The humanity is accelerating towards the times when virtual worlds will get so realistic that their inhabitants gain consciousness without realizing they exist in a simulation. The idea that we might be living in a simulation was widely introduced in 2003 by philosopher Nick Bostrom. He argued that if the civilization can create realistic simulations, the probability that we are living in one is extremely high. Modern games only render areas that the player is observing, much like how reality might function in a simulation. Similarly, texture of game environments update as soon as they are viewed, reinforcing the idea that observation determines what is rendered. QUANTUM MECHANICS: The Ultimate Clue Quantum Mechanics challenges our fundamental understanding of reality, revealing a universe that behaves more like a computational process than a physical construct. The wave function (Ψ) describes a probability distribution, defining where a particle might be found. However, upon measurement, the particle’s position collapses into a definite state, raising a paradox: why does the smooth evolution of the wave function lead to discrete outcomes? This behavior mirrors how digital simulations optimize resources by rendering only what is observed, suggesting that reality itself may function as an information-processing system. https://www.tradingview.com/x/pWqbJYL7/ The Born Rule reinforces this perspective by asserting that the probability of finding a particle at a given location is determined by the square of the wave function’s amplitude (|Ψ|²). This principle introduced probability into the very foundations of physics, replacing classical determinism with a probabilistic framework. Einstein famously resisted this notion, declaring, “God does not play dice,” yet Quantum Mechanics has since revealed that randomness and structure are not opposing forces but intertwined aspects of reality. If probability governs the fabric of our universe, it aligns with how simulations generate dynamic outcomes based on algorithmic rules rather than fixed physical laws. https://www.tradingview.com/x/PPCm36u8/ One of the most striking paradoxes supporting the Simulation Hypothesis is Schrödinger’s Cat, which illustrates the conflict between quantum superposition and observation. In a sealed box, a cat is both alive and dead until an observer opens the box, collapsing the wave function into a single state. This suggests that reality does not exist in a definite form until it is observed—just as digital environments in a simulation are rendered only when needed. Similarly, superposition demonstrates that a particle exists in multiple states until measured, while entanglement reveals that two particles can be instantaneously correlated across vast distances, defying classical locality. These phenomena hint at an underlying informational structure, much like a networked computational system where data is processed and linked instantaneously. https://www.tradingview.com/x/ifqZG1BF/ Hugh Everett’s Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) takes this concept further by suggesting that reality does not collapse into a single outcome but instead branches into parallel universes, where each possible event occurs. Rather than a singular, objective reality, MWI posits that we exist within a constantly expanding system of computational possibilities—much like a simulation running countless parallel computations. Sean Carroll supports this view, arguing that the wave function itself is the fundamental reality, and measurements merely reveal different branches of an underlying universal structure. https://www.tradingview.com/x/bPfp3ww6/ If our reality behaves like a quantum computational system—where probability governs outcomes, observation dictates existence, and parallel computations generate multiple possibilities—then the Simulation Hypothesis becomes a compelling explanation. The universe’s adherence to mathematical laws, discrete quantum states, and non-local interactions mirrors the behavior of an advanced simulation, where data is processed and rendered in real-time based on observational inputs. In this view, consciousness itself may act as the observer that dictates what is “rendered,” reinforcing the idea that we exist not in an independent, physical universe, but within a sophisticated computational framework indistinguishable from reality. Fractals - Another Blueprint of the MATRIX? Price movements wired by multi-cycles shaping market complexity. Long-term cycles define the broader trend, while short-term fluctuations create oscillations within that structure. Bitcoin’s movement influencing Altcoins exemplifies market entanglement—assets affecting each other, much like quantum particles. A single event in a correlated market can ripple across the entire system like in Butterfly effect. Just as a quantum particle exists in multiple states until observed, price action is a probability field—potential breakouts and breakdowns coexist until liquidity shifts. Before a definite major move, the market, like Schrödinger’s cat, remains both bullish and bearish until revealed by Fractal Hierarchy. https://www.tradingview.com/x/YQlObB4n/ (Model using Weierstrass Function ) A full fractal cycle consists of multiple oscillations that repeat in a structured yet complex manner. These cycles reflect the inherent scale-invariance of market movements—where the same structural patterns appear.. By visualizing the full fractal cycle: • We observe the relationship between micro-movements and macro-structures. • We track the transformation of price behavior as the fractal unfolds across time. • We avoid misleading interpretations that come from looking at an incomplete cycle, which may appear random or noisy https://www.tradingview.com/x/1Ki5IbM9/ From Wave of Probability to Reality 1. Fractal Probability Waves – The market does not move in a straight line but rather follows a probabilistic fractal wave, where past structures influence future movements. 2. Emerging Reality – As the price action unfolds, these probability waves materialize, turning potential fractal paths into actual price trends. 3. Scaling Effect – The same cyclical behavior repeats at different scales (6H vs. 1W in this case), reinforcing the concept that price movements are self-similar and probabilistically driven. https://www.tradingview.com/x/UZB9CsJk/ If psychology of masses that shapes price dynamics is governed by mathematical sequences found in nature, it strongly supports the Simulation Hypothesis Do you think we live in a simulation? Let’s discuss in comments!
