Based on my trading algorithms, ES / US500 is about to drop 5.4%!
Bitcoin has established a lower high at the 100K range resistance. In this context it appears a support break (lower low) is more likely to follow. This means a 90K retest can unfold as early as this week. Will 90K hold? There is NO way to know, it all depends on the price action that unfolds at that level. Having opinions of the future will NOT help you at all, ESPECIALLY in this environment. Case in point: over the previous week, we had Coinbase reveal that the SEC is planning to give up their legal case against them, Bitcoin goes to 99K. This level is the range resistance that I specifically highlighted in my previous week's article. This is followed by The Bybit hack which brought price right back to the 94K range low. Knowing your levels would have prepared you much MORE effectively to navigate the price action around these moves compared to simply reacting to the news. One observation I would like to assert here is the fact that 99K was rejected so quickly. These situations often attract a LOT of longs who then get stuck in the trade because the unexpected reversal. These longs will be pushed out of their positions if price extends too far which will bolster selling pressure. It is this process that can facilitate the move to 90K especially if it is accelerated by more unexpected bearish news. As a swing trader, it is best to WAIT for levels in this situation, evaluate the price action, measure risk and wait for some form of confirmation, I repeat this all the time. It is the best we can do, and AVOID trying to forecast the future. Unless you were an insider at Coinbase or a member of the hacking team, you had NO idea that these events were coming. And with the new administration in this country, new financial drama can come out of no where at any time. All I can say is focus on price levels and trend structure and you will be much better prepared than most. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
A look at the major indexes for short to medium term action along with a recap of some previous longer term ideas I've posted over the past 8-9 months or so. This is part 1 going over ES, NQ, VX, TNX, and NVDA. Part 2 including AMD, XRP, BTC, MSTR, PLTR, CVNA, and GME coming shortly.
In the beginning of the last week of February, we expecting Gold to decline. There are several factors on small time frames, but also appear signs on larger time frames. In fact it is difficult to predict an asset when it discovers new higher highs, but there are methods to determine the turning points. In past few weeks we expected price to close down to psychological level of $3'000 and it is close, but we don't expect to reach it. So in this case we enter in short positions with long term swing target of over $200. We publish 2 trading ideas in one: one is more intraday, another one is long term swing trading idea.
I’m currently diving into the 2-hour time frame chart for gold. As we both know, gold recently hit its all-time high, and now its price action is showing some unpredictable moves. Based on my analysis, I’m focusing on a sell-side strategy today, aiming to catch a potential bearish move. I've identified key levels on the chart that will guide my approach. The most crucial point here is that once the market hits these key levels, I'll wait for a strong bearish confirmation before executing my trade. Let's explore these levels and the possible outcomes in more detail. This is my analysis for today, but remember, this is not financial advice! Always wait for confirmation before pulling the trigger on any trades. Stay sharp! Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
This is an FUTURES market outlook for the week of Feb 17-21st. In this video, we will analyze the following futures markets: ES | S&P 500 NQ | NASDAQ 100 YM | Dow Jones 30 GC | Gold SIL | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper The USD continues its bearish ways this upcoming weak. It's currency counterparts will likely see some upside this week. Especially the JPY. Patience and an ear to the news will be the best way to approach the equity markets. The same would also apply to news sensitive commodity markets like US OIL, Gold and Silver. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
I expect price to test the previous day's low, 0.63300 zone to pick liquidity before heading higher, the previous day's candle was a full day's breakout. risk to reward is 1:6 trade with caution, see chart for more details
Price is Beginning to retrace. Price traded and closed at 1.42263 ahead of the week, we’d likely anticipate a further drop in price to around 1.38615 a pullback support. This week , we anticipate a fundamental news. We’re looking forward to seeing a GDP report from both countries. I anticipate a further drop in price.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Once again, the green zone with a ceiling at $2934.5 and two intersecting trendlines remains in focus. If this ceiling holds, the probability of seeing $3015 - $3016 by Wednesday afternoon increases, especially with the U.S. PCE data release at the end of the week.
Based on my trading algorithms GBPNZD is about to drop 290 pips!