EA one of my favorite pair due to its volatility. Currently at Weekly poc and heading higher.
Alright, mate, let’s break down this EUR/USD H4 setup across these platforms—TradingView and MetaTrader—like we’re sittin’ at the desk, charts up, coffee in hand. We’ve got a solid uptrend from early April, but the pair’s hittin’ a wall around that 1.14200–1.14290 zone as of April 16-18, 2025. Let’s dive in. Price action’s been clean on both charts. We’ve rallied hard from 1.09480 on April 4, smashed through resistance levels like a hot knife through butter, and now we’re at 1.14039 on TradingView with a tight 0.03 pip spread—sell at 1.14039, buy at 1.14172. MetaTrader’s showin’ a similar story, sell at 1.14039, buy at 1.14204. That 1.14200 area’s a proper battleground—price peaked at 1.14216 on TradingView and 1.14204 on MetaTrader, but the bulls couldn’t hold it. Now we’re consolidating with those tight, choppy candles. Classic indecision. Lookin’ at the levels, that 1.14290 on TradingView and 1.14204 on MetaTrader is the key resistance to watch. MetaTrader’s got some extra juice with those 30-minute order blocks marked—there’s a supply zone right at that 1.14204 high, where sellers are likely steppin’ in, and a demand zone down at 1.13800–1.13900 where buyers might pile in if we drop. They’re also flaggin’ a 65% probability on a move—could be a breakout or a reversal, but the market’s coiled up tight for somethin’ big. Trend-wise, we’re still bullish overall, but this consolidation’s got me on edge. If we break above 1.14290, I’m lookin’ at 1.14660 as the next target—plenty of room to run. But if we get rejected here, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a pullback to that 1.13800 demand zone, maybe even 1.13550 if things get ugly. MetaTrader’s showin’ a small open position on EUR/USD, up 0.175 pips—nice little profit, but it’s a tiny lot size, so not much conviction there yet. Bottom line: we’re at a proper inflection point. I’d be watchin’ for a clean break above 1.14290 with volume to confirm the bulls are back in control, or a hard rejection with a bearish candle to signal a drop. Either way, keep your stops tight—this market’s about to make a move, and I don’t wanna be caught on the wrong side of it. What’s your next play?
#BTCUSDT.. market perfectly closes in weekly chart just below his current resistance area tba tis around 86500-600 Keep close that level because I'd market hold it in that case a drop expected in crypto market. Stay sharp .. Good luck Trade wisely
Entry 84 Sl 83.7 Tp 85.362 Called it in the Free Group???
I just draw thing market structure on Monthly time frame , Need suggestions or vouches if its valid thanks
GBP/JPY is still downtrend. A couple of day it make a correction. I think the correction will teach crucial point 62 of Fibonacci Let's see
AT&T (T) Trading Analysis for Monday, April 21, 2025 Sentiment Analysis -Overview: Sentiment on X and StockTwits is neutral, with investors appreciating T’s 4.11% dividend yield but expressing concerns over tariff-driven cost increases. Analyst consensus remains stable, with a “Hold” rating and a $21.50 target (April 20 ), though some Reddit (r/options) users highlight margin pressures from tariffs. -Implication: Mixed sentiment suggests range-bound trading absent a catalyst, with tariff concerns capping upside potential. Strategic Outlook -Assessment: The outlook for Monday is neutral, supported by balanced options activity, oversold technicals with potential for a bounce, and a VIX at ~40 indicating volatility. -Implication: Anticipate a price range of $26.50 to $27.50, with support at $26.50 likely to hold and resistance at $27.50 posing a challenge for bulls. Market Influences -Overview: No new Federal Reserve decisions today; recent guidance on April 17 signals caution on rates, potentially impacting telecom spending. T’s earnings are due April 23, with a consensus EPS of $0.52 (April 20 ). Social media chatter on X and WallStreetBets focuses on dividend stability, though some Reddit users note tariff risks (10% baseline). No M&A news has surfaced. -Implication: Earnings anticipation and tariff pressures suggest cautious trading, likely keeping T within a tight range