Just like other GBP PAIRS , we can see price was in a downtrend then price broke out and rested in a supply zone , so I expect price to drop deep
The EUR/USD pair has shown remarkable strength in recent weeks, rallying from its lows of 1.0178 and potentially completing a 5-wave impulse structure, as per Elliott Wave theory. This article explores the evidence of this potential trend and the early signs of a possible corrective Wave 2, which may set the stage for a Wave 3 rally. Wave Count Analysis: A 5-Wave Impulse from 1.0178 Elliott Wave theory posits that trends often unfold in a five-wave impulse structure during their primary movement. Here's a detailed breakdown of the EUR/USD move from the 1.0178 low: Wave 1: The initial thrust upward from 1.0178 to approximately 1.0353 was characterized by strong buying momentum, accompanied by rising volume—classic signs of the first wave of a new trend. Wave 2: A shallow pullback followed, retracing approximately 50% of Wave 1, stabilizing near the 1.0267 region, and respecting the Fibonacci retracement levels. Wave 3: The next leg upward, extending to around 1.0436, showed the hallmark of an extended third wave. This leg was defined by increased market participation, fundamental data supporting the euro, and sustained upward price action. Wave 4: A sideways consolidation pattern near 1.0438-1.0410 marked the fourth wave, presenting a corrective triangle pattern (a typical fourth wave pattern) that failed to break below key support levels. Wave 5: The final impulsive move carried EUR/USD to a recent high near 1.0521, completing the potential five-wave structure. The structure aligns well with Elliott Wave principles, as Wave 3 appears to have the strongest momentum (although it was not the longest), and the Wave 4 termination point did not overlap with the price territory of Wave 1. Signs of a Trend Reversal: The Infancy of a Corrective Wave 2 After reaching the highs around 1.0521, EUR/USD has shown signs of exhaustion, with bearish divergence forming on momentum indicators such as the RSI and MACD. These are early clues that the bullish impulse may be giving way to a corrective phase. Currently, EUR/USD appears to be in the early stages of a Wave 2 correction, and traders should watch for: Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Wave 2 corrections often retrace 50%-61.8% of Wave 1. Key support levels to monitor are 1.0265 (50% retracement) and 1.0244 (61.8% retracement). A healthy corrective move respecting these levels would reinforce the case for a Wave 3 rally. Although, Wave 2 concluding near the 78.6% retracement (1.0215) of Wave 1, a critical Fibonacci level often associated with deep corrections before trend resumption is also a common occurrence. Volume Analysis: Corrections are typically marked by declining volume, reflecting reduced market participation compared to the impulsive waves. Bullish Reversal Signals: Look for candlestick patterns, such as bullish engulfing candles or morning stars, near key Fibonacci levels as potential indications of a resumption of the uptrend. If the corrective Wave 2 confirms with a rebound near the aforementioned Fibonacci levels, EUR/USD could be gearing up for a powerful Wave 3 rally. Here’s what to watch: Wave 3 Target: Wave 3 is often the strongest and most extended wave, frequently reaching 1.618 times the length of Wave 1. Using Fibonacci extensions, the target for Wave 3 could be around 1.0800. Invalidation Level: If EUR/USD breaks below 1.0178 (the origin of Wave 1), the bullish impulse count would be invalidated, and an alternate corrective structure might be at play. Conclusion EUR/USD’s rally from 1.0178 to recent highs near 1.0522 exhibits the hallmarks of a 5-wave impulse structure. While early signs of a corrective Wave 2 are emerging, the upcoming price action near key Fibonacci retracement levels will be critical to confirm whether this is a mere pullback before a larger Wave 3 rally unfolds. Traders should remain patient and vigilant, watching for bullish signals at support levels and preparing for the next potential impulsive move. If confirmed, the third wave could bring EUR/USD to fresh highs, further solidifying the reversal from its long-term downtrend. Disclaimer: This article reflects an analysis based on Elliott Wave theory and is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management when trading.
