro Range (Mean Reversion) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - If gold fails to break solidly above ~2,950–2,960 and simultaneously respects ~2,600–2,620 on any deep pullback, we could see a **broad 2,600–2,950 multi-month range.** - This scenario might unfold if macro headwinds (e.g., partial yield rises) prevent a breakout, but safe-haven demand keeps gold from collapsing. 2. **Range Boundaries** - **Upper**: ~2,950–3,000. - **Lower**: ~2,600–2,620. 3. **Strategy** - **Accumulate** near 2,600–2,620 → aim to offload in the 2,900–3,000 region. - **Short** near 3,000 → cover near 2,700–2,600 if price reverts. - This approach suits macro players who expect gold to remain sideways rather than trend to new extremes. 4. **Stop Placement** - **Long**: SL below ~2,550 to accommodate monthly wiggles. - **Short**: SL above 3,050 if betting on a top near 3,000. 5. **Validation & Conflict** - A decisive monthly close above 3,000 signals a range break to the upside, invalidating the macro range approach. - A close below 2,600 confirms deeper correction. --- ### **Macro Conflicts & Risks** 1. **Overbought Indicators vs. Bullish Demand:** The weekly/daily RSI near 70+ could presage a multi-week corrective phase, but central-bank purchases and a weaker dollar continue to underpin gold’s long-term strength. 2. **High Margin Debt:** While it’s currently not forcing liquidations, an equity/credit event could cause cross-asset de-risking, impacting gold either way (initial liquidation followed by a safe-haven rebound). 3. **Geopolitical Tail Risks:** Major geopolitical escalations typically boost gold, but a surprise resolution or shift in interest-rate policy could weigh on gold. 4. **ETF Outflows vs. Speculative Futures:** Contradictory flows can create near-term volatility, but the **macro** stance remains net supportive. ... 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## **2. Swing Trader Setups (Days to Weeks)** ### **Key Context** - **Macro & Positioning:** - The **macro environment** (weaker USD, stable credit markets, and strong institutional interest) is generally **bullish for Gold**. However, the **slight ETF outflows** in GLD indicate some short-term trimming. Macro conflict severity for gold is mild (2 out of 5). - **CFTC data**: Speculators remain net long (~284.5k), but that was trimmed from higher levels—still a significant net-long position. - **Technical (Weekly/Daily):** - Weekly/daily uptrend remains strong (price above 20/50/100/200 MAs). The weekly ADX ~40 and daily RSI ~70–75 confirm a robust but possibly extended move. - The next higher-timeframe support is around **2,760–2,770**, aligning with a daily breakout zone and Fibonacci retracements. - Heavy overhead reference near **2,950–2,960**, which recently capped price. --- ### **A. Swing Bullish (Long) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - **Higher-Timeframe Trend** is bullish, with no clear reversal pattern on weekly/daily charts. - **Institutional Demand** reported near 2,760–2,770 (daily/4H support + Fibonacci confluence). - Potential for Gold to challenge or surpass the **2,950–2,960** swing high if macro tailwinds (weak dollar, safe-haven flows) persist. 2. **Potential Entry Zones** - **Option 1: Pullback Buy** around **2,760–2,770**. Traders may layer entries within that zone if price retraces. - **Option 2: Breakout Buy** on a **daily close above 2,950–2,960**, targeting a continued up-leg toward 3,000+ (per the 1.618 extension references from the technical reports). 3. **Stop Loss (SL)** - If entering near 2,760–2,770, place SL below **2,750** (below strong daily structure). - If entering on a breakout above 2,960, place SL below the broken resistance (e.g., around **2,930**). 4. **Targets (TP)** - **Initial Target**: Re-test of **2,950–2,960** if buying the pullback. - **Extended Target**: Above 3,000 (the next psychological/Fibonacci zone), as mentioned in the Price Action Report. - For a partial exit plan, consider scaling out near 2,950–2,960, then holding a remainder for potential breakout. 5. **Validation & Conflict** - A decisive **daily close below ~2,750** invalidates the bullish thesis short-term. - **Conflict**: The daily RSI is overbought (~70–75), so any new swing longs must expect volatility or a deeper pullback. Keep stops disciplined. --- ### **B. Swing Bearish (Short) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - This setup **counters the weekly/daily uptrend**. A swing short would aim to capitalize on a potential overbought retracement or a break below short-term supports. - Macro environment still leans bullish for gold, so shorting is contrarian. The justification might be a bigger corrective wave from overbought conditions. 