Trends down probably hits 88 K by July 27th Don't ask me how I can do this conclusion I'm not saying confirmed nor deny its government project
2/11/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LYFT valuation matters. px go up. - uber is like Big Balls/ Harry Bolz - and lyft is like peanut the squirrel - they both got nut - but okay, seriously, lyft is defn a crappy #2 to uber. we all know this. i wrote about "why i don't buy #2" in my NASDAQ:DASH post, even tho i still think #s are good (Dash reports tn hence the comment) - but here's the deal with $lyft... if you think about NYSE:UBER as a demand aggregator in the world of AV, and while they have a BIG headstart... there's still 5 y of runway to accumulate customers, scale, strategy etc. and at FWB:5BN enterprise value, that's a micro vs. Uber at >$150 bn. - and with mobility trends at NYSE:UBER strong in 4Q... good outlook for 2025 (and remember USD strength was the sticking pt on UBER print... well it wasn't for some of us - but for the ST reaction... it is probabaly *less* of a sticking pt for NASDAQ:LYFT which is more US centric). - with expanding mgns, similar-ish growth (industry floats similar boats)... but nearly 10% fcf yields... any good print here sends NASDAQ:LYFT up 20%. a miss maybe -5-10%. so the R/R here is skewed positive. keeping it small. i play all my edges, and size accordingly. i'd view this one as a slight edge on today's give-back which is more market/ broader risk related not fundamental driven. let's see. V
As I Stated in My Previous Analysis,gold has shown clear rejection signals around the 2942 and 2929 levels, indicating the presence of selling pressure and panic-driven resistance. Based on the current market structure, a noticeable shift in trend is emerging, with the price action gradually shifting downward. Following the trading strategy I shared in my previous update, short positions initiated around the 2910-2920 resistance zone have played out well, as gold has already declined as expected, reaching a low of 2894. If gold fails to break above the 2910-2920 zone, further downside movement toward the 2870-2860 region remains highly likely. Bros, did you follow my short trade on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Natural Gas has shown a Big Fall with extreme gap down condition a week ago ...Broken Strong Uptrending Trendline ....Now Has retestested the trendline ...Since a week Volume towards Bullish Candles and Price is average just like its want to give opportunity to short to sellers.. Price has touched the trendline and it may go bit little inside of it...but if we see a sharp Bearish candle with good volume tomorrow its a definite sign to go for short..lets hope for the Best...
? ? Stock: ET (NYSE) ? Timeframe: 30-Min Chart ? Setup Type: Falling Wedge Breakout ? Trade Plan: ✅ Entry Zone: $19.80 - $19.90 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $19.55 (Below Key Support) ? Take Profit Targets: ? TP1: $20.10 (First Resistance) ? TP2: $20.53 (Extended Target) ? Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation: ? Risk (Stop-Loss Distance): $19.83 - $19.55 = $0.28 ? Reward to TP1: $20.10 - $19.83 = $0.27 ? Risk-Reward Ratio to TP1: 1:0.96 ? Reward to TP2: $20.53 - $19.83 = $0.70 ? Risk-Reward Ratio to TP2: 1:2.5 ? Technical Analysis & Strategy: ? Breakout Confirmation: Price attempting to break above trendline with strong support at $19.55. ? Pattern Formation: Falling Wedge Breakout, signaling potential bullish reversal. ? Key Support & Resistance Levels: ? $19.55 (Support / SL Level) ? $19.80 - $19.90 (Breakout Zone) ? $20.10 (First Profit Target / Resistance) ? $20.53 (Final Target for Momentum Extension) ? Momentum Shift Expected: If the price holds above $19.90, we could see a rally towards $20.10 and $20.53. ? Trade Execution & Risk Management: ? Volume Confirmation: Ensure strong buying volume above $19.90 before entering. ? Trailing Stop Strategy: If the price reaches TP1 ($20.10), move SL to $19.90 to protect profits. ? Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% at $20.10, let the rest run to $20.53. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($19.90) after TP1 is hit. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk: If price fails to hold above $19.80, be cautious and avoid entering early. ? Final Thoughts: ✔ Bullish Setup – If price sustains above $19.90, a strong move is expected. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume increase to confirm the trend. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:0.96 to TP1, 1:2.5 to TP2. ? Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! ?? ? #StockMarket #ET #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrade #DayTrading #MarketTrends #ProfittoPath
AAV Long Channel Trade+Swing Trade great risk to reward Ratio
