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Short-setup: Breakdown of Support (AUD/USD) Trigger: Price has decisively broken below R3 (0.63888) and the 200-hour MA (red) on the 1h chart. Confirmation: RFI just dipped below its ascending trendline and failed to reclaim it—momentum is bearish. Entry: Short at market 0.6385–0.6380 (just below R3). Initial Stop: Above R1 (0.64395) ≈ 55 pips stop. Targets: T1: S1 (0.63436) (~40 pips → RRR ≈ 1 : 0.7) T2: R4 (0.63308) (~55 pips → RRR ≈ 1 : 1) ⚡ Highlight: This is a bank-order-flow style fade—selling the break of minor support after a test of the 200-hour MA confluence. ? Rationale Support→Resistance flip at R3 gives logical entry & SL. 200-hour MA rejection confirms sellers overpowering buyers. RFI confirms sustained bearish momentum. High RRR (>1:1) ensures edge even with moderate win-rate.
The OANDA:XAUUSD price has shown strong bullish momentum, indicating it will likely continue to rise above $3400. However, the price is currently volatile and is likely to remain so. Good luck and trade safely! Thank you for your unwavering support! ? If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️?
Just made a new high. That is likely a clue of what happens next with Bitcoin. It was a running 3 wave 1:0.618 Golden Window correction. That is a weak ratio and ideal for a continuing uptrend. But most importantly it was a re-test for support: https://www.tradingview.com/x/siNPVQMC/ That dip buy was there to be gobbled up. If you didn't see it then this probably goes up and up from here ?. Not advice
In this setup, I carefully skipped a trade due to an unclear UKL signal despite a potentially predictable trend — choosing discipline over guessing. Later, I closed a position early based on RM2 logic, reacting to a strong downward impulse. This chart reflects my decision-making process, using: ✅ UKL signal confirmation (clear vs. unclear zone logic) ✅ RM2 rule for exit based on risk reappearance ✅ Focused execution on a single pair only (NZDUSD) ✅ Risk-to-reward targeting RR1.2+ Your feedback is welcome! I continue to journal, refine, and strictly follow the NCI structure for long-term consistency.