I tried to get the halving dates as close as a could on the weekly chart, but you get the idea. Based on previous halving's there is still room to grow for bitcoin. Speculating 150k bitcoin but other forces could come into play with that price. But based on history the bull market is far from over
NASDAQ:NVDA is currently accumlating. A close above $160 is a breakout and is unlocking an uncharted zone up to the closest psychological mark $200. A close below $124 is a retest to the nearest demand zone at the same level. A close below $118 is unlocking $88 mark. #STOCKS #STOCKMARKET #NVDA #NVIDIA #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #AHMEDMESBAH
Monero (XMR), the leading privacy-focused cryptocurrency, has recently shown signs of renewed strength, breaking above the $200 mark and confirming a bullish shift in market trend.1 This upward movement is particularly significant as it follows a prolonged period of consolidation, during which XMR formed a classic "basing pattern."2 This article will delve into the details of this technical pattern, explore the factors contributing to Monero's current momentum, and analyze the potential for further price gains in the near future. Understanding the Basing Pattern In technical analysis, a basing pattern, also known as a consolidation pattern, represents a period of price stabilization after a downtrend or a significant price drop.3 During this phase, the price trades within a relatively narrow range, forming a base for a potential future breakout.4 This pattern typically indicates that selling pressure is weakening, and buyers are beginning to accumulate the asset.5 Key characteristics of a basing pattern include: • Consolidation Range: The price trades within a defined range, bounded by support and resistance levels.6 • Decreasing Volatility: Price swings become less pronounced as the pattern develops.7 • Increased Volume on Breakout: A breakout above the resistance level is often accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume, confirming the strength of the new uptrend.8 Monero's recent price action has exhibited these characteristics. After a period of decline, XMR's price consolidated within a range, demonstrating decreasing volatility. The recent break above $200, accompanied by increased trading volume, signals a potential breakout from this basing pattern, suggesting a shift towards bullish momentum.9 Factors Contributing to Monero's Momentum Several factors could be contributing to Monero's current positive trajectory: • Increased Demand for Privacy: In an increasingly surveilled world, the demand for privacy-preserving technologies is growing.10 Monero, with its strong focus on anonymity and untraceable transactions, is well-positioned to benefit from this trend.11 • Technological Developments: Ongoing development and improvements to the Monero protocol, such as advancements in its privacy features and scalability solutions, enhance its value proposition and attract users. • Growing Adoption: While adoption of privacy coins is still relatively niche compared to mainstream cryptocurrencies, Monero has a dedicated community and sees usage in various applications where privacy is paramount. • Broader Market Sentiment: The overall cryptocurrency market has shown signs of recovery recently.12 A positive market sentiment can have a ripple effect on various cryptocurrencies, including Monero. The Significance of the $200 Breakout The break above the $200 resistance level is a crucial technical development for Monero. This level has acted as a significant barrier in the past, and breaking above it suggests a strong shift in market sentiment. This breakout confirms the potential validity of the basing pattern and opens the door for further price appreciation. Potential for Further Price Gains With the breakout confirmed, several potential price targets can be identified using technical analysis. Common methods include: • Measuring the Height of the Basing Pattern: The height of the consolidation range can be projected upwards from the breakout point to estimate a potential price target. • Identifying Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to identify potential resistance levels and price targets based on previous price movements.13 • Analyzing Long-Term Trends: Examining long-term charts can provide insights into potential long-term price targets. Based on these methods, potential price targets for Monero could be significantly higher than current