2. **Potential Entry Zones** - **Option 1: Rejection Around 2,950–2,960.** If price retests that region and shows a clear daily bearish rejection (e.g., shooting star, high-volume sell-off). - **Option 2: Break Below 2,880** on a daily closing basis, indicating that the short-term consolidation has given way to a deeper correction. 3. **Stop Loss (SL)** - If shorting near 2,950–2,960, place SL above **2,970** (beyond recent swing high). - If shorting on a break below 2,880, place SL back above **2,900** or the breakdown pivot to reduce false-break risk. 4. **Targets (TP)** - **Initial Target**: 2,760–2,770 zone (the next significant daily support). - **Extended Target**: Possibly deeper into the 2,600–2,620 weekly order block if a stronger correction unfolds (though that would be a bigger, more contrarian move). 5. **Validation & Conflict** - Above **2,970** (decisive daily break) nullifies near-term short ideas. - **Major Conflict**: Contradicts the macro bullish bias + robust weekly uptrend. A short requires tight risk control and evidence of real momentum to the downside. --- ### **C. Swing Range (Mean Reversion) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - The daily chart is uptrending, but there’s a potential for a **wide consolidation** if gold keeps oscillating under 2,960 and above 2,760. - If price fails to break out above 2,960 or loses momentum near 2,880–2,900, the market may meander in a multi-week range. 2. **Range Boundaries** - **High End:** ~2,950–2,960 resistance (recent swing high). - **Low End:** ~2,760–2,770 support zone. 3. **Execution Plan** - **Buy near 2,770** → Target 2,900–2,950. - **Sell near 2,950** → Target 2,800–2,770. - This approach only works if gold remains pinned between those levels without a decisive breakout. 4. **Stop Placement** - For buys near 2,770, SL below 2,750. For shorts near 2,950, SL above 2,970. - This is more of a **range rotation** tactic for swing traders who see limited directional momentum in the short/medium term. 5. **Validation & Conflict** - **A clear break above 2,960** invalidates the upper boundary; a break below 2,760 invalidates the lower. - **Conflict**: Longer-term bullish structure means repeated attempts at the upper boundary (2,950–2,960) could ultimately break out. Range traders should be ready to abandon the range strategy if momentum surges. --- ### **Swing Conflicts & Risks** - **Bullish Macro + Overbought Technicals:** The greatest conflict is that gold’s multi-month rally continues to be supported by fundamentals (weak USD, safe-haven flows), yet daily RSI is elevated. **Pullbacks** could be swift, but the broader uptrend might persist. - **ETF Outflows** vs. **High Spec Net Long:** Mild short-term distribution in ETFs but still robust institutional futures positioning. - **Potential Catalyst Shifts:** Upcoming Fed commentary, surprise yield spikes, or major macro data could quickly alter gold’s momentum.
## **1. Intraday Trader Setups (Short-Term)** - **Key Context** - **Macro & Technical Backdrop (From Reports)** - **Macro:** Overall bullish environment for Gold (weaker dollar, stable liquidity, robust institutional demand), but recent minor ETF outflows indicate some profit-taking. (Severity 2 conflict flagged: bullish macro vs. slight outflows.) - **Technical (Weekly/ Daily):** Clear long-term uptrend, with price above major MAs and strong weekly/daily momentum. - **Short-Term Price Action (4H/1H):** Consolidation near **2,900**, with **2,880–2,885** identified as near-term support and **2,915–2,930** as local resistance. RSI on lower timeframes is neutral (~50), reflecting a pause in momentum. Below are three **intraday** (day-trading horizon) setups, each fully actionable, **yet mindful of the broader bullish context**. ### **A. Intraday Bullish (Long) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - Macro bias is bullish. Price is consolidating around 2,900. Short-term structure shows a range bottom near 2,880–2,885, which aligns with **recent support** (1H/4H demand pocket). - Momentum on higher timeframes remains positive; intraday traders can look for a bounce within the established uptrend. 2. **Potential Entry Zone** - **Option 1**: On a pullback into **2,880–2,885**, if intraday price action confirms a bounce (e.g., bullish candlestick pattern). - **Option 2**: On a break above **2,915**, if price closes intraday above that resistance and shows follow-through. 3. **Stop Loss (SL)** - If entering around 2,880–2,885, place SL below **2,870** (below recent pivot/structure). - If entering on a break above 2,915, place SL back inside the consolidation (e.g., below **2,900**). 