GBP/USD Hourly Analysis & Trade Execution I’ve been closely tracking GBP/USD, and now price is sitting at 1.34208, testing the critical resistance zone at 1.34250. Bulls have maintained control, but I’m watching closely for institutional absorption or signs of exhaustion. Market Structure & Key Zones Major Resistance: 1.34250-1.34500 → If buyers hold, price could extend toward 1.34500. Support at 1.33800-1.33950 → A possible demand zone if price pulls back before pushing higher. Liquidity Trap Below 1.33650 → A quick dip below 1.33800, followed by aggressive buying, would indicate institutional positioning. Momentum & Trend Confirmation RSI (1-hour): 66.38 → Bullish, but nearing exhaustion territory. Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 61.27 → Buyers are in control but watching for signs of slowing momentum. Stochastic Fast (1-hour): 60.54 → Trend is intact, but reversal signals could emerge near resistance. Trade Management Strategy Setup: Bullish Breakout Continuation Since price is testing 1.34250, I’ll hold my long position if buyers show sustained strength. Entry: Holding long if price stabilizes above 1.34250. Stop Loss: Adjusted to 1.33950 to lock in gains. Target 1: 1.34500, strong resistance level. Target 2: 1.34650, extended play if volume supports the breakout. Setup: Liquidity Sweep & Reversal If price rejects 1.34250, I’ll look for a pullback setup before re-entering long. Entry: If price dips below 1.33800 but aggressively reclaims 1.34000, re-enter long. Stop Loss: Below 1.33650, ensuring tight risk control. Target 1: 1.34150, reclaiming previous resistance. Target 2: 1.34350, profit zone if buyers remain strong. Institutional Activity & Order Flow Considerations Liquidity Sweeps Below 1.33850 → If price dips but quickly recovers, it could be a stop-hunt before continuation. Absorption Near 1.34250 → If price holds steady here without sharp rejection, buyers may be absorbing sell-side liquidity. Volume Confirmation at 1.34150 → If volume remains strong, further upside toward 1.34500 is likely. Final Execution Adjustments Monitoring order flow to assess whether institutions are accumulating or distributing positions near resistance. Watching volume absorption and candle behavior near 1.34250. Right now, GBP/USD is at a pivotal level—if buyers sustain above 1.34250, the trend continuation toward 1.34500-1.34650 is in play. However, failure to hold may signal institutional selling, triggering a pullback before another bullish attempt.
? Mongoose Capital | Macro Heat Check — April 28, 2025 Chart Overview: US500 fighting gravity at 5475. Macro Score: 2/7 — only 28.57% bullish probability. Inflation is sticky, unemployment is rising — recession risk is quietly creeping higher. Credit markets are holding... for now. (KRE > 50, HYG > 78) Signal: ✅ Smart Hold signals prevented panic buying. ⚠️ Recession Score now climbing — 3/5 triggered. ? Risk-Off conditions remain dominant. Desk Outlook: "Price relief is illusionary. The underlying engine is sputtering — without liquidity, rallies will fail. Patience and precision: Mongoose Style." Mongoose Capital Tactical Bias: Short bias into major resistance zones. Long volatility setups favored. Recession trades preparing for launch. #MongooseCapital #MacroTrading #SPX #US500 #RecessionWatch #TradingDesk #MarketUpdate
Today price pushed to SR zone and rejected. Potential daily chart trendline + smaller set of daily fibs show that price could pullback to around 5400 before making another attempt at todays high.
Sonic Token has been consolidating inside a well-defined range for 48 days, with no breakout confirmation yet. Price action remains suppressed beneath strong resistance layers including the VWAP SR, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, and the value area high. Volume remains steadily below average, reinforcing the idea of rotational movement. Until volume spikes significantly, price action is expected to continue oscillating within the range. Sonic Token is currently sitting near the midpoint of the range — losing this level could trigger a cascading move toward untapped liquidity below, sweeping lower supports. If price manages to reclaim the VWAP SR resistance with a confirmed closing candle, a move back to the range high becomes likely. Until then, the overall bias remains neutral to bearish, with the expectation of further consolidation unless strong volume intervention shifts the market structure.
1. Current market structure: wide range of fluctuations, direction to be broken Key range: 3260-3338 (recently tested the upper and lower edges many times, no effective breakthrough). Fierce long-short game: 3260-3270 (multiple bottoming rebounds, strong support area). 3336-3340 (recent high resistance, breakthrough opens up the upward space). 3370 (mid-term long-short boundary, head and shoulders right shoulder pressure). 2. Technical signal analysis 4-hour chart shock pattern: If it stands firm at 3336 → it may continue to rebound and test 3352-3370. If it falls back under pressure at 3336 → look down to 3278-3260, and if it falls below, it will open the downward space to 3225-3200. Key patterns: Head and shoulders top prototype: If the right shoulder is formed at 3370, the risk of medium-term shorting will increase. Fibonacci support: 3225 (50% retracement), 3200 (psychological barrier). 3. Today's operation strategy (Use 3336 as the dividing line, flexibly switch between long and short positions) Short opportunity (main idea) Entry conditions: Price stagnation at 3336-3340 (such as reversal signals such as long upper shadow and engulfment on the K-line). Target: 3278 → 3265-3260 (add positions after breaking through to see 3225). Stop loss: above 3352 (to prevent false breakthroughs). Bull opportunity (auxiliary idea) Entry conditions: Retracing to 3270-3260 and stabilizing (quick rebound or lower shadow confirmation). Target: 3336 → 3352 (reduce position after breakthrough). Stop loss: below 3255 (strict risk control). 4. Key risk reminder Fake breakthrough risk: The recent volatility is drastic, and it is necessary to observe whether the breakthrough of 3336 and 3260 is accompanied by large volume. The dollar and the news: Federal Reserve policy expectations and geopolitical situations may cause sudden fluctuations. 5. Summary Volatile market → Sell high and buy low, strictly stop loss. Breakthrough strategy: Break above 3336 → Go long on the retracement, look at 3370. Break below 3260 → Go short on the rebound, look at 3225-3200.
