I was anticipating price to get to 31.847 yesterday but it didn't. Maybe my point of interest is going to get triggered today. Anticipating a nice rejection in that zone then I'll short silver down to clear some liquidities resting below. Kindly boost if you find this insightful ?
Tariffs are coming from the U.S., which will impact the USD/CAD chart. I believe this is just a pullback, and it will rise further to reach 1.47 again.
Analysis of gold news: On Monday (March 3), the price of gold rose strongly. The market sentiment is still relatively cautious at present, and the market is waiting for more clear information, especially around the possible policy changes of US President Trump. The recent rise in gold prices is mainly driven by the Fed's expectations of future interest rate cuts and geopolitical uncertainties. The probability of the Fed's interest rate cut in June is as high as 77.6%, and the probability of maintaining the status quo is only 22.4%. This ratio reflects that the market's cautious sentiment on the US economic outlook has increased significantly. If the Fed starts a rate cut cycle in the middle of the year, it will effectively suppress the US dollar and US bond yields, providing strong support for the rise in gold prices. On the other hand, although the US 10-year Treasury yield has slightly rebounded from last Friday's low of 4.19% to 4.23%, the downward trend of the overall yield has not been fundamentally reversed. The continued decline in interest rates will further reduce the cost of holding gold and enhance the investment attractiveness of gold. Looking ahead, gold prices will continue to attract safe-haven demand as US tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China will take effect on March 4. Trump's tariffs could trigger market volatility and potential trade retaliation. Additionally, reports that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has rejected calls for a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia may also continue to support gold buyers. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Sunday that tariffs against Canada and Mexico will take effect on Tuesday, but Trump will decide whether to stick to the planned 25% tariff level. Gold technical analysis: From the daily chart, gold prices rebounded from strong support at $2,832 again on Friday, triggering a rapid reversal. However, the rebound will only gain momentum after a sustained break above the 21-day moving average of $2,895. The RSI continued to rise after holding near the 50 level, indicating that buyers may remain in control in the short term. If it breaks through the 21-day moving average, it can be judged that this retracement is in place, and there will be a new round of upward trend. After gold fell back to 2859 during the day, it rose all the way. The short-term form showed strong performance, which was exactly the opposite of last week's decline. After last week's sharp decline, there will be a lot of room for rebound, and the current fluctuations are also relatively large, so you must wait patiently for a suitable entry position, and do not rush the operation. The daily cycle pulls back to the MA5 position, but there is no pullback after touching it, and the decline is very difficult. If it continues to rise, the resistance is 2900/2908. After the price breaks through the high point of 2877, the upward space is opened. According to the current pattern, 2900 is just a matter of longs stepping on the accelerator. Pay attention to timely withdrawal of short orders. Go long on the short-term retracement to 2877, and consider short above 2910. Taken together, in terms of today's short-term operation of gold, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends to focus on longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus will be on the 2905-2910 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus will be on the 2878-2873 first-line support.
Adausdt Buy cycle Tp@1.1361 % bubble Price is in a negative bubble and the fair value in midterm is 1.1361 Spot Trading plan: Entry 1: 0.7953 Entry 2: 0.6817 Entry 3: 0.5681 TP@1.1361
Just reading the charts—and if history repeats itself, we’ve entered a weekly MACD and RSI downtrend. I called this for Bitcoin a month ago, and some argued it could be invalidated. Now, we can see that’s nearly impossible. Macro Outlook The economy is in bad shape—you see the news. Trump’s tariffs are scaring investors for a good reason. He wants to avoid money printing and tighten supply, but how will companies and institutions get cash? By selling their stocks. No more free money—profits will have to come from selling assets, which will intentionally crash the market under Trump’s policy. Cycles & Recession We’re at the end of a cycle—everything is overbought and needs a reset before moving higher. We’re in a recession, even if no one wants to admit it. Conclusion ? Target price: 4850 ? Estimated bottom: September 15, 2025 Expect volatility, occasional pumps, but on a weekly scale, the trend is down—unless something drastic happens. Q3 and Q4 will be bullish. ? DYOR!
