The EUR/CAD pair on the M15 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.5086 2nd Resistance – 1.5124 ? Please hit the like button and ? Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
It's hard to believe this, We see 3 bottoms as per fundamental it has clear the support and to clear the longs liquidity for further up-trend
? Date: Friday, February 28, 2025 ? Market: XAU/USD (Gold) ⏳ Asia Session Recap → London Session Live → NYC Ahead ? Mission: Capture Smart Money’s Next Move in Gold Before the Week & Month Close. ? 1️⃣ Macro & Institutional Drivers – What’s Driving Gold? ? ? HIGH-IMPACT EVENTS IN PLAY: ? 1. Month-End Positioning & Institutional Rebalancing ? Today is Friday – Last Trading Day of the Month! Hedge Funds, Banks & Market Makers are adjusting their gold exposure. Expect liquidity grabs, stop-hunts, and engineered fake moves before real direction sets in. ? 2. Economic News Impact – USD & Fed Policy ? Recent Data Releases: ✅ US Core PCE Data (Inflation Gauge) – Hawkish Fed? If inflation is high → Stronger USD → Bearish Gold. If inflation is weak → Weaker USD → Bullish Gold. ✅ Trump’s Tariff Announcement – Supply Chain Shock? Higher tariffs mean inflation risk → Gold demand rises as hedge. But… if tariffs slow economic growth → Risk-off sentiment pushes USD up, Gold down. ? Key Takeaway: Gold is stuck between inflation risks & risk-off flows. Market needs clarity before making a decisive move. ? 2️⃣ Volume & Liquidity Analysis – The Ultimate Institutional Blueprint ? Smart Money's Key Order Flow Zones ? Institutional Sell Zones (Major Resistance) ? $2,896 - $2,910 → VWAP Rejection Zone. ? $2,920 - $2,930 → High Liquidity Trap Zone (If price spikes here & rejects = SELL). ? Institutional Buy Zones (Major Support) ? $2,852 - $2,864 → Key Reversal Zone. ? $2,840 - $2,825 → Final Support Before Breakdown. ? Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) – The REAL Story Behind Price ✅ Current Volume: 561K on 8H, 128.88K on Daily → Weak Participation. ✅ Delta Shift: Negative across sessions → More aggressive selling than buying. ✅ Candle Structure: Daily Piercing Line Rejected ? → Buyers lost momentum. 1H & 4H Shooting Star Clusters → Bearish Rejection Confirmed. ? Conclusion: London session opened with weak buying, high rejection at $2,864 - $2,870. If NYC session fails to push Gold above $2,880 → We see a deeper drop. ? 3️⃣ The Ultimate Trade Scenarios – No Emotion, Just Execution The Bullish Setup – If Gold Reclaims $2,880 ✅ Trigger: Break & Hold Above $2,880. ✅ Confirmation: VWAP reclaim + Positive Delta Surge. BUY ENTRY: $2,880 - $2,886 TP1: $2,896 (VWAP reclaim). TP2: $2,910 (Institutional Distribution Zone). SL: Below $2,872. ? Why This Works? Institutions fake out shorts at $2,864 - $2,870 before pushing higher. VWAP reclaim confirms Smart Money is buying. =====+ The Bearish Setup – If Gold Stays Below $2,864 ✅ Trigger: Failed Bounce at $2,870 - $2,875. ✅ Confirmation: Weak buy volume + Delta shift negative. SELL ENTRY: $2,864 - $2,870 TP1: $2,852 (First Breakdown Level). TP2: $2,840 (Final Support). SL: Above $2,880. ? Why This Works? Multiple bearish rejection candles (Shooting Star, Evening Star). Month-End selling pressure accelerates downside moves. =====+ ? 3️⃣ Neutral Play – Scalping Inside the POC Zone ✅ Trigger: Price stuck between $2,864 - $2,880. ✅ Strategy: BUY scalps from $2,864 → Target $2,878. SELL scalps from $2,880 → Target $2,868. ? Why This Works? Low volume = choppy conditions → Ideal for quick scalps. Institutions keeping price in range before final breakout. ? 4️⃣ Execution Plan – The Ultimate Precision Strategy ? ====================================================== ? Friday’s Key Trading Windows: ✅ London Session: Monitor VWAP reclaim attempts at $2,880. If rejection → Short Gold. ✅ NYC Session: Expect fake moves before real trend emerges. If Delta flips positive → Prepare for a short squeeze rally. ?✓✓✓✓ Final Call – The Smart Money Play Today ? Primary Bias: Bearish. ? SELL $2,864 - $2,870 → TP $2,852 - $2,840. ? BUY Only If $2,880 Holds → Target $2,896 - $2,910. ? Risk Management: ? STOP-LOSS: If Gold closes above $2,885 on 4H → Exit Shorts. ? TRAILING STOP: Lock profits at $2,852 → Adjust at $2,840. ? 5️⃣
BTCUSD took out the most crucial support at 85k and price surges below 80k revisiting the next support zone at 74k any breakdown from there will get BTC to 65k and that becomes bearish season move for BTC
USD/CHF news: ?The USD/CHF pair continued its upward momentum, reaching 0.9000 in early European trading on Thursday. However, it is now showing signs of a potential pullback as the 1-hour RSI approached the overbought threshold of 80. ?On Thursday, data revealed that the second estimate for the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Q4 2024 remained unchanged from the initial forecast, reflecting an annualized growth of 2.3%. Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose by 22,000 to 242,000 for the week ending February 22, marking the highest level in three months. ?Given this backdrop, the US Dollar is likely to maintain its strength across the board, keeping downward pressure on USD-denominated commodities. Additionally, Switzerland’s latest Retail Sales y/y data came in at 1.3%, falling short of the expected 1.6%, which could signal bearish sentiment for the Swiss Franc. Personal opinion: ?The USD/CHF pair is still in an uptrend, however, the RSI (1H) of USD/CHF and DXU both signaled divergence after entering the overbought zone. So in the short term, there will be a slight pullback and then an increase for this pair. Analysis: ?Based on the resistance - support levels and important Fibonacci levels combined with SMA200 to come up with a reasonable strategy. Plan: ? Price Zone Setup: ?Buy USD/CHF 0.8980 – 0.8990 ❌SL: 0.8950 | ✅TP: 0.9025 – 0.9050 – 0.9090 FM wishes you a successful trading day ???
1. We have structure shift in M15 2. We have price rejecting off the entry pd array in H1 3. We have draws as the lowest low in this chart 4. All the PD ARRAYS marked on the chart should act as RESISTANCE AS WE ARE IN A SELL PROGRAM NOW Fundamental twist; since it there was a free airdrop sellers might sell off their holdings
I think the price of Bitcoin could react to the prices I indicated on the chart in the coming weeks and move upwards.
EURGBP is in down trend. It is making Lower Highs and Lower Lowes. Now it formed divergence with falling wedge pattern. Place Buy Stop at above LH.
Too early here by the looks. Stops bout to get rolled. $43,965.2 it is. Ffs ? lol
SELL 2.02600 | STOP 2.03300 | TAKE 2.01600 | Local down moving from resistance level.