My SHORT Trend Continuation SET UP on ETHUSD. From price 1756.48 and I am anticipating that ETHUSD will reach the price 1557.76 where my target is.
The EUR/USD pair is confirming a very strong bullish structure. On the weekly chart, the price is positioned above a key supply zone between 1.1350 and 1.1450, after strongly breaking through previous resistances. The current consolidation at the top of the range suggests a potential continuation to the upside, with a first target at 1.1500 and an extended target at 1.1600. Retail market sentiment shows a clear majority of short positions on EUR/USD. This supports a contrarian bullish view, as historically, retail tends to be positioned against the prevailing trend. COT report data further strengthens this outlook. The US Dollar Index (USD Index) shows an increase in short positions among institutional traders, indicating a possible phase of dollar weakness. Conversely, the Euro FX shows a significant increase in long positions from both non-commercial and commercial traders, highlighting institutional interest in buying the euro. From a seasonal perspective, May tends to be neutral or slightly negative for the euro, while June historically favors moderate dollar strength. This suggests that EUR/USD could still have room to rise over the coming weeks, but it will be important to monitor for signs of bullish exhaustion towards the end of May. In summary, the current context favors further upside on EUR/USD as long as the price remains above the 1.1300 support. However, it will be crucial to watch for the first signs of weakness as we approach June.
Today, the price of BTC strongly broke through the threshold of $93,000. Subsequently, it started a rebound trend. After consolidating near $95,500, it failed to further break through the resistance level of $96,000 and dropped back to around $94,000. It may fall again and break below the support level of $93,000. The breakthrough of these two key price levels will serve as an important dividing line for the subsequent trend of BTC, indicating the direction of its future price movement. Special Reminder: A number of important economic data will be intensively released this week, and market volatility is likely to increase significantly. It is recommended that everyone trade with caution and strictly control risks. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
The "reason" KRAKEN:XMRUSD RIPPED to $339 overnight was because of a hack: Nine hours ago a suspicious transfer was made from a potential victim for 3520 BTC ($330.7M) Theft address bc1qcrypchnrdx87jnal5e5m849fw460t4gk7vz55g Shortly after the funds began to be laundered via 6+ instant exchanges and was swapped for XMR causing the XMR price to spike 50%. Apparently it was an OG Bitcoiner that had funds on a CEX (Centralized Exchange). The hacker spent upwards of 7 figured in fees across different exchanges to convert the Bitcoin into Monero. This event is in line with Bullish thesis: Very public arrests of the Bitfinex and Silk Road hackers from tracing their surveillance chain (Bitcoin) makes it obvious that privacy is of highest value. Monero has low liquidity: expect more random god candles. The relative outperformance of Monero versus Bitcoin BITFINEX:XMRBTC continues this year: https://www.tradingview.com/x/zUjP30Zh/
In Q1 2025, Strategy reported a staggering $5.91 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings, primarily due to a significant drop in Bitcoin's price. Consequently, the company's stock plummeted by 6.3% following the announcement and has declined 41.9% since November 2024, underperforming both Bitcoin and the S&P 500 . The Financial Accounting Standards Board's (FASB) new guidelines now allow companies to reflect the real-time market value of their digital assets. While this benefited companies like Tesla, it poses a significant risk for Strategy. With billions in unrealized Bitcoin gains, the company could face a substantial tax bill under the Corporate Alternative Minimum Tax introduced by the Inflation Reduction Act. This tax, set at 15%, could result in billions in liabilities starting in 2026, potentially forcing Strategy to liquidate some of its Bitcoin holdings to meet tax obligations . Despite its significant Bitcoin holdings, Strategy's market capitalization stands at about $95 billion, double the value of its Bitcoin assets (currently around $50 billion in BTC). This discrepancy suggests that investors are paying a hefty premium for exposure to Bitcoin through Strategy, rather than purchasing the cryptocurrency directly or through other financial instruments. Analysts warn that this overvaluation could be unsustainable, especially if Bitcoin's price experiences further volatility . Strategy's approach of continuously issuing debt and equity to fund Bitcoin purchases has been likened to a high-risk financial flywheel. Critics argue that this strategy is unsustainable and could collapse if Bitcoin's price declines or if the company faces regulatory scrutiny. Furthermore, co-founder Michael Saylor's past controversies, including a $40 million tax fraud settlement, add to the ethical concerns surrounding the company's leadership .