The British pound is lower on Wednesday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2400, down 0.37% on the day. The January inflation report was hotter than expected, giving the US dollar a boost against the major currencies today. Headline CPI rose 3% y/y, above the December gain of 2.9% which was also the market estimate. Monthly, CPI rose 0.5%, up from 0.4% in December and above the market estimate of 0.3%. It was the highest monthly inflation rate since August 2023. The core rate, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.3% from 3.2%, above the market estimate of 3.2%. Monthly core CPI accelerated to 0.4% from 0.2%, above the market estimate of 0.3%. The inflation report didn't change expectations about the March meeting, with the Fed virtually certain to hold rates. However, expectations for a cut in May have dropped to just 9%, compared to 21% a day ago. The economy is performing well and the Fed will be reluctant to lower rates again until it sees inflation moving lower. Fed Chair Powell repeated a familiar message in testimony before a Senate Banking committee on Tuesday, saying that the Fed "does not need to be in a hurry" to adjust policy. Powell said that rate policy remains restrictive but the Fed would be careful not to lower rates too quickly or too slowly. Powell deflected a question about Trump's tariffs and US trade policy but acknowledged that tariffs could lift inflation and complicate the Fed's ability to lower rates. The UK releases GDP on Thursday, with little change expected from the sputtering UK economy. Annually, GDP is projected to remain unchanged at 1%, while the GDP 3-month average to December is expected to decline by 0.1%, compared to a flat reading in the previous release. The economy contracted in the third quarter and may show a small gain in Q4 thanks to increased government spending. GBP/USD tested support at 1.2411 earlier. Below, there is support at 1.2368 1.2491 and 1.2534 are the next resistance lines
? Welcome to the UNIVERSOFSIGNAL ! Let's analyze and review one of our important Layer 2 projects, which is currently at one of its most critical support levels, and update our previous analysis. ? Overview Bitcoin As always, before starting our analysis, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the one-hour timeframe. We have settled down a bit compared to yesterday's fluctuations, but it’s still not a great time to open futures positions because any news can trigger stop-losses. However, if you insist on opening a position, the breakout of 100,026 wouldn’t be a bad entry, but you must reduce your risk. These days, it’s better to be an observer in futures trading. On the other hand, Bitcoin dominance is also crucial with this level’s breakout—if it turns green, you can open a position; otherwise, it’s better to switch to an altcoin or not open any position at all. https://www.tradingview.com/x/0I2Rrw6k/ ? Weekly Timeframe ARBUSDT has rebounded from its most critical weekly support and made an upward move, reaching a key resistance at $0.9578. The RSI has also entered its overbought zone, which isn’t an ideal buy signal and suggests a correction might be necessary. If you’ve joined after the breakout of the $0.6496 resistance, you can consider pulling out your initial capital, leaving the coin essentially free for you. If you haven’t entered yet, I’ll explain in the lower timeframes. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Q84xIpcp/ ?️ Daily Timeframe Previously, ARBUSDT followed a downtrend and reached the $0.4749 support zone with strong trend weakness. This formed an accumulation zone, and after creating a higher low within it, the coin broke above the range and rose towards the $0.9689 resistance. Wait for a breakout above $0.9689, accompanied by RSI entering the overbought zone again. pullback could bring ARBUSDT to $0.8028 in the mid-term. At that point, look for a bullish confirmation candle for a potential buy. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Dd5k6DLh/ ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe This is the primary timeframe for futures trading. The price shows a compression pattern, forming higher lows and equal highs, indicating a possible breakout. ? Long Position Trigger position can be taken after breaking $0.9689 , Set a stop-buy order beforehand since whale-driven movements might occur, pushing RSI beyond 75.14. ? Short Position Trigger I do not recommend opening a short position. Even if the trendline breaks, I’d prefer waiting. As long as the price stays above $0.7980, focus on long opportunities. ? TradingView Chart ? BTC Pair Insight ARBUSDT compared to Bitcoin has been bearish in the long term , However, after the Layer-2 hype cooled, the token showed strong trend weakness, printing several green candles. The main trigger here is the breakout of 0.00001004, allowing for significant upward movement if the market turns bullish. https://www.tradingview.com/x/bgaSMWNo/ ? Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
In the monthly basis, BBRI is very clear in accordance with the trendline and price action analysis with order block
Key Level Zone: 0.0013690 - 0.0013870 HMT v5 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note : Role of Key Levels: - These zones are critical for analyzing price trends. If the key level zone holds, the price may continue trending in the expected direction. However, momentum may increase or decrease based on subsequent patterns. - Breakouts: If the key level zone breaks, it signals a stop-out. For reversal traders, this presents an opportunity to consider switching direction, as the price often retests these zones, which may act as strong support-turned-resistance (or vice versa). My Trading Rules Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%. - Leverage: 5x. Exit Strategy Profit-Taking: - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically, sell 50% during a high-volume spike. - Adjust stop-loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio. - If the market shows signs of losing momentum or divergence, ill will exit at breakeven. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. HMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
The NZDUSD pair rebounded last week exactly at the top of the 5-year Support Zone. This is the 3rd time in total and first since October 10 2022. As you can see, both previous times that this Support Zone was touched, the price reacted with an immediate rebound and skyrocketed to the long-term Resistance Zone (0.65150 - 0.65850). Also on both those bottoms, the 1W RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier and rebounded. This time, we have the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) to consider as the first long-term Resistance, so our Target is just below a potential extension of it at 0.6200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE ?, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE ? and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ?????? ? ? ? ? ? ?
