US30 has formed a potential Double M (double top) pattern, indicating a possible bearish reversal. Price has tested the resistance zone twice and failed to break higher, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. If neckline support breaks with volume confirmation, this could present a shorting opportunity targeting lower support levels.
? XAUUSD – 16 April 2025 Trading Ideas Timeframe: 1H (with 5m-15m confirmation) Bias: Cautiously Bearish – Waiting for retrace or trap setup Market Context: Gold exploded during Asian session—currently hovering above 3280, showing early weakness Price is extended deep into premium, with key resistance around 3290–3298 A retracement into 3,261–3,245 is likely, especially ahead of NY news Lower timeframes showing slowdown & FVG gaps waiting to be filled ? Sell Zone (Riskier Pre-News Entry) Entry: 3288 – 3292 SL: 3300 TP1: 3270 TP2: 3250 TP3: 3240–3235 Reasoning: Price swept 3280s liquidity Frankfurt may fake breakout highs before NY data Heavy imbalance and clean downside path to 3245 if structure breaks Look for M-pattern / bearish engulfing on 5m ? Buy Zone (Healthier Pullback Setup) Entry: 3261 – 3245 (watch for reaction) SL: Below 3230 TP1: 3280 TP2: 3292 TP3: 3300–3310 (if news aligns) Reasoning: Untapped demand + FVGs on 1H/5m Clear signs of previous breakout zone Needs bullish confirmation—no blind buys ? Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Market news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September lTechnical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 3224 Support and resistance levels: 3247 3238 3233 3215 3209 3200 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3233, consider buying, the first target price is 3247 If the price breaks through 3224, consider selling, the first target price is 3215
The purpose of this analysis is less of a predictive nature but rather more of a record of common sense thought and observations. I don't think anyone really knows beyond a shadow of a doubt what Bitcoin will do next. The best we can do is look back at it's history and try to make sense of it in order to gain common sense ideas about what we can expect. My main mode of operation is trend lines, sometimes dozens of them. And I have here on the weekly chart a long term resistance (July 2016) and support (Jan 2020) marked in blue. And some time ago I drew the red and yellow short term support lines and extended them just to see what would happen. As you can see in the chart, Bitcoin has broken the yellow line and attempted to cross back above it, and I'm not ruling that option out just yet, however when I look at this on a smaller time frame the price action looks like it's trying to flip the yellow into resistance. This scenario makes sense for a couple of quick reasons, the first being common sense in that the yellow line is extremely steep and one would have to wonder how long BTC can keep pace with it. The second reason is that the RSI is showing a head and shoulders pattern, as I've circled below the candlestick chart. However I think even the red short term trend line eventually will prove to be too steep of a climb to keep pace with as well, and it too will eventually be tested. On the bullish outlook, BTC came down to retest the previous ATH at around 74K and bounced from it. In doing so, it completed the necessary distance for the double top and theoretically could continue its run up beyond 110K. It also touched the lower boundaries of Bollinger Bands (I'm limited to 2 instruments on the free acct. , so check for yourself) on several mid to long term time frames, increasing the possibility of a bullish continuation from there. However, I lean more toward the bearish scenario for reasons I stated above. And because it's been a while since BTC touched its long term support (marked in blue) and history does repeat itself. I however do agree that the 40K area would be difficult to reach because of demand expected near the 68K, 53K and 49K zones. This is not a trade suggestion or advice of any kind, however the best action at this point is to be patient and take a wait and see approach until price action makes a more definitive confirmation of either bullish or bearish trend to come.
Consolidation Breakout Target 1 180 Target 2. 200
Market news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.10 Support and resistance levels 144.08 143.72 143.48 142.72 142.48 142.11 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.10, consider buying, the first target price is 143.48 If the price breaks through 142.72, consider selling, the first target price is 142.48
Market news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6346 Support and resistance levels: 0.6414 0.6388 0.6372 0.6320 0.6304 0.6278 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 0.6346, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6372 If the price breaks through 0.6320, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6304
Hallo zusammen!!! Obwohl bereits zwei Wochen vergangen sind, wirken sich die US-Zollpolitik weiterhin stark aus und üben Druck auf den US-Dollar aus. Währenddessen hat das BIP Chinas im ersten Quartal die Erwartungen übertroffen, was sich positiv auf den Goldpreis ausgewirkt hat – dieser stieg auf ein Rekordhoch von 3.282. Nach zwei Tagen Seitwärtsbewegung hat der Goldpreis den Widerstand bei 3.240 durchbrochen und strebt nun höhere Niveaus an. Die EMA-34-Linie liegt über der EMA-89-Linie, was auf einen weiteren Anstieg hindeutet. Meiner Prognose nach wird Gold das Kursziel von 3.300 erreichen. Allerdings könnte es zu einer Trendwende kommen, da FED-Präsident Jerome Powell heute Abend eine Rede halten wird und außerdem die US-Einzelhandelsumsätze für März veröffentlicht werden. Deshalb sollten Händler vorsichtig sein, bevor sie Entscheidungen treffen.
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