Last few days NG has been consolidating and correcting for a days, forming a bear flag pattern. Since it bounced off the bear flag resistance the main buy posiprice i am looking for is $3.91 where the price may retest liquidity and 200 MA (which is a major supp). Bullish engulfing candle is what I will be on the look for around 3.91. But I have my speculation, therefore my personal entry is set @$3.94 Alternatively if price breaks 4.33 then the pull back is the next likely position for a buy order. which will be above 4.33 Price 3.76 is a strong supp and also liquidity zone with tested FVG. This can be our stop loss but given the volatility of this future 3.68 would be the best SL. I am expecting the price to test the bullish OB around 4.7 which is also out TP. For further extended move we will keep track of the price and see if it touches $5-5.2 range. Lets hope that the Geopolitical influences are kept to a minimum by US/Russia/Ukr.
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Am 19. März zeigte der Dot Plot der Fed, dass von den 19 Fed-Funktionären vier von ihnen keine Zinssenkung im Jahr 2025 erwarteten (einer im Dezember), vier von ihnen eine Zinssenkung um insgesamt 25 Basispunkte (dreimal im Dezember), neun von ihnen eine Zinssenkung um insgesamt 50 Basispunkte (zweimal im Dezember), zwei von ihnen eine Zinssenkung um insgesamt 75 Basispunkte (dreimal im Dezember). Kein Fed-Funktionär erwartete eine Zinssenkung um insgesamt 100 Basispunkte (einer im Dezember) und keiner von ihnen eine Zinssenkung um insgesamt 125 Basispunkte (einer im Dezember). FOMC-Erklärung der US-Notenbank: Fed-Gouverneur Waller lehnte diese Zinsentscheidung ab. Er befürwortet eine unveränderte Leitzinssenkung, bevorzugt jedoch eine unveränderte Bilanzreduzierung. Futures-Daten zeigen, dass Händler die Wahrscheinlichkeit einer Wiederaufnahme der Zinssenkungen durch die Fed auf der Juni-Sitzung mit 62,1 % einschätzen. Vor der Entscheidung der Fed lag die Wahrscheinlichkeit bei 57 %. Technische Goldanalyse: Aus technischer Sicht ist Gold auf dem aktuellen Wochen-, Tages- und 4-Stunden-Niveau zweifellos bullisch. Der Indikator zeigt jedoch, dass der aktuelle Preis nach einem kontinuierlichen Anstieg Anzeichen einer Divergenz aufweist. Wir haben zuvor analysiert, dass der Preis auf 3040 gestiegen ist und in den bullischen Risikobereich eingetreten ist. Dem Wochenwert von 2590 oder dem Tiefstwert von 2540 zufolge stieg der eine um 500 $, der andere um 450 $. Die vorherige Welle lag zwischen 2286 und 2790 und verzeichnete einen Anstieg von 504 $. Dies ist der Ursprung von 3040. Berechnet man den doppelten Anstieg von 2590 aus, besteht noch Spielraum von etwa 40–50 $. Anders ausgedrückt: Der maximale Anstieg liegt bei 3080–90! Sollte der Kurs jedoch 3040 erreichen, sollte man nicht blindlings weiter nachjagen, da das Risiko von Bullenkursen weiterhin berücksichtigt werden muss. Der aktuelle Trend ist eindeutig weiterhin bullisch, sodass nach Abschluss der kurzfristigen Korrektur ein weiterer Anstieg erwartet wird. Der 4-Stunden-Intraday-Kurs erreichte 3045 und fiel anschließend auf 3022 zurück, um in die Spannenkonsolidierung einzutreten. Obwohl die K-Linie die Unterstützung des 5-Tage-Durchschnitts durchbrach, zeigte sie beim Zurückfallen auf den 10-Tage-Durchschnitt einen starken Rückgangswiderstand. Die wichtige starke und schwache Unterstützung unterhalb von 3015 wurde nicht durchbrochen, sodass der kurzfristige Kurs über 3015 blieb und weiterhin bullisch blieb. Für den Markt am Donnerstag empfiehlt unser erfahrenes Goldanalystenteam Folgendes: Jagen Sie nicht den Höchstständen hinterher, sondern gehen Sie bei Kursrückgängen in Long-Positionen. Erreicht der Kurs die Marke von 3055–3058, prüfen Sie, ob sich eine günstige Short-Position ergibt. Fällt der Kurs auf 3030–3028, können Sie entschlossen Long-Positionen eingehen.