Geopolitical Upheaval, Financial Innovation, and the Looming Food Crisis Abstract The global market is undergoing a profound transformation, driven by rapid geopolitical shifts, technological advancements, and the emergence of innovative financial tools. However, this transformation is not without its challenges. While sectors like artificial intelligence (AI) and electric vehicles (EVs) thrive, the food supply chain faces unprecedented stress, threatening to plunge the world into a crisis not seen since the Great Dust Bowl. This paper explores the concept of market splintering, the widening gap between social classes, and the compounding effects of weakened regulatory agencies on public health and safety. It also examines how these forces interact to reshape the global economy and society. Introduction: A Market and Society at a Crossroads The modern financial market and society are no longer cohesive entities. Instead, they are splintering into distinct sectors and classes, each responding differently to the pressures of geopolitics, technological innovation, and shifting consumer demands. This paper argues that the market is entering a new paradigm, one best described as a "horizontal hourglass," where extreme highs and lows coexist, flattening traditional indices like the S&P 500 into a thread of stagnation. Simultaneously, society is fracturing along class lines, with the looming food crisis threatening to exacerbate these divisions. The catalysts for this transformation are multifaceted. On one hand, geopolitical upheaval—exemplified by Donald Trump's recent tariffs on Colombia—disrupts global supply chains and traditional industries. On the other hand, financial innovation, such as Roundhill Investments' synthetic covered call ETFs, offers new opportunities for investors to adapt to this fractured landscape. However, the most pressing issue lies in the food supply chain, which is under immense stress due to climate change, weakened regulatory oversight, and geopolitical tensions. Together, these forces are reshaping the global economy and society in ways that demand a forward-looking approach to investment, governance, and public health. Chapter 1: The Horizontal Hourglass—A New Market Paradigm 1.1 The Traditional Market Model Historically, financial markets have been analyzed through the lens of cyclical patterns and historical data. The Great Depression, the 2008 financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic all followed a similar trajectory: a sharp downturn followed by a gradual recovery. However, this model fails to account for the complexities of the modern global economy, where technology, data, and geopolitics interact in unprecedented ways. 1.2 The Horizontal Hourglass Explained The "horizontal hourglass" is a metaphor for the current market dynamics. Instead of a vertical crash, where all sectors decline simultaneously, the market is bulging outward. High-growth sectors like technology, renewable energy, and electric vehicles (EVs) are reaching new highs, while traditional industries such as consumer goods and manufacturing face significant challenges. This divergence creates a flattened middle, where indices like the S&P 500 struggle to reflect the true state of the market. Top Half of the Hourglass: Dominated by innovation-driven sectors such as technology, EVs, and data analytics. Bottom Half of the Hourglass: Traditional industries, including daily consumer goods and manufacturing, are weighed down by geopolitical disruptions and supply chain vulnerabilities. Flattened Middle: The S&P 500 and other indices fail to capture the extremes, leading to a decade of stagnation. Chapter 2: The Rise of AI and EVs as Stabilizing Forces 2.1 Artificial Intelligence: The New Economic Engine AI is rapidly becoming the backbone of the global economy, driving innovation in sectors ranging from healthcare to finance. Companies leveraging AI are experiencing exponential growth, creating a stark contrast with traditional industries struggling to adapt. AI in Supply Chain Management: While AI is helping optimize supply chains in high-tech industries, it has yet to address the vulnerabilities in the food supply chain, which remains heavily reliant on manual labor and outdated infrastructure. AI and Class Disparity: The rise of AI is creating a new class of "data elites," further widening the gap between the wealthy and the working class. 