levels. However, it's crucial to remember that these are just potential targets, and market conditions can change rapidly. Challenges and Risks While the current outlook for Monero appears positive, it's essential to acknowledge potential challenges and risks: • Regulatory Scrutiny: Privacy coins like Monero face increased regulatory scrutiny due to their potential use in illicit activities.14 Increased regulation could negatively impact their price and adoption. • Competition: Other privacy-focused cryptocurrencies and privacy-enhancing technologies are emerging, posing competition to Monero. • Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and even with positive technical indicators, price corrections and unexpected events can occur.15 Conclusion Monero's recent breakout above $200, following a well-defined basing pattern, suggests a potential shift towards bullish momentum.16 Factors such as increased demand for privacy, technological developments, and positive market sentiment contribute to this positive outlook. While potential price targets can be identified using technical analysis, it's essential to acknowledge the inherent risks and challenges associated with the cryptocurrency market. As always, thorough research and caution are advised when making investment decisions. The confirmation of the basing pattern and the break of the $200 resistance level does provide a strong signal for those interested in the privacy coin space.
Clean and slow retracement back to daily 20 SMA, MACD close to crossing back over
SUI Desci Agents (DESCI) - The Future of Decentralized Science ? SUI Desci Agents (DESCI) is revolutionizing the way science operates by leveraging blockchain technology. This token fuels a decentralized ecosystem, empowering researchers and innovators globally. By eliminating intermediaries and introducing transparency, DESCI paves the way for a more inclusive and efficient scientific community. Chart Analysis ? The current chart displays a strong consolidation phase, often a precursor to a breakout. Volume shows increasing interest, while key support levels hold firm. With the current momentum and market sentiment, DESCI shows significant potential to push higher from here. Why DESCI? • Supports real-world innovation in science. • Positioned for growth in the DeSci movement. • Current price levels offer a promising entry point for long-term investors. ? This could be the next big wave in crypto. Do your research and seize the opportunity!
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CRYPTO:BTCUSD Key Levels: 1. 109k 2. 150k 3. 85k 4. 75k CRYPTO:BTCUSD is currently trying to break a historical, old and respectful channel's upper wedge. Technically speaking, this wedge is a very significant level where it has been tested 5 times so far "illustrated on the chart". The last 2 attempts have shown that the wedge is still valid. Scenario A: Euphoria and institutions buying pressure will keep the price trading close enough to the wedge until it breaks out where it unlocks a new uncharted zone extended to the next psychological mark 150k. Scenario B: Price falls back to the nearest visible and massive demand zone around the 75k mark. I lean on a correction to the closest demand zone around the 75k mark. Corrections: It is worth noting that every time the price tests this wedge it causes a significant correction. "Check the illustrated table on the chart". Conclusion: Closing above 116k unlocks an uncharted zone to 150k Trading below the historical wedge will lead eventually to a retest of the 75k price level. #BTC #BITCOIN #CRYPTO #ANALYSIS #AHMEDMESBAH #SUPPLYANDDEMAND #BLOCKCHAIN #ETHEREUM
Bitcoin Eyes Further Gains as Ethereum Struggles With Declining Demand and Bitcoin Hashprice Hits One-Month Highs, A Bullish Signal for Miners The cryptocurrency market is a dynamic and ever-shifting landscape, with different assets experiencing varying fortunes. While Ethereum grapples with declining demand and network activity, Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength, buoyed by positive on-chain metrics and a resurgence in miner profitability.1 This article delves into the factors contributing to Bitcoin's current momentum, contrasting it with Ethereum's struggles and highlighting the significance of rising hashprice for Bitcoin miners. Bitcoin's Resurgence: A Confluence of Positive Factors Several factors are contributing to Bitcoin's current positive trajectory: • Renewed Institutional Interest: Despite the bear market