The first quarter 0f 2025 was marked with a long ride to the upside for the GBP/USD market. As the second quarter approaches we might see a change in the market character, as the market as reached an Order Block in the weekly Time frame. I predict the market should dropped to 1.26000 region. Stop Loss : 1.33040 Take Profit : 1.26000 That is over 700pips to the downside
Hello again fellow gamlers! Just a dropping a quick update before the beginning of this week! Let me know what you think!
Gold has continued its uptrend after short phase of sustaining and is expected to stay bullish in near future considering the healthy bullish momentum and geo-politics.
ICT FVG knowns as Fair Value Gap, is a three-candle formation having an un-retraced area between the high and low of 1st and 3rd candlestick. A fair value gap is indicated by an imbalance and it acts as a level of support and resistance in the price chart. This blog post will teach you all about the ICT FVG from their formation to identification and their use in trading. You can jump to the section you are most interested in from below or can continue reading the whole article for better understanding. Table of Contents What is ICT FVG (Fair Value Gap)? How to Identify an ICT Fair Value Gap? Types of ICT FVG (I) Bullish Fair Value Gap (II) Bearish Fair Value Gap ICT FVG Trading Strategy Best Time Frame for ICT FVG Identification Best Pair for ICT FVG Trading Final Thoughts What is ICT FVG (Fair Value Gap)? ICT fair value gap is a three-candle structure indicating a gap between the high and low of 1st and 3rd candlestick. The gap between three candles is created because price does not retrace in that area and leaves it open. You can see the example of ICT FVG in the picture below : https://www.tradingview.com/x/yfeUssQT/ ICT FVG acts as a magnet for price and price retrace back to the fair value gap to balance the price delivery. After retracing to the FVG price then reverses and continues its trend . How to Identify an ICT Fair Value Gap ? To identify an ICT FVG, you need to look for a large candlestick with most body range. After identifying the large candlestick, mark the high of candlestick prior to the large candle and low of the subsequent candlestick . There will be a visible gap between the high and low of the two candlesticks which indicate the ICT fair value gap . Types of ICT FVG On the basis of price move the ICT FVG has two types which are explained below : (I) Bullish Fair Value Gap A bullish fair value gap in ICT terms appears during an uptrend with a three-candle pattern. It happens when the middle candle has a large body , leaving a gap between the high of the first candle and the low of the third candle . In an uptrend , a fair value gap can serve as strong support, with the price often retracing to fill the gap before moving higher . You can see the example of bullish fair value gap in the picture below : https://www.tradingview.com/x/ScejsG0F/ (II) Bearish Fair Value Gap A bearish fair value gap appears in a downtrend within a three-candle pattern. It forms when the middle candle has a large body, creating a gap between the low of the first candle and the high of the third candle . In bearish trend a fair value gap can act as a good resistance and mostly price tends to fill this gap before moving lower . You can see the example of bearish fair value gap in the picture below . https://www.tradingview.com/x/HOTUq3MC/ ICT FVG Trading Strategy To trade using an ICT fair value gap, you need to go through below steps. Step 1 – Determine Market Trend: First of all we need to identify the market trend of any asset whether it is bullish or bearish. You can use ICT Daily Bias to anticipate the direction of price move. In bullish trend price makes higher highs and higher lows, while in bearish trend price makes lower lows and lower highs Step 2 – Identify Premium and Discount Zone: You would be looking for the premium fair value gap in bearish trend, while in bullish trend you would be looking for discount FVG. Step 3 – Identify Large Candle:Once you have determined the trend, next step is to find a large candle with large body & small wicks. If market is in bullish trend, we look for strong bullish candle with most body range while in bearish trend we look for large bearish candle with most body range. Step 4 – Study Preceding & Proceeding Candles: Once you have identified one large candle, now study the one candle before it & the one candle after it. Both of these candles should have such a structure that their bodies should not overlap the body of middle candle thus confirming a fair value gap between the wicks of first & third candle. Step 4 – Mark Fair Value Gap: In bullish trend the gap between the high of first candle and the low of third candle. While in bearish trend the gap between the low of first candle and the high of third candle will be marked as your fair value gap. Step 