we are only a few 100'drenths away from zero , so im pretty sure, we going to go all the way down to zero and then maybe bounce back. but the zero will come before the falling wedge pattern plays out ;) !! and tariffs- !!
Since 2020, stocks and gold have danced to very different rhythms. Initially, equities ran far ahead, but now… the tide is turning fast. ? As the equity market sinks into a bear phase, capital is pouring into gold. Just in the last 9 months, gold has surged over $1,000/oz — a historic move rarely seen outside of crisis periods. ? We’ve been calling this for over a year: Gold is now the ONLY global safe haven. US bonds are no longer the refuge they once were. Investors are voting with their wallets — and gold is winning. Let’s put it into perspective: ➡️ Over the last 20 years: • Gold is up +620% • S&P 500 is up +580% ? Gold is trading like we’re in a modern depression — quietly pricing in risk, instability, and loss of trust in traditional instruments. ? The question is no longer "why is gold rising?" — it’s "why didn’t more people see this coming?"
Greeting there traders this is my idea on SP500 and it is Long. We can clearly see a recovery from the “Support Area” (yellow zone), after a wave formation (probably a completed Elliott Wave correction). You are currently in a very impulsive uptrend. Momentum looks strong, with no major retracements — meaning that buyers would currently be in a dominating position. Key Levels Support Level (red): 5.019 – 5.091 This is the “ultima ratio” zone where the price made a strong rebound. Softer Support: 5.276 – 5.282 (where you are now) This is the zone of possible correction, as you marked. Resistance/Target: 6.150 – 6.156 If the current trend holds and there is no major retracement below 5,250, it is very likely that we will test the 6,000–6,150 level in the coming days. The price is currently in a “blast-off” phase — if volume remains strong, you can hit the TP as early as late April or early May. I predict that we have started an uptrend towards a new ATH. I believe that the market will start to "fly" already on Monday or Tuesday. Possible catalysts: Trump strikes a deal with China, announces a pause in the trade war, or Powell responds with an emergency rate cut. My goal is mid $6,000 to low $7,000 by July 4th (maybe sooner). After that I expect a 60-70% drop.
The recent drop seems to be due by policy that is still ambiguous and evolving, good chance trade war dies down when deals are made. other than that, NDX bounced off a previous high and has momentum to at least revert to the ma
The EUR 2-year yield (EUR 2Y) influences the euro currency strength primarily through its role as a short-term interest rate indicator reflecting market expectations of monetary policy and economic conditions in the Eurozone. How EUR 2Y Yield Affects Euro Strength Interest Rate Expectations and Carry Trade: The 2-year yield is sensitive to expectations about ECB policy moves, such as rate hikes or cuts. Rising EUR 2Y yields typically signal expectations of tighter ECB policy or stronger economic growth, which attract capital inflows seeking higher returns, thereby supporting euro appreciation. Conversely, falling 2Y yields suggest easing or weaker growth, reducing euro demand. Monetary Policy Differentials: The EUR 2Y yield compared to US 2-year Treasury yields forms part of the short-term interest rate differential. A narrowing differential (i.e., EUR 2Y rising relative to USD 2Y) tends to strengthen the euro, while a widening gap favoring the US dollar weakens the euro. This is because capital flows follow yield advantages, influencing currency demand. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Since the 2-year yield reflects near-term economic and policy outlook, it also captures market sentiment. If investors perceive the Eurozone economy as resilient and the ECB as likely to maintain or raise rates, EUR 2Y yields rise, boosting euro strength. If uncertainty or dovish signals dominate, yields fall and the euro weakens. Bond Market and Currency Link: Bond yields, including the 2-year, serve as indicators of a nation's economic health and monetary stance. Higher short-term yields increase the attractiveness of euro-denominated assets, increasing demand for the euro currency. Summary The EUR 2-year yield acts as a barometer of ECB policy expectations and Eurozone economic prospects. Rising EUR 2Y yields generally support euro strength by attracting capital inflows and narrowing yield differentials with the US. Falling EUR 2Y yields signal dovish policy or economic weakness, leading to euro depreciation. Therefore, movements in the EUR 2Y yield should be watched by forex traders as a key driver of the euro's directional bias against other currencies, notably the USD.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Known for their GPUs, recently has experienced a decline in asset price. Trump tariff's may have been a bearish news catalyst, but do the technicals show a bigger bearish picture? 1 Day chart: While the RSI recently signaled oversold conditions, the RSI line looks to be crossing down the RSI based moving average. Furthermore the 200 Day EMA and 65 Day EMAs appear to be forming a death cross. DMI is still indicating bearish, and the ADX is still above 20. With recent political news, the tech company has been working on bolstering their U.S based production. But with inflation cooling (6 month low) , I believe many high performing blue chip stocks may see a dip as traders and institutions price in deflation, new news and political events. My opinion on a target is $55.00 , and there is significant open interest on long puts for this price that are expiring in the coming months. Will NVIDIA pull out of this downtrend? Or will it become a great value buy for investors? Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
As much as you might want the gold versus silver to break down... instead it did the opposite, it broke out. This is still a risk off warning sign. Gold is vulnerable. Silver is vulnerable. Stock markets are vulnerable.
? GHST Update – Bullish Rounding Bottom! ? ? GHST has formed a bullish rounding bottom. If breakout red resistance zone target green line level. ? We are waiting for a breakout above the red resistance zone to target the green line level. Keep a close eye on GHST!
Based on last week's volume profile Hourly PA failing last week's point of control. Buyers are not stepping in here. Targeting last week's value area low on the volume profile
Which is the best to track ₿itcoin price action? Lots of macro gurus have been arguing over the two. For comparison, I have indexes for both metrics on a 12-Week Lead, tracking the 4 largest central banks: The Federal Reserve (including TGA & RRP), People’s Bank of China, European Central Bank and Bank of Japan. Let’s start by defining each. Global M2 Money Supply covers physical cash in circulation and cash equivalents such as checking and savings deposits, as well as money market securities. Global Liquidity covers a broader measure of liquid assets driven by central bank balance sheets, private sector financial activity (e.g., lending, corporate cash), and cross-border capital flows. Historically, both move closely in lock-step and act as a great leading indicator for ₿itcoin, however we can see that Global Liquidity can have more drastic fluctuations. We saw a large divergence in CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA with both metrics when the Blackrock iShares ₿itcoin ETF appeared on the DTCC list, a procedural step signaling progress toward potential approval. When you look at the charts of all three, you can see there are points where either metric might follow CRYPTOCAP:BTC PA a bit closer, so in the end I would say it’s best to track both to find confluence in the signal.