Zooming out to the weekly chart, price action is tightening inside a triangle defined by the green trendlines. My bias is slightly bullish, due to the bullish RSI divergence, and the strong gray support zone. But there hasn't been an upside reversal in smaller timeframes yet, so I'm still keeping an eye on price movements.
Intraday Update: The EURUSD is breaking higher, HOWEVER, the pair is nearing a triple confluence of the long term 38% retracement, and 127% and 161% extension from the 1.0570-80's. With the intraday RSI's reaching overbought, there is a risk of a reversal at those levels.
? Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and other important crypto indices. In this analysis, I want to review the important futures triggers in today's New York session. Yesterday, the market was rejected from a significant area and experienced a bearish leg. ? Before starting the analysis, it's worth noting that today Trump has a very important speech about tariffs, and if he discusses cryptocurrencies, the market may experience significant fluctuations. Therefore, be cautious about opening high-risk positions today. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the 1-hour timeframe, as observed yesterday, after the price rose from the 91422 area, I mentioned that if the 94355 resistance were broken, we could enter a long position, and if the 91422 area were broken, we could enter a short position. ? That exact scenario occurred, and after the price created a lower high compared to 94355, we witnessed a significant bearish momentum, resulting in a large bearish candle that engulfed several previous candles, broke the 91422 support, and reached the 89318 area. ⚡️ After this event and several resting and pullback candles that hit the 0.382 Fibonacci area, the price proceeded with its next bearish leg, breaking the 89318 area near the 0.618 Fibonacci zone. With this PRZ break, we can say that all bullish market momentum was wiped out, and the price fully corrected relative to the bullish leg it had previously made, reaching the 85204 area. ✅ This morning, this area was also breached, and the price executed a Downside Extension to the 1.272 Fibonacci Retracement, meaning the market has fully engulfed the bullish leg and even dropped an additional 27% from that leg to date. ? Currently, there is support at the 83151 area, which coincides with the 1.272 Fibonacci. If this area is breached, we can expect the Downside Extension to continue, with the next support at the Fibonacci 1.618, a crucial Fibonacci zone. If this area is also breached, there is a static support at 78940. ? In the RSI, note the significant bearish momentum in the market. If the RSI can re-enter and stay in the Oversell zone, the likelihood of breaking 83151 or even 78940 will increase. ? Regarding volume, as you can see, it mostly shows a ranging structure with a few high-volume candles within this range that can be considered Selloff candles. After these candles, the price had several resting and corrective candles. ✨ Overall, the volume is ranging, and we will see whether buying or selling volume enters the market based on Trump's statements. ? For a risky long position today, you can open a long position with the breakout of 85204. I suggest this trigger because Trump has a speech today, and if this news is favorable for crypto, Bitcoin could move upward again under the news influence, and I think the risk is worth taking if this area breaks. ❌ However, open this position with the minimal risk your strategy allows, and ensure that no more than 0.5% or 0.25% of your capital is at risk if this position hits a stop-loss. ? No more to discuss about Bitcoin; let's move on to the analysis of dominances to see what triggers we can find for altcoins. ? BTC.D Analysis Let's look at the Bitcoin dominance analysis. As you can see, yesterday I defined a resistance area at 61.48 for you and mentioned that the price might get rejected from this area and the dominance might turn bearish again, which did happen, albeit slightly off at 61.61. ⭐️ Therefore, I have moved this line and adjusted it to this area. Currently, we are witnessing several bearish candles in a row from Bitcoin's dominance, and it seems likely that the dominance could move back down to the 60.40 floor with the bearish momentum it has, and as I've said in the past few days, I still see Bitcoin's dominance trend as ranging. ? The dominance is not very analyzable at the moment, and we need to wait and see which side the box will break. If the box breaks from the 62.19 area, we can say that a lot of money is likely to enter Bitcoin, and Bitcoin could move more than altcoins. If the dominance breaks from the 60.40 area downwards, we can say that more money will enter altcoins. https://www.tradingview.com/x/huNLOGH6/ ? Total2 Analysis Moving on to the Total2 analysis, yesterday I told you that if the 1.14 level is broken, you could enter a short position if Bitcoin's dominance was rising, which indeed occurred, and the dominance of Bitcoin was rising while this break happened, and the dominance had not yet been rejected from the ceiling, which is why the short position you opened on altcoins could have been much more profitable. ? However, as you can see, I have moved this trigger and transferred it to the 1.13 area because I think this area is cleaner, and as you can see, the price has reacted to it once and is likely to react to this area more in the future than to the 1.14 area. ? Overall, the gray areas you see drawn on the chart are not very important supports and resistances, so I easily move them if the price does not show the reaction I want, and it is not very important to me if their position changes. ☘️ However, as you can see, after the price broke the 1.13 area, it executed its main bearish leg downwards, even breaking the 1.07 area and hitting a shadow to the 1.01 area as you can see, and is currently in a corrective phase. ? The 1.07 area could be very important today, and if this area is broken, we can say that the price could make a deeper correction. But if this does not happen and the price is rejected from this area, we can say