2.2 Electric Vehicles: The Green Revolution The EV market is another stabilizing force in the fractured economy. Companies like Tesla and Rivian are driving growth in the top half of the hourglass, benefiting from government incentives and consumer demand for sustainable transportation. EVs and Resource Scarcity: The production of EVs relies on rare earth metals, which are subject to geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions. EVs and the Food Crisis: While EVs represent progress in reducing carbon emissions, their rise does little to address the immediate challenges of food production and distribution. Chapter 3: The Looming Food Crisis 3.1 A Fragile Supply Chain The global food supply chain is under immense stress, facing challenges not seen since the Great Dust Bowl. Climate change, geopolitical tensions, and labor shortages are converging to create a perfect storm. Climate Change: Extreme weather events are disrupting crop yields, leading to shortages and price spikes. Geopolitical Tensions: Tariffs, sanctions, and trade wars are exacerbating supply chain vulnerabilities, particularly in countries reliant on food imports. Labor Shortages: Deportation policies and restrictive immigration laws are reducing the availability of agricultural labor, particularly in regions like Southern California. 3.2 The Role of Weakened Regulatory Agencies The weakening of the CDC and FDA under the current administration is compounding the food crisis. Budget cuts and reduced oversight are creating a situation where food safety cannot be guaranteed, leading to widespread illness and loss of life. Foodborne Illnesses: Without proper oversight, contaminated food is more likely to enter the supply chain, causing outbreaks of diseases like E. coli and salmonella. Public Health Crisis: The lack of a coordinated response from the CDC and FDA is exacerbating the spread of illness, further straining healthcare systems. 3.3 The Impact on Society The food crisis is widening the gap between social classes, with the working class bearing the brunt of rising food prices and shortages. However, the upper class is not immune, as the lack of safe, reliable food sources affects everyone. Class Disparity: The wealthy can afford to import food or invest in private agriculture, while the working class struggles to access basic necessities. Social Unrest: The combination of food shortages and class disparity is likely to lead to increased social unrest, as seen in historical examples like the French Revolution. Chapter 4: The Intersection of Geopolitics, Food, and Financial Innovation 4.1 How Geopolitics Shapes the Food Crisis Geopolitical actions, such as Trump's tariffs on Colombia, are directly impacting the food supply chain. These policies disrupt trade, increase costs, and create uncertainty in global markets. 4.2 Financial Innovation as a Double-Edged Sword While financial tools like synthetic covered call ETFs offer opportunities for investors, they do little to address the immediate challenges of the food crisis. In fact, the focus on high-growth sectors like AI and EVs may divert resources away from critical areas like agriculture. Chapter 5: Strategies for Navigating the Splintered Market and Food Crisis 5.1 Building a Resilient Portfolio Investors must adopt a forward-looking approach to portfolio management, focusing on sectors and strategies that align with the new market paradigm. Core Holdings: ETFs focused on high-growth sectors like technology, renewable energy, and EVs. Speculative Plays: Synthetic covered call ETFs for high-yield income. Hedging Strategies: Investments in agriculture and food technology to mitigate risks associated with the food crisis. 5.2 Policy Recommendations Governments must take immediate action to address the food crisis and its underlying causes. Strengthening Regulatory Agencies: Restoring funding and authority to the CDC and FDA to ensure food safety and public health. Investing in Agriculture: Supporting sustainable farming practices and modernizing the food supply chain. Addressing Climate Change: Implementing policies to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate the impact of extreme weather events. Conclusion: A Fractured Future The global market and society are at a crossroads, shaped by the dual forces of technological innovation and systemic fragility. While AI and EVs offer hope for a brighter future, the looming food crisis threatens to plunge the world into chaos. Addressing these challenges requires a holistic approach that balances innovation with sustainability, ensuring that the benefits of progress are shared by all.
