Obwohl ich großer Filmfan bin, habe ich Indiana Jones und der Große Kreis zum Release schnöde ignoriert. Ein Fehler, wie ich nun gemerkt habe. Denn auch wenn das hübsche Action-Adventure nicht perfekt ist, hat es mir auf der Xbox doch überraschend viel Spaß gemacht.Ein Kommentar von Daniel Boldt
OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts. Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again. There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week. In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. ?SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning. Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday. The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XAUUSD/ssWvjpST-GOLD-is-under-great-pressure-by-the-US-Dollar/ ?Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2735
Hello Traders! Today, we’re going to explore the trading and investment philosophy of one of the most successful activist investors in the world – Bill Ackman . Known for his bold moves and unapologetic approach, Ackman has built a reputation for making large, influential investments and actively working to restructure companies in order to create value. With his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management , Ackman has turned millions into billions by taking concentrated positions in underperforming companies, often pushing for changes that he believes will improve shareholder value. Bill Ackman’s Investment Strategy Ackman’s investing philosophy is rooted in a few key principles that have guided his success: Activist Investing: Ackman is known for buying large stakes in companies and pushing for significant changes. This often involves changes in management, strategy, or financial structure to unlock value. He doesn’t just buy stocks, he buys control to influence the direction of companies. Concentrated Bets: Unlike most fund managers who diversify, Ackman makes concentrated investments, believing in a small number of high-conviction ideas. He typically goes big on the companies he believes will give the highest returns. Long-Term Vision: While Ackman is an activist, he is also a long-term investor. He’s known to hold onto stocks for years as he works through his plans to improve the companies he invests in. Thorough Research and Analysis: Before making any moves, Ackman ensures he has done comprehensive research. He’s known for his deep dives into a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and potential catalysts for growth. Notable Investments and Activist Moves Ackman’s career has been built on several high-profile, successful investments. Here are some of his best-known plays: Herbalife: One of his most controversial investments, Ackman shorted Herbalife, claiming the company was a pyramid scheme. Despite facing heavy opposition and pressure, Ackman stuck to his position, although ultimately the trade didn’t work out as he anticipated. It became a case study in risk and persistence. Target: Ackman took a large position in Target, pushing for changes in the company’s real estate strategy and retail business. His work with Target helped to bring greater shareholder value. Valeant Pharmaceuticals: Ackman’s investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals initially gained massive attention. Despite the stock’s later troubles, his involvement in the company drew attention to the power of activism and led to changes in leadership at Valeant. Chipotle Mexican Grill: Ackman has also invested in Chipotle, pushing for operational improvements and better management. His efforts have been instrumental in driving changes in the company’s strategy, helping the stock recover from earlier setbacks. Risk Management and Position Sizing When it comes to risk management, Ackman follows a few key strategies to minimize losses and maximize returns: Concentration of Capital: Ackman often places large amounts of capital in a few high-conviction investments. This allows him to have a significant impact on the companies he invests in but also requires disciplined risk management and careful positioning. Leverage and Shorting: Ackman has used leverage in some of his more aggressive plays, such as shorting positions in Herbalife, to maximize returns. This adds a level of risk, but when used correctly, it can significantly amplify his gains. Focus on Catalyst-Driven Events: He places his investments based on company-specific catalysts like management changes, mergers, or restructurings. This allows him to predict when a stock will outperform or underperform. What This Means for Investors Bill Ackman’s approach to investing is not for the faint of heart. It involves big risks and big rewards. His activist investing style is about taking concentrated positions, being willing to fight for change, and holding onto those investments for the long haul. For investors, there are valuable lessons to be learned from Ackman’s strategies: Don’t be afraid to make big bets. If you believe in a company’s long-term potential, be prepared to back it with significant capital. Know the companies you invest in. Ackman is famous for his in-depth research before making any move. This is a lesson for every investor – do your homework before making investment decisions. Take a long-term view. While Ackman is an activist, he is also a patient investor. He understands that meaningful change takes time, and he’s willing to wait for the payoff. Conclusion Bill Ackman’s approach to investing has made him one of the most influential investors of his time. By focusing on concentrated bets, thoroughly researching companies, and taking an activist role, Ackman has proven that bold moves and long-term vision can lead to great success. Have you followed any of Bill Ackman’s investments or strategies? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together!
Disclaimer: The charts and analysis presented here are based on my personal research and insights. I am not a financial advisor, and this content is not intended as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions. Credit: Special thanks to Romeo and ICT for their invaluable contributions to the forex industry.
Current lt trade with tight stop. SL: $87K. Entry: $85.3K. TP: Around $75K.
This analysis focuses on the USA100 index using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Key areas highlighted include liquidity zones, order blocks (OBs), Break of Structure (BOS), and Change of Character (ChoCH). The goal is to map institutional footprints to identify high-probability trade setups for the upcoming trading week (March 4 to March 8, 2025). This analysis is intended for day traders and intraday scalpers who prioritize precision entries and strong risk management.
