Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading at a critical inflection zone, where price action indicates potential for significant movement in either direction. Utilizing Fibonacci levels, regression channels, and the high-low structures from the charts, here is a combined analysis for both short-term and long-term scenarios. Critical Zone: Decision Point The price is hovering near key support and resistance levels, forming a pivotal zone that will dictate the next major trend: Fibonacci Levels: The price is currently in a range between 23.6% ($79K) and 61.8% ($180K) Fibonacci retracement zones, marking a decisive area. A drop to $79K (near the 23.6% level) would signal a deeper retracement before a rally, while holding above FWB:65K would favor immediate upward momentum. Regression Channels: The lower regression channel (support zone) aligns with the $79K level, providing a potential bounce point. The upper regression channel targets $180K, indicating the next major resistance in the long-term bullish trajectory. Short-Term Signal (Next Few Weeks) Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin loses support at FWB:65K , it is likely to test the lower Fibonacci zone near $79K: Key Support Levels: Immediate support at $65K. Major support at $25,632 (long-term low). Indicators: A breakdown below Ichimoku cloud support on the 4-hour chart would confirm bearish momentum. Regression channel suggests potential wicks to $79K before recovery. Bullish Scenario: If Bitcoin holds above FWB:65K , the price may target the $100K-$120K range as a short-term objective: Key Resistance Levels: Short-term resistance at $85K. Secondary resistance at $100K. Indicators: Breakout above the Ichimoku cloud and higher highs on 4-hour charts confirm bullish momentum. A continuation pattern, such as a flag or wedge, could precede a breakout. Long-Term Signal (Next 6-12 Months) Scenario 1: Retest $79K Before Rally: If the price retraces to $79K, it would allow for consolidation and accumulation before targeting the $180K level: High-Low Structure: Previous lows around $25,632 provide a firm base. Higher lows from $79K would confirm bullish strength. Target: After accumulation, a rally toward the $180K Fibonacci target aligns with historical post-correction moves. Scenario 2: Direct Rally to $180K: If Bitcoin holds above FWB:65K , the price is likely to aim directly for $180K: Momentum: Higher highs on daily and weekly time frames signal sustained buying interest. Regression Channels: Price staying within the upper regression channel strengthens the case for a rally. Key Observations: High-Low Structure: A consistent pattern of higher lows supports the bullish case for a long-term uptrend. Failure to hold these lows would invalidate the bullish theory in the short term. Volume Profile: Increased volume at critical levels (around $79K or FWB:65K ) will confirm accumulation or distribution. Long-Term Targets: First Target: $120K (interim resistance). Second Target: $180K (major Fibonacci level and psychological zone). Conclusion: Bitcoin is in a critical zone, and traders should watch FWB:65K closely. A break below this level opens the door for a retracement to $79K, where the price could bounce before heading toward $180K. Conversely, if Bitcoin holds above FWB:65K , the price is well-positioned for an accelerated move toward the long-term target of $180K. Both scenarios align with historical price action and technical indicators, making this a high-stakes moment for BTC. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risks, and you should do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred.
Price Trend: The price broke out of a downward channel (yellow lines) at point (B) and started moving upward. A potential bullish continuation is shown by the green arrow pointing to higher levels. Key Levels: Horizontal green lines indicate significant support and resistance levels. The "monthly open" label is a reference point for the opening price of Bitcoin at the start of the current month. Indicators: Moving averages (colored lines) show short, medium, and long-term trends. The price is above most of these, which is bullish. The Ichimoku Cloud (shaded area) suggests a potential shift to bullish momentum as the price moves above the cloud. Volume: Volume bars at the bottom indicate increased activity, which supports the upward breakout.
Just sharing my mapping idea. seems like gold making diagonal 5 wave to create a new bullish uptrend? Hope so. It can be wrong, it can be right.. TAYOR.
Hi guys we would be looking at this fantastic company let's dive into the Fundamentals! A Stellar Year for TSMC: Redefining Excellence in Semiconductor Manufacturing TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) has once again solidified its position as a global leader in the semiconductor industry with a truly outstanding financial year. The company's ability to navigate an ever-evolving market landscape and consistently deliver cutting-edge technology is nothing short of remarkable. Exceptional Financial Performance TSMC's financial results for the year have been phenomenal, reflecting its unparalleled operational efficiency and strategic foresight. Despite industry challenges, the company achieved record-breaking revenue and profitability, driven by robust demand for its advanced nodes and innovative solutions. TSMC's dedication to staying ahead of the curve has enabled it to maintain a dominant market share while attracting key clients in industries ranging from consumer electronics to automotive. Commitment to Innovation The cornerstone of TSMC's success lies in its relentless pursuit of technological excellence. As the pioneer in advanced semiconductor nodes such as 3nm and 5nm, TSMC has continued to set benchmarks for the industry. These advancements not only empower its clients to develop cutting-edge products but also contribute significantly to technological progress on a global scale. The company's commitment to research and development is evident in its consistent rollout of groundbreaking processes and technologies. Resilience and Sustainability TSMC's financial triumph is also a testament to its resilience and adaptability. In the face of global supply chain disruptions and geopolitical uncertainties, the company demonstrated remarkable agility, ensuring seamless operations and timely delivery to its partners. Moreover, TSMC has taken proactive steps toward sustainability, aiming to achieve carbon neutrality and reinforce its leadership as a responsible corporate entity. Partner of Choice One of TSMC's greatest strengths is its ability to forge strong, long-term partnerships with some of the world's most influential tech companies. By offering unparalleled manufacturing capabilities and a collaborative approach, TSMC has become the trusted partner for industry giants. This mutual trust and cooperation have been instrumental in driving its financial and operational success. Entry : 200 Target: 255 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
The daily trend line may have a breakout on the 4 HR Time Frame, with a MACD( Chris Moody) bullish cross over. Be very careful, please be patient and wait for confirmations.
Happy New Year Everyone, Today's pattern is a TOP pattern. This suggests the SPY/QQQ will rally in early trading, attempting to identify a resistance level and then rolling into a TOP type of pattern. I don't expect the markets to fall much after reaching the top/resistance level. I expect it to be more of a stalling type of price action after reaching resistance. Gold and Silver will likely attempt to confirm a base/bottom near recent lows. I don't expect too much movement in metals today. Bitcoin moved below recent support, then rejected back to the upside. If this support fails, Bitcoin will move strongly to the downside over the next few days. As we move into 2025, capital will start to rush back into the markets in early January. This low-liquidity phase will end near Jan 5 through Jan 8. Be prepared for price to attempt to revert back into normal 0.5 to 1.25% price ranges - consolidating as liquidity increases in the markets over time. Remember, the first half of 2025 will be very volatile - so buckle up and get ready for some big price rotation in early 2025. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Beginner->Intermediate Level Analysis The crypto market is experiencing consolidation as the King of Crypto takes a breather after its most recent run up. A head and shoulders pattern (White Trendline's) and a Descending Triangle pattern (Yellow Trendline's) shown here on the daily chart, are displayed with their relatively equivalent upside and downside targets marked by a Bear to the downside and a Bull to the upside. While the head and shoulders pattern is typically a bearish pattern, with the distance of the neckline providing the technical target, the descending triangle has slightly better odds of breaking back (busted triangle). Either way we slice it, chances are leaning toward a shake out, which I provide some insight on toward the last half of this idea. While the technical targets of these patterns warn of potential downside, it is important to note that the majority of selling pressure has already occurred and the buying pressure in and around 80k-90k will be fierce, intended to shake out 'paper hands' who quickly forfeit their Bitcoin just shy of the most important parabolic stages of the bull run. Regrettably, it is these shakeouts that actually provide the fuel for such a run up Who is Selling? Bitcoin (BTC) has faced selling pressure from retail shrimps and worrisome dolphins as Shark and Whale activity (e.g., enterprise and institutional buying, respectively) remains primarily invisible and providing no immediate benefit to the overall market. However, shrimple retail investors are smartening up to the complex movements of big fish gamers, market makers, and pesky shark players, particularly the predatory antics that control market demand for an asset by causing sharp movements in price which instill fear or exuberance in market participants. Yet, for those new to the game, its helpful to understand how big market movers fool the rest of the market. Strategy Reveal: The Ol' Mississippi OkeeDoke followed by an Alabama Slew Slammer This takes place when big whales and sharks cloak their real movements by making purchases and sales "over the counter (OTC)". There is a benefit to OTC trades, it lowers the frequency of market swings for every big purchase or sale. Yet, switching back and forth between OTC and exchange transactions can provide the perfect cover and an opportunity for moving markets when needed. On top of this, Market Makers are in a cat and mouse game with leverage traders, causing steep movements in both directions. However, there does come a point when a supply shock is unavoidable and all that buying causes real asset scarcity. This is a Supply Shock, and the BTC market is quickly approaching this type of market environment. And so goes the crypto (and equity) market. Yet, retail shrimps and aspiring dolphins would benefit from continued accumulation on market dips --avoiding selling out of fear during market shakeouts like this. Hold tight, we are going for a roller coaster ride! Good luck everyone!
The price has strong support at 0.050. I am buying this currency here until my target is 0.065. My stop is when a strong daily candle closes below 0.050. DAGUSDT KUCOIN:DAGUSDT
https://www.tradingview.com/x/sLOdPmIE/ https://www.tradingview.com/x/02zjkww3/ NASDAQ:AAPL Here's the details of my trade Short on AAPL.... Daily Chart: - QQE Signal Short - Divergence on the RSI - Cross down on the MACD 4hr Chart: - QQE Signal Short - Strong Divergence on the RSI - Cross down on the MACD Fundamental Support: - PE Ratio overvalued at 42, historic PE ratio range 12-28 excl Covid 2020 - Buffet has cut Berkshire Hathaways stake in Apple by 60% - 2 consecutive years of flat YoY revenue, with declines in Iphone, Wearables, Ipad, Mac offset by YoY growth in Services - Flat YoY Revenue in USA, Asia Pac, and Japan, with declines in Greater China - 2 consecutive years of YoY Net Income decline, EPS benefit from share buybacks of 1B since 2022 - Operating Margin improvement, however primarily driven by product mix (decline of core products and growth of services business) Recent Developments & News - Next significant economic data is ADP employment report Wed Jan 8th and Unemployment Rate Fri Jan 10th - A lower or higher employment figure than forecast could move the market and is a potential risk to the short position if employment figures are positive - However, inadvertently, higher employment figures will reduce the likelihood of FED rate cuts, offsetting some of the upside potential Target: - Previous ATH at 236 ~-5.5% from current price - Stop: A break above $260 - Possible profit taking at 50 day moving average near $237-$238 range - Previous declines ranged from 8-15 days to reach short term lows, estimating similar timeframe with a possible break of support line, retest, and further decline Risks: - The rollout of Apple Intelligence sparks strong Christmas sales and upgrade cycle for Iphone 16 - Investor optimism for Apple Intelligence drives continued buying in AAPL - A bounce off support and continued move higher Overall: AAPL has rolled out Apple Intelligence in several major markets with some features still coming soon. It would be an understatement to say that the development, features, and rollout have be clumsy at best. Not only has the rollout and announcements been underwhelming, but Apple looks to be playing catchup with technology competitors have already well established in the market. Apple continues to be a loved brand worldwide, and there's no denying the brand loyalty is still strong, however lagging technology, premium prices on their products, high PE/valuation with flat to declining revenue and profitability. Until Apple can either reclaim it's technological advantage by becoming a leader again in the market, or reposition it's product offering and pricing to drive demand, it's difficult fundamentally see why the stock is worth the PE with so many other companies in market with new innovation and growth potential comparatively. This isn't to suggest Apple will collapse, but a correction technically and fundamentally is warranted near term with broader economic risks and technological missed expectations that could warrant lower prices. My Position: 5 Put Options $250 Strike, Current Price $252.20 Expiration Friday Jan 10th Average Price is $2.00 a contract Investment $1000 Target $10.00-$16.00 (8-14:1 Profit Loss Ratio) Stop $1.00 Potential Loss -$500 Potential Gain $4000-$7000
After the price had a strong reaction on the OB, now is geeting back to the zone. I keep a bullish view until the zone is lost. If that happen we could see price to reach lower zones!