on Monday. Price Context -Overview: Current price at $27.15. The stock has declined 4% over the past month from $28.30 on March 31 and is up 13% year-over-year from $24.02 in April 2024. Support lies at $26.50, with resistance at $27.50. -Implication: Recent declines indicate limited upside; a break below $26.50 could signal further downside to $26.00. Technicals: Monthly: RSI at 45 (neutral), Stochastic at ~40 (neutral), MFI at ~42 (neutral). Price below 10/20-month SMAs ($28.00/~$29.00, bearish). Implication: Long-term bearish trend with neutral momentum. Weekly: RSI at 42 (neutral), Stochastic at ~35 (neutral), MFI at ~38 (neutral). Price below 10/20-day SMAs ($27.50/~$28.00, bearish). Implication: Bearish trend with neutral momentum, suggesting consolidation for weekly contracts. Daily: RSI at 40 (neutral), Stochastic at ~30 (neutral), MFI at ~35 (neutral). Price below 10/20-day SMAs ($27.20/~$27.50, bearish). Implication: Daily trend bearish, but oversold conditions may support a bounce. 4-Hour: RSI at 43 (neutral), Stochastic at ~38 (neutral), MFI at ~40 (neutral). Price below 10/20-period SMAs ($27.10/~$27.20, bearish). Implication: Medium-term bias bearish, aligning with weekly caution. Hourly: RSI at 46 (neutral), Stochastic at ~42 (neutral), MFI at ~44 (neutral). Price below 10/20-hour SMAs ($27.05/~$27.10, bearish). Implication: Intraday bias bearish, suggesting potential selling pressure. 10-Minute: RSI at 48 (neutral), Stochastic at ~45 (neutral), MFI at ~46 (neutral). Price below 10/20-period SMAs ($27.00/~$27.05, bearish). Implication: Short-term bias bearish, supporting a cautious weekly stance. Options Positioning Overview: Weekly options show balanced volume ($27.00 calls: 800 contracts, 50% at ask; $26.50 puts: 900 contracts, 55% at bid), with a put-call ratio of 1.1 (neutral) and IV skew flat ($27.00 calls/puts: 35%). Monthly options have a put-call ratio of 1.0, IV flat ($27.00: 32%). 3-Month options show a put-call ratio of 1.2, IV flat ($26.50: 30%). VIX at ~40 (down 5%, above 30-day average of ~35). Option Flow Dynamics (OFD) Analysis: Vanna: -Impact: Minimal, ±$0.02 intraday. -Insight: Balanced call/put volume and flat IV skew at 35% result in negligible delta adjustments by dealers, even with a VIX of 40. -Stance: Neutral for weekly contracts; bullish if IV exceeds 38%. Charm: -Impact: Pins price ±$0.02, minimal volatility. -Insight: High open interest at $27.00 (calls: 2,000 contracts, puts: 2,200 contracts) leads dealers to maintain delta neutrality, pinning the price near expiry. -Stance: Neutral for weekly contracts; bearish if price breaks above $27.50. GEX (Gamma Exposure): -Impact: Pins price ±$0.05, minimal volatility. -Insight: Balanced gamma from equal call/put open interest at $27.00 keeps price stable, though a VIX of 40 could amplify breakout volatility. -Stance: Neutral at $27.15 for weekly contracts; bearish above $27.50. DEX (Delta Exposure): -Impact: No directional bias. -Insight: A put-call ratio of 1.1 indicates balanced delta exposure, with dealers’ hedging activities netting zero directional impact. -Stance: Neutral for weekly contracts, even on high volume. OFD Summary: Weekly flows indicate a neutral bias, with price likely to remain within $26.50-$27.50, driven by balanced Vanna, Charm, GEX, and DEX dynamics. A VIX of 40 suggests potential volatility; earnings on April 23 could push IV above 38%, adding $0.05-$0.10 upside (Vanna). Monthly and 3-month expiries (put-call ratios 1.0 and 1.2) confirm range-bound confluence. -Implication: Neutral bias for weekly contracts; high VIX suggests volatility within the $26.50-$27.50 range for Monday. ICT/SMT Analysis -Overview: Weekly: Neutral, support at $26.50, resistance at $27.50, SMT divergence versus VZ shows relative strength. Daily: Neutral, FVG $27.50-$28.00, OB $26.00. 4-Hour: Neutral, MSS below $27.15, liquidity below $26.50. 1-Hour: Neutral, MSS below $27.15, liquidity below $26.50. 