of 2022, institutional interest in Bitcoin remains significant. Many institutional investors view Bitcoin as a long-term store of value and a hedge against inflation.2 Recent reports suggest renewed inflows into Bitcoin investment products, indicating a resurgence of institutional confidence. • Positive On-Chain Metrics: On-chain metrics, such as the number of active addresses, transaction volume, and long-term holder accumulation, provide valuable insights into the health of the Bitcoin network. Several key on-chain indicators are currently flashing bullish signals, suggesting increasing network activity and strong holding behavior. • Growing Adoption: While still early, Bitcoin adoption continues to grow globally. More businesses are accepting Bitcoin as payment, and more individuals are using it as a store of value. This growing adoption contributes to Bitcoin's long-term value proposition. • Hashprice Surge: One of the most significant indicators of Bitcoin's current strength is the resurgence of hashprice. This metric, which represents the estimated revenue a miner earns per unit of hashing power, has hit one-month highs. This increase is a direct result of both rising Bitcoin prices and increased transaction fees, providing much-needed relief to miners. Ethereum's Struggles: Declining Demand and Network Activity In contrast to Bitcoin's positive momentum, Ethereum is facing challenges related to declining demand and network activity. Several factors contribute to this downturn: • Competition from Layer-2 Solutions: The rise of layer-2 scaling solutions on other blockchains has diverted some activity away from the Ethereum mainnet. These solutions offer faster and cheaper transactions, making them attractive alternatives for certain use cases. • Decreased DeFi Activity: The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector, which was a major driver of Ethereum's growth in 2020 and 2021, has seen a significant decline in activity. This decline has reduced demand for Ethereum block space and contributed to lower transaction fees. • NFT Market Cool-Down: The non-fungible token (NFT) market, another significant driver of Ethereum network activity, has also experienced a cooling-off period. This has further reduced demand for Ethereum transactions. Bitcoin Hashprice: A Bullish Signal for Miners The recent surge in Bitcoin hashprice is a crucial development for the Bitcoin ecosystem. Hashprice is calculated by dividing the total revenue earned by miners (from both block rewards and transaction fees) by the total network hash rate. A higher hashprice indicates increased profitability for miners. The combination of rising Bitcoin prices and increasing transaction fees has driven the recent increase in hashprice. This is particularly important because miner profitability is crucial for the security and stability of the Bitcoin network. When miners are profitable, they are incentivized to continue securing the network, ensuring its resilience against attacks. The Significance of Transaction Fees Transaction fees play a vital role in the Bitcoin network. They incentivize miners to include transactions in blocks and contribute to the network's long-term sustainability. As the block reward (the amount of Bitcoin awarded to miners for each block they mine) continues to halve approximately every four years, transaction fees will become an increasingly important source of revenue for miners. The recent increase in transaction fees is a positive sign for the Bitcoin network's long-term health. It demonstrates that users are willing to pay for block space, indicating continued demand for Bitcoin transactions. Conclusion While Ethereum faces challenges related to declining demand and network activity, Bitcoin is showing signs of renewed strength, driven by positive on-chain metrics, renewed institutional interest, and a resurgence in miner profitability. The recent surge in hashprice, fueled by rising Bitcoin prices and increasing transaction fees, is a particularly bullish signal for the Bitcoin ecosystem. This combination of factors suggests that Bitcoin is well-positioned for further gains in the near future. It's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. However, the current3 trends suggest that Bitcoin is entering a period of renewed strength, while Ethereum faces headwinds that could impact its short-term performance. The dynamic nature of the crypto market necessitates continuous monitoring and adaptation to new information.