Analyse der Goldnachrichten: Am Montag (3. März) stieg der Goldpreis stark an. Die Marktstimmung ist derzeit noch relativ vorsichtig und der Markt wartet auf klarere Informationen, insbesondere zu den möglichen politischen Änderungen des US-Präsidenten Trump. Der jüngste Anstieg der Goldpreise ist hauptsächlich auf die Erwartungen der Fed hinsichtlich künftiger Zinssenkungen und geopolitischer Unsicherheiten zurückzuführen. Die Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Zinssenkung der Fed im Juni liegt bei 77,6 %, während die Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Beibehaltung des Status quo nur bei 22,4 % liegt. Dieses Verhältnis spiegelt wider, dass die vorsichtige Stimmung des Marktes hinsichtlich der US-Wirtschaftsaussichten deutlich zugenommen hat. Wenn die Fed Mitte des Jahres einen Zinssenkungszyklus einleitet, wird sie den US-Dollar und die US-Anleiherenditen wirksam unterdrücken und den Anstieg der Goldpreise stark unterstützen. Obwohl sich die Rendite 10-jähriger US-Staatsanleihen von ihrem Tiefstand am vergangenen Freitag von 4,19 % auf 4,23 % leicht erholt hat, hat sich der Abwärtstrend der Gesamtrendite nicht grundlegend umgekehrt. Der anhaltende Rückgang der Zinssätze wird die Kosten für die Goldhaltung weiter senken und die Anlageattraktivität von Gold erhöhen. Mit Blick auf die Zukunft werden die Goldpreise weiterhin eine Nachfrage nach sicheren Häfen anziehen, da die US-Zölle auf Kanada, Mexiko und China am 4. März in Kraft treten. Trumps Zölle könnten Marktvolatilität und potenzielle Handelsvergeltungsmaßnahmen auslösen. Darüber hinaus könnten Berichte, dass der ukrainische Präsident Wolodymyr Selenskyj Forderungen nach einem Waffenstillstand zwischen der Ukraine und Russland abgelehnt hat, Goldkäufer weiterhin unterstützen. US-Handelsminister Howard Lutnick sagte am Sonntag, dass die Zölle gegen Kanada und Mexiko am Dienstag in Kraft treten würden, Trump jedoch entscheiden werde, ob er an dem geplanten Zollniveau von 25 % festhalten werde. Technische Goldanalyse: Aus dem Tageschart geht hervor, dass die Goldpreise am Freitag erneut von der starken Unterstützung bei 2.832 USD abprallten, was eine rasche Umkehr auslöste. Die Erholung wird jedoch erst nach einem anhaltenden Durchbruch über den 21-Tage-Durchschnitt von 2.895 USD an Dynamik gewinnen. Der RSI stieg weiter, nachdem er sich in der Nähe der 50er-Marke gehalten hatte, was darauf hindeutet, dass die Käufer kurzfristig die Kontrolle behalten könnten. Wenn er den 21-Tage-Durchschnitt durchbricht, kann davon ausgegangen werden, dass diese Rückführung vorhanden ist und es eine neue Runde des Aufwärtstrends geben wird. Nachdem Gold im Laufe des Tages auf 2859 zurückgefallen war, stieg es wieder an. Die kurzfristige Form zeigte eine starke Leistung, die genau das Gegenteil des Rückgangs der letzten Woche war. Nach dem starken Rückgang der letzten Woche wird es viel Raum für eine Erholung geben, und die aktuellen Schwankungen sind auch relativ groß, sodass Sie geduldig auf eine geeignete Einstiegsposition warten und die Operation nicht überstürzen müssen. Der tägliche Zyklus zieht sich zur MA5-Position zurück, aber nach dem Berühren gibt es keinen Rückzug, und der Rückgang ist sehr schwierig. Wenn es weiter steigt, liegt der Widerstand bei 2900/2908. Nachdem der Preis den Höchststand von 2877 durchbrochen hat, öffnet sich der Aufwärtsraum. Nach dem aktuellen Muster ist 2900 nur eine Frage von Longs, die aufs Gaspedal treten. Achten Sie auf die rechtzeitige Rücknahme von Short-Orders. Gehen Sie beim kurzfristigen Retracement auf 2877 long und erwägen Sie Short-Orders über 2910. Zusammengefasst empfiehlt unser professionelles und erfahrenes Goldanalystenteam im Hinblick auf den heutigen kurzfristigen Goldhandel, sich bei Rückrufen auf Longs zu konzentrieren, ergänzt durch Shorts bei Rebounds. Der oberste kurzfristige Fokus liegt auf dem ersten Widerstandslinienbereich von 2905-2910 und der unterste kurzfristige Fokus auf der ersten Unterstützungslinie von 2878-2873.