that altcoins are ready to execute their next bearish leg at least down to the 1.01 area. ✅ Depending on Bitcoin's dominance, you can decide to open a position on Bitcoin itself today or on altcoins. As you can see, the dominance candles being set suggest a bearish dominance, so if the market gives a short position, Bitcoin will be better than altcoins, but while you are reading this analysis, if you want to open a position, it might be that the dominance turns bullish, in which case a short position on altcoins would be better than on Bitcoin. https://www.tradingview.com/x/MfSWOlq5/ ? USDT.D Analysis Let's look at the Tether dominance analysis. As I told you yesterday, if the 4.82 level was broken, the dominance could start a bullish leg, which did happen, and the market activated its short trigger in Total2 and altcoins, and the dominance moved upwards, even breaking the 5.08 area and with a pullback to this area, reached 5.30. ? This area was previously around 5.21, but as I told you, I easily move lines that are gray if the price does not respect them, and for this reason, I moved this area to 5.30, as you can see, the price has reacted to it and now seems to be correcting. ? Unfortunately, I don't have a specific trigger for a bearish turn in Tether dominance, but this 5.30 trigger is a very suitable one for it to turn more bullish, and in my opinion, if the dominance wants to turn more bullish and break this area, it could move again up to the 5.50 area. ? But in case of a correction in dominance, the first very important support exists at 5.08, and the dominance could correct to this area. ? Final Words Overall, I think the market today is not very analyzable and can have a lot of sharp and emotional movements, and everything depends on Trump's speech. ❗️ I suggest that if you think the market will go up with Trump's speech, hold a long position, and if you think it will go down, hold a short position if triggers are activated. ? But open this position with the minimum risk you can and are allowed to take because Trump's speech can create a lot of sharp movements in the market, and if you do not risk manage and set a stop-loss, your position can easily be liquidated, so be careful to risk the minimum amount that your strategy allows you to open these positions. https://www.tradingview.com/x/rMP0O7yV/ ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
The BTC chart shows a clear break in market structure where the bullish trend was invalidated after failing to maintain higher highs. The red zone represents a key support level that previously held price multiple times, showing strong buying interest. However, once this level was decisively broken to the downside, the market structure shifted bearish, confirming that sellers are in control. When price returned to this zone, it retested the broken support and rejected sharply, flipping the area into a resistance zone. This rejection further validated the bearish sentiment and set the stage for a continuation to the downside. Order Flow and Liquidity Grab The current price action suggests that the market is targeting liquidity pools resting below the previous lows. The black line on the chart marks a key swing low, where liquidity is likely building up from stop-loss orders of retail traders. The market tends to gravitate towards these liquidity zones before reversing or continuing its trend. The sharp rejection from the resistance level signals that the market is still heavily bearish and hunting for sell-side liquidity. Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Retracement Zone The green zone highlights a fair value gap (FVG) – an imbalance in price action where the market moved rapidly without leaving sufficient trading activity. These gaps often act as magnets, drawing price back to fill the imbalance before continuing in the original direction. A retracement into this zone would not only fill the imbalance but also allow the market to mitigate unfilled orders left behind by institutions. This would create an ideal area for short re-entries before the next leg lower. Fundamental Influence Despite the recent bullish news event, which temporarily pushed the price higher, the impact lasted only a few hours. This indicates that the news failed to shift the overall market sentiment, and the bears quickly regained control. The market's reaction highlights the underlying weakness in bullish momentum. Additionally, the recent tariff announcements by Donald Trump have created a more bearish macroeconomic environment, adding extra selling pressure. Increased tariffs could negatively impact global market sentiment, which aligns with the technical bearish outlook. Trade Plan and Confirmation The most likely scenario would be a retracement into the FVG zone (green area), followed by bearish price action confirmation (such as a bearish engulfing candle or lower timeframe structure break). https://www.tradingview.com/x/kSW6RsS1/ Key confirmation points: Price taps into the green zone without breaking above it. Bearish candle patterns or lower timeframe structure shifts. Volume increase during rejection. Target Areas The primary target for this trade setup would be the liquidity pool resting below the black line. This level represents a clear liquidity grab zone, where the market could look to sweep lows before any potential reversal. Invalidation Level The trade idea would be invalidated if price breaks above the red resistance zone with strong momentum, signaling a possible shift back to bullish market structure. Conclusion This trade setup combines technical analysis with fundamental factors, creating a confluence-based bearish outlook. The rejection from the resistance zone, the presence of an FVG imbalance, and the overall bearish macro sentiment support the continuation of the downtrend. Waiting for price to fill the imbalance before entering could provide a high-probability entry for a short position targeting the liquidity grab at the lows. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like ? and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! ? Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! ?
? CURRENT MARKET OVERVIEW ?? XAU/USD (GOLD) ? ? Current Price: $2,921.79 ? ? High of the Day: $2,922.42 ? ? Major Resistance (R3): $2,925.10 ? ? Pivot Point: $2,916.50 ? ? Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support): $2,916 - $2,918 ? ? Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,911.14 ? ? Psychological Support (S1): $2,900.05 DXY (US Dollar Index) ? ? Current Price: 105.94 ? (DXY Weakening!) ? ? DXY recently broke support at 106.11 and is now declining ? ? Bearish Momentum – Favoring a Gold Rally! ? Institutional Order Flow Insight: ✅ DXY is weakening, making gold more attractive. ✅ Gold is at key resistance – a decision point for breakout or reversal. ✅ Liquidity traps spotted – market makers may hunt stops above $2,925 before dumping. ? INSTITUTIONAL ORDER FLOW & LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS ?? ✅ DXY Weakness → Bullish Gold Bias ✅ Order Flow: Large Sell Walls at $2,925 - $2,930 → Institutions Offloading ✅ Liquidity Map: High Liquidity above $2,925 → Possible stop-hunt before reversal Buy Walls around $2,900 - $2,906 → Institutional demand zone ✅ Market Maker Manipulation: Potential liquidity sweep above $2,925 before dump If rejection happens, expect aggressive short move ✅ COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Institutions are reducing long positions = Potential weakness in gold ✅ BEST INDICATOR COMBINATION – SMART MONEY TRADING PLAYBOOK ? ✔️ Fibonacci Retracement (Key Levels: 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) 38.2% = $2,912 (First Support) 50% = $2,906 (Break below here = Downtrend Confirmation) 61.8% = $2,900 (Final Institutional Demand Zone) ✔️ 50 EMA & 200 EMA Trend Confirmation 50 EMA (Dynamic Support) = $2,911.14 200 EMA (Major Support) = $2,900.50 Gold holding above these levels = Short-term bullish, but overextended! ✔️ RSI (7) – Momentum Confirmation RSI = 81.90 (EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT!) ? SELL SIGNAL CONFIRMED! DeepSeek AI detects momentum exhaustion → Expect pullback! ✔️ VWAP – Institutional Price Level VWAP = $2,912.79 Price Trading Above VWAP → Mean Reversion Possible ✔️ Order Flow & Liquidity Zones – Confirming Stop-Hunts Massive Stop-Hunts Above $2,920 → Market Makers Trapping Longs No strong buy-side liquidity → Smart Money Preparing to Dump ✔️ MACD – Momentum Shifts & Confirmation Bearish Divergence Detected! ? Momentum Weakening – Market Losing Buying Pressure ? TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – MOMENTUM & TREND INDICATORS ? RSI Analysis ? Current RSI = 81.90 (EXTREMELY OVERBOUGHT!) ? ? DeepSeek AI signals momentum exhaustion = High Probability of Drop! ? Stochastic Oscillator ? Bearish Divergence Forming → Sell Setup Valid! ? Moving Averages ? Price Extended Above 50 EMA → Retracement Expected! ? Volume Trends ? Buying Volume Dropping → Confirmation of Weakness! ? BUY or SELL? What is the Best Trade Setup Now? ?✅ ? HIGH-CONFIDENCE TRADE SETUP: SELL XAU/USD NOW! ? ? SELL ENTRY: $2,921.79 - $2,922.50 ? STOP-LOSS (SL): $2,926.50 (Above Liquidity Zone to Avoid Stop-Hunt!) ? TAKE-PROFIT (TP): $2,900.00 (Next Institutional Demand Zone!) ? Risk-Reward Ratio: 4:1 (MAX PROFIT, MINIMUM RISK!) ? FINAL DECISION: MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! ??? ? Verdict: SELL GOLD NOW at $2,921.79! ? ? SL: $2,926.50 (Above Resistance, Protect from Fake Breakout) ? TP: $2,900.00 (Smart Money Take-Profit Zone) ? Institutions Are Distributing – Dump Incoming! ? ? WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! LET’S EXECUTE THIS SHORT WITH MAXIMUM PRECISION! ???
? Executed a precise short trade on USD/JPY this morning, aligning with institutional order flow and Prime Market Terminal insights. Here’s the full breakdown of how this setup played out! ? Trade Setup & Analysis: ? Entry: 149.300 – Price rejected a key supply zone & Fibonacci retracement level. ? Stop Loss: 149.558 – Above key liquidity & invalidation area. ? Take Profit: 148.504 (first TP), 148.213 (final target). ? Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 ? Prime Market Terminal Insights That Confirmed This Trade: ? Institutional Positioning & Market Flow: ✔ Smart Money Report: Large institutions were heavily net short USD/JPY, with leveraged funds reducing their long exposure. Dealer intermediaries (banks and liquidity providers) also added more short positions, indicating further downside momentum. ✔ COT (Commitment of Traders) Data: Open interest showed a significant drop in long positions, suggesting weakness in USD/JPY. Hedge funds and asset managers increasing short exposure aligned with my bearish bias. ✔ DMX Open Interest: 66% of institutional traders were short on USD/JPY, confirming my sell-side setup. Short positioning had increased by 34% in the last session, reinforcing my downside expectation. ? Volatility & Liquidity Insights: ✔ Average True Range (ATR) Analysis: ATR showed a high probability of an extended move, suggesting the potential for price to hit my targets. Recent daily ranges indicated USD/JPY had room to move another 100+ pips to the downside. ✔ Session Range & Market Structure: Liquidity grab above 149.300 supply zone, followed by strong rejection and sell-off. Previous session lows were swept, indicating smart money targeting deeper liquidity. Institutional orders clustered around 148.200, suggesting a likely downside target. ? High-Impact News That Influenced USD/JPY: ? Japanese Unemployment Rate (Actual: 2.5% | Forecast: 2.5%) → No surprise, minimal impact. ? Business Capex (MOF YY) (-0.2% vs. 8.1% previous) → Indicated economic slowdown, weakening JPY demand. ? U.S. Economic Data Later Today: Redbook YY (USD) expected at 6.2% – could impact USD sentiment. Fed’s Williams speech on monetary policy could affect USD volatility, reinforcing our bias. ? Trade Execution & Outcome: ✅ TP HIT! Price dropped as expected, hitting both targets with precision. ? Perfect confluence of: ✅ Smart money selling pressure ✅ Liquidity sweep & supply zone rejection ✅ High-probability move from ATR analysis ? Prime Market Terminal Screenshots Included: ? DMX Open Interest → Confirmed institutions were net short. ? COT Data → Showed decline in long positions. ? ATR & Volatility Charts → Supported extended downside movement. ? Session Ranges & Market Structure → Confirmed liquidity grab & supply zone rejection. ? Key Takeaways from This Trade: ✔ Trade with institutional momentum – Always check positioning before entering! ✔ Multiple confirmations = High probability setups – Don’t rely on a single indicator. ✔ Liquidity is key – Smart money moves price to hunt liquidity, trade accordingly. ✔ Fundamentals matter – Weak JPY capex data helped push price lower. ? What’s your view on USD/JPY? Will we see further downside? Drop your thoughts below! ? Follow for more trade setups, market analysis & strategy breakdowns!
GBPJPY broke the OB in 15tf and after the lq sweep in 30 min it will retest the swing low and break it. After that wait for a correction up to sell.
3.4 Die Goldpreise behalten weiterhin eine geringe Aufwärtsdynamik bei 1. Aktuelle Marktanalyse Trend: Der Goldpreis zeigte am Dienstag, insbesondere während der europäischen Sitzung, einen deutlichen Aufwärtstrend und durchbrach kräftig die Höchststände, was die starke Dynamik der Bullen verdeutlichte. Unterstützung und Widerstand: Der Bereich 2894-2896 ist das wichtigste Unterstützungsniveau und 2920 und 2942 sind die oberen Widerstandsniveaus. Gold fiel auf etwa 2920 zurück, aber der Gesamttrend bleibt bullisch. 2. Betriebsstrategie Long-Order-Strategie: Long-Position in der Nähe von 2896-98, Stop-Loss bei 2988, Ziel 2921, 2942. 3. US-Marktaussichten US-Markttrend: Es wird erwartet, dass der US-Markt einen zweiten Anstieg verzeichnen könnte. Diese Einschätzung basiert auf der starken Leistung während der europäischen Sitzung. Wenn der Goldpreis im Unterstützungsbereich von 2894-2896 stabil bleiben kann, ist die Wahrscheinlichkeit eines weiteren Anstiegs auf dem US-Markt immer noch relativ hoch. Ziel: Wenn der Goldpreis 2920 durchbrechen kann, kann das nächste Ziel 2942 sein. Wenn sich die Marktstimmung weiter verbessert, könnte sie sogar noch weiter steigen.