This is my first post, and I’ll do my best. However, I might not know how to update the post or even view the comments. So, in advance, I apologize for any issues that may arise. :) Now, let’s dive in with a snapshot of a 1-minute chart. Here, you can see the developing VPOC line along with the VWAP line. These aren’t just random indicators—they are volume-based indicators, meaning the data comes directly from the exchange system. This makes them highly relevant for traders, as they provide crucial insights into market activity. https://www.tradingview.com/x/vMkmzMxx/ But what exactly does this mean? The developing VPOC line (Volume Point of Control) represents the price level with the highest traded volume of the day. It is often displayed when using a Volume Profile. On the other hand, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) is a standalone indicator that calculates the average price based on volume. Essentially, the VWAP line divides the chart into two key areas: Above VWAP → Favorable for short positions (or considered expensive for long positions). Below VWAP → Favorable for long positions (or considered expensive for sellers). These levels help traders gauge price efficiency and market sentiment throughout the day. Insights from My Time as an Institutional Junior Trader As a junior trader in the institution, my job was simple: follow orders. This meant I was told what to trade and in which direction—I was responsible for executing the trades at the best possible price. Now, as an institutional trader, I execute thousands of trades a day, which naturally results in an average price due to the sheer number of trades executed at different price levels. So, how is my execution evaluated throughout the day? Exactly—against the Volume Profile and VWAP. For example, if I need to buy a large quantity and my executions are concentrated in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart, it means I’ve done a good job—I’ve secured a better-than-average price. On the other hand, if my trades are mostly in the upper area, it means I haven't performed well, as I couldn’t even beat the average price. Let’s put on our thinking cap and bring everything together. Imagine you need to accumulate a long position, and you’ve been buying thousands of times, resulting in an average price. Now, let’s assume you are an institutional junior trader, and your boss instructs you to buy. You’ve already accumulated 85% of the position, and your average price is in the lower area of the VWAP-divided chart. Suddenly, the price has risen, and you have the opportunity to buy the remaining 15% at the VWAP. Would you take the trade? Of course, you would. Why? Because 15% won’t significantly move your average price, and you’re still buying at a reasonable level. And that’s exactly how institutional traders operate all the time. They are constantly evaluated against these key indicators (VWAP & Volume Profile)—just like I was. How You Can Apply This as a Retail Trader So far, we’ve discussed just a small aspect of trading, but now you understand that levels matter and that institutional traders think differently when it comes to buying. While retail traders often focus on getting the best price, institutional traders prioritize average price. This fundamental difference leads to completely different trading styles. Now that you know how institutions operate, you can start watching the key levels provided by indicators like VWAP and Volume Profile. These aren’t just static levels—they are developing levels, meaning you can use them multiple times throughout the day. Monitor these key levels throughout the session. Pay close attention to order flow when price approaches these levels. Identify who is in control—buyers or sellers—so you can take action accordingly. By combining these insights with the order flow, you can make more informed and precise trading decisions—just like the institutions do. ? Sincerely, Marco
I love MCD and will always love to eat and trade. For me MCD is like water ETF. Automation will increase the profits in the future... BUT price of the stock won't increase more in short term...It will drop. It is not an investment nor trading advice do your own analysis. I am not responsible for your losses.
Gold has reached a significant daily resistance rising trend line. Following a strong bullish movement, the market appears to be overbought, and the formation of a cup and handle pattern on the 1-hour chart indicates a weakening in buyer interest in the near future. I predict a pullback to 2880.
In today’s video, we dive into the Law of Small Numbers—a psychological trap that prevents many beginner traders from reaching their full potential. Our minds naturally seek patterns, often seeing what we want to see in the charts rather than what’s actually there. This can lead to false confidence in strategies that only work under specific conditions or don’t work at all. We also take a look at Bitcoin’s current price action and plan our next trade based on market structure and key levels. Not much has changed since yesterday. We are mainly watching deviation extremes for long and short plays. Confirmation is a flip in MS as usual. Going from lower highs and lows to higher highs and lows. 10m +