AUDJPY pair is sharply and impulsively recovering after we spotted the wedge pattern, so it’s now rising in minimum three waves A/1-B/2-C/3 that can retrace the price back to the starting point of the wedge pattern and back to 99-100 area, especially if we consider an unfilled GAP at 98.35 level. Currently we can see it making a five-wave impulse into wave A/1, so after corrective pullback in wave B/2, be aware of a bigger rally within wave C or maybe even wave 3 if goes decisively above 100 area. The ending diagonal (wedge) pattern is a special type of wave that occurs in wave 5 of an impulse or wave C of a correction. An ending diagonal pattern is a type of pattern that can occur at the completion of a strong move. It reflects a “calming” of the market sentiment such that price still moves generally in the direction of the larger move, but not strongly enough to produce an impulsive wave. Ending diagonals consist of five waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5, where each wave subdivides into three legs. Waves 1 and 4 overlap in price, while wave 3 can not be the shortest amongst waves 1, 3 and 5. The reason why they are so interesting is because they are indicating a reversal, usually a strong one, which can retrace the price back to the starting point of the pattern.
Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
? LONG BYBIT:AVAAIUSDT.P from $0.05800 ? Stop Loss: $0.05170 ⏱ 1H Timeframe ✅ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:AVAAIUSDT.P shows strong bullish momentum, breaking key resistance levels. ➡️ The price is holding above $0.05730, confirming buyer control. ➡️ Trading volumes are increasing, signaling rising market interest. ➡️ POC at $0.05189 acts as solid support, reinforcing the long scenario. ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Wait for a confirmed hold above $0.05800 before entering. ➡️ Stop-Loss at $0.05170 to minimize downside risk. ➡️ Main target $0.06938, with intermediate take profits at $0.06165 and $0.06640. ? Take Profit Targets: ? TP1: $0.06165 ? TP2: $0.06640 ? TP3: $0.06938 ? Monitor $0.05730 – a breakout above strengthens the bullish case. ? Volume increase supports upward movement, confirming buying interest. ? Risk management – closing the trade if $0.05170 is broken down. ? BYBIT:AVAAIUSDT.P looks ready for further gains, expecting a move towards targets!
I am looking at this Short trade idea given that indices remain bearish. I like how NFLX is setup on the H4 and Weekly TF. Anticipating price to gravitate lower towards weekly fvg giving that short trade idea. Obvious factors that can influence the trade idea is the high impact news and sentiment of the indices.
At Home Group Inc., a home decor retailer, has undergone significant restructuring since being acquired by private equity firm Hellman & Friedman (H&F). Previously a publicly traded company, At Home was taken private in a $2.8 billion deal, allowing for strategic changes without the pressure of quarterly earnings reports. This shift has provided the company with greater flexibility to refine its business model, optimize operations, and navigate the challenges of the home furnishings market. As part of its financial restructuring, At Home Group issued first-lien bonds with a 7.125% cash coupon and an 8.625% PIK coupon option, maturing in May 2028. Currently, these bonds are trading at 40-45% of their nominal value, presenting a yield-to-maturity of nearly 40%. This high yield reflects both the potential upside and inherent risks associated with investing in a leveraged private company. The first-lien nature of the debt offers bondholders a priority claim on the company’s assets, providing an added layer of security in the event of financial distress. Despite the promising aspects of this investment, challenges remain. As a private entity, At Home Group has limited financial disclosure, making it harder for investors to gauge its financial health and strategic execution. Additionally, the company operates in a highly competitive space, contending with major industry players such as IKEA and HomeGoods. Furthermore, home furnishings and decor are cyclical sectors, heavily influenced by macroeconomic conditions, consumer spending, and housing market trends. However, At Home Group’s restructuring under H&F could be a catalyst for long-term stability and growth. Hellman & Friedman has a strong track record in successfully repositioning struggling businesses, which could enhance At Home’s operational efficiency and financial performance. If the company executes its turnaround strategy effectively, the bonds could represent a compelling opportunity for high-yield investors seeking structured downside protection. While uncertainties persist, the combination of strong private equity backing and attractive bond yields makes this an investment worth considering for those with a high-risk tolerance.