Market news: The gold investment market continued its recent decline. Spot gold fell nearly 3% from Monday's record high of $2,956 to a low of $2,832, a drop of nearly 120 points and a loss of the key support of $2,860/ounce, the largest weekly drop since November last year. Although Trump reiterated that he would impose tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods and escalate tariffs on China to 20% from March 4, the safe-haven attribute of international gold has not been recognized by the market - the strengthening of the US dollar and the surge in demand for US bonds have weakened the attractiveness of London gold prices. At the same time, the rise in global risk aversion has caused investors to sell gold, stocks and cryptocurrencies, and funds have instead poured into US Treasury bonds, a traditional safe-haven asset. The US dollar index rose this week, making gold denominated in US dollars more expensive for overseas buyers. However, as expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve heat up, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive. Investors should pay close attention to changes in the global economic situation, especially the further development of the trade war and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy! In general, despite the recent correction in gold prices, the macro environment of the market still provides support for gold, especially against the backdrop of global economic uncertainty and rising inflation expectations. The bullish trend of gold may gradually resume in the coming months, and investors should be prepared in the support area to capture potential upside opportunities. Technical review: Gold fell straight down on Friday and was under pressure at the high of $2,884. The price of gold fell all the way and hovered around 2,830. After the big negative line at the daily level of gold, it continued to fall on Friday. After the weekly level ended like this, gold is likely to continue to fall next week. From the current market, it is expected that the daily line will record a big negative line this Friday, which forms an obvious downward signal with the middle negative line of the previous trading day. Under its influence, the current price is effectively running near the lower track of the Bollinger band, and the short-term moving average constitutes reverse resistance. In conjunction with other periodic indicators to maintain a short position arrangement, the overall downward trend of the Bollinger band has intensified, and the macd indicator continues to expand downward in a dead cross pattern, and the RSI indicator shows sufficient downward potential. Therefore, the overall daily line is still dominated by shorts! In terms of 4 hours, the continuous negative pattern not only makes the price effectively run below the lower track of the Bollinger Band, but also drives the short-term moving average to extend downward forcefully. Currently, short-term reverse resistance is formed at 2853 and 2870 respectively. In addition, other periodic indicators turn to short arrangement. The overall downward trend of the Bollinger Band has intensified, the MACD indicator has a low dead cross, and it intends to continue to increase downward. The RSI indicator also shows sufficient downward momentum. Therefore, the overall decline at the 4-hour level is expected to continue to expand. Analysis for next week: Gold will continue to pay attention to news changes over the weekend. If gold starts to rebound strongly on Monday next week, then gold may have another strong rise in risk aversion. However, if it quickly rises and falls, then gold may have digested the risk aversion news, and then gold may continue the downward trend after the top structure. In fact, gold has fallen by more than 120 US dollars. Even if there is no risk aversion, it is normal to rebound, but risk aversion may increase the amplitude of the rebound. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a short arrangement with a golden cross downward. The gold short may not have turned around. As long as the rebound of gold is not large, there is still room for gold to go down. Next week, gold will focus on the resistance near the moving average of 2875. As long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2875, gold can continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust the thinking. Pay attention to news changes over the weekend, and we will make further analysis on Monday morning. Operation suggestion: Keep a high-altitude thinking. It is recommended to pay attention to the short-term resistance near 2875. Below this level, the bears can test new lows. If the bulls return, it will be considered as a continuation of the shock. At that time, we will focus on the 2890 area. Below this level, we can continue to arrange short orders. For support, pay attention to the 2832-2830 area. Although this area does not show strong support momentum, it can be regarded as the limit of the intraday decline. Therefore, if it is touched, you can try short-term long! Operation ideas: Short-term gold 2837-2840 buy, stop loss 2829, target 2870-2880; Short-term gold 2873-2875 sell, stop loss 2884, target 2840-2830; Key points: First support level: 2843, second support level: 2832, third support level: 2818 First resistance level: 2866, second resistance level: 2875, third resistance level: 2890
midcap next target 80k in 2027. correction over for current cycle
Am looking for Gold to initially rise at market open, I think the disaster which was Trump diplomatic meeting will have an effect on the price of Gold. My stratigy would be to buy until 2879/80 and expect the rejection at 2880 down to 2811 for a total of 200 pips on the buy and 670 pips on the sell. Trade is base on higher time fram support and resistance plus the fact that now we can see the bulls running out of steam the last few trading days. I think the inital market open will rise before continueing to hit resistance and fall. Thee trades are high pip value so you have to be flexable on your stop loss within reason, it is better to use small lot size so you can avoid considerable drawdown if they go wrong. Check out my other trade ideas below
Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A few days ago, the price was moving inside a downward channel, where it reached the support line and immediately bounced back up to the channel’s resistance. After that, BTC continued its decline, testing the resistance level, which aligned with the seller zone. The price briefly dipped below this level but quickly reversed and rebounded. Eventually, Bitcoin exited the channel and moved into a range, reaching its upper boundary before turning downward again. In a short period, the price dropped to the seller zone, where it consolidated for some time. BTC then attempted to push higher but failed and resumed its decline. Breaking below the 94100 resistance level, the price moved further down, fluctuating between support and resistance lines. Bitcoin eventually fell to the support line, breaking through the 83400 support level, which aligned with the buyer zone. However, this breakdown turned out to be a false move, as BTC immediately rebounded and surged back above that level. Currently, BTC is continuing its upward movement. I anticipate that the price may first test the buyer zone before resuming its growth. Additionally, if it manages to break through the resistance line, it could keep climbing higher. With this in mind, my TP is set at the 94100 resistance level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost ?