Der nächste Arbeitsausstand an deutschen Flughäfen steht an. Die Gewerkschaft Ver.di ruft für den kommenden Montag dazu auf, die Arbeit niederzulegen. Wer ist betroffen? Welche Flüge fallen aus und was kann man dann tun?
Diese Woche geht es darum, wie man Sale richtig ausnützt, ohne dabei etwas zu bereuen. Lisa Zirngast zeigt euch wöchentlich die besten Neuheiten von H&M und Co.
Neue Saison, neue Trends: Auch bei einer unserer Lieblingshosen, der Jeans. Einen angesagten Style sichten wir aktuell auf den Fashion Weeks besonders oft ...
on daily chart we have a bulish div bar and divergent.
SEI: The price has not provided a clear indication that a substantial low has formed. A break above $0.337 is needed for an indication that a low of sorts has formed. However, as long as the rally is not in 5 waves and the foundation remains corrective and is based on 3-wave structures, any move to the upside could simply be a wider corrective rally. I do not see a clear pathway for higher prices at this point, but the area around $0.20 offers some support. Below this level, $0.136 and $0.09 are the next support levels.
AUDUSD is currently making AB=CD pattern where AB pattern already formed, however, for CD pattern to be completed we need to wait NFP data to be published which will give inside data of future trend. Like and comment for more Thank you ❤️
The chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe. The price is currently testing a key resistance area near 2,920, with a potential reversal toward the support level at 2,900. A target of 2,900 is identified, suggesting a potential downward movement if the price breaks through this support. Traders may watch for confirmation of the price action to enter short positions.
Good day! Today is a big day for many reasons, but mainly to clear the context of uncertainty. 1- How to read and translate NFP data? * Inline data: It's positive for equities; it's a ST relief. * Overshoot: This is tricky: the Average Hourly Earnings must be inline or below expectation of 0.3% and strong green the two other components (NFP and Unemployment Rate). This overshoot will be very well received. In the case of Average Hourly earnings positive, it will become a mixed data with unknown behavior from the market. * Undershoot (the opposite of overshoot): NQ will drop to the final target 19620. 2- Powell and other FED members will speak today: In the current context, FED members might hint certain openness for printing free money and rate cut. Any hint of this type will send NQ up and absorb/erase any undershoot from NFP data. 3- Unpredicted news from Trump's team: As they're following closely the stock market, there is a big chance that they intervene in the case of undershoot NFP with candies and carrots. Hence, it will be very difficult to trade today. The up and down will be furious. GL!
It could continue freefalling. A few economic calendars suggest continued jobless claims, new and old. And nonfarm payrolls 159k to beat; this is a pivotal moment, not to mention JP speaking at 12:30 followed by Trump at 13:30. It's still swinging on the 200, still in play after a staggering decline by over 2000 points in two weeks of trading. The momentum factor may push in before the 10% correction does.
In this analysis, we are observing the potential repetition of market history by comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the previous bullrun cycle. By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, and the current macroeconomic landscape, we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails. Historical Comparison During the last bullrun, Bitcoin experienced significant price appreciation before eventually reaching a new all-time high (ATH). However, one key observation from the previous cycle is that before Bitcoin reached its ATH, the price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level multiple times. This level acted as a critical support zone, where the price found demand before making the next leg upward. Currently, we are seeing a similar pattern unfolding. Bitcoin has recently experienced a parabolic rise, reminiscent of the previous bull cycle. As the market is showing early signs of exhaustion, the possibility of a deeper retracement towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level (around $50,000) is becoming increasingly plausible. If history repeats itself, this level could act as a springboard for the next significant price increase. Last bullrun we had a 77% drop, and from the current ATH its only a 55% drop to the fib level: https://www.tradingview.com/x/TjNCUyUZ/ Bearish Sentiment and Market Dynamics Despite positive news emerging globally, such as the USA announcing its Bitcoin reserves and other adoption-related headlines, the market has reacted negatively, which is a characteristic of bearish sentiment. This kind of price action aligns with what we saw in previous cycles, where good news failed to provide upward momentum as the market was already in a distribution phase. The fact that Bitcoin has failed to sustain gains even amid positive news further reinforces the likelihood of a deeper retracement. The market is driven by liquidity cycles, and the large players may still be in the process of shaking out retail investors before the next parabolic move. Key Fibonacci Levels to Watch 0.618 Level (~$51,500): Historically tested in the last cycle before the final leg up. 0.65 Level (~$48,500): Another confluence zone that could provide significant support. 0.786 Level (~$36,000 - $40,000): If the market becomes extremely bearish, this level could act as the final capitulation zone before the next macro bullrun. Psychological and Macro Factors Additionally, the broader macroeconomic environment plays a crucial role in this scenario. With ongoing geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central banks' monetary policies, investors are more risk-averse, which could further contribute to the bearish price action. Historically, Bitcoin has shown strong correlation to traditional markets, especially during uncertain times. If the macroeconomic environment remains unstable, Bitcoin could follow traditional markets into a corrective phase before making a recovery. Daily Chart Imbalance Zones On the daily chart, Bitcoin is currently trading between two key imbalance zones. These zones represent areas of liquidity where the market could either find support or break down further. The current price action suggests that if Bitcoin holds the imbalance zones as support, the market structure will still be intact, leaving the possibility for a continuation of the upward trend. However, if these imbalance zones fail to hold, it would signal a bearish continuation pattern. In this case, the probability of Bitcoin testing the $50,000 level as the next major support becomes highly likely. Traders should closely monitor these zones, as they will play a pivotal role in determining the market’s next major move. https://www.tradingview.com/x/2tc5kB5W/ Conclusion While no analysis can predict the future with certainty, the confluence of technical, historical, and macroeconomic factors suggests that Bitcoin might follow a similar pattern as the previous bullrun. A retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level around $50,000 is highly plausible before a new ATH is achieved. However, if bearish sentiment continues to dominate, we could see lower levels before the market finds its true bottom. The current price action, coupled with negative market reactions to positive news, is an indication that larger players might still be accumulating before the next leg up. Traders and investors should remain cautious, monitor key Fibonacci levels, and be prepared for heightened volatility in the coming months. Only time will tell if history will indeed repeat itself, but the current evidence suggests that the market might be following a familiar path once again.