Price was literally in a downtrend but broke out and we see price in a supply zone, that's why I took a sell
Really? Is the Altcoins market not doing good? Is there really no action nor growth in our amazing market? Do you agree with the people that are of this view? What is considered good and what is considered bad? Is it any good when a pair rises by 600%? Is it good when a pair grows by 2,000%? Is it bad when a pair corrects and removes all those gains? Is it bad for the market to produce corrections after strong periods of growth? Let's be honest and let's be fair. We know the market and the charts by heart. Of the standard set of Altcoins, the big and medium sized projects, we saw average growth between 300% to 600%. Many pairs reached 800% and even up to 1,000%. Most of the pairs produced a minimum of 180% to 220%. Out of the less known projects, widely traded but still less known as the market is young; and this is between 2023 and 2024 for the entire market, standard growth happened between 1,000% to 2,000%. Hundreds of pairs grew between 2,000% and 4,000%. I showed you the proof. Is this really not good? This is before bull-market year. —2021 was the previous bull-market top and peak. —2022 was the bear-market; we all agree. —2023 produced the initial bullish breakout and 2024 some growth and consolidation. —2025, now, is the next bull-market. We can all agree. How much does a pair need to grow to be considered good? Is there anything else in the world where you can wait patiently and earn between 500% and 4,000% when the economy is bad. Even from big projects, we saw 4,000%, 6,000% and even 8,000%. I will not mention them but we all know which pairs are these. I shared thousands of charts in the past few years and we can all agree. So the market is doing great. These gains are not sustained and they shouldn't be. Why should they? The market is young. Everything is just starting. Only now we are removing the breaks. Actually, not breaks, handcuff. The market was in prison, soon it is going free. If we had such great growth in 2023 and 2024, literally between 5 and 40X per pair, imagine how much more the market can grow when we have the support of the law, financial institutions, giants and governments; this bull-market can be great. Do not let anybody fool you, we are going up. The Altcoins are ready to boom. It has been moving, but it is normal that growth is followed by corrections, it is just how a young market works. As the market continues to grow and evolve, there will be less volatility; more stability, but also less opportunity for big gains. What is great for one group, for traders, this won't be so great. We are still early. We are still young. Prepare for 10, 20, 40, 50X in the coming months. Yes! We will have an Altcoins bull-market, Altcoins season, explosive growth. Nothing can stop what is being built behind the scenes. Nothing can stop innovation and progress. Nothing can stop the expansion of the human Soul. This is our life. This is our market. This is our game. This is our playground. This is our work. We will make the market great and the market is set to grow. The proof is in the chart. Patience is all that is needed; patience is the key. Right before everything turns great, some people tend to give up and leave. Not you, not me. We here for the long-term. We will enjoy the entire market. This one and the next to come. We will support Crypto, you were made for us. Thank you for your continued support. I'll you see at the top. Nothing can stop us. We are on the right side of history. "The cat is out of the bag." There is no going back. Money is free now. The money monopoly is over and this is something positive that affects positively the entire human race. Look at the bright side... Your participation in this market not only helps you as an individual but it also helps all those that were left out in decades past. Namaste.
"That's GBP, the price go up if it's USD" = Central Cee, 21 Savage Looks like these two rappers may be onto something here, reaching the 1.618 resistance, we may see the dollar rise against the pound again causing GBP to continue falling. GBPUSD has currently pierced it's way out of the trend channel, let's see how this plays out.
I didnt want to give the call but its already obvious the infraworld has been open. how long, not much yet why not use it? have a nice week everyone, these will be hard waters.
VINE/USDT DAY TRADE VOLUME has good chance to recovery for day trade to new uptrend
Weekend triangle pattern formed the 4hr. I expected a Monday breakout to the upside with price action triggering long positions then liquidating them on the way to the GETTEX:97K region. The reverse could also happen. Breakout to the downside, trigger shorts, then at LSE open on Monday, price reversal, liquidating shorts while rallying towards $112k. On the back of Trump signing crypto related executive orders, it might be assumed bullish news. It might have no effect, trigger longs and shorts, liquidate both sides, then trade sideways for the first half of the week. Note to self: 1) Keep your stops tight or (2) sit this one out until direction confirmed (3) run a neutral bot in the meantime.
Over the past two days, Ethereum struggled to maintain momentum above the Point of Control (POC) of the current range. Price action formed wicks above the POC but closed below, signaling clear rejection at this level. Key Support Zone The $3000 area holds significant support, bolstered by several confluences: Fibonacci Levels: The 0.786 fib retracement ($3045) aligns with the old 0.618 fib retracement ($3025) 4H Bullish Block: A strong demand zone on the 4-hour timeframe supports this level Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: 1:1 extension lines up perfectly with the 0.618 fib retracement Psychological Level: The round number at $3000 adds psychological strength to this support Short Setup: Entry: POC of the range Stop Loss: Above the recent high Take Profit: $3000 zone Risk-Reward: 3:1, offering a solid trade opportunity Long Setup (Confirmation Needed): Entry: Between $3025–$3000, upon bullish confirmation Stop Loss: Below $2900 Take Profit: open