6 – Execute the Trade: If the price is in bullish trend, we will wait for price to retrace and test the discount fair value gap to balance the move. When price tests the discount fair value gap you can execute a buy trade with other technical confirmations like rejection or structure shift in lower time frame. In the picture given below you can see price is in bullish trend making higher highs and higher lows. It retraces back to test the fair value gaps and rejects from the fair value gaps, eventually going higher. https://www.tradingview.com/x/VNLHjIaY/ In a bearish trend, you would wait for the price to retrace up and test the premium fair value gap to balance the bearish price delivery. When the price visits this gap, it can offer sell opportunities, especially when combined with additional confirmations like rejection or a shift in market structure. In the image below, the market is in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. It repeatedly tests bearish fair value gaps and rejects from these levels, leading to further price declines. https://www.tradingview.com/x/poCIQ5VA/ Best Time Frame for ICT FVG Identification ICT FVG can serve different purpose, like it can be used as a tool to find the Daily Bias using higher timeframe like 1-Day. But if you are using the fair value gap as a PD Array to find trade entry then you would be looking for a fair value gap in lower timeframes like 15-Minutes or lower than that. Best Pair for ICT FVG Trading Initially the ICT introduced the fair value gap using the index trading like Nasdaq and S&P-500 and it yielded best results in that market. After that he demonstrated some examples of forex pairs using the FVG and it was equally good for that market too. So, now a days ICT FVG serve as a key tool for traders in every market. Final Thoughts While trading using a fair value gap we should keep in mind that every fair value gap in the market is not tradeable , to trade using fair value gap, we should use it in conjugation with other strategies like demand & supply or support & resistance . At these levels fair value gaps can act as a more reliable tool to take a trade. You can also check this article how traders use fair value gap to open the right trade. Plus to mitigate your risks, you should always trade with stop loss in place as no strategy is foolproof in trading.
How to Use Renko Charts for Drawing Support and Resistance Like a Pro Most traders rely on candlestick charts to identify support and resistance zones—but if you’re still sleeping on Renko charts, you’re missing out on one of the cleanest ways to map market structure. Renko charts filter out noise and only plot price movement, not time, giving you a stripped-down view of market momentum. That’s exactly what makes them powerful for spotting true support and resistance zones—without all the clutter. Why Renko Charts Work for Support & Resistance Support and resistance are areas where price historically reacts—either bouncing or reversing. On traditional candlestick charts, these zones can be hard to identify clearly because of wicks, time-based noise, and volatility. Renko charts simplify that. Because Renko bricks are only formed after a specific price move (like 20 pips or using ATR), the chart naturally filters out sideways chop and lets key levels stand out like neon signs. How to Draw Support and Resistance with Renko Here’s a quick step-by-step process: Set Your Brick Size Use an ATR-based Renko setting (ATR 14 is common), or set a fixed brick size that fits your trading style. For swing trading, slightly larger bricks will work best. Look for Flat Zones Identify areas where price stalls or flips direction multiple times. These flat “shelves” on the Renko chart often line up with strong historical support or resistance. Mark the Bricks, & Sometimes The Wicks With Renko, you’re not dealing with traditional candlestick wicks. So your levels are based on the tops and bottoms of the bricks, not erratic spikes. Check for Confirmation If a level held as resistance and later flips into support (or vice versa), that’s a key zone to mark. These “flip zones” are often hotbeds of institutional activity. Bonus Tip: Combine with Price Action Renko charts tell you where price is likely to react—but combining them with price action techniques (like engulfing candles, pin bars, or M/W formations on traditional charts) will give you a lethal edge. Use Renko to mark the zone, then switch to candlesticks to fine-tune the entry. Best of both worlds. If you’ve been struggling to draw clean support and resistance levels—or find yourself second-guessing your zones—Renko might be your solution. It’s not about fancy indicators or chart tricks; it’s about removing the noise so you can trade what really matters: structure and momentum. Are you using Renko in your strategy? Drop a comment or shoot me a message—I want to hear how it’s working for you.
