Sinvoller Trade damit der Trend heute zu CPI final vorbereitet werden kann, würde in dieser Zone auf Bestätigung warten, aber sehr sinnvolle Zone! Frag dich mal selbst wenn der Markt so eine starke Bewegung im EU und im DXY zieht, als ob sich der Trend auf einmal wieder komplette Verändert? Dafür ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit doch deutlich tiefer als das der Trend einfach so weitergeführt wird!
Excellent buy side volume this week following by one down gap fill. We are at resistance currently so I would expect a lot of chop before resumption up trend. Make sure you check which security is showing strength during the down days of the chop. They might become the future market leaders.
DAY Swing is bullish 4H swing is bearish => Current is pullback There is a high probability that the price will continue to fall We can look for a selling opportunity if on the 1H timeframe, M15 turns bearish
? XAU/USD (Gold) Bias: Neutral / Short-term Bullish Trade Duration: 2–5 Days Status: Approaching Critical Resistance Current Reflexivity Phase: Phase 2 – Awaiting Structural Confirmation Strategy Type: Range Extremes & Reactive Momentum Execution Style: Reactive, not predictive Theme: "Market at Decision Point – Breakout or Rejection?" ? Strategic Thesis Gold approaches a decisive resistance zone (~3,160–3,182). The market's next move (breakout or rejection) will trigger strong reflexive momentum. Clarity at resistance is key—execution should be purely reactive. ? Structure Breakdown Highlights Critical resistance test imminent Strong upward impulse; resistance reaction pivotal Next move likely decisive and rapid—no bias until market confirms direction ? COT & Sentiment Snapshot Leveraged Funds: Increasing bullish exposure approaching key resistance Retail Sentiment: Aggressively bullish; vulnerable to reversal disappointment ? Translation: High conviction at resistance makes either breakout or rejection potentially explosive. ? Behavioral Finance Triggers "Wait for the market’s verdict—then execute swiftly." Emotional attachment to bullish gold narrative creates extreme sentiment conditions Reaction at resistance key for emotional reactivity and strong reflexive moves ? Reflexivity Model – Phase Breakdown Phase Description Phase 1: Impulsive rally into resistance—completed Phase 2: ✅ Current – Awaiting breakout or rejection confirmation Phase 3: Emotional crowd reaction following structural clarity Phase 4: Potential strong momentum-driven continuation or reversal ?️ Execution Plan Entry: Await confirmed breakout/rejection at ~3,160–3,182 Risk Management: Tight stops post-confirmation Exit Plan: Defined clearly by next structural zones ?️ Execution Timeline Wednesday–Thursday: Monitor closely for confirmation Friday: Reactive tactical execution only post-confirmation ✅ Strategic Summary Gold at pivotal structural juncture—wait for clear price verdict to trigger tactical entry. "The best trades wait for confirmation."
It’s that feeling when the engine’s been cold for a while, but now it’s starting to rev. AUDUSD is flashing signs it wants to push up — not in a rush, but with purpose. I’m seeing strength building, like it’s getting ready to climb. Recovery mode’s not just activated — it’s already in motion. I’m calling for upside here. If it plays out, I’ll be riding the move. If not, hey, I’ll wait for the next setup. But right now? I like the long. Just my opinion, not financial advice.
CME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 19359.00 - PR Low: 19242.25 - NZ Spread: 261.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - CPI (Core|YoY|MoM) 13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction FOMC gave 1900 point lift back to April 2 range - Mechanical rotation off daily Keltner average crowd - No change in volatility expectations Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/10) - Session Open ATR: 815.83 - Volume: 58K - Open Int: 243K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -16.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
BUY 1.40750 | STOP 1.40000 | TAKE 1.41750 | Lateral price movement within the local channel of descending direction.
? Week of: April 7–11, 2025 ? USD/CAD Bias: Bearish Trade Duration: 2–5 Days Status: Breakdown Confirmed – Retest Completed Current Reflexivity Phase: Phase 4 – Emotional Flush & Capitulation Strategy Type: Structural Breakdown + Sentiment Dislocation Execution Style: Reactive, not predictive Theme: "Crowd's Bullish Narrative Meets Structural Reality" ? Strategic Thesis USD/CAD has clearly broken and successfully retested previous support (1.4248) as resistance. The market now enters an emotional flush phase as late bullish positions unwind, reinforcing bearish momentum driven by strengthening CAD due to bullish crude oil dynamics. ? Structure Breakdown Highlights Clean structural rejection at the retest (1.4248 resistance zone) Strong bearish momentum confirmed; consistent lower highs Sellers firmly control price action, no fresh demand emerging ? COT & Sentiment Snapshot Leveraged Funds: Unwinding longs slowly Institutional Traders: Accumulating CAD positions steadily Retail Sentiment: Persistently bullish on USD despite structural evidence ? Translation: Institutional flows quietly pivoting to CAD; retail optimism still providing contrarian fuel. ? Behavioral Finance Triggers “Crowds trust the story. Price tells the truth.” Emotional denial among bullish USD traders, fueling further downside upon forced exits Rejection confirmed; sentiment lagging clear structural signals ? Reflexivity Model – Phase Breakdown Phase Description Phase 1: USD bullish narrative builds retail optimism Phase 2: Structural breakdown—completed Phase 3: Retest & crowd denial—completed Phase 4: ✅ Current – Emotional flush underway ?️ Execution Plan Entry: Short already executed at 1.42354 Risk Management: Stop-loss above confirmed retest (1.42567) Exit Plan: Scale out strategically on downside momentum ?️ Execution Timeline Wednesday–Friday: Maintain short bias, trail stops, secure partial gains into weekend ✅ Strategic Summary USD bullish crowd now forced to reckon with structural realities—stay positioned for emotional flush continuation. "You don’t need to predict. Just follow the failure."
Gold (XAU/USD) shows a strong bullish movement as the price continues to rise, successfully reaching and surpassing the previous target level near 3,122.87. The resistance level at 3,170.29 is the next key level to watch for a possible pullback or further consolidation, as the price approaches this point. The chart highlights support zones marked by the shaded areas, which previously acted as significant price levels where the market reversed or consolidated. These support levels are now key to maintaining the upward momentum. If the price dips back down, traders will look for the market to hold above these support levels to maintain the bullish outlook. uptrend, with target success being noted near 3,122.87. The price has surged above this level, and the next focus will be whether the price can maintain its momentum as it approaches the resistance level at 3,170.29. Overall, the chart suggests that Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, with the price successfully hitting key target points. However, $3,170.29 remains a crucial level to watch for potential resistance. If the price continues to break through, the next target could be even higher.