10-Minute: OTE sell zone $27.20-$27.30 (Fib 70.5%), target $26.50. -Implication: Neutral across timeframes; a breakdown below $26.50 could target $26.00, but weekly contracts are likely to see consolidation. Edge Insights -Institutional Flows: Recent block trades (April 18 ) show balanced buying and selling at $27.00, suggesting institutions are hedging rather than taking a directional stance. -Sector Stability: Telecom sector is down only 5% YTD (Morningstar ), providing relative stability compared to other sectors, though tariff costs remain a headwind for T. -Earnings Catalyst: With earnings due April 23, pre-earnings positioning may increase volatility, potentially favoring a breakout above $27.50 if sentiment shifts positively. -Implication: Sector stability supports a neutral weekly stance, but monitor for pre-earnings IV spikes that could shift dynamics. Trade Recommendation Analysis: -Neutral: 50% likelihood (balanced options flows, GEX pinning at $27.15, high VIX choppiness). -Bearish: 30% likelihood (MSS below $27.15, tariff pressures). -Bullish: 20% likelihood (oversold indicators, potential bounce above $27.50). -Action: Recommend a neutral stance with a bearish tilt; if bearish, buy $27.00 puts (weekly expiry) at ~$0.20, targeting $0.40, with a stop at $0.10 if T breaks $27.50. Risk $40 (2% of a $2,000 account). Conclusion for Monday: T is poised for range-bound trading within $26.50-$27.50, driven by neutral options flows and tariff concerns. Focus on a potential breakdown below $26.50 for weekly bearish trades, targeting $26.00. High VIX and impending earnings add risk—execute with tight stops to manage volatility.
With with continued global tariff panic between USA and China, Gold price still seems to exhibit signs of overall Bullish momentum as the price action may form a prominent Higher High on the shorter timeframes with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity. Trade Plan: Entry : 3363 Stop Loss : 3278 TP 0.9 - 1 : 3439.5 - 3448
Bitcoin has found support around the $80,000 level and is currently trading with relatively low volatility. Investors remain cautious due to uncertainty surrounding the impact of tariffs on the global economy and whether a deal can be reached. The market hasn’t dropped to $60,000 yet, largely because there’s still hope that Trump might either secure a deal or abandon the tariff plan altogether. Additionally, many investors are waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on May 7, which is expected to be either bearish or neutral. Overall, the outlook remains bearish, with limited bullish scenarios likely to play out. The probability of a continued downtrend appears high.
I think there's no any magical or crazy thing about the short position represented on the chart... Just want to share this ?? with you!! ============================================================================= Apr 16 - 10:55 AM Goldman: Strong Asia Session Gold Buying with the 8th Consecutive Overnight Rally; 4,500/oz a Tail Risk Scenario By eFXdata — Apr 16 - 10:30 AM Synopsis: Gold has surged to new highs amid persistent overnight buying from Asia, with volumes well above average. Goldman Sachs highlights that despite the rally, positioning is not yet stretched. Their bullish year-end forecast now stands at $3,700/oz, with a $4,500/oz tail-risk scenario under potential Fed policy shifts. Key Points: Asian Buying Momentum: Spot gold broke Monday’s highs, marking eight consecutive overnight rallies driven by strong Asia session demand. Elevated Volumes: Trading volumes are currently running ~40% above the 10-session average at this time of day. Positioning Still Roomy: CFTC, ETF, and open interest data indicate speculative positioning is not yet extended, suggesting room for further upside. Goldman’s Upgraded Outlook: GS recently raised their 2025 year-end forecast to $3,700/oz, citing: Increased ETF inflows Continued central bank buying Elevated geopolitical and macro uncertainty Tail Scenario: If the Fed is forced to subordinate policy due to debt concerns or US reserve currency shifts, GS sees gold potentially spiking to $4,500/oz. Conclusion: Goldman views the current rally as sustainable, with strong physical demand and investor inflows from Asia underpinning the move. Positioning remains far from euphoric, supporting their constructive outlook, while macro risks could trigger a super-spike scenario in the months ahead. SOURCE: Goldman Sachs Research/Market Commentary