SELL 1.69100 | STOP 1.69800 | TAKE 1.68200 | Correction price moving.
? Technical Analysis (TA): Trend & Structure: SPY is in a clear downtrend, with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals confirming bearish dominance. A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a potential reversal, but confirmation is needed. Key Resistance: ~598-610 (supply zone) Support Zone: ~575-580 (current demand area) Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: MACD: Showing signs of flattening, indicating potential momentum shift. Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, increasing the likelihood of a short-term relief rally. Volume Spike: Large volume at support, suggesting potential accumulation. ? GEX & Options Flow: https://www.tradingview.com/x/SGtoxscQ/ Call Walls (Resistance) ? 610-615: Strong resistance area where gamma positioning is high. 620: Major call wall, indicating an upper limit if a strong rally occurs. Put Walls (Support) ? 575: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a break below this level could accelerate selling pressure. 570-560: Next major support levels if 575 fails. IV Rank & Skew: IVR 44.4, indicating mid-range implied volatility. Puts are heavily favored at 112.2%, showing strong downside hedging. Implied move ±0.33%, suggesting possible large swings. ? Trading Plan & Suggestions: Bullish Reversal Scenario: If SPY holds 580-585, we could see a bounce toward 598-610. Ideal trade: April 590C or 600C, targeting a relief rally. Bearish Breakdown Scenario: If SPY loses 575, downside targets extend to 570-560. Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 580P or 570P, targeting 560. ⚠️ Key Warning: If SPY does not reclaim 590 quickly, expect continued selling pressure. ? Conclusion: SPY at a Make-or-Break Level – Watch 575! SPY is testing a key support zone with early reversal signals forming, but strong put positioning still favors downside risk. The next sessions will determine if bulls defend this zone or if we see another leg lower. Watch 575-580 closely before making a move! ?? ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
Gold Technical Analysis for Selling (Current Price: 2892) *Short-Term Outlook: Bearish* The current price of gold, 2892, suggests a potential selling opportunity. The commodity has been experiencing a downward trend, with a series of lower highs and lower lows. *Key Resistance Levels:* - 2905 (previous high) - 2920 (50-day moving average) *Key Support Levels:* - 2875 (previous low) - 2850 (200-day moving average) *Technical Indicators:* - RSI (14): 42.12 (oversold) - MACD (12, 26): -15.23 (bearish) *Trading Strategy:* Consider selling gold at the current price (2892) with a stop-loss at 2905 and a take-profit at 2850. Please note that technical analysis is subjective and should be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis and risk management techniques.
? Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Trend & Structure: * QQQ is in a clear downtrend, confirmed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals. * A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a potential short-term reversal, but confirmation is needed. * Key Resistance: ~520-530 (supply zone) * Support Zone: ~490-495 (current demand area) 2. Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: * MACD: Beginning to flatten, indicating potential momentum shift. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, increasing the probability of a short-term relief rally. * Volume Spike: Heavy volume at support, suggesting potential accumulation. ? GEX & Options Flow: https://www.tradingview.com/x/9kDOXVd7/ 1. Call Walls (Resistance) ? * 530-535: Strong resistance, likely to reject price if tested. * 540: 2nd Call Wall, major gamma resistance. 2. Put Walls (Support) ? * 490: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a breakdown could trigger heavy selling pressure. * 475-460: Next major support levels if 490 fails. 3. IV Rank & Skew: * IVR 46.1, indicating mid-range implied volatility. * Puts dominate at 61.4%, signaling bearish sentiment. * Implied move ±0.39%, suggesting a volatile session ahead. ? Trading Plan & Suggestions: * Bullish Reversal Scenario: * If QQQ holds 490-495, we could see a bounce toward 510-520. * Ideal trade: April 500C or 510C, targeting a relief rally. * Bearish Breakdown Scenario: * If QQQ loses 490, downside targets extend to 475-460. * Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 490P or 480P, targeting 470-460. ⚠️ Key Warning: If QQQ does not reclaim 500 quickly, expect continued selling pressure. ? Conclusion: QQQ at a Decision Point – Relief Rally or Breakdown? The Nasdaq ETF is testing a key support level, with early reversal signals forming but heavy put positioning remaining. The next sessions will determine whether buyers defend this zone or we see a deeper correction. Watch 490-495 closely for price action confirmation! ?? ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.