Natural Gass is likely to continue its sell of based on fundamental conditions but it can pull back so short only after the breakout of previous LL
This is just a quick weekend analysis to help understand what's going on on the chart and prepare for what may come next. So many tech investors got caught by a fast and vicious correction (slightly exceeding -14% from recent top) - Traders should have got out of the market earlier once the prior low / support was broken, but maybe it's not too late. there's a very interesting confluence area where many MA's (20, 50, 100) converge with the trend line of previous bottoms. so we expect a possible market reaction around that area - if it acts as resistance and we bounce off of it - so that's a new "Lower High" (that's our next chance to get out, or get some hedging in place), we then look at where the market puts the next low - we're between repeating the pattern from Aug/Sep 2024 - or a continuation down for a confirmed bear cycle. one assumption here is that we actually bounce up off the current closing from last week - on positive geopolitical news -that may not happen and this view becomes obsolete. Note: these are just thoughts and the analysis i will use to drive my trading in the next few weeks. Please do your own research - if you agree or disagree, i'd love to hear / read your thoughts.
Hello friends Given the strong support of the price, you can buy within the specified ranges with capital and risk management. Price targets are also specified... *Trade safely with us*
With this idea I am not trying to prove anything. Recently I bumped into the idea about Bitcoin and Precious metals correlation and BTC/GOLD looks interesting. Topic is open for discussions, what you think ? Do we still have a room for further price surge in terms of Bitcoin ? Please share your ideas in comments. Good Luck everyone on this choppy market.
Trend reversal expected around March 25-30! 77k support, bull run can start. Bounce is expected if the fall continues. Double bottom formation with narrow STOP entry option. M2 Liquidity indicator forecast 10 week offset W1 (68 day D1 view).
Euro usd bullish formation now we shall see next level 1.1035 level because this only pair remains in forex market which opposite of DXY dollar index strong dollar euro weak and visa versa soo better buying until 1.1035 extension 1.16 then trend reversal
### Money Flow Spread from DJI to Cryptocurrency: A Fibonacci Perspective The financial markets operate in an interconnected ecosystem where capital flows between asset classes based on macroeconomic trends, investor sentiment, and risk appetite. One such dynamic involves the movement of funds from traditional markets like the **Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)**—a barometer of blue-chip stocks—to emerging asset classes such as **cryptocurrencies**. This phenomenon can often be analyzed using **Fibonacci retracements and extensions**, which serve as powerful tools for identifying key support, resistance, and potential price targets during shifts in market momentum. #### 1. **Market Sentiment and Capital Rotation** - The DJI represents large-cap equities that are heavily influenced by institutional investors, central bank policies, and global economic conditions. When these factors trigger volatility or uncertainty in traditional markets, investors may seek alternative investments with higher growth potential or hedging properties. - Cryptocurrencies, known for their decentralized nature and high volatility, attract speculative capital during periods when confidence in traditional assets wanes. For instance: - During bearish trends in the DJI, characterized by falling prices and increased selling pressure, some investors might reallocate portions of their portfolios into cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH). - Conversely, bullish trends in the DJI could signal improved risk appetite, prompting a portion of crypto gains to rotate back into equities. #### 2. **Fibonacci Retracements: Identifying Key Levels** - Fibonacci retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence and are widely used in technical analysis to predict areas of support and resistance. These levels (e.g., 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) help identify potential turning points in price action. - In the context of money flow from the DJI to cryptocurrencies: - A significant decline in the DJI could lead to a pullback to Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 38.2% or 61.8%). At these junctures, traders may reassess their positions and consider diversifying into cryptocurrencies. - Similarly, after a sharp rally in cryptocurrencies, prices might retrace to Fibonacci levels before continuing upward. Investors exiting equities due to underperformance might view these retracements as entry points for digital assets. #### 3. **Fibonacci Extensions: Projecting Price Targets** - While retracements focus on corrective moves within a trend, Fibonacci extensions project potential price targets beyond the initial move. Common extension levels include 127.2%, 161.8%, and 261.8%. - In scenarios where money flows out of the DJI and into cryptocurrencies: - If the DJI experiences a prolonged downtrend, its losses could coincide with outsized gains in cryptocurrencies. Fibonacci extensions can help forecast how far crypto prices might rise amid this influx of capital. - For example, if Bitcoin breaks above a key resistance level following a surge in inflows from equities, traders might use Fibonacci extensions to estimate future price milestones (e.g., $100,000 or $200,000). #### 4. **Psychological Drivers Behind the Transition** - Fibonacci levels resonate with traders because they align with natural human tendencies toward symmetry and proportion. This psychological aspect amplifies their relevance when analyzing cross-market dynamics. - As money exits the DJI and enters cryptocurrencies, Fibonacci-based trading strategies provide a framework for understanding how participants perceive value across different asset classes. For instance: - Institutional investors exiting equities might anchor their decisions around Fibonacci-derived thresholds, ensuring disciplined entry and exit points in volatile crypto markets. - Retail traders, who dominate much of the cryptocurrency space, also rely on Fibonacci tools to time their trades, creating self-reinforcing patterns that influence overall market behavior. #### 5. **Case Study Example** - Imagine a scenario where the DJI drops sharply due to rising interest rates or geopolitical tensions. The index falls from 35,000 to 30,000—a decline of approximately 14%. Traders observe Fibonacci retracement levels at 38.2% ($31,900) and 61.8% ($33,100), expecting temporary bounces at these levels. - Simultaneously, Bitcoin rallies from $20,000 to $30,000 as investors seek refuge in digital gold. Using Fibonacci extensions, analysts project further upside to $38,200 (127.2%) or even $48,500 (161.8%), attracting additional capital from equity markets. #### 6. **Conclusion** - The interplay between the DJI and cryptocurrencies highlights the fluidity of modern financial markets. By leveraging Fibonacci retracements and extensions, traders can better anticipate shifts in money flow and position themselves strategically. - Whether driven by macroeconomic headwinds, technological innovation, or evolving investor preferences, the migration of capital from traditional indices like the DJI to digital assets underscores the growing convergence of old and new finance. Fibonacci analysis serves as a bridge, offering insights into both the timing and magnitude of these transitions.
A recession could trigger a multi year selloff that revisits 3300.
Hi Guys; My Solana target level is 145 with corrections. Even if it corrects, it will reach 145 in the near future. I will update here after I reach my target level. Please don't forget to press the like button so you don't miss the updates. Best regards
How I see it: US30 is testing a key confluence of resistance. A break and hold above key resistance- Potential "LONG" Targets: TP 1 = 41948.00 TP 2 = 42349.00 Rejections @ key resistance- Potential "SHORT" Targets: TP 1 = 40335.00 TP 2 = 39825.00 Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.