Last few days NG has been consolidating and correcting for a days, forming a bear flag pattern. Since it bounced off the bear flag resistance the main buy position i am looking for is $3.91 where the price may retest liquidity and 200 MA (which is a major supp). Bullish engulfing candle is what I will be on the look for around 3.91. Alternatively if price breaks 4.33 then the pull back is the next likely position for a buy order. which will be above 4.33 Price 3.76 is a strong supp and also liquidity zone with tested FVG. This can be our stop loss but given the volatility of this future 3.68 would be the best SL. I am expecting the price to test the bullish OB around 4.7 which is also out TP. For further extended move we will keep track of the price and see if it touches $5-5.2 range. Lets hope that the Geopolitical influences are kept to a minimum by US/Russia/Ukr.
ECONOMICS:USINTR March/2025 source: Federal Reserve https://www.tradingview.com/x/dFSVJxTA/ - The Fed keep the funds rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.5%, but signaled expectations of slower economic growth and rising inflation. The statement also noted that uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased, but officials still anticipate only two quarter-point rate reductions in 2025.
#XLM #XLMUSDT #Stellar #Analysis #Eddy Everything is clear on the chart, I didn't have enough time to explain further. From the supply area, with or without the area hunt, it can fall to the demand area. Then you can invest in your style by getting the necessary confirmations when the high-time divergence is completed, which is probably the third collision on the lines marked in the demand area. This analysis is only to show important areas. It is never too late to buy and invest. Do not rush and do not be fooled by the positive movements and reactions of the market. Wait for the price to reach its valuable areas. In the analysis of the Atom currency, as you can see, there is a strong demand area that is intact. Be patient until the price falls from the decision or extreme flips to the green area of the important demand area. Be sure to check this currency in your monthly time frame and draw the areas. Then refer to the weekly, daily and four-hour time frames and draw the lower time areas and look for confirmation for volatility. Do not rush to invest and buy spot and let the price reach the support area. Important areas are drawn and labeled so you can make informed decisions. Good luck.
ECONOMICS:JPINTR March/2025 source: Bank of Japan https://www.tradingview.com/x/Vi8Rx6le/ -The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its key short-term interest rate at around 0.5% during its March meeting, maintaining it at its highest level since 2008 and in line with market expectations. The unanimous decision followed the central bank’s third rate hike in January and came before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate announcement. The board took a cautious stance, focusing on assessing the impact of rising global economic risks on Japan’s fragile recovery. The BoJ pointed to ongoing uncertainties in the domestic economic outlook amid higher U.S. tariffs and headwinds from overseas conditions. While the Japanese economy had recovered moderately, some weaknesses remained. Private consumption continued to grow, helped by wage hikes, even as cost pressures persisted. However, exports and industrial output were mostly flat. Inflation ranged between 3.0% and 3.5% yearly, driven by higher service prices. Inflation expectations increased moderately, with underlying CPI projected to rise gradually.
Looking like a good short term swing trade. Looks like a completed ABCD pattern. Looks like it’s breaking trend lines. A good trend reversal pattern after the wedge. With FIB 50% as the neckline for rising wedge. Symmetrical triangle. I’m looking for it to reverse to the 200ma on 4hr chart $2200 likely $2700 potentially Long term trend reversal possible.
- EURJPY reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 161.00 EURJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 163.80 (which has been reversing the price from January) and the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from this resistance zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star. Given the overbought daily Stochastic, EURJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 161.00.