Dem aktuellen Goldtrend nach zu urteilen, ist die Marktstimmung eindeutig auf die Bullen ausgerichtet. Vor allem aufgrund der Risikoaversion durchbrach der Goldpreis am Nachmittag die wichtige Widerstandsmarke von 2897 und stieg weiter über 2903. Obwohl die Short-Order an der Linie 2903 verloren ging, gaben die Goldbullen nicht auf, sondern setzten ihre Bemühungen fort, den Preis über das jüngste Hoch hinaus zu treiben, und zeigten eine starke Aufwärtsdynamik. Technische Analyse: Stundendiagramm: Das System der gleitenden Durchschnitte beginnt sich nach oben zu drehen, was darauf hindeutet, dass die Bullen kurzfristig dominieren. Der Goldpreis erreicht weiterhin Erholungshochs, was die starke Offensive der Bullen zeigt. Die kurzfristige Unterstützung konzentriert sich auf den Bereich 2897-2900. Wenn der Preis in diesen Bereich zurückfällt und sich stabilisiert, wird erwartet, dass die Bullen weiterhin Druck ausüben. 4-Stunden-Chart: Der kurzfristige Widerstand oben liegt bei der Linie 2922-2925. Wenn der Preis diesen Bereich durchbricht, wird erwartet, dass die Bullen weitermachen. Die Tiefpunktunterstützung unten konzentriert sich auf etwa 2897-2900, und die allgemeine Betriebsidee basiert immer noch auf niedrig und lang. In der mittleren Position empfiehlt es sich, mehr zu beobachten und sich weniger zu bewegen, die Verfolgung von Aufträgen zu vermeiden und geduldig auf den Markteintritt wichtiger Punkte zu warten. Betriebsstrategie: Lange Strategie: Einstiegspunkt: Wenn Gold auf die Linie 2897-2900 zurückfällt, gehen Sie long. Wenn der Preis weiter auf den Bereich 2888-2890 zurückfällt, können Sie die Long-Position abdecken. Stop-Loss: 2883, um zu verhindern, dass der Preis versehentlich die Schlüsselunterstützung durchbricht. Ziel: Linie 2920-2923 Wenn es diesen Bereich durchbricht, können Sie weiterhalten und auf höhere Ziele blicken. Kurzstrategie: Einstiegspunkt: Gold steht unter Druck, gehen Sie auf der Linie 2922-2925 leer. Dieser Bereich stellt ein kurzfristiges Widerstandsniveau dar. Wenn der Preis nicht durchbricht, können Sie einen Leerverkauf der Position in Betracht ziehen. Stop-Loss: 2936, um zu verhindern, dass Short-Positionen nach einem Preisdurchbruch blockiert werden. Ziel: Bereich 2900-2905 Wenn der Preis unter diesen Bereich fällt, können Sie weiterhalten und auf ein niedrigeres Ziel blicken. Kernpunkte: Oberer Widerstand: 2922-2925 Untere Stütze: 2897-2900, 2888-2890 Zusammenfassen: Die aktuelle Stimmung am Goldmarkt ist auf die Bullen ausgerichtet, insbesondere da die Preise wichtige Widerstandsniveaus durchbrachen und aufgrund der Risikoaversion weiter stiegen. Im Hinblick auf den Betrieb wird empfohlen, sich auf niedrige und lange Positionen zu konzentrieren und auf die Unterstützung im Bereich von 2897 bis 2900 zu achten. Wenn der Preis zurückfällt und sich stabilisiert, können Sie eine Long-Position in Betracht ziehen. Gleichzeitig ist der Bereich 2922-2925 das kurzfristige Widerstandsniveau. Wenn der Preis nicht durchbricht, können Sie eine Short-Positionierung und einen Test in Betracht ziehen. In der mittleren Position empfiehlt es sich, mehr zu beobachten und sich weniger zu bewegen und geduldig auf den Markteintritt wichtiger Punkte zu warten.
Agents are the next big thing in AI. Some define these “agents” differently from others, but the general idea is, they’re AI-powered tools that can perform tasks autonomously. The agent hype has reached a fever pitch, but one startup was relatively early to the game: LlamaIndex. Founded by former Uber research scientists, Jerry Liu and […] © 2024 TechCrunch. All rights reserved. For personal use only.