//description // All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: https://www.tradingview.com/u/tony_fx_sm/ // Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work. I want to make it clear that I am not a seller, and this method was not taught to me by anyone. The original creator only gave me one clue: ? "If you get one level, you get all levels." Everything else—the way I nail it the method and applied it—is my own work. I respect the original idea, but my approach is independent. Explanation: This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. Entry/Exit Points: - Entry/Exit Lines: Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - Stop Loss: For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - Take Profit: For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. Timeframe: Use a 5 mins timeframe for trading. Risk Disclaimer: This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
Last week AUDUSD rallied 2% from opening levels around 0.6230 on Monday to a Friday close at 0.6355, as tariff fatigue saw FX traders reduce dollar longs across the board into the weekend. At the start of this new trading week, the direction of AUDUSD is likely to be determined by local events, with the RBA convening early on Tuesday morning (0330 GMT) to potentially cut interest rates for the first time in nearly 4 years. Just as relevant could be the tone of comments from RBA Governor Bullock in the press conference, which starts at 0430 GMT. Given the market is currently pricing in around 75bps of total RBA easing for 2025, her views regarding the pace of future cuts will be important, especially if they shift the market outlook either way in this regard. Also important will be her comments on inflation, employment and the threat of what a potential trade war between the US and Australia’s most important trading partner China, could mean for Australia’s economy moving forward. Against this backdrop for potential AUDUSD volatility assessing the technical outlook can also be helpful. Technical Assessment: https://www.tradingview.com/x/GZfFKHFd/ Since the start of February AUDUSD has enjoyed a period of strength that has broken above some of its immediate resistance levels. This has seen a sustained phase of strength materialise from the February 3rd low at 0.6087, a move that has been able to breach resistance marked by the upper extremes of the downtrend channel which has be in place since it registered a high of 0.6942 on September 30th (see chart above), and which was last touched when a high of 0.6331 traded on January 24th. While this breakout is no guarantee of continued price strength, it does highlight the potential for further attempts to extend recent upside moves. What are the Possible Resistance Levels to Watch if Further Upside Strength is Seen? https://www.tradingview.com/x/Gb4hsset/ Fibonacci retracement levels can mark resistance areas where there is potential for sellers to be found again. The 38.2% retracement of the September 30th to February 3rd AUDUSD price weakness stands at 0.6414 and may prove to be a possible level that may cap the current advance. However, if this wasn’t to be the case and successful closing upside breaks were seen, then the higher 50% retracement point at 0.6515 could well become more relevant. What Supports Should be Monitored if Prices Reverse Back Lower? https://www.tradingview.com/x/UC4tuLCG/ Of course, after what has already been a sustained move higher during February, it’s possible that corrections could materialise ahead of the rate announcement, in response to the decision itself or something that is said in the press conference. If that were to be the case then traders may be watching the 0.6302 level, which is equal to half the rally from last week’s low, as the first support. While this level holds any price weakness, it’s possible further attempts at upside strength could emerge again, however closing breaks below this level might suggest risks are emerging for a more extended phase of price weakness. Such moves could in turn point to tests of potential support at 0.6264, which is the 38.2% retracement of February’s price strength and if were to give ways, then the next support which stands at 0.6230 (deeper 50% level on chart above), could become relevant. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Looking for continuation of this large channel on the Weekly timeframe This chart excludes BTC and ETH but there is such an oversaturation of alts that i expect a massive pump across the board, legitimately on every altcoin, If the channel hodls we are in for a massive run PUMP IT
This is a weekly chart showing a multi-year accumulation indicated shown by the blue-green shaded arc. O'Neil would probably say this was a cup or a saucer. Check the huge volume from last week's earnings showing institutional support. Based on the depth and length of the accumulation, I have a price target of at least $300/share. Who knows the time frame. This is a buy and hold in your IRA as the younger generation puts eventual inheritance money into the most user-friendly financial app this gen X-er has every experienced. Credit to Dr Newman for the fundamental piece of the thesis. I like the way the chart looks and the odds are high this is a winner. Best of luck everyone. -Mr Joseph
In the grand theater of financial markets, traders often fancy themselves as rational actors, making decisions based on cold, hard data. Yet, time and again, their collective behavior etches familiar patterns onto price charts, as if choreographed by an unseen hand (the Invisible Hand?) All across the world economy , markets trade in patterns. The trick is to spot those patterns before they unfold. These recurring formations, known as chart patterns, are a testament to the predictability of human psychology in trading. Let's rediscover some of these enduring patterns, exploring why they persist and how you can leverage them. ? The Head and Shoulders: More Than a Shampoo Brand Imagine a market trend as a partygoer who's had one too many. Initially, they're lively (the left shoulder), then they reach peak status of euphoria (the head), but eventually, they slump with one last “let’s go party people” (the right shoulder). This sequence forms the Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a trend reversal from bullish to bearish. Traders spot this pattern by identifying three peaks: a central, higher peak flanked by two lower, similar-sized peaks on each side. The neckline, drawn by connecting the lows between these peaks, becomes the critical support level. A break below this line suggests the party's over, and it's time to exit or short the trading instrument. Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders indicates a reversal from bearish to bullish, resembling a person doing a headstand—a strong sign the market's ready to flip. Ready to hunt down the charts for some Head and Shoulders? Try out the Head and Shoulders drawing tool . ⛰️ Double Tops and Bottoms: Déjà Vu in Trading Ever experience déjà vu? The market does too, in the form of Double Tops and Bottoms. A Double Top resembles the letter "M," where the price hits a high, retreats, and then tests that high again before declining. It's the market's way of saying, "I've been here before, and I'm not going higher." The Double Bottom, shaped like a "W," occurs when the price drops to a low, rebounds, and then retests that low before rising. It's akin to the market finding a sturdy trampoline at support levels, ready to bounce back. These patterns reflect traders' reluctance to push prices beyond established highs or lows, leading to reversals. ⚠️ Triangles: The Market's Waiting Game When traders are indecisive, prices often consolidate, forming Triangle patterns. These come in three flavors: Ascending Triangle : Characterized by a flat upper resistance line and a rising lower support line. Buyers are gaining strength, repeatedly pushing prices up to a resistance level. A breakout above this resistance suggests bullish momentum. Descending Triangle : Features a flat lower support line and a descending upper resistance line. Sellers are in control, and a break below support signals bearish continuation. Symmetrical Triangle : Both support and resistance lines converge, indicating a standoff between buyers and sellers. The eventual breakout can go either way, and traders watch closely for directional cues. Triangles epitomize the market's pause before a storm, as participants gather conviction for the next move. Feel like looking for some triangles on charts? Jump straight to our easy-to-use Triangle Pattern drawing tool . ? Flags and Pennants: The Market Takes a Breather After a strong price movement, the market often needs a breather, leading to Flags and Pennants. These are short-term continuation patterns that indicate a brief consolidation before the trend resumes. Flag : Resembles a parallelogram sloping against the prevailing trend. It's like the market catching its breath before sprinting again. Pennant : Looks like a small symmetrical triangle that forms after a sharp move. Think of it as the market pitching a tent before continuing its journey. Recognizing these patterns helps traders position themselves for the next leg of the trend. ? The Psychology Behind Pattern Persistence Why do these patterns keep appearing? The answer lies in human psychology. Traders, despite access to vast information, are influenced by emotions like fear and greed. This collective sentiment manifests in predictable ways, creating patterns on charts. For instance, the Head and Shoulders pattern emerges because traders, after pushing prices to a peak, become cautious. Early sellers take profits, causing a dip. A second rally (the head) attracts more participants, but if it fails to sustain, confidence wanes, leading to a sell-off. The final attempt (right shoulder) lacks conviction, and once support breaks, the downtrend ensues. Understanding the emotional drivers behind these patterns allows traders to anticipate moves and strategize accordingly. ? Using Patterns to Your Advantage While recognizing patterns is valuable, it's crucial to approach them with a discerning eye: Confirmation is Key : Don't act on a pattern until it's confirmed. For example, in a Head and Shoulders, wait for a break below the neckline before taking a position. Volume Matters : Volume often validates a pattern. A genuine breakout is usually accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong participation. Contextual Awareness : Consider the broader market context. Patterns can yield false signals in volatile or news-driven environments. Risk Management : Always set stop-loss orders to protect against unexpected moves. Patterns suggest probabilities, not certainties. ? The Evolution of Patterns in Modern Markets In today's algorithm-driven trading landscape, one might wonder if traditional chart patterns still hold relevance. Interestingly, even sophisticated trading algorithms (those used by hedge funds and investment managers) are programmed based on historical patterns and human behavior, perpetuating the cycle. Moreover, as long as markets are driven by human participants, emotions will influence decisions, and patterns will emerge. The tools may evolve, but the underlying psychology remains constant. ? Conclusion: Embrace the Predictability In the volatile world of trading, chart patterns serve as a bridge between market psychology and price action. They offer insights into collective behavior, providing traders with a framework to anticipate movements. By studying these recurring formations, traders can align their strategies with market sentiment, turning the predictability of human nature into a trading edge. What’s your go-to technical analysis pattern? Are you and H&S trader or maybe you prefer to trade double tops? Share your approach in the comments!
//description // All credit goes to Tony for the concept of this indicator. His Trading View link: https://www.tradingview.com/u/tony_fx_sm/ // Note: The calculation method in this indicator differs from Tony's, but the concept is derived from his work. I want to make it clear that I am not a seller, and this method was not taught to me by anyone. The original creator only gave me one clue: ? "If you get one level, you get all levels." Everything else—the way I nail it the method and applied it—is my own work. I respect the original idea, but my approach is independent. Explanation: This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits. Entry/Exit Points: - Entry/Exit Lines: Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan. - Stop Loss: For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above. - Take Profit: For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below. Timeframe: Use a 5 mins timeframe for trading. Risk Disclaimer: This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
Feel free to share your ideas with me. This is my view on this pair. Looking for long position
downtrend sampai trump pencen downtrend sampai trump pencen downtrend sampai trump pencen downtrend sampai trump pencen downtrend sampai trump pencen downtrend sampai trump pencen
xagusd clear short if not close D1 candle above recent high$33.
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT ’s price action over the past two years has formed a large rounded bottom and a complex inverse head and shoulders. Looking at the two major recent drops as the right shoulders and comparing them to two similar drops in 2021 as the left shoulders, the decline percentages are almost identical: ? Recent right shoulder drop: -53.52% ? Left shoulder drop in 2021: -54.25% ? Previous right shoulder drop: -45.87% ? Previous left shoulder drop in 2021: -42.94% This suggests that the decline is likely complete. So, assuming this bull market continues, where could CRYPTOCAP:DOGE go next? Using this pattern, I estimated two potential target prices: ? Conservative target: $2.22 (~7x from current price) ? More aggressive target: $4.44 (~15x from current price) Historically, DOGE’s pumps have been fast and explosive, often reaching targets within weeks. Some people think the crypto market has already turned bearish. If you’re bearish, a safer short entry might be after DOGE breaks below 2/3 of its recent support. There are no guarantees in trading, so always set a stop loss for risk management. Stay safe! ? ? Read my signature & publications for more info you don’t want to miss. ? for more future script "guesses" like this!