4. **Targets (TP)** - **Initial Target**: 2,915–2,930 area (intraday resistance). - **Extended Target**: 2,950–2,960 swing high region, aligning with the daily chart’s recent peak. 5. **Validation Levels** - A sustained **1H/4H close below ~2,870** would invalidate the bullish intraday thesis, indicating deeper pullback. 6. **Conflict Note** - Daily RSI is near overbought (~70), so short-term longs must manage risk carefully if price stalls again near 2,950. --- ### **B. Intraday Bearish (Short) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - This is **counter to the larger macro uptrend**. The main justification is **intraday overextension** or a short-term fade from near-term resistance zones (2,915–2,930). - Traders who see an intraday rejection at these levels may look for a quick scalp short. 2. **Potential Entry Zone** - **Option 1**: A failed break or strong bearish rejection around **2,915–2,930**. - **Option 2**: If price **breaks below ~2,880** with momentum, opening room for a further intraday drop. 3. **Stop Loss (SL)** - If shorting near 2,915–2,930, an SL can go above **2,935–2,940** to avoid random stop-outs. - If shorting on a breakdown below 2,880, SL might be placed above the consolidation re-entry point (~2,890). 4. **Targets (TP)** - **Initial Target**: 2,880 (the short-term support). - **Extended Target**: 2,760–2,770 (key daily/4H support zone) but **only** if momentum accelerates strongly intraday. 5. **Validation Levels** - A decisive break **above 2,940** invalidates near-term short ideas. - Must monitor carefully because the **higher-timeframe trend is still bullish**, so any short is high-risk and purely intraday. 6. **Conflict Note** - Clashes with bullish macro bias and weekly/daily uptrend. This trade is strictly for **short-term intraday momentum** or scalp traders comfortable fading a strong market. --- ### **C. Intraday Range (Mean Reversion) Setup** 1. **Rationale & Confluence** - The 1H/4H charts highlight a **range-like movement** between ~2,880 (support) and ~2,915/2,930 (resistance). - Intraday traders can buy dips near support and sell near resistance as long as price remains choppy and fails to break out. 2. **Buy Low / Sell High Tactics** - **Buy near 2,880** with SL below 2,870, targeting 2,910–2,915. - **Sell near 2,915–2,930** with SL above 2,940, targeting 2,885–2,880. 3. **Stop Loss & Targets** - Keep stops fairly tight since the range is only ~30–50 points wide. - Range trades rely on price staying inside this channel. If a breakout occurs, close positions immediately. 4. **Validation Levels** - A clean 1H close **above 2,930** or **below 2,880** breaks the range. - This signals that the market might transition into a trend day—range trades should be exited promptly. 5. **Conflict Note** - Overall macro + daily trend is bullish, so repeated re-tests of the upper boundary could lead to an eventual breakout. Range traders must be quick to exit if momentum intensifies. --- #### **Intraday Conflicts & Risks** - **Bullish Macro** vs. **Possible Intraday Pullback**: The primary conflict is the robust higher-timeframe trend overshadowing any short or range trades. - **High RSI on Daily** vs. **Consolidation RSI on 1H**: Overbought daily suggests caution for new longs, yet 1H shows neutrality. **These three intraday setups** (long, short, range) **provide actionable frameworks while highlighting any contradictory signals** from the broader macro/trend perspective. Manage stops and targets diligently, as short-term trades can be quickly invalidated by major news or a decisive breakout.
more than 100 pipe run before hit risk-free did u enjoyed it?
Guys how is your trading going on.. Based on my view gold first target 2917. Break 2917.5, then it will shoot to 2975.
Is it here? Yes indeed it is! We will see $615 according to Me and The Trading Of Future Prediction, We may open Lower Tuesday Morning Approximately 604-606 Before pushing up to 615 this week... If you want to Trade and become a better Trader i suggest you watch the future of trading which the content is out now... So if your longing Spy at the moment be prepared for a possibly brief open to the downside before heading up and finishing to about 615 this week..... and as always good luck traders and safe trades
Gold on the 4H TF is within its final Wave 5 bullish move, there’s no arguing with that. The only thing to debate is how high can Wave 5 push up before reversing? While it’s possible that Wave 5 has now peaked at $2,942 & ready for a major correction, on the 1H TF I see a small possibly of it creating a new ATH toward $2,954. HIGH RISK TRADE. Confluences?? ⭕️Distribution Schematic Taking Place Between Wave 3 High, Wave 4 Low & Wave 5 High. ⭕️Wave E Rejected From Psychological Number Of $2,940 (LQ Trap). ⭕️No Strong Sell Off Yet To Indicate A Reversal Has Started.