Recently, I've been looking a lot at Yield Max ETFs and other options-based yield ETFS more generally such as QDTE, XDTE, RDTE, QQQI, SPYI, YQQQ (inverse), etc. One possible way to outperform SPY & QQQ, may be to consider investing in such ETFs, though this is purely theoretical s tradingview does not provide a quality backtesting software for a complex multi-asset, multi-directional strategy like this. Nothing in this strategy should be considered financial advice and there are various factors to consider, such as beta decay, mismanagement of the ETFs, tax advantages/disadvantages, reinvestment risk, risks associated with options in income-based derivatives, risks with leveraged assets, and the obviously risks with inverse assets. In this chart, we are looking at the leveraged ETF NVDL, which tracks NVDA. It's important to note that this asset will decay whenever NVDA trades sideways or goes down over substantial periods of time, and when NVDA goes down the negative % returns are multiplied. Therefore a trader or "sophisticated investor" (FINRA term) needs to not only optimize their position size for a trading period, but also optimize the timing of entry's and exits on multiple position. They will also want to model, volatility, decay, and reinvestment risk (arguably the hardest in this case. This post will not discuss the specifics of those and instead, these topics should be considered as a form of "homework" for you, the reader to think about and discuss in the comments as food for thought. In this theoretical multi-asset income strategy, risk is managed through the use of income based ETFs that are either bullish or bearish, I think of this as " directional income ". In this case, NVDY is the bullish income asset and DIPS is the bearish income asset, both of which pay dividend monthly and their price performance behaves very similar to a leveraged ETF, in the sense that they only really increase when the underlying the underlying asset moves in the direction of the income derivative. Theoretically, by managing position size with the use of a modified Kelly Criterion which accounts for fed rates, the decay of the asset, and timing (through technical analysis, seasonality and quantitative analysis), I wonder if a trader could swing-trade between various income-based derivatives and leveraged assets, in order to optimize both income and grow irrespective of market conditions. In truth, I'm still not sure if this is a completely degenerate idea no different to the way banks stacked bad loans together in 2008 and slapped a Grade A rating, and in the process over valued quantitative methods (see the book "Quants") as a sort of grad delusion to completely avoid risks, like a doctor wishing to delete pain from the world with an addictive pill, shilled by Big Pharma... Only in this case, instead of CMBS, it's ETF, leveraged ETFs, options on both, creating a derivative, then stacking more derivative on top of that... Who knows, though... Maybe this could be a way to profit from this madness? I honestly don't know. What I do know is, I find the idea of " directional income " as a hedge more appealing than an inverse leveraged ETF and I'm curious how to apply this to either a single asset or multi-asset portfolio. It's a very interesting idea and I plan to spend the year exploring this idea at the cost of my own capital, rather than someone else's capital.
Hello Fellow Traders, Its BEEN A WHILE! I hope That Everyone Follows This Forecast To make some big Profits! Here is a Full Updated Analysis & Forecast For USDCHF Triple Top = Money The Best way to follow my Analysis is if the following conditions apply. Conditions - 1. Wait for the Market to Show you some (Rejection / Confirmation / Direction) 2.Wait for confirmation(Price Action Confirmation ( Pinbar , Bullish or Bearish engulfing / Break of structure Aka Support Or Resistance) 3.Do your Own analysis! (Draw Trend Lines / Support & Resistance Zones / SND ) 4.Always Use Risk Management (Risk 1% of your capital) 5.Entry Should be Made on The 4H Timeframe (Only if you have Confirmation) 6.Trade at own risk! &. Plan Your Trade & Trade The Plan! Let Me know if you have any Questions or Comments Below! Negative Or Insulting Comments Are Not Welcome See You in the next Analysis! Global Fx Education
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, indicating increasing momentum. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the potential for an upward move
Paramount Global (PARA) presents several factors that could contribute to its growth potential in 2025: Strategic Partnerships and Renewed Agreements: In January 2025, Paramount renewed its multi-year distribution agreement with Comcast, ensuring continued access to popular channels like CBS, Nickelodeon, and MTV for Comcast's extensive subscriber base. This renewal also facilitates access to Paramount's streaming services, including Paramount+ and Pluto TV, potentially expanding its audience reach and revenue streams. Analyst Projections: Analysts have set a 12-month average price target of $12.60 for PARA, indicating a potential upside from its current trading price. However, it's important to note that the consensus among 14 Wall Street analysts includes a mix of buy, hold, and sell ratings, reflecting varied perspectives on the stock's future performance. Operational Streamlining and Cost Management: Paramount has implemented significant workforce reductions, aiming to cut approximately 15% of its staff to achieve annualized cost savings of $500 million. These measures are intended to enhance operational efficiency and profitability, particularly as the company focuses on its streaming services. Streaming Service Growth: Paramount+ has reported a 25% year-over-year revenue growth, consolidating its position as a significant player in the global streaming market. This growth trajectory is expected to contribute positively to the company's overall financial performance. While these factors suggest potential growth for Paramount Global in 2025, it's essential to consider the competitive landscape of the media and entertainment industry, as well as the company's strategic initiatives, when evaluating its investment prospects.
Simplistic I know but it makes sense. Falling wedge is clearly evident.
Price seems to be bearish. My system tells me to get short. When/if 1st target gets hit, i will then move my stops to breakeven and then it will be a risk free trade.. With a risk ratio of 1:3 i can be wrong more than 60% of my trades and still be profitable. I never risk more than 2% per trade.
Like the prior Idea of mine...most things have given back the Trump-bump election push and are on the way down or skating on thin ice and ready to begin a hard fall. This has shown similar patterns from previous times. The lines are hull moving averages or averages that are envelope or 3x exponential. mix them together and you get predictors that are pretty good in general.
Hello Fellow Traders, Its BEEN A WHILE! I hope That Everyone Follows This Forecast To make some big Profits! Here is a Full Updated Analysis & Forecast For DXY The Best way to follow my Analysis is if the following conditions apply. Conditions - 1. Wait for the Market to Show you some (Rejection / Confirmation / Direction) 2.Wait for confirmation(Price Action Confirmation ( Pinbar , Bullish or Bearish engulfing / Break of structure Aka Support Or Resistance) 3.Do your Own analysis! (Draw Trend Lines / Support & Resistance Zones / SND ) 4.Always Use Risk Management (Risk 1% of your capital) 5.Entry Should be Made on The 4H Timeframe (Only if you have Confirmation) 6.Trade at own risk! &. Plan Your Trade & Trade The Plan! Let Me know if you have any Questions or Comments Below! Negative Or Insulting Comments Are Not Welcome See You in the next Analysis! Global Fx Education
this is my analysis on xauusd, this is what I think will happen if we go for higher timeframes
SAND is nearing the completion of wave (a) in its corrective pattern. The next expected move is a rise toward the 0.52 level for wave (b), followed by a climb to around 0.6 for wave (c). After this, SAND is likely to head downward to complete the fifth wave of the larger correction, targeting approximately 0.49.