A bearish signal has been triggered for Bitcoin against the US Dollar at the 85,100 level. This indicates a potential trend reversal or correction from recent highs, suggesting sellers may be stepping in at this price point. Traders might consider this an opportunity to short BTCUSD or take profits on long positions. As always, proper risk management and confirmation from additional technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, trendlines) are recommended before taking action.
Long-term drivers: After the breakout of the super-large sideways range from 2020 to 2023, global geopolitical conflicts, expectations of economic recession, and large-scale gold purchases by central banks worldwide have jointly fueled a super bull market. Short-term disruptions: The tariff policy announced by Trump in early April triggered a short-term sharp decline in gold and silver. However, on the monthly chart, no effective correction signal has been formed, and the trend remains dominated by bulls. Weekly strong characteristics: The long upper shadow line was engulfed by a bullish candle, forming an ultra-large bullish candle, indicating that the market still chose to break upward despite trade war risks, continuing the super-strong trend. While a correction of hundreds of dollars may occur after extreme market conditions, the current upward trend remains intact. Medium-term rhythm: Multiple medium-term corrections have ended rapidly, highlighting gold’s extremely strong resilience. The current upward slope is steep , showing a "crazy bull" short-covering feature, making it difficult to predict the top in the short term. Short-term technical signals: The 4-hour chart shows that the high-level volatility is still confined above the 21 exponential moving average (strong support), indicating a continuation pattern in the uptrend. Two potential paths lie ahead: - Conventional path: Consolidation into a platform before resuming the upward trend; - Extreme path: Direct breakout to new highs without correction (referencing the frequent occurrence of non-correction short-covering rallies in recent months). Conclusion: All timeframes suggest that gold’s rally remains unexhausted, with short-term volatility not altering the medium-to-long-term upward trend. However, risks of extreme volatility caused by policy mutations must be guarded against. XAUUSD buy@3300-3310-3320 tp:3340-3355-3370 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
The move BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P from November 2022 looks like a textbook impulse. The third wave extended perfectly to 1.618 of wave one — a classic sign of strength. But here’s the big question: Did the impulse already end in January 2025? https://www.tradingview.com/x/tTF0xdMc/ If yes, we’re looking at a nearly ideal structure: ? Wave 3 — extended to 1.618 ? Wave 5 ≈ Wave 1 (typical after an extended 3rd) ? Fib zone 0.382–0.618 of wave 0–3 — perfectly hit ? Sentiment — peak euphoria in January: BTC in national reserves, mass media hype ? Volume spike — a sign of potential distribution at the top ? Possible scenarios: 1️⃣ The impulse is complete, and we’re already in a corrective phase — even if the market doesn’t realize it yet https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/xGke8M2k-The-bull-rally-to-end-in-December-2024-February-2025/ 2️⃣ A terminal diagonal is forming — ATH hasn’t been printed yet, but we’re likely close 3️⃣ A 5th wave extension — still possible, but less likely given current global liquidity and macro headwinds (trade war environment) ? Watch the 200-dayMA: https://www.tradingview.com/x/GAvHcfpo/ Historically, Bitcoin tends to stay below it for about 2 months during bull cycles. That clock is ticking — the next few weeks may reveal the market’s true direction. ? A strong weekly close above $95K would sharply raise the odds of a new ATH. Until then — monitor the local structure and wait for clarity.
EURUSD after a long bullish yet volatile rally gave a break down and entered into a bearish trend.Making lower lows and lower highs indicate that it is going to be into a bearish trend.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/TT06Wjb1/ Hello,Traders! EUR-CAD has formed a Bullish pennant pattern While trading in an uptrend So we are bullish biased and IF we see a bullish breakout We will be expecting a Further bullish move up Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.